Saturday, November28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Birdseye, IN

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:42AMSunset 5:29PM Saturday November 28, 2020 2:33 AM EST (07:33 UTC) Moonrise 4:40PMMoonset 5:55AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Birdseye, IN
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location: 38.37, -86.71     debug


Area Discussion for - Louisville, KY
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FXUS63 KLMK 280543 AFDLMK

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Louisville KY 1243 AM EST Sat Nov 28 2020

. Updated Aviation Discussion .

Short Term. (This evening through Saturday) Issued at 215 PM EST Fri Nov 27 2020

Latest surface analysis (27/15Z) shows 1022mb surface high sprawled across the region as a weak, dry cold front stretching NE-SW across IL/MO is expected to move through the OH Valley overnight resulting in no more than increased cloud cover through Saturday morning. Those waking up west of I-65 Saturday morning will likely already see partly to mostly sunny conditions, whereas those east of I-65 will have to wait until late morning for the clouds to clear. Areas in our western CWA that clear before diurnal nadir will see Saturday morning min temps in the low 30s, whereas eastern areas under cloud cover will remain in the mid to upper 30s. Max temps Saturday will reach into the upper 40s across our north and into the low 50s across most of central KY under mostly sunny skies. Winds will veer from SW to NW behind the front this evening while remaining light throughout the period.

Long Term. (Saturday night through Friday) Issued at 300 PM EST Fri Nov 27 2020

. Well Below Normal Temperatures to Start December . . First Snow of the Season Monday into Early Tuesday .

Saturday night and at least Sunday morning should be nice, though we could see some patchy valley fog in the morning and clouds will be on the increase through the day Sunday. As we get later in the afternoon, the rain chances will increase as an upper level low moves into the TN Valley. A surface reflection will deepen as it moves from the northwest Gulf into central TN and then eastern KY late Sunday night. These rains should overspread all of our region as the night continues.

Monday morning, as the surface low continues deepening off to our east, we will see strong northwesterly winds pumping in much colder air to the region. The upper low will fill in as it gets shunted quickly northeastward. At the same time, another upper trough will be diving across the Midwest. The resulting deep cold air will mean most of the day we will stay right on that margin for a rain/snow mix across the region. The good news as far as accumulations goes is that surface and road temperatures are still warm. Heavier snow rates could briefly overcome this and may cause some driving issues, but as soon as those heavier rates end the road snow should melt. Expect any light accumulations to linger only on elevated surfaces.

Monday night, the question of rain or snow will be no longer, as temperatures drop to make for all snow. The good news is that the moisture feed mostly will be shifted east of the region, as the second system closes off into an upper low right over central KY. Any snow we get here would have to come from what typically is a more narrow feed from Lake Michigan and/or some upslope flow along our I-75 corridor. Thus models have backed off on QPF compared to a day or two ago. Thinking is that our eastern counties still have the best chance for some minor accumulations in this time period.

Tuesday morning we could still have some lingering light snows in our Bluegrass counties, but that tap from Lake Michigan should shut off as the upper low continues well east of the region. Shortwave ridging looks to bring us at least a couple of dry days, but then models pick up on another large upper low diving across the Central Plains Thursday. Still several question marks with this system, as far as timing and strength, but we'll have to bring some precip chances back Thursday and Friday.

Sunday the only above normal day for the period. Tuesday should at least be 10 degrees below normal for highs. Monday won't feel so great either, with windy conditions bringing wind chills into the 20s. Those readings will fall into the teens Monday night.

Aviation. (06Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 1243 AM EST Sat Nov 28 2020

A band of SCT low clouds with bases around 1500 ft will move NW to SE across central KY and southern IN early this morning. HNB is currently seeing BKN MVFR stratus, but these clouds will clear out quickly. NW winds around 6 kts early this morning will turn northerly later in the morning and weaken by this afternoon. SKC expected this afternoon through the rest of the TAF period.

LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. IN . None. KY . None.

Short Term . CG Long Term . RJS Aviation . EBW


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Huntingburg, IN15 mi38 minNNW 710.00 miA Few Clouds39°F32°F76%1022.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHNB

Wind History from HNB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW5W5W4CalmCalmCalmCalmSE6S544S3W5SW5W5NW6N5N3NW3N6
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1 day agoW9W8W8W10W6W9W7W7W6SW4SW7SW7SW3SW6S7CalmSW3CalmSW4SE4SW3SW4W6Calm
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Louisville, KY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.