Tuesday, October15, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fenwick Island, DE

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 6:26PM Tuesday October 15, 2019 7:43 AM EDT (11:43 UTC) Moonrise 6:42PMMoonset 7:37AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ455 Expires:201910152215;;739621 Fzus51 Kphi 151024 Cwfphi Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Mount Holly Nj 624 Am Edt Tue Oct 15 2019 Sandy Hook Nj To Fenwick Island De To 20 Nm Offshore And Delaware Bay Anz454-455-152215- Coastal Waters From Cape May Nj To Cape Henlopen De Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Cape Henlopen To Fenwick Island De Out 20 Nm- 624 Am Edt Tue Oct 15 2019
.gale watch in effect from Wednesday evening through Thursday afternoon...
Today..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne. Seas around 3 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Tonight..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Wed..SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt late. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 8 seconds. Rain likely in the morning, then rain with a chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Wed night..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, increasing to 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Rain early in the evening.
Thu..W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Thu night..NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Gusts up to 40 kt, decreasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Fri..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Fri night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 624 Am Edt Tue Oct 15 2019
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. High pressure will be across the middle atlantic today and then move offshore tonight. Low pressure will move across the great lakes region Wednesday while a second low forms near virginia. Both of these low will consolidate into a significant storm east of the area Wednesday night. The storm will move away Thursday as high pressure begins to build over the area. The high will settle over the region this weekend. Another storm will arrive for the beginning of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fenwick Island, DE
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location: 38.43, -75.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 151028
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
628 am edt Tue oct 15 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will be across the middle atlantic today and then
move offshore tonight. Low pressure will move across the great
lakes region Wednesday while a second low forms near virginia.

Both of these low will consolidate into a significant storm east
of the area Wednesday night. The storm will move away Thursday
as high pressure begins to build over the area. The high will
settle over the region this weekend. Another storm will arrive
for the beginning of next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
High pressure located in central pennsylvania early this
morning will build eastward. The center of the air mass is
forecast to pass off the new jersey coast early this afternoon.

We are anticipating a mostly sunny sky for today with just a
few cumulus and cirrus overhead. A light northerly wind is
expected for this morning. The wind should become southerly
during the afternoon in the return flow on the back side of the
high.

Maximum temperatures are forecast to be mostly in the middle
and upper 60s in our region. Highs will likely favor the upper
50s and lower 60s in the elevated terrain of the poconos and far
northern new jersey.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Wednesday
The high should be centered off nantucket early this evening
before moving farther out to sea overnight.

We are expecting an increase in cloud cover in the southeast to
south flow. However, any rain should hold off until after
daybreak on Wednesday.

Low temperatures are forecast to be mostly in the upper 40s and
lower 50s in southeastern pennsylvania, central and southern
new jersey, delaware and northeastern maryland. Lows should
favor the lower and middle 40s from the poconos and the lehigh
valley into northwestern new jersey.

Long term Wednesday through Monday
Wed thu... The weather will quickly deteriorate Wednesday as
strong low pressure moves across the great lakes and its
associated front arrives from the west. A second low will form
on the front near virginia and then 'bomb' as it moves up along
our coastal waters and into new england. A soaking rain and
gusty winds will be over the area Wednesday afternoon an thru
much of the night. A one to two inch rain will occur over most
areas with locally higher totals if convection develops (low
probability). Rains will end from SW to NE overnight as gusty w
to NW develop. Gusts to 40 mph are possible. The gusty winds
will last into Thu before diminishing Thu night.

The models are mostly in agreement with the synoptic factors
with the system, but the exact details of how much rain and
where are yet to be resolved. The rains will be heavy at times
where they setup, but the overall length of precip will not be
much more than 12 hours. This will keep totals from getting too
excessive. Recent dry weather will allow for more absorption by
the soil, provided it doesn't rain at too great a rate. We put
the mention of heavy rains in the hwo for now.

Fri Sat sun... High pressure builds over the area and crests
over the middle atlantic sat. A dry weather regime will
accompany the high with mostly sunny days and mostly clear
nights. Temperatures will be a little below normal fri, near
normal Sat and above normal Sunday.

Mon... Another system will approach from the great lakes Monday.

Increasing clouds Sun night and Mon with chances for rain
increasing Mon and lasting into Mon night. Temperatures Mon will
be above normal with highs reaching the mid upper 60s (n w) and
low 70s over SRN nj, metro philadelphia and delmarva.

Aviation 12z Tuesday through Saturday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Today...VFR under a mostly clear sky. North wind 6 knots or
less, becoming south to southwest in the afternoon.

Tonight...VFR with an increase in cloud cover. South to
southeast wind 6 knots or less.

Outlook...

wed... Lowering CIGS with rain and gusty winds arriving by
afternoon. MVFR or ifr conditions by late afternoon.

Wed night... Low CIGS vsbys with rain. Ifr lifr likely. Gusty
winds. Llws expected.

Thu... Improving CIGS withVFR returning. Gusty winds 30 to 35 knots
possible.

Thu night Fri sat...VFR expected. Gusty winds Thu night and fri.

Marine
High pressure is forecast to build across the coastal waters of
new jersey and delaware for today and tonight. A north wind
around 10 to 15 knots this morning should become northeast to
east 5 to 10 knots this afternoon. A southeast wind 10 to 15
knots is expected for tonight.

Waves on our ocean waters will likely range from 2 to 3 feet.

They should be 2 feet or less on delaware bay.

Outlook...

wed thru thu... Increasing winds and seas Wed with gale
conditions by Wed night. Gales will last into thu. Rain wed
afternoon and night. Rough seas Wed night thu.

Thu night fri... Winds and seas slowly diminish fri. SCA into
fri night. Fair.

Sat... Sub-sca. Fair weather expected.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... Gale watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday afternoon
for anz430-431-450>455.

Synopsis... O'hara
near term... Iovino
short term... Iovino
long term... O'hara
aviation... Cms iovino o'hara
marine... Iovino o'hara


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OCSM2 6 mi163 min 2 ft
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 7 mi61 min N 5.1 G 5.1 60°F 66°F1020.9 hPa
44009 - DELAWARE BAY 26 NM Southeast of Cape May, NJ 20 mi53 min N 12 G 14 65°F 67°F2 ft1019.4 hPa (+0.8)
LWSD1 - 8557380 - Lewes, DE 25 mi55 min NE 9.9 G 11 62°F 65°F1020.5 hPa
CMAN4 - 8536110 - Cape May, NJ 38 mi55 min NNE 2.9 G 7 53°F 64°F1020.2 hPa
BRND1 - 8555889 - Brandywine Shoal Light, DE 39 mi61 min 1020.9 hPa
44089 49 mi43 min 68°F2 ft

Wind History for Ocean City Inlet, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ocean City, Ocean City Municipal Airport, MD9 mi50 minNNW 47.00 miFair48°F48°F100%1020.2 hPa
Georgetown - Delaware Coastal Airport, DE24 mi49 minN 010.00 miFair47°F45°F93%1020.6 hPa
Salisbury, Salisbury-Ocean City Wicomico County Regional Airport, MD24 mi49 minN 010.00 miFair49°F45°F86%1020.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOXB

Wind History from OXB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmNW5N103NW6NW6NW8W635SW7SW3W3W4W3CalmCalmCalmCalmNW6NW4NW3N6N4
1 day agoN6NE4NE6NE7E7E6E7E8E8E5E8E7E6Calm3SW7SW6SW6SW7SW5SW4W4NW5Calm
2 days agoCalmNW3NE7NW55NW5CalmNW4W6S6S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3NW3NW4N7N6N6

Tide / Current Tables for Fenwick Island Light, Delaware
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Fenwick Island Light
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:03 AM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 09:05 AM EDT     4.26 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:37 PM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:41 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 09:28 PM EDT     3.86 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.910.40.10.41.22.43.444.34.13.42.51.50.80.30.20.81.72.73.43.83.83.3

Tide / Current Tables for Delaware Bay Entrance, Delaware Current
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Delaware Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:43 AM EDT     -1.32 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:23 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:29 AM EDT     1.44 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 08:37 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:42 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 03:11 PM EDT     -1.42 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:04 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:41 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:59 PM EDT     1.31 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.4-0.9-1.2-1.3-1-0.30.411.41.410.5-0.2-0.8-1.2-1.4-1.3-0.7-00.61.11.31.10.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.