Delhi Hills, OH Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Delhi Hills, OH

June 16, 2024 7:10 AM EDT (11:10 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:10 AM   Sunset 9:07 PM
Moonrise 3:01 PM   Moonset 1:39 AM 
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Delhi Hills, OH
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Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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FXUS61 KILN 161045 AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 645 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

SYNOPSIS
A strong area of high pressure aloft will bring an extended period of hot conditions to the region with highs in the 90s and lows in the 70s through the week. Weak disturbances may trigger some afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms Monday and Tuesday with the following chance of any rain not coming until next weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
Surface high off the east coast combined with rising mid level heights from the building ridge will result in another dry day with little cloud cover, other than some thin cirrus, and rising temperatures with most if not all parts of the forecast area reaching 90.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/
Mid level high centered over the Carolinas will become more expansive during the period. Meanwhile instability will develop, at first aloft tonight and then becoming surface based on Monday. Cannot rule out an elevated shower or storm overnight in southeastern counties. But better chance will be on Monday.

Convective allowing guidance is giving mixed signals about the potential for storms on Monday. Most 00Z solutions suggest that activity will be in the mid to late afternoon with greatest coverage in the Tri-State as a weak disturbance lifts up the back side of the ridge. What is more unclear is whether there will be storms earlier in the day as convective temperature is reached. That is the minority solution but certainly a possibility and worthy of low chance PoPs.

There will be plenty of instability available with little to no shear. DCAPE is forecast to be high, so any storms that can become more robust on Monday will have the potential to produce downbursts.

Lows tonight will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s with highs in the lower to mid 90s. With dew points rising into the upper 60s to lower 70s, maximum heat indices will be around 100. This is heat advisory criteria. But with the extended period of heat coming, and in collaboration with neighboring offices, have opted to issue an excessive heat watch.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
Any shower/storm activity that develops on Monday will gradually wane Monday night with the loss of diurnal heating. A few storms may linger into the early part of the night depending on ongoing convection and residual outflow boundaries that modify the environment. However, storms will likely become elevated overnight and thus limit severe potential.

A chance for showers/storms continues on Tuesday as a weak disturbance moves along the western periphery of the broad area of high pressure. The exact location of the high will play some role on storm placement and overall coverage. Of course, any convection that does occur will modify the environment to some capacity, which could lower daytime highs for some. This is one of the uncertainties in forecasting exactly how high surface temperatures and thus heat indicies will get. Given that dewpoints will be in the upper 60s to middle 70s, heat indicies are still forecast to hover around the 100 degree mark Tuesday.

The area of high pressure is expected to expand westward by the middle of the week. In turn, this will favor a drier forecast, but also offer minor relief in the humidity as surface flow shifts towards the southeast (instead of southwest). Still, dewpoints are expected to remain in the lower to upper 60s the rest of the work week and into the start of next weekend. The air will still feel muggy, but dewpoints around these values won't cause a notable uptick in heat index values. Thus, we are not anticipating reaching our typical Heat Warning criteria of 105+ degree heat indicies. In fact, heat indicies may struggle to even climb to the 100+ degree mark based on latest guidance, even with air temperatures already in the middle to upper 90s for most. Regardless of this, the effects of heat stress will still be felt as hot daytime highs in the 90s and very mild overnight lows in the 70s will offer no period of relief.
The prolonged nature of this heat wave is what will cause the stress and any other heat related impacts.

AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Just some thin high clouds remaining across the area this morning. As moisture returns tonight, may see some clouds at or above 6kft. There may be some minor visibility restrictions at KLUK late in the period. Otherwise VFR. Light easterly winds will be south early in the period and then persist at less than 10 kt.

OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...Excessive Heat Watch from Monday afternoon through Friday evening for OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065- 070>074-077>082-088.
KY...None.
IN...Excessive Heat Watch from Monday afternoon through Friday evening for INZ050-058-059-066-073-074.




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Wilmington, OH,




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