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ANZ532 Chesapeake Bay From Sandy Point To North Beach- 333 Pm Est Sat Dec 2 2023
Rest of this afternoon..SE winds 5 kt. Waves flat. A slight chance of showers.
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Showers. Areas of dense fog. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming W in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. Showers. Areas of dense fog. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming e. Waves 1 ft. Rain likely in the evening. A chance of rain after midnight.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of rain in the morning.

ANZ500 333 Pm Est Sat Dec 2 2023
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay..
low pressure will slide by to the north today. A stronger frontal system looks to cross the waters Sunday into Monday. Another area of low pressure may impact the area Tuesday into Wednesday. High pressure returns to the waters by late next week. Small craft advisories may be needed early next week.

FXUS61 KLWX 021903 AFDLWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 203 PM EST Sat Dec 2 2023

SYNOPSIS
Low pressure will move overhead Sunday bringing renewed rain chances. The associated cold front will move through Sunday afternoon. A stronger cold front will pass through the area late Tuesday night. High pressure builds for the second half of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
High clouds continue to advect in from the southwest while this morning's low clouds continue to linger for some locales east of I-95. The low clouds are expected to continue to lift through the afternoon. A mild day is in store with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s. Dry conditions are favored through the daylight hours, with rain chances gradually increasing through the evening.

Rain will persist most of the overnight with low pressure moving toward the area. This will be a steadier and more moderate rain than what was observed Friday. Overall amounts will be in the quarter to half inch range. Guidance continues to have widespread areas of dense fog and low clouds tonight and lasting into Sunday. Almost all guidance has the fog more widespread tonight across the entire CWA. Additional Dense Fog Advisories may be needed late tonight.

Much above normal lows tonight with temps only falling into the 40s to near 50.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
Guidance continues to bring the low overhead during the day on Sunday. In turn, this will result in the mid-level dry slot moving through. Latest soundings and forecasts have low-level convergence and moisture trapped below the dry layer. Thinking is light drizzle or showers will persist through most of the day. Areas NE of the Potomac River will experience the rain/drizzle the longest with more moisture in place. Sunday is likely a dreary and damp day for nearly everyone. Temps will be in the 50s to near 60, so not chilly by seasonal norms.

Low pressure will move off to the northeast Sunday night with rapidly clearing skies expected. The exception will be west of the Allegheny Front where clouds will linger and conditions will be favorable for upslope rain showers Sunday night into Monday.
Temperatures will cool Monday night into the low 30s allowing for snow to start to mix in. Overall accumulations will be light during this time (less than one-half inch for most) given less than favorable thermal profiles and more-so westerly winds.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
A clipper low located over the Great Lakes region Tuesday morning will have moved over our area and tracked offshore by Wednesday morning. The low and associated cold front will bring both precipitation and much cooler air to the forecast area. On Tuesday, high temperatures will be in the low 40s to low 50s with those along and west of the Alleghenies staying in the mid to upper 30s. Behind the cold front, temperatures on Wednesday will top out in the mid to upper 40s for most with higher elevations in the low to mid 30s.
Most of the area will see rain as the precipitation type with higher elevations seeing a transition from rain to snow Tuesday night.Westerly winds will bring a prolonged period of upslope snow to the Alleghenies through Wednesday night.

By Thursday morning, conditions dry out areawide as high pressure builds to our south. Colder temperatures remain throughout the day with high temperatures topping out in the 40s. Temperatures begin to moderate slightly as high pressure pivots off the east coast on Friday. Conditions will remain dry through Friday, but westerly winds will lead to a slight chance for some upslope precipitation for those west of the Alleghenies.

AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Low CIGs and reduced VSBYs east of I-95 will continue to gradually improve through the afternoon. Widespread rain showers arrive again around 00Z with next low pressure system. Expect widespread areas of LIFR cigs and vsbys to develop late tonight as the rain lifts northeast. Expect IFR/LIFR cigs all day Sunday with areas of drizzle. Skies begin to clear Sunday night as WNW to NW winds strengthen.

VFR conditions will prevail Monday with winds out of the NW at 5-10 kts.

Sub-VFR conditions are possible on Tuesday as an area of low pressure approaches and moves through the area bringing precipitation. Conditions improve to VFR at all terminals by Wednesday afternoon as high pressure builds in.

MARINE
Winds will likely remain below SCA through Monday. While winds aloft will strengthen Sunday, warm air blowing over cooler waters should inhibit stronger winds aloft from mixing down toward the surface. Dense marine fog is possible tonight through Sunday, especially along the shorelines.

Southerly winds on Tuesday will shift to northwesterly in the wake of a cold front on Wednesday. Winds will likely stay below SCA criteria on Tuesday before increase to SCA criteria on Wednesday.

LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DC...None.
MD...None.
VA...None.
WV...None.
MARINE...None.

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Rhode River (County Wharf)
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Sat -- 02:55 AM EST     0.25 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:06 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:41 AM EST     0.70 feet High Tide
Sat -- 11:41 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 01:16 PM EST     0.00 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:44 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 08:29 PM EST     1.19 feet High Tide
Sat -- 09:37 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Rhode River (County Wharf), Maryland, Tide feet

Baltimore Harbor Approach
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Sat -- 02:43 AM EST     -0.99 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 06:31 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:06 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:09 AM EST     0.52 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 11:40 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 12:08 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:38 PM EST     -0.39 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 04:43 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:01 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:41 PM EST     0.81 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 09:36 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:57 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Baltimore Harbor Approach, Maryland Current, knots

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