English, IN Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for English, IN

June 16, 2024 11:17 PM EDT (03:17 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:21 AM   Sunset 9:15 PM
Moonrise 3:08 PM   Moonset 1:47 AM 
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near English, IN
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Area Discussion for - Louisville, KY
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Louisville KY 907 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024


* Persistent early season heat wave expected, with highs well into the 90s each day.

* Heat index values not expected to reach advisory levels, but societal impacts are likely.

* Spotty coverage of afternoon thunderstorms today and Monday, then largely dry from Tuesday into next weekend.

Issued at 906 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Moisture has returned into the region via southerly flow. During the afternoon and into this evening, dew points have steadily increased into the low 70s and PWATs in the 1.8-2.0 inch range. An outflow boundary from cells over Nashville tracked through southern Kentucky, bringing forcing to increased moisture and instability. A few cells formed along this line bringing up to half inch hail and wind gusts up to 30mph along the gust front. These cells are beginning to dissipate as the gust front continues to track northwest and dusk settles in.

Convective debris clouds will linger over the region through the first half of the overnight period. This additional cloud coverage will slow radiational cooling. Due to this, have opted to raise Monday morning low temperatures by about a degree. Otherwise, the forecast remains on track.

Issued at 320 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

A strong upper level high is centered over the Carolinas this afternoon and will remain anchored there through Monday. This upper ridging is forecast to amplify on Monday as very subtle upper level shortwave energy streams north over the Lower to Mid-MS Valley. At the surface, strong high pressure is centered over Massachusetts and is forecast to drift east over the western Atlantic through tomorrow.

A hot and humid afternoon is underway with temperatures running in the upper 80s to lower 90s. We still have a SW to NE low-level moisture gradient, but sfc dewpoints have steadily risen since this morning and are now in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Low-level SW flow continues to advect rich low-level moisture into the region, and low 70s dewpoints are now common across western and portions of central KY. Heat indices are expected to top out in the 95-105 range this afternoon, with the highest values in the western and southern portions of the CWA While below advisory criteria, some impact to vulnerable populations is possible. If working or spending time outdoors, take frequent breaks in the shade or air conditioning and drink plenty of water. Remember to check the back seat, and never leave children or pets unattended in vehicles for any length of time.

The hot, humid airmass has also become quite unstable, with MLCAPE exceeding 2000 J/kg across western and south-central KY. Spotty convection has bubbled up in Middle TN and is drifting slowly to the northeast. Expect this convection and its associated outflow to generate additional widely scattered convection across south-central KY late this afternoon and evening. With steep low-level lapse rates and high DCAPE in excess of 1000 J/kg, expect locally strong wind gusts with any thunderstorm. Brief heavy rainfall is also likely.
This pulse convection will be relatively sparse, so most will stay hot and dry. Convection will diminish shortly after sunset.

The more humid air flowing into the region will result in a warmer night with lows in the lower 70s. The Louisville urban heat island will likely only dip into the mid 70s by daybreak. Temperatures will warm quickly once again Monday morning. Expect a hot, humid day with afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s. Scattered afternoon convection is expected once again, though spotty storms will be possible area-wide. These storms will also be capable of brief heavy rainfall and locally gusty winds (and welcome relief from the heat).

Peak heat indices near 100 degrees are forecast for Monday afternoon and early evening.

Issued at 320 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Mid and upper level ridging continues to strengthen and expand on Tuesday with the center drifting northward slowly. There is a small chance (10-15%) for an isolated shower or storm, but it seems unlikely convection develops at all due to increasing subsidence aloft. The better chance for pulse convection will be off to our west and northwest. This will give us a hot, dry day with afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s.

Wednesday through Friday, the strengthening East Coast ridge takes on more of an east-west orientation, resulting in height rises and mid-level subsidence over the Ohio Valley. This will keep a lid on convection, and allow temps to climb into the mid/upper 90s. Still not going too crazy with the heat index, as the warming will be offset by dewpoints dropping into the lower 60s by Thu-Fri. It's nothing you'll mistake for the desert, but just enough to take the edge off the heat.

Small rain chances return next weekend, as the ridging starts to show weakness across the Great Lakes. POPs still only around 20 percent but we'll keep an eye on that for some break in the heat and potential developing drought.

Confidence in reaching triple-digit heat indices is not high enough for even a duration-based Heat Advisory. However, a prolonged period of hot temperatures is very likely to cause societal impacts, so we will ramp up messaging to core partners and be prepared to go with a Heat Advisory if confidence in broader impacts increases.

Issued at 724 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Isolated showers and thunderstorms have developed over southern Kentucky. Storms will dissipate as the sun sets. The remainder of the overnight will consist of VFR conditions. Light, southerly winds will prevail through into the morning. By mid-morning, daytime heating will allow for gusty winds to develop on the order of 16- 20kts. SCT Cu will develop in the afternoon, which may lead to isolated-scattered showers and thunderstorms in the evening.

KY...Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT tonight for KYZ029>031.
IN...Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT /11 PM CDT/ tonight for INZ076>079-083-084-089>092.

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KFRH FRENCH LICK MUNI,IN 19 sm2 mincalm10 smClear81°F66°F62%30.00
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