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Marine Weather and Tides Port Tobacco Village, MD Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:17AM

Sunset 8:11PM

Sunday August 9, 2020 8:16 AM EDT (12:16 UTC)

Moonrise 10:29PM

Moonset 10:51AM

Illumination 70%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Port Tobacco Village, MD

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Area Discussion for - Baltimore, MD/Washington

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FXUS61 KLWX 090811 AFDLWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 411 AM EDT Sun Aug 9 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will be settled overhead today into Monday. A cold front will approach late Tuesday into Tuesday night and remain stalled near our area through the end of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. Latest surface analysis shows surface high pressure over our area while a stationary front lingers near the easter portion of the VA/NC state line. Aloft, a shortwave trough is moving east from our area as ridging builds to our south. A few showers remain over central Virginia as cloud cover continues to decrease and fog starts to develop over the valleys.

Additional patchy fog could develop this morning, with it dissipating after sunrise. Dry conditions will persist through the morning hours with high pressure over our region. A surface trough will settle near the I-95 corridor this afternoon/evening, and with better shear and instability east of the Blue Ridge, could see a few isolated showers and thunderstorms develop near I-95 and into central VA. However with little forcing aloft, coverage is expected to be isolated. With weak steering flow and PWAT values between 1.4 and 1.8 in, isolated flooding is a concern, especially over urban/poor drainage areas.

Dry conditions expected tonight as high pressure remains in control and boundary to our south weakens. Fog could develop again late tonight.

High temperatures today will be in the upper 80s and low 90s, with heat index values in the mid to upper 90s. Lows tonight will be in the 60s and 70s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. Weak high pressure will remain in control on Monday as southerly flow settles over our region. This will be advecting moisture into our area, which could allow for the development of a few isolated showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening. Development is expected to be mainly over higher elevations due to terrain circulation, with lack of a strong forcing aloft. Heat index values could reach the upper 90s over most areas across our CWA. Dry conditions are expected Monday night.

Southerly flow will continue on Tuesday ahead of an approaching front and high pressure centered over the western Atlantic. Warm and moist air advection will again allow for heat index values to reach the upper 90s, maybe a few areas in the tipple digits. Shortwave energy aloft associated with the front and diurnal heat will allow for another day of afternoon, evening and even nighttime showers and thunderstorms as the front continues to approach our area.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Guidance remains in relatively good agreement regarding the progression of weather features later this week. On Wednesday, a cold front will be approaching our region from the northwest, crossing the upper Ohio Valley. Several upper level disturbances will be located over the mid Mississippi Valley and the central Plains with another disturbance along the Carolina coast. The front will stall in the region on Thursday and remain in the same general area Friday and Saturday. Meanwhile, the upper disturbances over the mid-Mississippi Valley and Plains will make only slow eastward progress towards the Ohio Valley and Appalachians, while the direction the disturbance near the Carolina coast takes is more uncertain.

This pattern will result in gradually diminishing temperatures as clouds and shower/t-storm chances increase, with highs near 90 Wednesday dropping into the 80s late in the week. There will be a modest severe weather risk along with at least a marginal flood risk. This may be increased by moisture injected into the region by the disturbance that will be along the Carolina coast on Wednesday.

AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. VFR conditions are observed over most terminals at this moment, with a few MVFR sites. Fog has developed over the valleys and could be an issue in the next few hours, especially over MRB and CHO. Fog will dissipate after sunrise. VFR conditions continue through the rest of today, with any restrictions related to thunderstorms this afternoon/evening. A drier pattern will remain into Monday night with less chance of any thunderstorm developing over our region. Tuesday chance of afternoon convection increases ahead of an approaching front.

Main aviation concern on Wednesday and Thursday will be thunderstorms, primarily in the afternoon and evening hours. Storm coverage will likely be higher on Thursday.

MARINE. Winds are expected to remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria into Monday night. Some convection could bring gusty winds this afternoon and evening. There will be less chance for any convection Monday into Monday night, with an increase on Tuesday afternoon and evening ahead of a front.

Main marine concern on Wednesday and Thursday will be thunderstorms, primarily in the afternoon and evening hours. Storm coverage will likely be higher on Thursday.

LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. DC . None. MD . None. VA . None. WV . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . IMR NEAR TERM . IMR SHORT TERM . IMR LONG TERM . RCM AVIATION . IMR/RCM MARINE . IMR/RCM

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
NCDV2	9 mi	46 min	Calm G 1	74°F	84°F		1020.3 hPa
WASD2 - 8594900 - Washington, DC	30 mi	46 min	SSW 4.1 G 5.1	76°F	82°F		1021.1 hPa
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD	32 mi	106 min	Calm				1020 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD	36 mi	46 min	WNW 4.1 G 5.1	77°F	83°F		1021 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD	37 mi	46 min	NNE 1.9 G 4.1
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD	38 mi	40 min		78°F	82°F
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD	39 mi	46 min	WSW 4.1 G 5.1				1021.6 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA	46 mi	46 min	WSW 5.1 G 6	74°F	81°F		1021.2 hPa
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD	48 mi	76 min	WSW 6 G 6	76°F	82°F		1021.5 hPa (+0.5)	76°F

Wind History for Washington, DC

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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NE4

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NW1 G4

S1 G4

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NE4 G9

W2 G5

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1 day ago

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S6 G9

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SW3 G9

NE5 G12

N3 G8

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NE3

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SE1 G10

N4

NE3 G9

E2 G10

E3 G7

SE4 G7

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SE3 G6

SE5 G9

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Quantico Marine Corps Airfield - Turner Field, VA	11 mi	20 min	N 0	7.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	76°F	71°F	85%	1021.2 hPa
Stafford, Stafford Regional Airport, VA	19 mi	21 min	N 0	4.00 mi	Fog/Mist	71°F	71°F	100%	1022.3 hPa
Fort Belvoir, VA	20 mi	80 min	N 0	9.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	70°F	68°F	96%	1020.9 hPa
Fredericksburg, Shannon Airport, VA	22 mi	21 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	73°F	72°F	100%	1020.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNYG

Wind History from NYG (wind in knots)

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N8

N5

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NE3

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1 day ago

S4

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Calm

N6

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2 days ago

N4

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SE14

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E5

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E8

E4

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Tide / Current Tables for Goose Bay, Port Tobacco River, Maryland

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Tide / Current Tables for Maryland Point Light, Maryland

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Baltimore, MD/Washington (8,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Sterling, VA

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