Friday, August23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Centreville, MD

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:23AMSunset 7:49PM Friday August 23, 2019 8:17 PM EDT (00:17 UTC) Moonrise 11:19PMMoonset 12:56PM Illumination 40% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ539 Chester River To Queenstown Md- 742 Pm Edt Fri Aug 23 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from 3 am edt Saturday through Saturday morning...
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt until late afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon night..E winds 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tue..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed..SW winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 742 Pm Edt Fri Aug 23 2019
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. High pressure will settle north of the waters this weekend. Low pressure off the florida coast will likely move northward offshore of the eastern seaboard early next week. Small craft advisories may be needed Sunday into Monday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Centreville, MD
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location: 39.05, -76.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 231951
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
351 pm edt Fri aug 23 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will continue to slowly push south as high pressure
builds to our north through early next week. The high will try to
spread down the east coast, but not fully make it into the area. The
high will retreat north and east next Tuesday and Wednesday. This
will allow an area of low pressure to lift northward off the eastern
seaboard during the mid week period and a cold front to track
through the area later next week.

Near term until 6 am Saturday morning
The cold front extended from the waters off the DELMARVA coast,
across far southeastern maryland to central virginia at mid
afternoon. The boundary will continue to sink to the south this
evening and overnight. The band of showers streaming across
northeastern maryland, delaware and southern new jersey will also
drift southward. Conditions continue to stabilize in our region,
even across our far southern counties. However, there will remain
some instability nearby to our south into the early evening so we
have allowed for scattered thunder in parts of talbot county and
caroline county in maryland, as well as in parts of southern
delaware and on the adjacent waters.

The cloud cover is forecast to erode gradually from north to south
over our region. The wind should favor the northwest to northeast
quadrant at 10 mph or less.

Low temperatures are expected to range from around 50 in the
elevated terrain of the poconos an far northern new jersey, to
around 60 on the coastal plain of eastern maryland, delaware and
southern new jersey.

Short term 6 am Saturday morning through 6 pm Saturday
High pressure is forecast to be located in eastern ontario and
southern quebec on Saturday. The air mass is anticipated to
expand southward into our region.

We are expecting a mostly sunny sky for eastern pennsylvania and
northern new jersey. Partly sunny conditions are forecast for
northeastern maryland, delaware and southern new jersey. There is a
slight chance of a light shower in the afternoon in those areas due
to the onshore flow, but most locations will remain dry.

A northeast wind at 8 to 14 mph is expected for Saturday. Highs will
likely favor the 75 to 80 degree range with low humidity levels.

Long term Saturday night through Friday
Cooler conditions everywhere with small pops across the coastal
plain will start the long term period. An increase in temperatures
and greater chances of precipitation will return by the middle of
next week and persist through late week.

As we start the weekend, Saturday is expected to be a september-like
day. High pressure will be building to our north across eastern
canada, with our area on the far southern edge. This will keep an
easterly flow across the area, and as a trough low aloft moves
across the area, temperatures will cool to near or below normal.

Dewpoints will be in the comfortable 50s. Dry weather is expected,
with mainly afternoon evening clouds due to the trough low moving
overhead. The exception could be the nj coast and DELMARVA as the
onshore flow helps to produce some light rain.

As we move into Sunday and Monday, the easterly flow will continue
as high pressure builds a little farther southward across new
england. The high will try to nose its way down the east coat toward
the mid atlantic region during this time as well. Guidance continues
to indicate precipitation developing across the area during this
period, so we will have a slight chance chance of showers Sunday
through Monday. However, it may just end up being more cloudy rather
than rainy as some stratocumulus clouds could develop with the
persistent easterly flow. Regardless, if it does rain, it is
expected to be light as pw values are mostly an inch or less.

As we move into Tuesday through Thursday, unsettled weather could
return to the area. An area of low pressure is forecast to be
lifting northward off the east coast Tuesday through Thursday. At
the same time, a cold front is expected to approach from the west
during the day Wednesday into Thursday. There are some timing
differences with these systems. However, there will be an increasing
chance of showers and thunderstorms starting Tuesday and continuing
through Thursday.

With the region expected to be behind the cold front on Friday,
precipitation chances will be on the decline. Little temperature
change is expected at the moment behind the front.

Aviation 20z Friday through Wednesday
Into this evening... MainlyVFR. Scattered showers may bring periods
of MVFR conditions to kmiv and kacy. Northwest to north wind 8 knots
or less.

Tonight...VFR with a decrease in cloud cover. Northerly wind 5 to 10
knots.

Saturday...VFR. North to northeast wind around 10 knots.

Outlook...

Saturday night... MainlyVFR conditions expected. MVFR conditions
possible at kacy and kmiv as an onshore flow generates some clouds.

Winds generally NE 5-10 knots.

Sunday... MainlyVFR conditions expected. MVFR conditions possible at
kacy and kmiv as an onshore flow generates some clouds drizzle light
rain. Low confidence. NE winds 5-10 kts with gusts up to 20 knots
possible.

Sunday night-Tuesday... More widespread MVFR conditions developing
with the persistent onshore flow. E to NE winds 5-10 kts with gusts
up to 20 kts possible.

Wednesday... MainlyVFR as the onshore loses its grip across the
region. Winds less than 10 kts.

Marine
A northerly wind around 10 to 15 knots for tonight is expected to
become northeast 15 to 20 knots on Saturday. Wave heights on our
ocean waters should build around 4 feet. Our current forecast is
borderline for a small craft advisory on Saturday. If wind and wave
conditions appear to begin trending higher than anticipated, we may
eventually need to issue a small craft advisory for Saturday on our
ocean waters.

Outlook...

Saturday night... Low end SCA conditions possible due to long fetch e
to NE winds developing.

Sunday-Wednesday... A prolonged low end SCA may be needed through the
period as long fetch E to NE winds persist.

Rip currents...

a north wind around 10 mph is forecast into this evening. Breaking
waves around 3 feet are anticipated along with a medium period
southerly swell. There is a low risk for the development of
dangerous rip currents.

A long duration northeast to east wind is expected for the weekend
and into the early part of the new week. As a result, we are
anticipating a prolonged period with an enhanced risk for the
development of dangerous rip currents from Saturday through at least
Tuesday.

Tides coastal flooding
A prolonged northeast to east flow is expected Saturday through at
least Tuesday. This persistent onshore fetch, combined with
increasing astronomical tides due to an approaching new moon on
Thursday will likely lead to increasing coastal water levels. Some
delaware bay guidance is already indicating that minor coastal
flooding is becoming more likely Monday and Tuesday.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Kruzdlo
near term... Iovino
short term... Iovino
long term... Kruzdlo robertson
aviation... Iovino kruzdlo
marine... Iovino kruzdlo
tides coastal flooding... Kruzdlo robertson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TCBM2 - 8573364 - Tolchester Beach, MD 15 mi48 min N 8.9 G 12
CPVM2 17 mi48 min 69°F 69°F
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 22 mi48 min 69°F 1016.3 hPa
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 22 mi78 min NNW 13 G 15 68°F 81°F1017.6 hPa (+0.8)65°F
FSKM2 - 8574728 - Francis Scott Key Bridge, MD 27 mi48 min NNW 8 G 9.9 69°F 1016.8 hPa
FSNM2 27 mi54 min NNW 8 G 11 68°F 1016.7 hPa
BLTM2 - 8574680 - Baltimore, MD 31 mi54 min N 7 G 8.9 69°F 83°F1016.4 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 33 mi54 min N 8.9 G 13 68°F 82°F1016.2 hPa
DRSD1 - Delaware Reserve, DE 34 mi108 min NW 2.9 65°F 1016 hPa64°F
CHCM2 - 8573927 - Chesapeake City, MD 36 mi48 min NNW 2.9 G 5.1
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 39 mi30 min ENE 16 G 18 72°F 1017.4 hPa
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 39 mi108 min NNW 1.9 67°F 1017 hPa65°F
SJSN4 - 8537121 - Ship John Shoal, NJ 41 mi54 min N 8 G 9.9 69°F 83°F1017.1 hPa
RDYD1 - 8551910 - Reedy Point, DE 44 mi54 min 69°F 83°F1016 hPa
DELD1 - 8551762 - Delaware City, DE 45 mi54 min NW 4.1 G 8
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 48 mi48 min NNE 14 G 24 71°F 1016.6 hPa

Wind History for Tolchester Beach, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bay Bridge Field, MD15 mi38 minNNE 410.00 miOvercast68°F62°F83%1016.9 hPa
Easton / Newman Field, MD17 mi33 minN 57.00 miRain66°F64°F94%1017.9 hPa
Annapolis, United States Naval Academy, MD22 mi84 minNNW 710.00 miOvercast71°F63°F76%1017 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KW29

Wind History from W29 (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Centreville Landing, Corsica River, Maryland
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Centreville Landing
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:50 AM EDT     2.58 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:54 AM EDT     1.26 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:58 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Fri -- 12:36 PM EDT     1.91 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:55 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:45 PM EDT     0.58 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:48 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.52.62.52.21.91.71.51.31.31.31.51.71.91.91.71.51.10.80.60.60.711.52

Tide / Current Tables for Baltimore Harbor Approach, Maryland Current
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Baltimore Harbor Approach
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:01 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:07 AM EDT     -0.64 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:40 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 10:58 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Fri -- 11:57 AM EDT     0.30 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 01:57 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:17 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:35 PM EDT     -0.55 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:29 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.60.40-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.6-0.4-0.20.10.20.30.20.1-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.20.20.50.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.