Thursday, August22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Shady Side, MD

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:24AMSunset 7:53PM Thursday August 22, 2019 10:43 PM EDT (02:43 UTC) Moonrise 10:44PMMoonset 11:55AM Illumination 50% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ532 Chesapeake Bay From Sandy Point To North Beach- 1036 Pm Edt Thu Aug 22 2019
Rest of tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Scattered showers. Scattered tstms late this evening, then isolated tstms.
Fri..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the morning. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun..NE winds 10 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Sun night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..SE winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft. A chance of showers. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 1036 Pm Edt Thu Aug 22 2019
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. A cold front will approach the waters tonight, then stall over the carolinas on Saturday. High pressure will then settle over the area Saturday into Sunday. Small craft advisories are possible over the southern waters Friday night through Sunday .


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Shady Side, MD
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location: 38.86, -76.46     debug


Area Discussion for - Baltimore, MD/Washington
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Fxus61 klwx 230154
afdlwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service baltimore md washington dc
954 pm edt Thu aug 22 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will cross the area late tonight into Friday, then
move into the carolinas over the weekend. Canadian high
pressure will build north of the region over the weekend as low
pressure forms off the southeast coast and slides by near or
east of the area Monday into Tuesday.

Near term until 6 am Friday morning
There is currently ongoing convection over portions of
maryland... Mainly near the baltimore metro area and over the
northern portion of the chesapeake bay. This main area will
continue to move east-southeast away from us with some
lingering showers thunderstorms continuing over the next hours.

A cold front sits to our north and is expected to continue to
move southeastward and into our cwa. This will continue the
chance of scattered showers overnight across portions of the
region. Lows will range through the 60s to low 70s.

Short term 6 am Friday morning through Saturday night
The front will continue its track southward through the day
Friday and likely be nearing the nc va border by the evening.

However strong southwest flow will remain aloft with upper
level energy traversing the region, so rain showers are likely,
especially across central western va, into the mid afternoon
hours. A few thunderstorms with locally heavy rain are possible
as well. Otherwise, mostly cloudy skies and cooler temperatures
are expected. Highs from the upper 70s to around 80f.

Cool and dry air will continue its progression southward into
the region Friday night. Lows will drop into the upper 50s to
mid 60s.

A ridge of high pressure will be in control on Saturday with
mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Lows
Saturday night will once again be in the upper 50s to mid 60s.

Long term Sunday through Thursday
High pressure will be set up across the northeast on Sunday,
resulting in relatively dry and cooler than average temperatures.

Highs will only reach the upper 70s low 80s. With a departing upper
low, and onshore low-level flow, can't rule out a shower or some
drizzle on Sunday.

On Monday and Tuesday, the forecast is a bit murky at this point.

Ridging along the eastern seaboard will lead to the formation of a
stationary front along the east coast. Meanwhile, a weak wave of low
pressure will be moving out of the caribbean and up the southeastern
coast Sunday into Monday, resulting in the formation of a surface
low pressure system somewhere along the southeast coast. This is
actually the disturbance that the national hurricane center has
outlooked for potential development along the east coast. Then, it
is all a matter of where this low tracks, and what form the low
takes. The GFS brings the low relatively close the delmarva
peninsula, meaning more rain for our eastern zones. Meanwhile, the
euro keeps the low farther offshore, but still brings a chance for
showers to eastern areas due to onshore surface flow. To sum this
up, there is a lot of uncertainty in this portion of the forecast
until we start to see the pieces fall into place, which just hasn't
happened yet. But depending on how this coastal low develops (still
some uncertainty if it will become tropical subtropical in nature),
and which direction it moves, the forecast could change drastically
in the coming days. For now, will keep chance pops in the forecast,
with a slight potential for some embedded thunderstorms. Monday and
Tuesday should remain near to slightly below average in terms of
temperatures, with highs in the low 80s.

On Wednesday, showers and thunderstorm chances increase due to an
approaching cold front. This should also push the coastal low off to
the north and east (if it does indeed track up our way). Regardless,
yet another afternoon with showers and storms across the region.

Aviation 02z Friday through Tuesday
MainlyVFR conditions are expected through tonight. Isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms may cause restrictions the
next hours. A cold front will then cross the area late tonight
into early Friday with additional chances for showers and
possibly some MVFR stratus. High pressure builds for the weekend
withVFR returning.

Vfr conditions expected on Monday. A passing shower or light drizzle
may pass over a terminal, primarily in the vicinity of bwi mtn dca,
but shouldn't cause any real issues.

Monday is a bit more tricky, with the potential for a coastal low
riding up the east coast. For now, thinking it is more likely that
we see primarilyVFR conditions. However, if some of the guidance is
correct, we could see a prolonged period of sub-vfr conditions late
Monday into Tuesday. For now, leaning with the drier side of
guidance.

Marine
Gusty showers and thunderstorms are moving across portions of
the waters this evening -some with smws at this moment-.

Otherwise sub-sca conditions are expected through tonight and
Friday. Winds will increase out of the north late Friday and
Friday night and SCA conditions are possible late Friday and
Saturday.

A stiff easterly to northeasterly flow along the chesapeake bay will
bring us close to SCA criteria on both Sunday and Monday afternoon.

Monday is a little more uncertain, as a coastal low may pass nearby,
which could result in stronger winds. Right now, keeping things
close to SCA criteria.

Lwx watches warnings advisories
Dc... None.

Md... None.

Va... None.

Wv... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mm
near term... Mm imr
short term... Mm
long term... Cjl
aviation... Mm imr cjl
marine... Mm imr cjl


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 3 mi43 min NNW 12 G 13 77°F 83°F1014.7 hPa (+2.3)69°F
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 9 mi55 min 76°F 1013 hPa
CPVM2 10 mi55 min 76°F 75°F
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 14 mi133 min S 2.9 83°F 1012 hPa74°F
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 21 mi55 min W 14 G 16 82°F 1014.4 hPa
FSKM2 - 8574728 - Francis Scott Key Bridge, MD 25 mi55 min N 2.9 G 4.1 73°F 1014 hPa
FSNM2 25 mi67 min N 2.9 G 6 71°F 1013.9 hPa
TCBM2 - 8573364 - Tolchester Beach, MD 27 mi61 min NNW 16 G 18 72°F 84°F1016 hPa
BLTM2 - 8574680 - Baltimore, MD 29 mi61 min NNE 5.1 G 7 73°F 85°F1013.7 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 29 mi61 min SW 5.1 G 8 84°F 85°F1013.3 hPa
WASD2 - 8594900 - Washington, DC 30 mi55 min W 5.1 G 8.9
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 32 mi55 min W 9.9 G 19 80°F 1014.1 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 37 mi55 min WSW 8 G 12 79°F 84°F1013.4 hPa
NCDV2 48 mi61 min WSW 7 G 11 76°F 90°F1012.8 hPa

Wind History for Francis Scott Key Bridge NE Tower, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Annapolis, United States Naval Academy, MD8 mi49 minNNW 1110.00 miPartly Cloudy79°F70°F74%1013.7 hPa
Bay Bridge Field, MD11 mi63 minNW 12 G 2510.00 miThunderstorm in Vicinity77°F69°F79%1014.2 hPa
Easton / Newman Field, MD21 mi57 minSSW 510.00 miClear82°F75°F79%1014.9 hPa
Camp Springs / Andrews Air Force Base, MD22 mi47 minSW 710.00 miMostly Cloudy80°F69°F70%1014.3 hPa
Fort Meade / Tipton, MD23 mi61 minN 03.00 miOvercast70°F69°F100%1014.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KESN

Wind History from ESN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--SE4Calm--S4--CalmCalmSW4W5W5SW8W10
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1 day agoCalm------CalmSW3--SE4S5----SW15
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2 days agoCalmCalm--------CalmCalmCalmNE4E8E7NE7NE3CalmNE3S18
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CalmE4Calm--CalmCalmSE6

Tide / Current Tables for Shady Side, West River, Maryland
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Shady Side
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:44 AM EDT     0.71 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:40 AM EDT     1.14 feet High Tide
Thu -- 12:55 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:08 PM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:42 PM EDT     1.43 feet High Tide
Thu -- 11:44 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.210.90.80.70.70.80.911.11.11.10.90.70.50.40.30.40.50.711.31.41.4

Tide / Current Tables for Baltimore Harbor Approach, Maryland Current
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Baltimore Harbor Approach
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:07 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:07 AM EDT     -0.62 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:27 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 10:58 AM EDT     0.39 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 12:55 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 01:31 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:48 PM EDT     -0.60 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 07:47 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:25 PM EDT     0.85 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 11:43 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.40-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.6-0.4-0.10.10.30.40.30.1-0.1-0.4-0.6-0.6-0.5-0.30.10.40.70.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Baltimore, MD/Washington (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.