Sunrise 6:15 AM   Sunset 7:55 PM Moonrise 9:00 PM   Moonset 5:53 AM

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ANZ533 Chesapeake Bay From North Beach To Drum Point- 153 Am Edt Thu Apr 25 2024
.small craft advisory in effect until noon edt today - .
Overnight - NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft. Scattered sprinkles. Thu - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the morning. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Thu night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Fri night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 ft. Sat - SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 ft. Sat night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft. Sun - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Mon - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

ANZ500 153 Am Edt Thu Apr 25 2024
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
high pressure will build across the region for the end of the week, then move offshore over the weekend. Small craft advisories will likely be needed both Friday and Saturday afternoons.

FXUS61 KLWX 250737 AFDLWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 337 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will return today and Friday. A warm front will lift into the area this weekend bringing a significant warm up early next week. The next chance for widespread precipitation arrives with a cold front Tuesday into Wednesday next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
A reinforcing shortwave is currently moving across northern Virginia and heading toward the southern half of the Delmarva Peninsula. This shortwave will give yesterday's cold front a little nudge farther south early this morning.

High pressure will build to our north today and tonight. As the high moves to the east, winds will become more northeasterly this morning, then easterly this afternoon, finally southeasterly by late tonight. Today and tonight will be dry.
High temperatures will be noticeably cooler today and tonight with highs in the 50s and lows in the middle to upper 30s.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
A mix of sun and clouds expected Friday with increasing clouds in the southwest. Highs Friday will not be as chilly as today, but mainly reach near 60 to lower 60s in most places. Lows Friday night will drop into the 40s and should not be as chilly as tonight. The next chance for showers will come Friday night as warm advection ensues aloft ahead of a system over the center of the country and its associated warm front.

High pressure will continue to nudge to the southeast on Saturday. The warm front is expected to push farther east and northeast during the day and bring a few showers mainly along and west of the Blue Ridge. Highs on Saturday will range from the upper 50s and lower 60s north of I-66 with middle to upper 60s to the south of this corridor. Saturday night's lows a few degrees milder.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Deep ridging builds across the Southeast to Mid-Atlantic states Sunday into Monday. Dry conditions, and very warm to near record warmth is likely across the area. Highs reach the upper 70s to low 80s Sunday, and mid to upper 80s Monday. A few spots could reach 90F Monday afternoon. Mild overnight lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s, especially Monday night.

Models are in a good agreement for Tuesday, indicating a cold front sweeping through the area in the afternoon to early evening. Given the building heat for 2-3 days, there is likely to be modest instability for thunderstorms even with dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s. Forcing along the cold front is likely to generate isolated to scattered thunderstorms, some of which could be strong.

This cold front brings little relief from the warmth as highs still reach the lower 80s Wednesday.

AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
VFR conditions are expected through Friday night. A brief period of two to three hours of patchy drizzle or patchy fog near CHO could lead to slight reductions to MVFR or IFR in terms of ceiling later Thursday night or early Friday morning. Winds northeast, becoming east by this afternoon. Winds Friday will be out of the southeast.

A warm front lifts into the area Saturday providing a few spotty showers to terminals west of the corridor. Outside of the showers expect extra mid and high level clouds from time to time with southerly winds gusting 20 to 25 kts.

VFR conditions expected Sunday into Monday, with mostly dry conditions. South to southwest winds around 10 knots.

MARINE
SCAs remain in effect through this morning. Sub-SCA northeast, then easterly winds expected this afternoon. Sub-SCA southeast winds are expected Friday, though channeling is possible late in the day.

Winds could reach SCA for a few hours both Saturday and Sunday.
A warm front will lift across the waters Saturday changing the winds toward more of a southerly direction.

South to southwest winds prevail Sunday into the start of next week, with mostly dry conditions across the local waters. Southerly channeling is possible, which could result in a few hours of near- SCA conditions during the afternoon to evening each day.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
A prolonged period of northeast to east, then southeast to south winds through the weekend is going to cause water levels to rise across the Chesapeake Bay and Tidal Potomac River. Starting later this morning, sensitive locations at Annapolis and Straits Point will reach Action Stage. The evening high tide being the astronomically lower of the day will likely stay out of minor flooding, though still reach Action Stage.

The first impactful high tide cycle is expected to be Friday morning. Coastal Flood Watches are in effect for Annapolis and Straits Points as moderate coastal flooding is possible at that time. Other spots could reach minor flood stage, which would require additional Coastal Flood Advisories. Additional periods of coastal flooding are likely over the weekend as southerly winds persist, and many locations approach or reach minor flood stage.

LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DC...None.
MD...Coastal Flood Watch from late tonight through Friday morning for MDZ014.
Coastal Flood Watch from late tonight through Friday morning for MDZ017.
VA...None.
WV...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for ANZ530- 531-536-539-540-542.
Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT today for ANZ532>534-537- 541-543.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT early this morning for ANZ538.

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Lower Marlboro, Patuxent River, Maryland, Tide feet

Broomes Island
Click for MapFlood direction 290° true
Ebb direction 110° true

Thu -- 01:38 AM EDT     0.53 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:21 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:53 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:41 AM EDT     -0.58 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 12:30 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:32 PM EDT     0.20 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:14 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:05 PM EDT     -0.30 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 09:59 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:39 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Broomes Island, 0.4 mile south of, Maryland Current, knots

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