Russell Springs, KS Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Russell Springs, KS

June 16, 2024 3:29 AM CDT (08:29 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:19 AM   Sunset 9:09 PM
Moonrise 3:10 PM   Moonset 1:46 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Russell Springs, KS
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Area Discussion for - Goodland, KS
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FXUS63 KGLD 160812 AFDGLD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 212 AM MDT Sun Jun 16 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- A few thunderstorms may develop over portions of the area Sunday afternoon, mainly along and north of Interstate 70. An isolated severe storm capable of producing quarter size hail and wind gusts up to 65 mph is possible, should storms develop.

- Temperatures approaching or exceeding 100 degrees are expected across the majority of the Tri-State area on Sunday.
Heat indices approaching 105 degrees are possible along and east of Highway 283.

- Cooler temperatures expected mid-next week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
Issued at 150 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Across the region this afternoon, skies are mostly sunny to sunny, with some scattered cloud cover persisting ahead of a surface trough which is currently sitting over the Highway 27 corridor. Temperatures as of 100 PM MDT are ranging in the 80s with winds southerly gusting to 20-30 mph at times in the east ahead of the trough. Along and behind it, light/variable transitions to west-northwest flow.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are the main wx concerns this weekend in the short term, with some potential for some convection to become strong or severe.

For the rest of the afternoon hrs into tonight, the first area around the 22z-00z timeframe for a 15-20% chance of a few storms developing will be in the small marginal risk area in the E/SE.
This activity will hinge on the speed and positioning of the aforementioned surface trough which currently sits over the western CWA, along with the upper trough which is slowly moving through the CWA Latest CAMs do support best initiation east and southeast of the CWA, but will keep a chance in there for a couple hours before the activity shifts east.

For the evening hours, the focus shifts to the west-northwest where isolated/scattered convection is already forming ahead of a cold front in the central Rockies. CAMs are showing activity increasing towards 22z as it approaches the western portions of our northeast Colorado counties. Instability does drop off some as convection crosses the Colorado border, with soundings showing best threat to be winds as DCape peaks in the 1600-1800j/kg range around the 21z- 00z timeframe. Convection begins to fall apart from 00z-06z Sunday and will continue previous shift's thinking of lowering pops slightly through 06z as any remaining activity dissipates by 12z Sunday. Dry air at the surface should preclude any large hail factors, but small hail can't be ruled out.

Going into Sunday, the front that settles south into the area tonight will stall over the region during the day. Southerly flow at the surface with W/SW flow aloft will create another hot day area- wide. The stalled front will have rw/trw initiating by late afternoon into the early evening hours. The Marginal risk for severe has been expanded to most of the CWA Wind and hail threats are present with any storms that develop as DCape values around 1800- 2000j/kg and SBCape around 1700j/kg. PW values in KS/NE where best convective chances are will increase to an inch plus, throwing in heavy rainfall potential into the threat mix. Precip expected through 06z Monday before tapering off. Strong southerly flow remains overnight, so no big drops for lows expected compared to the last couple nights.

For temps, looking for above normal highs on Sunday with a range in the upper 90s to low 100s. Some locales may be close to tying or even breaking records. Please refer to the Climate section below for area records on this date. With the airmass being dry, looking for heat indices to peak at or below forecasted highs. Overnight lows for tonight will range in the 60s, with warmest areas along/east of Highway 25. For Sunday night, 60s along and west of Highway 27. East of there, upper 60s to mid 70s, warmest along and east of Highway 83.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Issued at 211 AM MDT Sun Jun 16 2024

For the long term, we are looking at the potential for showers and thunderstorms daily for the middle to latter part of the week. As an upper high strengthens along the Mid-Atlantic Coast, the upper low will struggle to move east across the Northwest CONUS. The cold front from Tuesday is expected to lift north as a warm front Wednesday where it will sit over the far northern portions of the area on Thursday as weak shortwaves continue to move over the region and strengthen a lee trough over the Colorado Plains. The best time frame for any showers and storms will be during the afternoon and evening hours Wednesday through Saturday, with potential for showers and storms throughout the day Wednesday.

Temperatures on Wednesday will be quite comfortable with highs in the upper 60s to upper 70s and lows in the 50s to lower 60s.
Thursday will be a bit warmer with highs in the 80s and overnight lows in the 60s. Friday and Saturday continue to warm back up with highs forecast to be in the upper 80s to 90s. Overnight lows on Friday could be in the 60s to lower 70s while Saturday night lows are forecast to fall into the upper 50s to 60s.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
Issued at 1025 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2024

GLD: VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Aside from cirrus associated with decaying convection /convective remnants/ this evening, clear skies will otherwise prevail.
Aside from gusty/erratic winds (~15G25KT) associated with lingering convective outflow this evening, winds will otherwise remain light/variable through sunrise.. shifting to the south at 10-15 knots late Sunday morning and increasing to 15-20 knots Sunday afternoon.

MCK: VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Aside from cirrus associated with decaying convection /convective remnants/ this evening, clear skies will otherwise prevail.
Aside from gusty/erratic winds (~15G25KT) associated with lingering convective outflow this evening, winds will otherwise remain light/variable through early Sunday afternoon.. shifting to the south and increasing to 15-25 knots during the mid-late afternoon.

CLIMATE
Issued at 150 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Near-record to record high temperatures are expected across portions of the area on Sunday June 16. High temperature records for the date (June 16) are listed below.

Location Record (F)

Goodland KS 101 in 2021+ McCook NE 107 in 1946 Hill City KS 112 in 1946 Burlington CO 103 in 1952 Colby KS 107 in 1946 Tribune KS 103 in 1946 Yuma CO 98 in 1995

A (+) denotes a record set on multiple years.

GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...None.
CO...None.
NE...None.




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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KOEL OAKLEY MUNI,KS 18 sm14 minSSW 0710 smClear68°F55°F64%29.78
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Goodland, KS,




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