Hillsboro, MD Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hillsboro, MD

June 14, 2024 7:36 AM EDT (11:36 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:37 AM   Sunset 8:32 PM
Moonrise 12:27 PM   Moonset 12:23 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ540 Eastern Bay- 533 Am Edt Fri Jun 14 2024

.small craft advisory in effect from late tonight through Saturday morning - .

Today - S winds 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Tonight - S winds 10 kt - .becoming ne with gusts to 20 kt in the late evening and overnight. Waves 1 ft. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. Vsby 1 nm or less.

Sat - N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Sat night - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Sun - SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Sun night - S winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Mon - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Tue - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.

ANZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm 545 Am Edt Fri Jun 14 2024

Synopsis - A weak low pressure system will continue to move northeastward away from east central florida into the western atlantic through the weekend, as a weak front moves into the waters. High pressure is forecast to build over the florida peninsula and the adjacent waters late weekend and into early next week. Scattered showers and lightning storms are expected across the waters each day through early next week.

Gulf stream hazards - None.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday, june 13th.
42 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hillsboro, MD
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Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 141046 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 646 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

SYNOPSIS
A cold front approaches today and crosses through late afternoon into tonight. High pressure begins to build later tonight and holds a dominate grasp over the region through the weekend. A warm front lifts through Monday, but more surface high pressure looks to control the region through at least the middle of week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Friday will start off rather tranquil before a round of thunderstorms arrive for the second half of the day. An upper-level trough is forecast to arrive later today, bringing with it a cold front that will push through from west to east this afternoon and evening. While the parent trough is farther north, the southern portion of it has stronger shortwave energy and is timed during peak heating across our region. Ample instability is forecast to be in place (MUCAPE up to 1500 J/Kg) given air temperatures forecast to be in the 80s with even some lower 90s and dew points in the 60s. The model forecast soundings show a well mixed and warm boundary layer in the afternoon and early evening. This results in an inverted-V profile in the lower levels and thus increasing the downdraft instability (DCAPE). Low-level lapse rates are rather favorable as well, with around 9.0 C/km in the 0-3km layer, moderating to around 6.0 C/km in the 3-6km layer. This all said, the limiting factor is expected to be deep layer shear, with rather weak flow in the low and mid levels and stronger winds in the upper levels. The best shear is also displaced north and west of the region with only about 30-40kt of deep layer shear in place ahead of the frontal passage.

Putting this all together, convection is forecast to develop to our northwest and west and then propagate east and southeastward during the afternoon and evening along and ahead of the cold front. While coverage and timing does vary some among the guidance suite, convection should organize into a few clusters or a broken line as it shifts into and across our area, with this possibly weakening near and especially south and east of I-95. This will depend on the timing as southerly flow ahead of the convection and front will bring some marine influence into portions of the coastal plain.
Locally damaging winds are the main severe weather threat especially with stronger cores aloft (along with some mid level dry air)
enhancing the downdraft/downburst potential. Freezing levels look to be on the higher side, however some hail cannot be ruled out with some stronger updrafts. The precipitable water values are forecast to be approaching 2 inches for a time ahead of the cold front, and therefore high rainfall rates should occur with the strongest convection for a time. The flash flooding risk however looks to be low overall as storms should be on the move, however there is a non- zero risk focused across mostly our northern and western zones. SPC maintains a Slight Risk for severe weather for areas north and west of the I-95 corridor and a Marginal Risk elsewhere.

The convection looks to be shifting offshore or weakening during the evening hours with the severe thunderstorm risk ending. Some drier air then starts to arrive from the northwest in the wake of the cold front by later Friday night with at least some partial clearing also starting to arrive. Overnight lows will cool into the upper 50s to mid 60s.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
Surface high pressure will dominate over the region for the duration of the short term; a dry and quiet forecast is on tap for the weekend.

Not much to write home about regarding this forecast! Highs mainly in the low to mid 80s for Saturday; highs just a bit warmer for Sunday, by about 1-2 degrees. Very comfortable RHs expected for both days with plenty of sunshine. Overall, a stellar weekend!

A sea-breeze will likely develop on Sunday given the weak synoptic flow in the forecast. This sea-breeze could penetrate well in-land by the late afternoon into evening hours.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Summary...Hot but mainly dry forecast.

The synoptic pattern and evolution is nearly certain for the long term. An upper-level ridge over the eastern CONUS Monday will build to the north with time. By the Wednesday time frame, the strong ridge will look to be centered directly over the northeastern CONUS and will likely stay in place for quite a bit. The ensembles suggest it is not until around the time frame of Friday that the ridge and its associated axis will begin to break down a bit.

Overall, heights will only build over the region with time Monday onwards. We could see heights of 594-600 dam over us for Wednesday.
At the surface level, high pressure centered offshore Monday will move eastward with time as a warm front lifts over the region. Even still, surface high pressure looks to largely control the region through the duration of the term. Though some rounds of shortwave energy may pester the region for much of the week, any precipitation development should be largely suppressed given the pattern.

We are mainly looking at a dry forecast into Thursday with temperatures potentially getting warming each day. High temperatures may touch the low 90s for Monday, but widespread highs in the 90s should be anticipated at this point for Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. It is still a little too early to really discuss any potential for heat headlines at this point, but the potential will only grow with time as the week progresses.

AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Friday...VFR for much of the time, however sub-VFR conditions possible later in the afternoon and evening as showers and thunderstorms move through with a cold front. South to southwest winds around 10 knots, becoming west later in the afternoon at KRDG and KABE. Brief restrictions likely as the line of showers/thunderstorms move through. Some storms could result in variable, gusty winds as well. TEMPO groups added this update to reflect the risk of sub-VFR visibilities from heavy rain and gusty winds from strong thunderstorms. Moderate confidence in impacts from storms. Low confidence in timing.

Friday Night...Restrictions likely (60-70%) as a cold front moves through. Some showers possible behind the initial line of showers/thunderstorms. Westerly winds will become more northerly with the frontal passage, around 5-10 kt. Low confidence.

Outlook...

Saturday through Tuesday...VFR with no significant weather.

MARINE
Through Friday, the conditions are anticipated to remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria. Southerly winds should be the strongest at times across the northern New Jersey coastal waters and possibly up Delaware Bay. However, given much warmer air moving over the cooler waters, mixing should be more limited and since it looks marginal opted to keep the conditions below advisory criteria. Some showers and thunderstorms should arrive late Friday afternoon and Friday night, and some storms could produce locally gusty winds. Winds turn more northerly around 10 kts Friday night behind the frontal passage. Seas linger around 2-4 feet.

Outlook...

Saturday through Tuesday...No marine headlines expected. Fair weather.

Rip Currents...
On Friday, south winds increase to around 15 mph with 20 to 25 mph gusts. The flow will be a bit more onshore for most of New Jersey as opposed to Delaware. Additionally, guidance shows a 2 ft 9-10 second longer period swell from the SE to SSE developing by the afternoon. As a result, there is a MODERATE risk for the development of dangerous rip currents for New Jersey beaches where the coastline is more perpendicular or oblique to the longer period swell. LOW risk for the development of dangerous rip currents for the Delaware beaches. Breaking waves will be around 2 to 3 feet.

Winds turn offshore for Saturday, with a LOW risk for rip currents everywhere.

For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 23 mi49 minSSW 9.9G13 74°F 76°F29.93
CPVM2 24 mi49 min 74°F 68°F
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 26 mi37 minS 13G15 74°F 29.94
44063 - Annapolis 27 mi31 minS 7.8G9.7 73°F 74°F3 ft
TCBM2 - 8573364 - Tolchester Beach, MD 27 mi49 minSSW 8.9G15 74°F 77°F29.90
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 29 mi49 minS 5.1G7 74°F 79°F29.90
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 34 mi31 minSSW 14G18 71°F 74°F1 ft
FSKM2 - 8574728 - Francis Scott Key Bridge, MD 38 mi49 minSSW 4.1G5.1 71°F
HWPM2 38 mi49 minSSW 5.1G7
CBCM2 39 mi49 minWSW 2.9G5.1 72°F 74°F29.8867°F
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 41 mi67 minSSE 4.1 71°F 29.8967°F
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 41 mi49 minS 16G18 73°F 29.91
BLTM2 - 8574680 - Baltimore, MD 42 mi49 minS 1G2.9 74°F 74°F
SJSN4 - 8537121 - Ship John Shoal, NJ 42 mi49 minS 12G15 73°F 29.91
BRND1 - 8555889 - Brandywine Shoal Light, DE 45 mi49 minSSW 14G16 70°F 29.93
CHCM2 - 8573927 - Chesapeake City, MD 45 mi49 minSW 1.9G2.9 72°F 78°F29.90
LWSD1 - 8557380 - Lewes, DE 45 mi49 minSSW 7G12 73°F 62°F29.93
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 47 mi49 minSSW 16G18 75°F 76°F29.94
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 47 mi49 minSW 15G17 73°F 77°F29.91


Wind History for Cambridge, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KESN EASTON/NEWNAM FIELD,MD 9 sm46 minS 1010 smClear73°F68°F83%29.91
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KESN
   
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Wind History graph: ESN
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Wayman Wharf, Tuckahoe Creek, Choptank River, Maryland
   
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Wayman Wharf
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Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 01:23 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:23 AM EDT     3.10 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:19 AM EDT     1.58 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:26 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:16 PM EDT     2.98 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:34 PM EDT     1.05 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Wayman Wharf, Tuckahoe Creek, Choptank River, Maryland, Tide feet
12
am
2.5
1
am
2.9
2
am
3.1
3
am
3.1
4
am
2.8
5
am
2.4
6
am
2
7
am
1.7
8
am
1.6
9
am
1.6
10
am
1.8
11
am
2.1
12
pm
2.5
1
pm
2.8
2
pm
3
3
pm
2.9
4
pm
2.6
5
pm
2.2
6
pm
1.7
7
pm
1.3
8
pm
1.1
9
pm
1.1
10
pm
1.3
11
pm
1.7


Tide / Current for Baltimore Harbor Approach, Maryland Current
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Baltimore Harbor Approach
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Fri -- 12:13 AM EDT     0.74 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 01:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:43 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:25 AM EDT     -0.46 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 09:16 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 12:07 PM EDT     0.46 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 01:28 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:48 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:19 PM EDT     -0.74 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 08:32 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:35 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Baltimore Harbor Approach, Maryland Current, knots
12
am
0.7
1
am
0.7
2
am
0.5
3
am
0.2
4
am
-0.1
5
am
-0.3
6
am
-0.5
7
am
-0.4
8
am
-0.3
9
am
-0.1
10
am
0.2
11
am
0.4
12
pm
0.5
1
pm
0.4
2
pm
0.2
3
pm
-0.1
4
pm
-0.4
5
pm
-0.6
6
pm
-0.7
7
pm
-0.7
8
pm
-0.5
9
pm
-0.2
10
pm
0.1
11
pm
0.5


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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Dover AFB, DE,




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