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Marine Weather and Tides Fishing Creek, MD Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 5:47AM

Sunset 8:28PM

Sunday July 12, 2020 1:43 AM EDT (05:43 UTC)

Moonrise 11:59PM

Moonset 12:01PM

Illumination 58%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fishing Creek CDP, MD

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Area Discussion for - Baltimore, MD/Washington

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FXUS61 KLWX 120114 AFDLWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 914 PM EDT Sat Jul 11 2020

SYNOPSIS. A cold front will remain stalled near or just east of the Chesapeake Bay this weekend as an upper level disturbance drops into the region on Sunday. Thereafter, high pressure will push the boundary off the coast and dominate over much of the eastern U.S. through the upcoming work week, with an extended stretch of hot and humid conditions.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/. West/northwest winds early this evening have kept any showers/thunderstorms to a minimum. With the loss of daytime heating, believe whatever scant threat there was has passed. Still have some clouds east of the Blue Ridge, likely associated with the weak frontal boundary stalled in the vicinity. Dewpoints have dropped into the 60s. Low temperatures match, with forecast lows near 70 due to urban heat effects along I-95.

On Sunday, a shortwave digging further south over the midwest will push eastward. That energy doesn't arrive until late in the day, so most of the day should be dry and hot again -- especially east of the Blue Ridge. In the mountains, the upper energy arrives in the afternoon, combining with orographic lift to spark scattered to numerous showers and storms. SPC maintains a Marginal Risk of severe thunderstorms in that area, which is certainly plausible. Have lowered max temps west of the Blue Ridge a bit, but in the metro areas, it should be just as hot as today -- if not hotter since a few spots have seen cooling showers today.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. The trough axis from Sunday's shortwave swings through on Sunday night, so PoPs continue all night long, though the severe threat should diminish. Some guidance has yet another shortwave on Monday, which we will have to keep an eye on. For now, I've held close to continuity with the rain chances, but brought temperatures down just a bit from the weekend maxes. Once the trough exits, zonal flow to weak ridging builds in, putting a stop to the rain chances for Monday night, though the heat persists.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. An upper level low centered over northern New England will continue to track northeastward into the Canadian Maritimes as ridging to our west begins to advect eastward. As a result, surface high pressure over the Ohio Valley will lead to dry conditions and near normal temperatures Tuesday.

A near zonal flow develops by midweek as high pressure maintains control of the region. Strong upper level high pressure over the southwestern US will slowly begin to shift east over the central plains which will cause the jet stream to become more displaced well to our north. This ultimately strengthens the ridge over the Mid- Atlantic and therefore will likely keep our area mostly dry as there doesn't appear to be any significant shortwaves or areas of low pressure in the extended period. However, can't rule out the possibility of some pop-up showers and/or thunderstorms due to diurnal heating. With that being said, the best potential for any convective weather looks to come by the weekend as a NW flow ensues to which a weak shortwave may track across the region.

There will be an uptick in heat in humidity come midweek with the amplifying ridge. Thursday has the best potential to be the hottest day of the week with highs in the 90s (a 100 is not impossible in spots) and heat indices potentially above 100. The above normal heat may also continue into the weekend.

AVIATION /01Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. VFR conditions likely through midday Sunday with winds becoming light after sunset. An upper level disturbance approaches by midday Sunday. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms may impact the terminals late Sunday and Sunday night, bringing the potential for periodic sub VFR VIS/CIGs. Additional showers and thunderstorms may affect the terminals Monday afternoon and early evening as another upper level disturbance crosses.

High pressure will bring VFR conditions and light winds for Tuesday and Wednesday. Could see an isolated shower or storm on Thursday in the heat of the day.

MARINE. Gusty winds in the northern Chesapeake Bay and upper tidal Potomac have flirted with Small Craft Advisory criteria. The SCA issued for the upper Potomac didn't fare to well once it was issued; it has been cancelled. Still do have a few 20-25 kt gust reports in the northern Bay, so will let that SCA run through 11pm.

More locally gusty winds in showers and storms are possible late Sunday (more likely toward sunset or after) and again on Monday.

High pressure will build across the area Tuesday and Wednesday with light winds and no significant marine concerns. Some southerly channeling could bring winds close to SCA criteria Wednesday night or Thursday.

LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. DC . None. MD . None. VA . None. WV . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for ANZ530- 531-538.

SYNOPSIS . JE NEAR TERM . HTS/JE SHORT TERM . JE LONG TERM . MSS AVIATION . JE/MSS MARINE . HTS/JE/MSS

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD	11 mi	73 min	NNW 1.9 G 1.9	82°F	85°F		1008.4 hPa
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD	12 mi	79 min	SW 1.9 G 2.9				1009.1 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD	12 mi	73 min	WNW 1 G 2.9	79°F	82°F		1008.6 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD	19 mi	73 min	WNW 6 G 8
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD	22 mi	49 min	WSW 5.8 G 7.8	81°F	82°F
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD	23 mi	73 min	SSW 4.1 G 4.1	80°F	84°F		1008.4 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA	23 mi	73 min	SW 1.9 G 2.9	80°F	84°F		1008.9 hPa
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD	43 mi	133 min	Calm				1008 hPa
NCDV2	43 mi	73 min	W 2.9 G 4.1	78°F	86°F		1008.5 hPa
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD	45 mi	43 min	WSW 8 G 9.9	80°F	81°F		1009.3 hPa (+0.5)	67°F
44058 - Stingray Point, VA	49 mi	49 min	W 3.9 G 5.8		83°F		1012.9 hPa

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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SW14 G17

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NE8 G11

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Patuxent River, Naval Air Station, MD	9 mi	51 min	WNW 6	10.00 mi	A Few Clouds	77°F	68°F	74%	1008.6 hPa
St. Inigoes, Webster Field, Naval Electronic Systems Engineering Activity, MD	14 mi	50 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Fair	77°F	69°F	77%	1008.5 hPa
St Marys County Airport, MD	17 mi	48 min	W 3	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	72°F	64°F	78%	1009.8 hPa
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD	21 mi	48 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	72°F	69°F	94%	1008.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNHK

Wind History from NHK (wind in knots)

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W11

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Tide / Current Tables for Hooper Island Light, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland

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Tide / Current Tables for Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Baltimore, MD/Washington (1,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE

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