Wednesday, February19, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Cape May Point, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 5:42PM Wednesday February 19, 2020 9:06 AM EST (14:06 UTC) Moonrise 5:20AMMoonset 2:56PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ431 Delaware Bay Waters South Of East Point Nj To Slaughter Beach De- 626 Am Est Wed Feb 19 2020
Today..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves around 3 ft until late afternoon, then 2 ft or less. A slight chance of showers early this morning.
Tonight..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft or less.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 ft or less.
Thu night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 ft or less.
Fri..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 3 ft in the morning, then 2 ft or less.
Fri night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 2 ft or less.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the morning. Waves 2 ft or less.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 ft or less.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 ft or less.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 ft or less. A chance of rain after midnight.
ANZ400 626 Am Est Wed Feb 19 2020
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. Low pressure will move through to our north tonight through Wednesday dragging a cold front through the region. High pressure builds in behind the front and dominates through the weekend. The next low pressure system looks to affect the region early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cape May Point , NJ
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location: 38.95, -74.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 190906 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 406 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2020

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure will move through to our north tonight through Wednesday dragging a cold front through the region. High pressure builds in behind the front and dominates through the weekend. The next low pressure system looks to affect the region early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. The cold front has pushed offshore of southern Delmarva, and with it the first band of light precipitation. A secondary band has developed upstream near a region of 925mb FGEN and this may keep some light rain hanging around for a couple more hours in Delmarva and southern NJ. Otherwise the mid and high lvl cloud deck will continue to push offshore through the morning hours with most areas becoming mostly sunny by mid to late morning (apart from maybe far southern Delmarva).

Today will be dry as cold and strong (>1045 mb) High Pressure over the Upper Midwest begins to exerts its influence over our area. Although there will be continued cold advection in WNW flow, abundant sunshine and cooling aloft should promote efficient mixing. Expect highs to reach near or just above climo, ranging from the mid to upper 30s in the Poconos to near 50 over Delmarva. Generally expect mostly sunny skies apart from some passing cirrus, and possibly some stratocumulus over primarily the Poconos.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY/. A dry night is expected under continued cold advection. Despite the cooling airmass and mostly clear skies, the radiational cooling potential will be tempered somewhat by persistent (albeit light) NW winds. Consequently expect near-climo overnight lows, ranging from the upper teens in the Poconos to the upper 20s in Delmarva.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Quiet weather dominates the rest of the week as the region sits under and area of broad high pressure. Expect clouds to increase over the region Thursday as a low pressure system slides to our south. Models have trended further north with the system but not appreciable enough to warrant increasing precip chances any higher than 20-30% across DelMarVa. Clouds clear Thursday night as the winds decouple and temps should fall rapidly especially west of the I95 corridor. Anticipate temps in the single digits for eastern PA and northwestern NJ. Winds become more southerly heading into Friday as modest warm air advection begins and the zonal flow aloft breaks down. High pressure crests over the weekend with no precip expected through Sunday afternoon.

The next chance for showers arrives Monday as a surface low pressure system and vertically stacked cutoff upper level low form over the OK panhandle and dive south into the southern plains before lifting into the Mid Atlantic. Rainfall associated with northward moving warm front should start to impact the region as early as Monday afternoon but potentially as late as Tuesday morning given the spread in the medium ranged guidance. There's considerable agreement in a system forming however there's a lot to be desired in terms of intensity and timing. Brief high pressure returns behind that system in the form of an upper level ridge and then the rest of next week looks a bit more active. Dont get your hopes up too high but the EC and EC ensembles bring a clipper system through the region late in the week.

AVIATION /09Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight . VFR conditions continue early this evening except RDG where some light rain and light fog is producing MVFR conditions. As a cold front moves across the area, light rain showers will increase across the area, temporarily leading lower ceilings and visibilities at times. Latest guidance indicates that all areas will only lower to MVFR, so we removed the IFR conditions from the ABE and RDG forecast. The cold front will slowly moves offshore late tonight and through daybreak Wednesday, and showers will end from west to east behind the front and all areas will return to VFR. Moderate to high confidence on overall conditions.

There is a warm front draped across portions of northeast Pennsylvania into central New Jersey this evening. This front will be slow to lift northward, before the cold front finally moves into the area. North of this boundary, winds are either light and variable or northeast around 5 knots. South of this warm front, winds are mostly south to southwest. Once the cold front moves across the area, winds will shift to the northwest and become gusty 15-20 knots. High confidence on winds.

Wednesday . VFR conditions will continue through the day Wednesday and lower clouds will lift through the day and give way to high level clouds. Winds will remain northwest and gusty 15-20 knots, before diminishing toward sunset. High confidence.

Outlook .

Thursday through Thursday night . VFR ceilings with possible MVFR ceilings for RDG and ABE will give way to clearing skies Thursday night. Northwesterly winds will be 5-10kts with gusts up to 15kt during the predawn hours Friday.

Friday through Sunday Night . VFR with northwesterly winds from 5 to 10 knots shifting to westerly Saturday and southwesterly by Sunday. High confidence.

MARINE. Today . Initial seas in the 4-5 ft range should decrease into the 3- 4 ft. range by this afternoon. NW wind gusts approaching 25 kts may be possible this morning, before dropping off to 15-20 kts later in the day.

Tonight . Sub-SCA conditions expected with 2-3 ft seas and NW winds 10-15kts

Outlook .

Thursday . Northwest winds generally becoming northerly through the day. Speeds will generally be around 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Seas generally 2 to 4 feet or less.

Thursday night through Friday . SCA conditions expected with possible Gale force wind gusts overnight as northerly winds will become sustained 20 to 25kts with gusts up to 35kts possible during the predawn hours Friday morning. Seas 1-3 feet Thursday night increasing to 2-4 feet Friday.

Friday night through Sunday . Below SCA conditions expected as seas subside to 1 to 3 feet and offshore winds remain 10 to 20kts diminishing by Sunday.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST early this morning for ANZ450>455.

Synopsis . Deal Near Term . Carr Short Term . Carr Long Term . Deal Aviation . Carr/Deal Marine . Carr/Deal


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CMAN4 - 8536110 - Cape May, NJ 1 mi48 min 44°F 44°F1024 hPa
BRND1 - 8555889 - Brandywine Shoal Light, DE 8 mi54 min 1024.4 hPa
LWSD1 - 8557380 - Lewes, DE 14 mi48 min 45°F 44°F1024.7 hPa
SJSN4 - 8537121 - Ship John Shoal, NJ 33 mi48 min 43°F 45°F1025 hPa
44009 - DELAWARE BAY 26 NM Southeast of Cape May, NJ 37 mi76 min NW 14 G 18 46°F 48°F3 ft1019.4 hPa (+3.3)
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 41 mi48 min 45°F 43°F1024 hPa
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 43 mi54 min 46°F 45°F1024.7 hPa
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 49 mi96 min WNW 5.1 44°F 1023 hPa32°F

Wind History for Cape May, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wildwood, Cape May County Airport, NJ6 mi70 minVar 610.00 miOvercast44°F35°F71%1024 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KWWD

Wind History from WWD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE9SE12SE9S9S7S10S9S6S7SW4SW5SW3W4W5Calm----NW5NW7NW7
G15
NW5NW56NW8
1 day agoNE11E12E9NE8E8E5E5E6E4CalmE4NE4E3NE4N4E4E6E6E6E8E9E7E8E9
2 days agoSW8SW8W8W6W3S6SE5S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4N4N3N8NE10

Tide / Current Tables for Cape May Point, Sunset Beach, Delaware Bay, New Jersey
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Cape May Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:19 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:30 AM EST     5.12 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:46 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:47 AM EST     0.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:56 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 05:41 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:57 PM EST     3.82 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:36 PM EST     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.61.42.63.74.65.15.14.53.52.21.10.40.20.61.32.23.13.63.83.62.81.80.80.1

Tide / Current Tables for Delaware Bay Entrance, Delaware Current
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Delaware Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:14 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:18 AM EST     1.43 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 04:19 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:46 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:46 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:19 AM EST     -1.34 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 01:31 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 01:56 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 04:03 PM EST     1.08 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 05:41 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:05 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 10:25 PM EST     -1.07 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.20.51.11.41.310.4-0.1-0.6-1-1.3-1.3-0.9-0.30.30.91.10.90.50-0.4-0.8-1-1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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