Friday, August23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oakbrook, KY

Version 3.4
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7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:58AMSunset 8:24PM Friday August 23, 2019 7:39 AM EDT (11:39 UTC) Moonrise 11:54PMMoonset 1:32PM Illumination 46% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oakbrook, KY
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location: 38.93, -84.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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Fxus61 kiln 231052
afdiln
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
652 am edt Fri aug 23 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will usher in drier and cooler air to the region
today as high pressure gradually builds into the great lakes
region by tonight into Saturday. Moisture will make a return
northward into the area late Sunday and into Monday as a digging
system across the mid-missouri valley helps usher in warmer and
more humid conditions for the start of the next workweek.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Subtle low level convergence coupled with a strung-out midlevel
disturbance progressing east through the region has allowed for
widespread showers to form this morning -- mainly near and south
of the i-71 corridor. Have added categorical pops to account for
recent radar trends. And with sufficient forcing amidst a
fairly saturated low level environment, shower coverage across
the southern southeastern third of the iln fa will be maintained
or even increase through sunrise as the much anticipated cold
front slowly sags south -- helping gradually shunt the most
widespread pcpn further and further south through the early mid
morning hours. Anticipate that most if not all of the showers
will be south of the ohio river by the noontime hour, with
lingering pcpn across perhaps lewis and robertson counties in ky
through mid- afternoon before drier air finally moves in for
the remaining portions of the local area.

But before we can arrive at drier conditions, the aforementioned
showers may yield between one quarter and one half of an inch
of rain from parts of ripley county, in through hocking county,
oh and points south through about noon. The best chance for
closer to half of an inch of rain will likely be along and just
south of the ohio river from near gallatin county, ky to
perhaps scioto county, ohio. These areas will also be the last
to clear out this afternoon -- meaning that highs initially
will be held in check near the ohio river through at least the
first part of the afternoon. The clearing line will drift south
through midday, so even southern spots may see a late afternoon
jump in temps before diurnal cooling begins toward sunset this
evening. And with this in mind, think that the warmest temps for
this afternoon will fall perhaps across the center part of the
cwa (in spots that will clear out quicker but not have the
cooler air filtering in quite yet). Highs in the mid 70s are
expected north of i-70 and in parts of northern ky while temps
will top out in the upper 70s to near 80 degrees in
southeastern in, southwestern ohio through southern parts of
central oh.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Saturday
High pressure will build into the great lakes region tonight
into Saturday, providing abundant sunshine, low humidity, and
seasonably mild temperatures. Lows tonight will drop into the
lower to upper 50s from north to south. Many spots have not seen
such temperatures since mid-june. Meanwhile highs will rebound
to the mid upper 70s on Saturday. Better moisture return ahead
of the next system will hold off until after the conclusion of
the short term period.

Long term Saturday night through Thursday
High pressure centered over the northeast united states Saturday
night will continue to shift off to the east through the day on
Sunday. This will allow for some return flow to begin to set up
across the mid ohio valley through the day on Sunday and into Sunday
night. Temperatures will begin to rebound a bit through the day on
Sunday with afternoon highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

We will start to see an increase in moisture in developing low level
southerly southwesterly flow Sunday night and Monday. Meanwhile,
ridging aloft will also begin to break down through Sunday night as
mid level energy embedded in a broader mid upper level trough shifts
east across the mid mississippi valley and into the great lakes
region Monday through Tuesday. This will lead to an increasing
chance of showers and thunderstorms, initially across our west later
Sunday night and then across our entire area Monday into Monday
night. The trough axis will shift off to the east Tuesday into
Tuesday night, leading to a decreasing chance of showers.

High pressure and a drier airmass will settle across the region
Wednesday into Thursday. High temperatures will generally remain in
the upper 70s to lower 80s through the remainder of the long term
period.

Aviation 12z Friday through Tuesday
A corridor of scattered showers stretching from southeastern in
through south-central oh will continue to slowly shift
southeast through the first several hours of the period. Some
brief MVFR vsbys associated with a heavier shra cannot be
completely ruled out at kcvg and kluk through the first hour or
so of the period, but expect a trend toward generally drier
conditions past about 14z at even southern sites.

Numerous individual cloud decks are present across the
immediate area as of 12z, with the lowest CIGS coincident with
the heaviest shra activity. Nevertheless, the mix of 1000ft and
2000ft CIGS currently meandering about kcvg and kluk will
gradually trend towardVFR past about 15z as the better low
level moisture gets shunted south east. SctVFR clouds will
persist through the heart of the afternoon hours -- particularly
for kcvg, kluk, and kiln before clearer skies evolve towards
early evening. And other than a few passing cirrus, skc is
expected for all terminals tonight through early Saturday
morning.

Northeast winds of about 10kts this afternoon will gradually
subside past sunset this evening. While the gradient will not
relax completely, could see some MVFR vsbys towards sunrise
Saturday at vulnerable locations (area river valleys) including
kluk.

Outlook... Thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Iln watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Ky... None.

In... None.

Synopsis... Kc
near term... Kc
short term... Kc
long term... Jgl
aviation... Kc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport, KY9 mi2.8 hrsNNE 1410.00 miLight Rain70°F66°F87%1015.6 hPa
Cincinnati, Cincinnati Municipal Airport Lunken Field, OH20 mi1.8 hrsNNE 810.00 miLight Rain67°F64°F93%1016.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCVG

Wind History from CVG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE5W4W8----W7SW8W3W10W5NW5N5--N4--------------NE14--NE11
1 day agoSW3----NW10W4SW7W10NW8--NW8NW10NW10NW9N6Calm----S5----------NW3
2 days agoCalmS4CalmS4W7SW7SW6SW3S12
G17
----CalmS8S5------------------SW6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.