Sunday, December15, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Russell Springs, KS

Version 3.4
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10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:50AMSunset 5:26PM Sunday December 15, 2019 1:13 AM CST (07:13 UTC) Moonrise 9:08PMMoonset 11:02AM Illumination 87% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Russell Springs, KS
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location: 38.89, -101     debug


Area Discussion for - Goodland, KS
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FXUS63 KGLD 150510 AFDGLD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 1010 PM MST Sat Dec 14 2019

UPDATE. Issued at 920 PM MST Sat Dec 14 2019

Dense freezing fog being reported at KITR presently. Numerous model visibility forecasts support dense freezing fog developing and lasting through about or shortly after sunrise Sunday morning for Cheyenne and Kit Carson counties of Colorado, Sherman, Wallace and Greeley counties of Kansas. Have issued a Dense Fog Advisory as a result.

Not terribly impressed about precipitation chances the rest of the night. Cant rule out something light across the northeast and eastern zones through sunrise before drier air moves in from the northwest putting an end to any chances.

UPDATE Issued at 515 PM MST Sat Dec 14 2019

Numerous model visibility forecasts are advertising freezing fog redeveloping around 03z or 04z continuing through about 12z mainly for areas along and south of the interstate although Cheyenne county Kansas is also included. These areas will see limited chances of snowfall and will have upslope flow with low clouds near the surface. Have added areas of freezing fog for now with visibilities around 1/2 mile possible. Could certainly see dense freezing fog but will wait a bit longer to see if it actually materializes.

SHORT TERM. (This evening through Sunday) Issued at 224 PM MST Sat Dec 14 2019

Forecast focus is on the snow expected across the forecast area staring late this afternoon and continuing through early Monday morning.

One of the difficulties in forecasting for this event is there is not a single low pressure system driving the snow expected across the forecast area. Instead, there are several waves moving through a large scale upper trough that will be moving east of the Rockies and across the Central High Plains region between this evening and Monday. The initial weak short wave trough is moving out of northeast Colorado and southeast Wyoming and eastward across southwest Nebraska and northwest Kansas beginning late this afternoon and continuing through this evening. The next stronger short wave trough moves across a similar area during the day on Sunday with the deeper upper trough expected to move across the region along a more southerly track from southeast Colorado and northeast New Mexico through Western Kansas. The end result is the northern sections of the forecast area will see snow beginning late this afternoon and evening that then transitions to a more southerly track across the southern part of the forecast area on Sunday. While overall QPF and resulting snow amounts have been tapering off with each of the last several model runs, there is currently a band of enhanced snowfall rates moving through the BOU forecast area towards the northwest corner of the GLD forecast area that could produce some impressive snowfall rates if it remains intact over the next several hours. This would necessitate the need for a forecast update to include mainly a greater snowfall amount across the northern sections.

With QPF and snowfall amounts on the decrease, the main area of snowfall remains mainly south of Interstate 70 and over the far east between Norton and Hill City through the weekend with generally around one inch of snow expected in those areas by early Monday morning. Elsewhere north of Interstate 70, locations are looking at one half inch or less of snow. In addition to the snow possibly producing lower visibilities across the area, the potential for areas of fog is showing up in a variety of locations across the forecast area over the next couple of days. Confidence is low at most locations for the formation of the fog with higher confidence in fog showing up around the MCK area tonight.

The main upper trough moves east of the area by late Monday with the upper ridge over the western U.S. moving into the Rockies by Monday night. Temperatures remain cold Sunday and Monday with highs only in the 30s and lows in the teens. Winds are expected to remain mostly light as the surface low that consolidates east of the Rockies on Sunday tracks east through Texas with high pressure remaining at the surface over the Central High Plains Region. Even with mostly light winds, wind chill values do manage to dip down to around zero over eastern Colorado Monday night into early Tuesday morning.

LONG TERM. (Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 130 PM MST Sat Dec 14 2019

Exceptionally quiet in the long term period with no precipitation forecast and temperatures near to slightly above normal. Upper ridge will move across Tuesday and Wednesday. Upper low will kick out of the west on Thursday, but GFS and ECMWF in poor agreement on its track, though neither model is producing much in the way of precipitation. GFS solution would result in windy conditions Thursday and Friday, but otherwise can see little to no impacts. A strong upper ridge rebuilds for the weekend.

AVIATION. (For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night) Issued at 1010 PM MST Sat Dec 14 2019

KGLD, sub vfr cigs/vis expected from taf issuance through about 14z. Winds from the southeast gusting 25kts early becoming 6kts or so after 09z. After 15z vfr conditions return with winds becoming northwest then north at speeds around 10kts, maybe a bit higher in the afternoon.

KMCK, sub vfr cigs expected through the period. Sub vfr vis expected through 13z. winds generally from the east under 10kts at taf issuance becoming light and variable from 14z through the rest of the period.

GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. KS . Dense Fog Advisory until 6 AM MST Sunday for KSZ013-027-041.

CO . Dense Fog Advisory until 6 AM MST Sunday for COZ091-092.

NE . NONE.

UPDATE . 99 SHORT TERM . LOCKHART LONG TERM . 024 AVIATION . 99


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Goodland, Renner Field, KS50 mi20 minSE 70.75 miFog/Mist24°F23°F96%1010.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KGLD

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Last 24hrNW5SW8SW3SW5SW4SW5S5S4S6S13SE14SE13S16SE14
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1 day agoSW9W10W7W9W9NW12NW8W6W11W5W6NW11W11NW30
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2 days agoNW6NW10NW10NW9N7W6W11W7W7W7W6SW6SW6SW11SW8SW7SW7SW10SW6SW11SW10SW9SW10SW12

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Goodland, KS (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Goodland, KS
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.