Flatwoods, WV Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Flatwoods, WV

June 14, 2024 5:59 PM EDT (21:59 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:52 AM   Sunset 8:50 PM
Moonrise 12:46 PM   Moonset 12:42 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Flatwoods, WV
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Area Discussion for - Charleston WV
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FXUS61 KRLX 142131 AFDRLX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 531 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

SYNOPSIS
Strong to isolated severe thunderstorms are possible through this evening with a cold front. An extended stretch of hot and dry weather will begin Sunday and last much of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 520 PM Friday...

Made updates to temperatures, cloud cover, and PoPs through this evening. Isolated thunderstorms continue to develop just north of the CWA where moisture and forcing via low-level convergence are greatest, and will gradually slide southeast towards/into the northern portion of the CWA While most storms have remained sub-severe at this point, the potential for isolated severe thunderstorms continues through the evening across SE OH into northern WV as a cold front continues to slide through the region. The main hazards will be damaging wind gusts and large hail. Further south, timing and drier air will limit the severe potential, but cannot rule out an isolated strong, perhaps a severe storm later this evening. Activity will steadily diminish after sunset.

As of 230 PM Friday...

After coordinating with SPC, a severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for northern counties in southeast OH, and northern WV until 9 PM this evening. Plenty of sunshine and available moisture will continue to destabilize the atmosphere this afternoon providing descent bouyancy. Strong to severe thunderstorm are expected.

As of 130 PM Friday...

Cold front exits east of the Appalachians late this evening, with lingering light showers ending by midnight. Surface high pressure builds from the north tonight into Sunday providing light to calm flow and mostly clear skies. This set up will allow for river valley fog to develop along river valleys and over areas that received rainfall today and tonight. Any fog or low stratus that manage to develop will quickly dissipate by 9 AM Saturday.

Lows tonight will generally be in the lower 60s across NE KY, SW VA and southern WV, ranging into the 50s northern sections and northeast mountains. Plenty of sunshine and light winds will prevail on Saturday providing a warm afternoon, with temperatures ranging from the mid 80s lowlands, into the lower 70s higher elevations.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 1207 PM Friday...

Upper-level high pressure will be centered over the Deep South Sunday, slowly moving northeastward throughout the day. Temperatures will start to heat up across the lowlands with afternoon highs expected to be in the lower 90s by Sunday afternoon. Winds will become southerly, leading to the return of more humidity. Expect heat indices to reach the lower and middle 90s across the lowlands Sunday afternoon. This will just be the start of an extended stretch of hot and dry weather on the way. The cooler spots will be the higher elevations of the West Virginia mountains, where temperatures will remain in the 70s and lower 80s during the hottest parts of the day.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 1207 PM Friday...

Confidence in the potential of a heat wave over the region next week is increasing. Models seem to be coming into better agreement regarding the placement of the upper-level ridge axis, which seems to be right over or slightly east of the Appalachian mountains for much of next week. This would provide support for an extended stretch of very hot and dry weather across most of the region, with the exception of the higher elevations, where temperatures will be cooler and isolated thunderstorms may develop. Rain chances next week look minimal at this time, but if the upper-level ridge ends up being farther to the east than what models are currently predicting, then our region could end up cloudier and cooler with more convection. That will be one thing to watch over the coming days with subsequent model runs. However, if our current forecast of largely dry weather pans out, many places will likely see worsening drought conditions throughout the week.

From Monday through next Thursday, highs are projected to reach the upper 90s across the lowlands with heat index values approaching 100 degrees each afternoon. It will be very important to put heat safety into practice next week. This includes drinking plenty of fluids, taking frequent breaks in the air conditioning or the shade whenever possible, checking on the elderly and sensitive groups, and using plenty of sunscreen. Stay tuned for updates as the potential heat wave approaches.

AVIATION /21Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 130 PM Friday...

A weak cold front crosses the area this afternoon and evening spreading mainly clouds and showers. Satellite imagery shows clear skies across most parts of the area early this afternoon.
Clouds will increase in coverage while a few showers and storms develop under the afternoon heat. The heat and humidity will provide bouyancy and weak convection for the most part. Few storms may become strong to severe across the northern sections, possible affecting PKB and CKB where dynamics are stronger.

Convective activity is expected to subside before or during sunset. Few light showers may linger across the mountains into the evening, but all will dissipate early tonight leading to mostly clear skies for many overnight. If the clearing materializes, dense fog will develop over those wet areas overnight into Saturday morning, affecting mainly the northern terminals such as EKN and PKB and other river valleys.

Outside of any t-storms, winds should remain on the lighter side - generally SW-W'ly ahead of the front, and N'ly once it pushes through.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium on timing and coverage of storms this afternoon and evening. As well as for coverage of dense fog overnight into Saturday morning.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Thunderstorms could wind up a bit more widespread than expected. Fog extent and timing tonight may differ from the forecast.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 EDT 1HRLY 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H L HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H M M H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H M M L PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H

AFTER 18Z SATURDAY...
No widespread IFR expected at this time.

RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.




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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KEKN35 sm68 minWSW 0910 smClear82°F61°F48%29.94
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Wind History graph: EKN
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Charleston, WV,




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