Flatwoods, WV Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Flatwoods, WV

June 18, 2024 5:07 PM EDT (21:07 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:53 AM   Sunset 8:52 PM
Moonrise 4:50 PM   Moonset 2:10 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Flatwoods, WV
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Area Discussion for - Charleston WV
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FXUS61 KRLX 181839 AFDRLX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 239 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
Isolated strong storms will be possible today. A prolonged heat wave continues throughout the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 1239 PM Tuesday...

Surface high pressure and upper ridging will continue to expand across the area through Wednesday, creating very hot conditions across the region, and a continuation of a heat advisory for all counties west of the mountains. Showers and storms will fire again during peak heating hours today. Some of these storms could become strong to severe with a wind/downburst threat. Similar to yesterday, high instability/cape, along with weak shear, high PW values, with storms slow to move and containing heavy downpours, along with that strong wind/downburst potential. SPC has expanded the marginal risk for severe across most of the CWA west of the mountains.

Otherwise, as the high continues to expand westward, flow will gradually continue to become more southeasterly, with somewhat less humid air taking hold for Wednesday. Not really expecting apparent temperatures to reach advisory criteria on Wednesday, but with temperatures still expected to reach into the mid 90s, the heat headlines will remain. In addition, with more stable conditions expected to be in place on Wednesday, a dry forecast was maintained for now, although an isolated shower or storm cannot be completely ruled out either.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
As of 205 PM Tuesday...

Upper ridge pattern courtesy of a rather strong area of high pressure to our east extending from Bermuda/Eastern Atlantic. As a result, hot and dry temperatures amid the heat wave will continue into the short term period.

Temperatures Thursday look to be in the low to mid 90s for much of the area, with upper 70s to upper 80s being common across the mountains. Humidity looks to back off some in the afternoon allowing for less hot heat indices in comparison to what has been observed. While heat indices look to be below 100 degrees, they will still be high with mid to upper 90s expected for the warmest locations in our forecast area. Lows both Wednesday night and Thursday night, will range from the 60s to upper 70s depending on elevation. This provides some relief, but with muggy conditions expected each night it will not feel as though there is improvement.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 1215 PM Tuesday...

Strong Bermuda High Pressure system will still influence temperatures into the weekend, keeping them well above normal.
The hottest temperatures will be observed Friday and Saturday with highs in the mid to upper 90s across the lowlands each day; 80s in the mountains. A few locations in the low-lying river valleys, along the Ohio River and across portions of SE Ohio are forecasted to reach 100. Heat indices will still be oppressive, even with humidity values lessening some as the week goes on.

The ridge pattern looks to recede Saturday night into Sunday as a cold front approaches from the west. That said, PoPs also increase from west to east Sunday afternoon and evening as this front approaches and a trough drops out of the north Sunday into Monday. Showers and some thunderstorms are possible Sunday into Monday due to this feature, but kept only chance PoPs for now until confidence increases.

AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 115 PM Tuesday...

Isolated showers and storms through 03Z, with brief MVFR conditions in heavy downpours. Storms will also have the potential for strong/damaging wind gusts. After 03Z, expect bulk of convection to dissipate with VFR conditions. However, patchy IFR valley fog is expected in favored river valleys, mainly in deeper mountain valleys generally 08-12Z, with a return of VFR conditions with light surface winds after 12Z Wednesday.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Brief sub-VFR conditions could occur in showers/storms today. Fog tonight may be more widespread than currently forecast.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 EDT 1HRLY 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H M PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H

AFTER 18Z WEDNESDAY...
No widespread IFR conditions are expected at this time.

CLIMATE
As of 235 PM Tuesday...

A prolonged heat wave continues across the area through this week. Temperatures are forecast to approach record highs at some locations on several days. The records for Tuesday, June 18 to Sunday, June 23 are listed below for our official climate sites, along with the current forecast values.

Forecast / Record High Temperatures -------------------------------------------------------- Tuesday, 6/18 | Wednesday, 6/19| Thursday, 6/20 | -------------------------------------------------------- CRW | 93 / 98 (1944) | 92 / 98 (1919) | 94 / 99 (1931) | HTS | 93 / 98 (1944) | 93 / 98 (1994) | 93 /100 (1931) | CKB | 93 / 96 (1936) | 93 / 94 (1994) | 93 / 94 (1931) | PKB | 94 / 98 (1944) | 94 / 95 (1994) | 95 / 97 (1931) | BKW | 86 / 93 (1936) | 86 / 90 (1944) | 87 / 92 (1931) | EKN | 91 / 91 (1994) | 90 / 89 (1905) | 90 / 92 (1931) | -------------------------------------------------------- Friday, 6/21 | Saturday, 6/22 | Sunday, 6/23 | -------------------------------------------------------- CRW | 97 /105 (1931) | 97 / 98 (1988) | 96 /100 (1929) | HTS | 99 / 99 (1953) | 99 / 98 (1988) | 97 /100 (1930) | CKB | 96 / 98 (1953) | 96 / 97 (1923) | 94 / 96 (1957) | PKB | 98 / 97 (1953) | 98 / 98 (1988) | 95 / 94 (1964) | BKW | 91 / 93 (1953) | 91 / 92 (1931) | 90 / 91 (1931) | EKN | 93 / 92 (1953) | 94 / 93 (1923) | 91 / 89 (1899) | --------------------------------------------------------

Additionally, the all-time June high temperature records may be neared in some locations. Listed below are the maximum temperatures currently forecast during the heat wave versus the all-time June high temperature records.

Max Forecast All-time June Record ----------------------------------------- CRW | 97 | 105 (1931) | HTS | 99 | 105 (1930) | CKB | 96 | 100 (1925) | PKB | 98 | 100 (1988) | BKW | 91 | 100 (1936) | EKN | 94 | 96 (2012) | -----------------------------------------

RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for WVZ005>011-013>020- 024>032-039-040.
OH...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for OHZ066-067-075-076- 083>087.
KY...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for KYZ101>103-105.
VA...None.




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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KEKN35 sm16 minSSE 0510 smA Few Clouds90°F66°F46%30.22
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