Sunday, December15, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Manitou Springs, CO

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:08AMSunset 4:39PM Sunday December 15, 2019 6:03 AM MST (13:03 UTC) Moonrise 9:24PMMoonset 11:18AM Illumination 85% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manitou Springs, CO
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location: 38.85, -104.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Pueblo, CO
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FXUS65 KPUB 151142 AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 442 AM MST Sun Dec 15 2019

SHORT TERM. (Today and tonight) Issued at 354 AM MST Sun Dec 15 2019

Upper level jet will be sitting over southern CO today and later in the day and overnight, an upper disturbance will move across southern CO. Precip is already starting to increase over the southern mtns and spreading out over the southern plains. Low and mid level upslope flow develops this afternoon with precip chances increasing over the central mtns, Fremont, Teller and El Paso County. The upslope flow will also lead to high chances for precip and accumulating snow over the Sangre de Cristo and Wet Mountains and the southern I-25 corridor.

The upslope flow is expected to continue through midnight or a little later, with widespread snow expected over the mtns and I-25 corridor and portions of the San Luis Valley. Some snow will also be seen over the far southeast plains, but accumulation still don't look like they will be all that significant.

The areas that should be hardest hit by this storm system include the Sangre de Cristo and Wet Mountains, and the I-25 corridor south of Pueblo. The latest forecast model runs show more significant snow accumulations over western Las Animas County than previous runs had shown, and this is due to stronger upslope flow or longer duration. Thus, will upgrade the Advisory for western Las Animas County to a Warning. Otherwise, the winter weather highlights that are in effect seem reasonable and will not make any other changes.

Late tonight the upper disturbance will move over far eastern CO and the precip will be decreasing from west to east. Thus, the Continental DVD will see snow decrease or end by late night, but the southeast plains should still see high chances for snow thru the night.

LONG TERM. (Monday through Saturday) Issued at 354 AM MST Sun Dec 15 2019

Pretty decent agreement between the operational models with regards to the evolution of the upper pattern. Ensemble spreads become increasingly high beyond Friday, however, they do indicate an upper ridge moving across the region.

Monday . the main upper level trough will be exiting the region to the southeast early in the day, while a secondary quick moving shortwave drops across Colorado through the afternoon. Expect ongoing snow showers across the region Monday morning, clearing to the south and east by mid day. Expect another round of afternoon snow showers, mainly over the Mountains and Palmer Divide during the afternoon and evening, before dissipating by midnight. Additional snow accumulations will remain confined to the Mountain areas withe around 2 inches possible. Lower elevations, mainly over the southern I-25 corridor may see spotty inch accumulations. All snow shower activity will come to an end during the evening hours, with dry conditions prevailing into Tuesday. Cold northerly winds and cloud cover will keep afternoon highs on the cooler side with lower to mid 30s across the region.

Tuesday and Wednesday . high pressure is forecast to move across Colorado through Wednesday. Dry conditions are expected to prevail during this period. Temperatures look to remain cool, with lower 40s on Tuesday, and upper 40s on Wednesday.

Thursday . a quick moving upper disturbance is forecast to move across the state on Thursday. The 00z model solutions were dry across the area, and a quick look at the 06z GFS does spit out a few snow showers over the Central Mountains on Thursday afternoon. Based on the 00z solution, kept the area dry as the trough passes overhead, but a few light snow showers are possible, mainly over the Central Mountains Thursday afternoon and evening.

Friday through Sunday . operational models, with ensemble support, indicate high pressure moving across the Rockies for late in the work week and next weekend. Continued dry conditions are expected. Temperatures will also be warming, with upper 40s on Friday, and mid 50s by Sunday. Mozley

AVIATION. (For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning) Issued at 354 AM MST Sun Dec 15 2019

Low clouds and chances for snow will be found at KCOS, KALS, and KPUB thru the day and into tonight. This morning at KCOS and KPUB there will be scattered showers around the area, but chances for snow increase this afternoon and through the night with IFR or LIFR conditions.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. Winter Storm Warning until 5 PM MST this afternoon for COZ058>061.

Winter Storm Warning from 8 AM this morning to 2 AM MST Monday for COZ072-073-079-080.

Winter Storm Warning from 8 AM this morning to midnight MST tonight for COZ076>078-081>083.

Winter Storm Warning from 8 AM this morning to 8 AM MST Monday for COZ074-075.

Winter Storm Warning from 8 AM this morning to 5 AM MST Monday for COZ086-087.

Winter Weather Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 11 AM MST Monday for COZ094.

Winter Weather Advisory until 2 AM MST Monday for COZ067.

Winter Storm Warning until 2 AM MST Monday for COZ066-068.

Winter Weather Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 2 AM MST Monday for COZ062-063-065-069.

Winter Storm Warning from 8 AM this morning to 11 AM MST Monday for COZ088.

Winter Weather Advisory until midnight MST tonight for COZ064.

Winter Weather Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 9 AM MST Monday for COZ084-085.



SHORT TERM . 28 LONG TERM . MOZLEY AVIATION . 28


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Air Force Academy, CO11 mi66 minN 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy27°F13°F56%1008.1 hPa
City Of Colorado Springs Municipal Airport, CO11 mi70 minN 310.00 miOvercast30°F17°F58%1008.7 hPa
Fort Carson, CO14 mi2.1 hrsS 710.00 miMostly Cloudy24°F21°F92%1011.4 hPa
Meadow Lake Airport, CO20 mi69 minNNE 14 G 2110.00 miOvercast26°F19°F75%1007.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCOS

Wind History from COS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE3S5E4SE73S45S7S7NE3NE8N8NE7W4SE3NE9S7S7W3W3NW64N3NE10
1 day agoE65NW13N13
G22
N8W8NW24
G38
N14N12
G23
NW8N11N14NW5E3NE7N5CalmSE6S6SE9SE7S14S14SE10
2 days agoNE3N8NE8E7E8SE8SE9SE7SE12SE9S5E4E5E3N8--NW7E543W5N6E6SW6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Pueblo, CO (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Pueblo, CO
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.