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Marine Weather and Tides Fishing Creek, MD Version 3.4

NOTICE 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 7:10AM

Sunset 6:25PM

Wednesday October 16, 2019 5:35 PM EDT (21:35 UTC)

Moonrise 7:20PM

Moonset 8:41AM

Illumination 89%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fishing Creek CDP, MD

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Area Discussion for - Baltimore, MD/Washington

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Fxus61 klwx 161904 afdlwx area forecast discussion national weather service baltimore md washington dc 304 pm edt Wed oct 16 2019 Synopsis Low pressure will intensify today as it moves off the mid- atlantic coast. A strong cold front will pass through late this afternoon into this evening while the rapidly intensifies off to our northeast. The low will move toward new england later tonight and Thursday before high pressure returns for Friday and into Saturday. Low pressure may impact the area Sunday before a cold front approaches next week. Near term until 6 am Thursday morning Cold occluded front crossing the area at this time. Southern stream low pressure across southeast virginia; this will be the feature that will eject into the atlantic and deepen rapidly. The back edge of the rain also crossing the area. While its possible for a few additional showers in the dry slot, the bulk of the rain has fallen. Due to shear, some interesting structures present, but air mass is stable. Will be adjusting late afternoon precip grids shortly. Wind forecasts aloft increasing mostly as projected, but the 12z cycle suggesting the core of winds closer to 40-50 kt. The concern remains how much will mix, as momentum transfer typically less than ideal coincident with a nocturnal inversion. Keeping a forecast near mean layer mixed, which is still 25-30 kt almost areawide and up to 40kt across the ridge tops. No changes to wind advisories, but admittedly it will be close in spots. Temperatures will drop behind the front tonight as cold advection increases. However, am skeptical as to how quickly the boundary layer cools; NAM may be too cold. Ingredients for upslope precipitation still in place, and it will be cold enough for some wet snow to mix, especially after midnight. However, have scaled back how much accumulating snow this might be... Especially since the ground should remain warm. Short term 6 am Thursday morning through Friday night Deep cyclogenesis will be the primary weather factor Thursday. The pressure gradient will be favorable for rather deep mixing. How deep, and how strong the winds will be, depends upon the computer model. Have increased wind forecasts for Thursday, producing gusts barely below advisory threshold for metro baltimore (and for that matter, most of maryland). The gradient will have less of an influence south and west... But still a windy day. Upslope precipitation will continue, but temperatures will be too warm for anything other than light rain. High pressure will build for Friday. Both Thursday night-Friday morning and Friday night will be chilly, especially Friday night when winds will be light and radiational cooling will be more favorable. Long term Saturday through Wednesday High pressure sitting over our region Saturday will start to shift northeastward out of our region. Winds will slowly become southerly to southeasterly ahead of an approaching coastal system. Temperatures during the day will be near normal in the mid to upper 60s with overnight temps in the 40s to low 50s. The Sunday to Monday period remains very uncertain at this time. The models have a tropical low forming over the gulf of mexico and moving northward through the southeastern us and up along the eastern seaboard. There remains quite a bit of uncertainty on how far this coastal system reaches into our region. At this time there remains a threat for another system late Sunday into Monday. This system has the potential to bring significant rain to our area. Models indicate the potential for pw's as high as 1.5 to 1.7 which in october is pretty high. We will need to continue to monitor the model trends to determine the exact track of this system. At this time the main threat area for the coastal storm will be central virginia and southern maryland. A strong cold front is forecast to move through our region Tuesday into Wednesday. Depending on the timing and track of the coastal low the day before, these two systems could merge to bring significant amount of precipitation to our region again on Wednesday. This system looks to move fully through our area by Wednesday morning.

Behind the frontal passage temperatures are expected to be near or slightly below normal on Wednesday. Aviation 19z Wednesday through Monday Flight conditions fluctuating at this time, but ample ifr abounds. Conditions will be improving for the rest of the afternoon into tonight.VFR should prevail for the remainder of the week. Northwest winds will increase before dark, with widespread 25-30 kt gusts expected through Thursday afternoon. Some gusts of 35 kt (or perhaps a pinch more) possible. Winds will crease Thursday night and Friday. The majority of our region should experience mainlyVFR conditions Saturday and Sunday. The main threat for restrictions will be in central virginia and the cho terminal.VFR conditions expected at this time. Marine A cold front crossing the waters at this time, with sporadic gusty winds. Have a small craft advisory in place. Any higher gusts (or waterspouts) will trigger special marine warnings. This threat should be ending by dark. Synoptic winds will increase this evening, and be strong gusty through Thursday. Already had a gale warning for the waters tonight. Have expanded it to all waters for Thursday... 40 kt northern bay, 35 kt drum point-smith point tangier sound potomac river (further away from rapidly strengthening nor'easter). Small craft conditions likely will linger into Thursday night and perhaps Friday. Winds will remain light on Saturday. Winds above the 18 knot threshold will be possible on Sunday. Small craft advisories may be needed on Sunday. Tides coastal flooding Water levels have increased substantially today. Have expanded coastal flood advisory for most areas baltimore south as well as dahlgren gauge and SW dc on the potomac for the pm tide cycle. Strong northwest winds tonight will then lead to blow-out conditions; threat should last for only one cycle. Lwx watches warnings advisories Dc... Coastal flood advisory from 8 pm this evening to 1 am edt Thursday for dcz001. Md... Wind advisory from 6 pm this evening to 2 pm edt Thursday for mdz501. Coastal flood advisory until 10 pm edt this evening for mdz014. Coastal flood advisory until 9 pm edt this evening for mdz016. Coastal flood advisory until 7 pm edt this evening for mdz017- 018. Coastal flood advisory until 11 pm edt this evening for mdz011. Va... Wind advisory from 6 pm this evening to 2 pm edt Thursday for vaz503-504-507-508. Coastal flood advisory until 9 pm edt this evening for vaz057. Wv... Wind advisory from 6 pm this evening to 2 pm edt Thursday for wvz501-503-505-506. Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 pm edt this evening for anz530>534-536>543. Gale warning from 6 pm this evening to 6 pm edt Thursday for anz530>543. Synopsis... near term... Hts short term... Hts long term... Jmg aviation... Hts jmg marine... Hts jmg tides coastal flooding... Hts klw

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD	11 mi	54 min	W 21 G 24	65°F	66°F		997.6 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD	12 mi	48 min	WNW 8.9 G 14	61°F	69°F		997.6 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD	17 mi	30 min	W 19 G 23	63°F	68°F		1000.2 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD	19 mi	48 min	NNW 23 G 26
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD	22 mi	30 min	NNW 19 G 23	62°F			998.9 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD	23 mi	54 min	WNW 17 G 21	62°F	67°F		996.9 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA	23 mi	54 min	NW 13 G 20	61°F	68°F		998.1 hPa
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD	43 mi	126 min	NNW 1.9	59°F			999 hPa	59°F
NCDV2	43 mi	54 min	NW 6 G 9.9	60°F			998.3 hPa
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD	45 mi	36 min	W 25 G 27	60°F	67°F		998.7 hPa (-3.8)	59°F
44058 - Stingray Point, VA	49 mi	36 min	W 18 G 21	65°F	68°F	2 ft	1001.2 hPa
44063 - Annapolis	49 mi	30 min	WNW 18 G 21	60°F	67°F		997.5 hPa

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Patuxent River, Naval Air Station, MD	9 mi	1.7 hrs	W 10 G 18	7.00 mi	Light Rain	64°F	62°F	93%	998 hPa
St. Inigoes, Webster Field, Naval Electronic Systems Engineering Activity, MD	14 mi	2.7 hrs	WSW 12	1.00 mi	Heavy Rain	69°F	64°F	84%	998.5 hPa
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD	21 mi	56 min	W 7 G 13	9.00 mi	Overcast	64°F	64°F	100%	996.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNHK

Wind History from NHK (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Hooper Island Light, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland

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Tide / Current Tables for Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Baltimore, MD/Washington (17,4,5,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE

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Disclaimer: The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.