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Marine Weather and Tides Woodstock, VA Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:24AM

Sunset 8:10PM

Friday August 14, 2020 7:20 AM EDT (11:20 UTC)

Moonrise 12:44AM

Moonset 3:55PM

Illumination 20%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Woodstock, VA

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Area Discussion for - Baltimore, MD/Washington

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FXUS61 KLWX 140752 AFDLWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 352 AM EDT Fri Aug 14 2020

SYNOPSIS. A surface front will meander over the region through the weekend, bringing showers and thunderstorms each day. Low pressure will develop on this front and move across the region Saturday night into Sunday. High pressure will then briefly return early next week before an unsettled pattern likely returns by the middle of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. Seeing several showers that have developed over central VA and along the Chesapeake Bay. This is associated with onshore flow north of a deepening surface low along the NC coast. These are progressive enough that flooding is not a concern at this point with this shower activity.

Elsewhere across the area, mostly cloudy skies have prevailed, and will continue to do so through daybreak. Some patchy fog seems to be trying to develop in a few spots, but visibilities aren't dropping all that much. Thinking the cloud cover will keep fog coverage fairly low as we head into sunrise.

For the rest of today, a frontal boundary to our north will drop south through the area today. Meanwhile, a slow moving upper low will be approaching from the west. This will lead to more showers and storms today, especially into the afternoon hours. Hi-res guidance doesn't paint an ominous picture today, with QPF amounts much lighter than in previous days on the 00z HREF. Additionally, any showers/storms should be relatively progressive (as we are seeing this morning). Of course, given the antecedent conditions across a majority of the area, will have to watch for any heavier elements that may try to train along the front itself. However, with the front actually moving today, think this will be harder to do.

A brief lull in activity is possible overnight tonight for much of the area, though do expect lingering showers overnight in central VA and eastern WV. Overnight lows into the upper 60s/low 70s (upper 50s to low 60s in the higher elevations).

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. On Saturday, the slow-moving upper trough over the Ohio Valley will finally swing through the region. Additionally, at the surface, the aforementioned frontal boundary will remain over central VA. Meanwhile, a surface low will develop east of the upper trough and latch onto this front. This will result in low pressure moving just to the south of the region later Saturday into early Sunday. The track may move right over some of our southern zones. Onshore flow associated with this system could lead to locally enhanced rainfall along the ridges and in the Potomac Highlands. Guidance then takes the low across southern MD into the Delmarva overnight, while also gradually strengthening it. Rainfall amounts could also be locally be enhanced from central Virginia to southern Maryland, where they'll stand the best chance of destabilizing and developing some convective elements. With the continued clouds and storms, highs will continue to be in the 80s. Lows will be in the 60s to 70s.

All this being said, looking at a potential for flooding Saturday/Saturday night. Current forecast shows 2-3 inches of rain with this system across central VA and into southern MD. Some locally higher amounts are likely with convective elements and upslope flow. Given the recent heavy rains, it isn't going to take much to cause more flooding issues.

By Sunday morning, the low should be pushing off to the east, taking the rain with it. Some guidance is a little slower however, so leaving some POPs in through the early afternoon. Though, do think there is a good shot we are dry by early afternoon. Sunday will be much cooler than normal, with highs in the mid to upper 70s (low 80s closer to the water). Just hope we can get the rain out of here early enough to enjoy it. Sunday night will be dry, with lows ranging from the mid 50s in the higher elevations to upper 60s in the typical normal areas along the waters.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Troughiness will dominate the East Coast states the first half of next week keeping temps aob normal. There will be drying for the first part of the week as NW flow develops in the wake of low pressure organizing offshore. By the middle of the week, moisture begins to increase as sfc high moves offshore and srly flow develops. However, moisture supply is not expected to be anywhere close to the past few days, so the risk of excessive rainfall appears low at this time. Ridging tries to build along the East Coast for the second half of next week likely limiting areal coverage of showers and t-storms.

AVIATION /07Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Currently seeing plenty of lower clouds this morning thanks to plentiful low-level moisture flowing into the area in onshore flow. Fog will struggle to form this morning though, with very little in terms of clearing and winds of 5-10 kts. IFR conditions will persist through 13z or so for most terminals due to low CIGs. Clouds will gradually lift through the day, but likely remain MVFR much of the day. Showers and storms possible again today, but confidence too low in exact placement to add into TAFs at this time. Do think the best shot will be for CHO/MRB though.

More significant chance for rainfall will move into the region Saturday afternoon and continue through early Sunday, as low pressure tracks along a stationary front to our south. Locally heavy rain is possible with this system, and potentially some embedded thunderstorms (primarily towards CHO). VSBY/CIG restrictions likely during this time.

Conditions begin to clear later in the day on Sunday, as low pressure pushes off to the east, with high pressure building in behind it and VFR conditions returning.

No sig wx expected the first half of next week.

MARINE. Generally sub-SCA conditions expected on the waters through Saturday. Main concern each day will be thunderstorms, primarily during the afternoon hours, though some may develop during the mornings. Gusty winds and even a few waterspouts will be possible with stronger storms.

Onshore flow is expected to persist Sunday, and may be near Small Craft Advisory (SCA) levels.

SCA conditions possible Monday morning. Otherwise, winds should diminish through time next week.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. Minor coastal flooding is possible late Sat night and Sun as onshore flow strengthens as low pressure passes to the south.

LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. DC . None. MD . None. VA . None. WV . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . CJL NEAR TERM . CJL SHORT TERM . CJL/KJP LONG TERM . LFR AVIATION . LFR/CJL MARINE . LFR/CJL TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . LFR

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
WASD2 - 8594900 - Washington, DC	86 mi	51 min	NE 4.1 G 7	75°F			1015.4 hPa

Wind History for Washington, DC

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1 day ago

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure

Link to 5 minute data for KW45

Wind History from W45 (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Aquia Creek, Virginia

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Tide / Current Tables for Fredericksburg, Rappahannock River, Virginia

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Baltimore, MD/Washington (7,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Sterling, VA

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