Tuesday, May26, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Manitou Springs, CO

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:36AMSunset 8:15PM Tuesday May 26, 2020 11:10 AM MDT (17:10 UTC) Moonrise 8:53AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 21% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manitou Springs, CO
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location: 38.85, -104.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Pueblo, CO
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FXUS65 KPUB 260955 AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 355 AM MDT Tue May 26 2020

SHORT TERM. (Today and tonight) Issued at 338 AM MDT Tue May 26 2020

An upper ridge will be building over the area today and will remain over the area tonight. Dry weather is expected across the area today and tonight and temps will be warmer than yesterday in most locations. Highs are expected to be in the upper 70s to lower 80s across southeast CO, with 70s in the Upper Arkansas and San Luis Valleys, and mostly in the 60s in Teller County. Late this afternoon, breezy conditions in portions of the San Luis Valley, along with humidities below 15% could lead to spotty critical fire weather condition for a short time, it the wind gusts are strong enough. However, the potential critical conditions are not expected to last long enough to warrant a fire weather highlight. Lows tonight should mostly be around to slightly above average.

LONG TERM. (Wednesday through Monday) Issued at 338 AM MDT Tue May 26 2020

Overall, there is decent agreement between the operational model solutions, with some spread showing up next week in the ensembles. Overall, confidence is on the higher side, with the main differences in the finer details.

Wednesday and Thursday . upper level high pressure is forecast to build over the western states on Wednesday with northerly flow centered across Colorado. A strong shortwave trough embedded in the flow will drop south across Colorado Wednesday afternoon and night. This will trigger showers and thunderstorms, initially over the Central Mountains, before spreading them east into the Palmer Divide by Wednesday evening. At the surface, a cold front will drop south across the Plains by Thursday morning. This should provide for upslope flow across the Plains, with showers, and possibly an isolated thunderstorm, late Wednesday night through much of Thursday. Afternoon highs on Wednesday will warm into the mid 80s for much of the lower elevations. On Thursday, cooler afternoon highs are expected with mid to upper 70s across the Plains.

Friday through Tuesday . the high pressure to the west is forecast to track east across Colorado, and into the Central Plains through the weekend into early next week. A couple of upper level disturbances will move across the area Friday and Saturday, with thunderstorms developing each afternoon and evening. With the high pressure aloft over Colorado, steering flows will be weak with little storm motion expected. This should keep most of the thunderstorms anchored to the terrain, with a few possible out into the I-25 corridor Friday and Saturday evenings.

As the upper ridge moves into the Central Plains, flow aloft will increase out of the southwest. Multiple disturbances are forecast to lift northward out of the Desert Southwest and across Colorado. Moisture will also be on the increase, which will lead to higher instability across the region. More widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected Sunday into Tuesday. Initial development is expected over the mountains, and then track east across the Plains during the late evening and overnight hours. Timing and locations will depend highly on individual disturbances lifting north across the area, but look to be almost daily.

Flash flooding on area burn scars will be of concern from Friday through Tuesday. Given expected slow storm movements Friday and Saturday, locally heavy rainfall is possible if a storm should move over a burn scar. Better instability and moisture are expected Sunday into Tuesday, with heavier rainfall rates through this period possible.

Afternoon highs are expected to warm back into the 90s for much of the Eastern Plains for Friday into Tuesday. Mozley

AVIATION. (For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday morning) Issued at 338 AM MDT Tue May 26 2020

VFR conditions are expected today and tonight at KCOS, KPUB and KALS. Winds will be light this morning, becoming generally 10-15 mph in the afternoon, with slightly higher gusts in some locations.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NONE.

SHORT TERM . 28 LONG TERM . MOZLEY AVIATION . 28


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Air Force Academy, CO11 mi12 minNNW 9 G 1710.00 miA Few Clouds67°F20°F17%1013.3 hPa
City Of Colorado Springs Municipal Airport, CO11 mi16 minN 16 G 2110.00 miA Few Clouds70°F24°F18%1012.8 hPa
Fort Carson, CO14 mi72 minN 010.00 miFair64°F31°F29%1015.4 hPa
Meadow Lake Airport, CO20 mi15 minN 16 G 2210.00 miFair65°F21°F19%1020.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCOS

Wind History from COS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN14N8
G15
N13
G22
NE6N4
G18
NW5N5NW8NE7NE7E4N3CalmCalmCalm3CalmCalmN4N53W5NW9
G20
N16
G21
1 day agoSE10E16
G23
N12NW9N11N20N21
G36
N27
G36
NW11
G27
N15
G22
NW17
G24
N14NW13
G25
NW14NW9NW10NW11NW10NW12NW8NW12
G19
N17N14
G19
N9
G17
2 days agoSE9S16
G23
SE14
G23
S19
G31
S25
G31
SW15
G22
SW19
G25
SW19
G26
SW11N16
G22
NW14
G22
N24
G32
N20
G33
NW15
G26
N17
G24
NW15NW11N13NW9NW10NW9NW6NE4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Pueblo, CO (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Pueblo, CO
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.