Dillon Beach, CA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Dillon Beach, CA

June 14, 2024 10:44 PM PDT (05:44 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:45 AM   Sunset 8:37 PM
Moonrise 12:43 PM   Moonset 12:34 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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PZZ540 Coastal Waters From Point Arena To Point Reyes California Out To 10 Nm- 836 Pm Pdt Fri Jun 14 2024

.gale warning in effect through late Saturday night - .

Tonight - NW wind 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 13 ft. Wave detail: nw 10 ft at 9 seconds and sw 2 ft at 14 seconds.

Sat - NW wind 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft. Wave detail: nw 9 ft at 9 seconds and sw 2 ft at 17 seconds.

Sat night - NW wind 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 13 ft. Wave detail: nw 10 ft at 10 seconds and sw 2 ft at 19 seconds.

Sun - NW wind 25 to 30 kt. Gusts up to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 to 13 ft. Wave detail: nw 10 ft at 10 seconds and sw 2 ft at 17 seconds.

Sun night - NW wind 25 to 30 kt, easing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 11 to 13 ft, subsiding to 7 to 10 ft after midnight. Wave detail: nw 11 ft at 10 seconds and sw 2 ft at 16 seconds.

Mon - NW wind 15 to 20 kt, rising to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Wave detail: nw 6 ft at 9 seconds and sw 2 ft at 17 seconds.

Mon night - NW wind 20 to 25 kt, easing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 9 to 11 ft. Wave detail: nw 9 ft at 8 seconds and sw 2 ft at 16 seconds.

Tue - NW wind 15 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 10 ft. Wave detail: nw 8 ft at 8 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds.

Tue night - NW wind 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 9 ft. Wave detail: nw 7 ft at 8 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds.

Juneteenth - NW wind 10 to 15 kt, rising to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave detail: nw 2 ft at 5 seconds, nw 5 ft at 8 seconds and sw 2 ft at 14 seconds.

Wed night - NW wind 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

PZZ500 836 Pm Pdt Fri Jun 14 2024

Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay - Greater farallones - .and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries - .
strong northwest winds with gale force gusts continue through the weekend. Significant wave heights up to around 12 to 15 feet in the outer waters and 10 to 14 feet in the inner waters continue into the weekend. Hazardous conditions continue early next week as winds remain strong and seas remain elevated. Seas start to diminish in the middle part of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Dillon Beach, CA
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Area Discussion for - San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA
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FXUS66 KMTR 150526 AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 1026 PM PDT Fri Jun 14 2024

New AVIATION

SYNOPSIS
Issued at 107 PM PDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Dry and windy with elevated fire concerns into early next week.
Seasonal temps and quiet weather thereafter. Potential warming trend for late next week.

UPDATE
Issued at 841 PM PDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Modest onshore flow kept coastal temperatures a few degrees below seasonal averages today while the interior were a few degrees above (KSTS, KCCR, & KLVK). Temperatures will cool slightly tomorrow in response to a mid/upper level trough moving across the region.
Northerly winds will also increase throughout the weekend and into Monday as the aforementioned trough impacts the region. However, at this time we do not anticipated an offshore component to the winds, yet afternoon humidity will bottom out in the teens across the interior and in higher elevations. The ongoing forecast remains on track with no updates expected at this time.

RGass

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 107 PM PDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Clear across the area this afternoon as N-S gradients strengthen further with the passing of a shortwave trough this evening. Today will likely be the warmest day until late next week by a few degrees for inland locations. Expecting winds to increase initially overnight tonight in coastal gaps and high elevation areas. Currently seeing this as winds at major sites showing mostly a northerly component and increasing in magnitude as of the last few hours. The ridge ultimately gets flattened by a deeper upper level trough that will move into the West Coast. This will keep temps down over the next several days as well as further strengthen the N-S gradients that will promote windy conditions into early next week.

LONG TERM
(Sunday through next Thursday)
Issued at 107 PM PDT Fri Jun 14 2024

The most noteworthy period of wind and elevated fire weather conditions looks like Sunday into early Monday morning when the N-S gradient is expected to increase to around -8.5mb (SFO-ACV).
For context, this gradient peaked at -5.8 this afternoon, and -4.8 Thursday afternoon. This type of setup will support wind gusts of 35-45 mph, with some areas near the coast and higher terrain seeing gusts up to 50 mph. Confidence remains high in this scenario. Have decided to forgo any fire weather highlights given the critical wind and RH values aren't quite there. Refer to the Fire Weather section for more.

FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...Tuesday and beyond: Winds finally ease as the N-S begins to relax mitigating Marine and Fire Weather concerns. Interesting evolution of the longwave pattern middle of next week. While the pattern looks "troughy" it does show rising 500 mb heights over CA. More importantly, the warming of 850 mb temperatures. This begins to show up by Wednesday and then continue through next week. Rising 500 mb heights and warming 850 mb temperatures will kick off a warming and trend. Latest long range outlook from WPC highlights portions of the Central Valley and SoCal for Excessive Heat. Cluster analysis and NBM guidance supports this highlighting from WPC. Official forecast late next weekend has triple heat impacting interior portions of the Bay Area and Central Coast. Will need to monitor over the coming days.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1026 PM PDT Fri Jun 14 2024

VFR conditions throughout the region, generally through the TAF period. Model output has some probability of stratus development tonight at the immediate coast, at the East Bay Hills, and near MRY, but confidence is low and strong winds aloft may keep the skies clear through the nighttime. Strong northwest winds will diminish through the evening, with LLWS concerns developing along the coast this evening as strong winds aloft decouple from the surface layer.
Strong northwest winds expected to resume Saturday afternoon. Wind speeds become somewhat uncertain towards the end of the 24-hour TAF period, with some models showing a slower decline in speed than the forecast.

Vicinity of SFO... VFR through the TAF period. Strong west-northwest winds continue through the rest of the evening. Winds will taper off to around 10-15 knots overnight, with marginal LLWS concerns. Strong gusts resume Saturday afternoon. Current forecast calls for gusts up to 30 knots, but gusts at or exceeding 35 knots are still very much in the picture.

SFO Bridge Approach... Similar to SFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals... Model output shows some probability of IFR ceilings at MRY overnight both tonight and Saturday evening, but confidence is low (around a 30-40% probability) with winds aloft remaining strong. Otherwise the region remains VFR through the TAF period Lights winds continue through the night with breezy northwest winds resuming Saturday afternoon.



MARINE
(Tonight through next Thursday)
Issued at 841 PM PDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Strong northwest winds with gale force gusts continue through the weekend. Significant wave heights up to around 12 to 15 feet in the outer waters and 10 to 14 feet in the inner waters continue into the weekend. Hazardous conditions continue early next week as winds remain strong and seas remain elevated. Seas start to diminish in the middle part of the week.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 107 PM PDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Elevated Fire Weather Conditions Through The Weekend

*Less impactful marine layer *Increasing northerly winds, especially higher terrain *Lowering relative humidity values day and night

No major changes from previous.

By tonight into early Saturday, winds become more northerly over the higher terrain of the N and E Bay with gusts 25-35 mph. The developing offshore flow will usher in moderate to locally poor humidity recoveries above 1,000 feet. The drier airmass will ultimately spread across the entire district Saturday afternoon with 15-30% RH minimums across the interior. A slight uptick in RH recoveries on Saturday night as the marine layer tries to re- establish itself below 1,000 feet. Above 1,000 feet will feature another night with moderate to locally poor humidity recoveries Saturday night into Sunday. Despite some strong winds and lowering humidity onshore flow never completely goes aways. It would definitely be on the unusual side to issue a Red Flag Warning in June with some hint of a marine layer/onshore flow. Therefore, will keep a headline in place and continue to message elevated fire weather concerns. It should be noted, that does not mean grass fires will not be in the equation over the weekend. Fine fuels like grass will support fires as seen by recent fire trends.
However, larger fires with thicker fuels (non-grass) will be less likely. 100 and 1000 fuels are still holding onto some winter moisture. A great way to visually see this is watching ERC trends.
The ERC forecast through the weekend does show a trend toward seasonal levels, but not into the widespread critical range.

Regardless, individuals with outdoor activities planned this weekend should be fire weather aware. Be mindful and don't be "that spark".

MM/DB

MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PDT Saturday for SF Bay N of Bay Bridge.

Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Sunday for Mry Bay.

Gale Warning until 3 AM PDT Sunday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0- 10 nm-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0- 10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM-Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for No Ports station near this location
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KSTS CHARLES M SCHULZ SONOMA COUNTY,CA 20 sm51 minWNW 0610 smClear68°F37°F32%30.01
KDVO GNOSS FIELD,CA 24 sm29 minSSW 1210 smClear61°F46°F59%30.01
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Wind History graph: O69
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Tide / Current for Tomales Bay entrance, California
   
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Tomales Bay Entrance
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Fri -- 01:06 AM PDT     2.06 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:34 AM PDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:48 AM PDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 05:51 AM PDT     3.12 feet High Tide
Fri -- 12:28 PM PDT     0.81 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:42 PM PDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:24 PM PDT     4.22 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:36 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tomales Bay entrance, California, Tide feet
12
am
2.2
1
am
2.1
2
am
2.2
3
am
2.4
4
am
2.8
5
am
3
6
am
3.1
7
am
3
8
am
2.6
9
am
2.1
10
am
1.6
11
am
1.1
12
pm
0.8
1
pm
0.9
2
pm
1.2
3
pm
1.8
4
pm
2.6
5
pm
3.3
6
pm
3.9
7
pm
4.2
8
pm
4.2
9
pm
3.9
10
pm
3.3
11
pm
2.7


Tide / Current for Point Reyes, California Current
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Point Reyes
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Fri -- 01:34 AM PDT     Moonset
Fri -- 01:44 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:11 AM PDT     0.40 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 05:48 AM PDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:51 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 09:39 AM PDT     -0.70 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 01:33 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 01:42 PM PDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:40 PM PDT     0.69 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 07:49 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:36 PM PDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:34 PM PDT     -0.72 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Point Reyes, California Current, knots
12
am
-0.4
1
am
-0.2
2
am
0.1
3
am
0.3
4
am
0.4
5
am
0.4
6
am
0.2
7
am
-0
8
am
-0.4
9
am
-0.7
10
am
-0.7
11
am
-0.6
12
pm
-0.4
1
pm
-0.2
2
pm
0.2
3
pm
0.5
4
pm
0.7
5
pm
0.7
6
pm
0.6
7
pm
0.3
8
pm
-0.1
9
pm
-0.5
10
pm
-0.7
11
pm
-0.7


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GEOS Local Image of Central West Coast   
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