Thursday, February27, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Salisbury, MD

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 5:54PM Thursday February 27, 2020 1:25 PM EST (18:25 UTC) Moonrise 8:49AMMoonset 9:42PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 1251 Pm Est Thu Feb 27 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through late Friday night...
This afternoon..W winds 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 3 ft.
Tonight..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 3 ft.
Fri..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Fri night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers through the night.
ANZ500 1251 Pm Est Thu Feb 27 2020
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. Low pressure will remain stalled over southeastern canada through the weekend as high pressure gradually builds in from the midwest. The high will move offshore early next week, with a slow-moving frontal system following in its wake. Small craft advisories may be needed Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Salisbury, MD
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location: 38.37, -75.61     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 271726 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1226 PM EST Thu Feb 27 2020

SYNOPSIS. Cooler, drier weather will prevail across the region today into this weekend. Rain chances increase during the early to middle part of next week as a low pressure system approaches from the west.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 1000 AM EST Thursday .

Late morning upper air analysis shows a potent shortwave trough lifting NNE through upstate NY, with an upper low starting to form over the nrn Great Lakes. At the surface, ~988 mb low pressure was over nrn New England, with ~1032 mb high pressure over the wrn Gulf Coast. A cooler and drier airmass continues to spread in from the W with the surface cold front now well offshore. Temperatures have warmed to ~40F across the Piedmont with mainly low-mid 40s elsewhere. W winds have increased to 15-25 mph with gusts to 30-35 mph.

Continued breezy/much drier conditions expected today. Going forecast remains on track with highs in the upper 40s to low 50s despite 850mb temperatures falling to -7 to -8C as mixing will be maximized. Dewpoints likely fall into the low teens to around 20F by aftn (w/ upper single digits likely across the Piedmont). A W wind will average 15-25 mph, with gusts to 25-30 mph inland, and 30-35 mph over the Ern Shore (gusts up to 40 mph for the MD coast). Surface high pressure settles into the Deep South tonight as low pressure lingers over the Saint Lawrence Valley. This will maintain some mixing and low temperatures are forecast to fall into the mid 20s to low 30s as CAA continues.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 355 AM EST Thursday .

The latest data continues to show some weak moisture/lift crossing the mountains Friday evening/Friday night. Given this, a slight chc of rain and/or snow showers has been maintained (mainly 00-06z Saturday). Seasonally cool Friday with highs in the upper 40s to low 50s with increasing clouds. Partly to mostly cloudy Friday night with lows in the mid 20s to low 30s. Dry Saturday as high pressure builds in from the W. There will still be some energetic NW flow with the trough moving offshore, and this could result in SCT to occasionally BKN CU, especially E. Cool with highs in the low 40s NW to upper 40s SE.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 330 PM EST Wednesday .

Sunday and the first half of Monday will be fairly quiet with high pressure centered over the SE on Sunday and shifting off the SE coast on Monday. A more unsettled pattern sets up late Monday through midweek. A trough will dig through the SW US and by Wednesday ejects northeastward towards the OH valley. Out ahead of the trough, a series of disturbances will increase the chances for rain. Monday night through Wednesday morning the chances for rain will be mainly across western and northern portions of the forecast area, with the greatest chance for areawide rainfall occurring the second half of Wednesday ahead of an approaching cold front.

Temperatures will be seasonable on Sunday with high temps upper 40s to lower 50s. Monday through Wednesday will be well above normal with high temps in the 60s on Monday and Tuesday and may very well reach the 70's for most on Wednesday. Low temps will also be mild only dropping into the 40s on Tuesday morning and 50s on Wednesday morning.

AVIATION /17Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 1225 PM EST Thursday .

VFR/dry conditions are expected to prevail through the 18z TAF period. The pressure gradient between low pressure near the Saint Lawrence Valley and high pressure over the wrn Gulf coast is allowing W winds to gust to 25-30 kt at the terminals early this aftn. Gusts to 25-30 kt will continue through 22-00z before winds diminish to 10-12 kt (w/ occasional gusts of 15-20 kt near the coast). FEW-SCT CU (5000-6000 ft) over VA/MD should dissipate after sunset, giving way to SKC conditions through the night. A fast moving shortwave trough approaches the area on Friday, which will result in an increasing BKN cloud deck during the day (w/ cloud bases aoa 5000 ft). There is a 15-25% chc of a rain shower from Friday afternoon through late Friday evening (highest at RIC/PHF/SBY). There is a very minimal chc of some snow or graupel mixing in at RIC/SBY, but no impacts are expected as pcpn amounts will be very light (at best) and surface temperatures will be well above freezing. Winds turn to the WSW or SW on Fri, with gusts to 20 kt possible during the day.

OUTLOOK . VFR/dry conditions prevail from Saturday through Monday morning as high pressure builds into the area.

MARINE. As of 430 AM EST Thursday .

A strong cold front is positioned just along the Mid-Atlantic coast early this morning. The cold front will continue to move offshore on Thursday. High pressure is building into the area from the southwest, while a low pressure system is deepening over southeastern Quebec. This is given us a strong west wind behind the cold front. Winds are W 12-20 kt with gust 20-25 kt across our coastal waters. West winds will increase during the day on Thursday with sustain winds 20-25 kt and gusts up to 30 kt (Up to 35 kt across Atlantic waters north of Cape Charles). The exception will be for the Atlantic Ocean coastal waters offshore of MD. Winds will be slightly stronger farther north, with winds W 25-30kt and gusts up to 40 kt. Gale Watch has been upgrade to a Gale Warning for the ocean waters north of the VA/MD state line from Thursday afternoon to early Friday morning, while SCAs remain in effect for coastal waters south of the VA/MD state line, Chesapeake Bay, tidal rivers, and Currituck Sound.

A broad area of low pressure will remain across southeastern Canada and the Northeast U.S. into the weekend. Winds will slightly decrease as the low pressure system weakens Friday. Winds are expected to turn SW and be 15-20 kt with gusts of 25 kt, decreasing to 10-15 kt Friday night. A cold front will cross the coastal waters Saturday and winds will increase and turn NW 15-20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. High pressure will build over the region Sunday with winds decreasing.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Friday for ANZ635>637. Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Friday for ANZ630>632-634- 638-652-654-656-658. Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Friday for ANZ633. Gale Warning until 1 AM EST Friday for ANZ650.

SYNOPSIS . AJZ/ERI NEAR TERM . AJZ/ERI SHORT TERM . AJZ/ERI LONG TERM . CMF AVIATION . ERI/RMM MARINE . CP


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 25 mi55 min WNW 17 G 21 43°F 47°F1009.2 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 28 mi61 min WNW 14 G 25 41°F 44°F1008.9 hPa
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 28 mi61 min NW 26 G 34 41°F 45°F1008.6 hPa
LWSD1 - 8557380 - Lewes, DE 39 mi55 min WNW 29 G 36 41°F 44°F1006.8 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 45 mi31 min W 23 G 29 42°F 44°F1009.8 hPa
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 45 mi31 min WNW 19 G 23 42°F 1009.3 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 45 mi55 min WNW 14 G 23 43°F 44°F1009.1 hPa
44009 - DELAWARE BAY 26 NM Southeast of Cape May, NJ 48 mi35 min W 25 G 31 41°F 48°F6 ft1003.4 hPa (+1.6)

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Salisbury, Salisbury-Ocean City Wicomico County Regional Airport, MD6 mi31 minW 19 G 2810.00 miFair and Breezy45°F21°F39%1008.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSBY

Wind History from SBY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE6E6E9E10E9E8E6E7E8SE4SE7S16W19
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1 day agoS5W3SW5SW7W4CalmW3CalmCalmNW4CalmNW3E4CalmNE3NE4E5E5E5E8SE6CalmN6E6
2 days agoS13SW13S11S7S10S11S14S11SW8S5S4S4S4SW5CalmS5CalmCalmSE4SE3SE7SE4S4S4

Tide / Current Tables for Salisbury, Wicomico River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Salisbury
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:30 AM EST     2.98 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:37 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:49 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:41 AM EST     0.11 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:45 PM EST     2.92 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:52 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 09:41 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 11:53 PM EST     0.09 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.51.21.92.62.92.92.621.30.60.20.10.411.72.42.82.92.62.11.40.70.2

Tide / Current Tables for Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current
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Salisbury
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:37 AM EST     0.55 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:41 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:38 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:41 AM EST     -0.72 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 08:49 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 12:17 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:58 PM EST     0.47 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:41 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:53 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:47 PM EST     -0.79 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 09:41 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.40.50.50.40.2-0.1-0.4-0.7-0.7-0.6-0.4-0.10.20.40.50.40.2-0.1-0.5-0.7-0.8-0.7-0.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.