Thursday, October17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Long Beach, MD

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 6:28PM Thursday October 17, 2019 1:32 PM EDT (17:32 UTC) Moonrise 7:58PMMoonset 9:44AM Illumination 83% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ533 Chesapeake Bay From North Beach To Drum Point- 1035 Am Edt Thu Oct 17 2019
.gale warning in effect until 6 pm edt this evening...
.small craft advisory in effect from 6 pm edt this evening through Friday afternoon...
Rest of today..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Waves 4 ft.
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 4 ft.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 3 ft.
Fri night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat..W winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers through the night.
ANZ500 1035 Am Edt Thu Oct 17 2019
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. Low pressure will slowly move through new england today and high pressure will build overhead tonight through Friday. High pressure will move offshore Saturday and low pressure may impact the area Saturday night into Sunday. High pressure may briefly return for Monday. A small craft advisory may be needed for portions of the waters Friday evening.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Long Beach, MD
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location: 38.47, -76.47     debug


Area Discussion for - Baltimore, MD/Washington
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Fxus61 klwx 171400
afdlwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service baltimore md washington dc
1000 am edt Thu oct 17 2019

Synopsis
Low pressure departing to our northeast will rapidly intensify
today before high pressure returns for Friday and into
Saturday. Low pressure may impact the area Saturday night into Sunday
before a cold front approaches early next week.

Near term through tonight
A wind advisory continues for the higher elevations through 6
pm this evening. Strong westerly winds will lead to continued
upslope shower activity today, with some snow expected above
3000 feet. When all is said and done, could see an inch or two
on the highest peaks out west. Additionally, a deepening surface
low, located near long island, will continue to strengthen
today and move off to the northeast. Gradient winds across
northern and central va and all of md are expected to gust
around 40 knots as a result, a wind advisory is in effect for
those areas through early this evening. A chilly day today,
with highs only in the upper 50s to near 60, paired with the
strong winds.

As the aforementioned low moves away from the area to the
northeast, winds will gradually diminish across the region
tonight into Friday. Slightly cooler tonight as well, with lows
in the low 40s east of the blue ridge, and mid 30s to low 40s
west of the blue ridge. Higher ridge tops will see lows in the
upper 20s to low 30s. Upslope activity continues tonight as
well, but should begin to die down.

Short term Friday through Saturday
By Friday, all shower activity should be finished out west, and
winds will be substantially less. Winds will still be gusting in
the 20-25 mph range on Friday across northern areas, but this
will quickly diminish into the evening as high pressure builds
directly overhead. Highs on Friday will be slightly cooler than
average, with temps in the low to mid 60s.

Friday night will likely be the coldest night of the forecast
period across the entire area. Frost freeze headlines will be
needed Friday night west of the blue ridge, with widespread lows
in the low to mid 30s. Warmer temps along east of i-95, with
lows closer to the low 40s. Between i-95 and the blue ridge,
things are a bit less certain, as temperatures will be close to
frost advisory criteria, but will wait on issuing that for now.

High pressure will shift offshore Saturday, leading to warmer
temperatures into the mid 60s. No rain is expected throughout
the day on Saturday.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday
Low pressure in the southern stream of the jet will track through
the southeastern CONUS Saturday night and then most likely off the
mid-atlantic coast Sunday. There may be enough warm and moist air
that overruns cooler air over our area, bringing the chance for
rain. Confidence is still low given that there is still some
divergence among guidance as to the timing and how far north the
moisture will make it, but as of now it appears that the best chance
for rain will be later Saturday night through midday Sunday.

A storm system will track east of the rockies Sunday night into
Monday and it will intensify as it does so. This will cause a
longwave upper-level trough over the central CONUS with upper-level
ridging over our area. Surface high pressure may wedge into the mid-
atlantic briefly which can bring dry conditions for Sunday night and
Monday.

However, as the trough shifts east, so to will a stronger cold
front. Ahead of the cold front, a southerly flow will allow for
warmer conditions along with deep moisture advection.

Unseasonably warm conditions are likely Tuesday along with
increasing chances for rain. High pressure will return for the
middle portion of next week with drier and more seasonable
conditions.

Aviation 14z Thursday through Monday
Vfr conditions will prevail over the next several days, as high
pressure builds into the region Friday into Saturday. However,
gusty wnw winds will be the main threat today, especially at the
northern terminals, where gusts of 35-40 knots are expected.

Winds at cho will be slightly lighter, as the deepening surface
low will be farther away than at the other terminals, but could
still see gusts up to 30 knots. Winds will decrease Thursday
night and Friday, but still gust in the 15-20 knot range
throughout the day on Friday.

As high pressure settles overhead Friday night into Saturday,
winds will be light across the entire area, with no clouds or
precipitation to speak of.

Low pressure may bring some rain and subvfr conditions
Saturday night into Sunday. High pressure may briefly return
for Sunday night and Monday, but low clouds and or fog may be stuck
underneath the subsidence inversion.

Marine
Gale warning will continue through early this evening, as a
strong low pressure system intensifies to the northeast.

Northern portions of the bay will see stronger gusts (near 40
knots), as the low will be closer to that region, with a tighter
pressure gradient. Winds will relax somewhat later in the
evening, but there is still the chance that the northern bay
could see gale conditions later into the evening, but confidence
is not high enough at this time, so going with a small craft
advisory for all waters. Winds will continue to be gusty through
Friday, remaining above SCA criteria through Friday evening.

High pressure builds overhead later Friday evening, quickly
bringing winds below SCA criteria finally. High pressure will keep
winds light on Saturday as well.

Low pressure will likely pass by to the south and east later
Saturday night into Sunday. An SCA may be needed for portions of
the waters during this time. High pressure may briefly return for
Monday before a cold front impacts the waters Tuesday.

Tides coastal flooding
A strong offshore flow will cause anomalies to continue to fall
sharply today. Tidal blowout conditions are possible later today
into Friday near times of low tide. The offshore flow will weaken
Friday night and turn onshore for the weekend. Anomalies will likely
increase sharply during this time, and tidal flooding is possible
this weekend.

Lwx watches warnings advisories
Dc... Wind advisory until 6 pm edt this evening for dcz001.

Md... Wind advisory until 6 pm edt this evening for mdz003>006-011-
013-014-016>018-501>508.

Va... Wind advisory until 6 pm edt this evening for vaz028-031-
052>054-501-503-505>508.

Wv... Wind advisory until 6 pm edt this evening for wvz050>053-501-
503>505.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 6 pm this evening to 6 pm edt Friday
for anz530>543.

Gale warning until 6 pm edt this evening for anz530>543.

Synopsis... Cjl
near term... Cjl jmg
short term... Cjl
long term... Bjl
aviation... Bjl cjl
marine... Bjl cjl
tides coastal flooding...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 7 mi32 min NW 23 G 27 58°F 2 ft1004.9 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 10 mi44 min WNW 11 G 16 58°F 68°F1004.5 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 22 mi50 min W 18 G 30 59°F 63°F1003.4 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 23 mi44 min WNW 19 G 24
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 25 mi122 min WNW 8.9 56°F 1004 hPa38°F
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 29 mi50 min W 23 G 28 58°F 57°F1005.2 hPa
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 30 mi32 min W 22 G 26 57°F 65°F1004.2 hPa (+0.9)37°F
44042 - Potomac, MD 31 mi26 min W 23 G 27 59°F 67°F1007.5 hPa
NCDV2 32 mi50 min NW 8.9 G 20 58°F 1004.6 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 33 mi50 min WNW 16 G 23 57°F 64°F1005.6 hPa
44063 - Annapolis 34 mi26 min WNW 21 G 29 58°F 66°F1003 hPa
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 35 mi44 min 59°F 1002.6 hPa
CPVM2 37 mi50 min 59°F
WASD2 - 8594900 - Washington, DC 40 mi50 min NW 12 G 23 58°F 66°F1005.1 hPa

Wind History for Cove Point LNG Pier, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Patuxent River, Naval Air Station, MD13 mi1.7 hrsWNW 14 G 3110.00 miMostly Cloudy58°F37°F48%1004.7 hPa
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD24 mi52 minWNW 13 G 2410.00 miMostly Cloudy61°F37°F42%1004.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNHK

Wind History from NHK (wind in knots)
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W13W12W12SW8W8W9W10W11W11W17
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1 day agoE6SE7SE4E6SE4S3SE7S9SE10
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2 days agoN5SE8SE7SE5SE4S5S4CalmCalmCalmCalmNW9N7N7NE7NE7NE5CalmCalmNE5E4NE6E7E7

Tide / Current Tables for Long Beach, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Broomes Island, 0.4 mile south of, Maryland Current
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Broomes Island
Click for MapFlood direction 290 true
Ebb direction 110 true

Thu -- 01:09 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:23 AM EDT     0.24 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:15 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:08 AM EDT     -0.33 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 10:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:48 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:15 PM EDT     0.49 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 06:58 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:58 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:17 PM EDT     -0.53 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.2-00.10.20.20.10-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.200.20.40.50.50.40.2-0-0.3-0.4-0.5-0.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Baltimore, MD/Washington (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.