Marine Weather and Tides
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.
|Sunrise 6:27AM||Sunset 5:50PM||Monday March 1, 2021 4:56 PM PST (00:56 UTC)||Moonrise 9:43PM||Moonset 8:59AM||Illumination 89%|
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kingston, NVHourly EDIT Help
Area Discussion for - Elko, NV  (on/off)  Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS65 KLKN 012223 AFDLKN
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 223 PM PST Mon Mar 1 2021
SYNOPSIS. Fair and calm weather continue for today into Wednesday bringing a nice warming trend to the region. Wednesday night will see quick light showers in southern Nevada followed by brief period of dry and more active weather for the weekend.
SHORT TERM. Today through Thursday.
Model agreement continues to place the region under high pressure and good southwesterly flow thanks to the upper-level ridging sitting over the top of the state. Dry and calm weather is expected for the rest of today clear into Wednesday as temperatures look to warm through this period. As we approach the overnight hours of Wednesday, models place a closed upper-level low making its way east from California and brushing the southern portion of Nevada. In our region, southern portions of White Pine county and northeastern Nye county are expected to see showers as early Wednesday evening before diminishing Thursday morning with the quick exit of the low. Valleys could potentially see a mixture of rain/snow early on in this system with snow taking over later in the night. There is still a little disagreement on the final placement of the closed low so exact amounts are still in low confidence. However, guidance has been trending to lighter amounts of snow with less than half an inch in most locations with 1 to 2 inches possible in some mountains of southern White Pine county. For now look forward to warmer weather in the 40s to 50s with Wednesday and Thursday afternoon seeing places in the high 50s to 60s. Overnight temperatures follow suit with mild low temperatures in the 20s to near 30s for most of the short term.
LONG TERM. Thursday night through next Monday.
By Thursday afternoon, short wave ridge axis is already over the area as it builds ahead of the frontal system just starting to impact the Pacific NW Coast. By Friday, the long 500mb ridge axis shifts into Utah as the upper level flow turns around to the southwest ahead of another frontal system impacting West Coast. By Friday night the 500mb trof begins to digs into central CA, behind another frontal system that is impacting northern CA. This increases the SW flow aloft over the area. Also, this system weakens as it lifts into the area on Saturday. The filling 500mb trof exits the area to the northeast by Saturday night, giving way to more zonal flow aloft. This flow turns more southwesterly early on Sunday as the 500mb trof deepens and turns more neutral tilt off the west coast. This places the SW-NE polar front jet near or over the area. A frontal wave of some magnitude develops over the area or move into the area Sunday night or next Monday as the 500mb trof nears the coast, and eventually moves onshore.
Model and Confidence Discussion: Overall confidence is moderate for the synoptic pattern. Ensemble means are consistent with passage of system Saturday with the main issue being surface winds ahead of it. Where the lowest portion of the lee side trof setups will determine where the strongest winds are. Current probs are hinting at western Humboldt and Lander counties. For precip, not a lot of agreement among the means on chances Saturday, although QPF amounts look very low regardless. For next Monday, all means displaying precip with some sort of boundary but blockage from the Sierras will play a big role with in QPF placement and amounts.
Sensible Weather or Impacts:
Precip: Rain and snow showers expected on Saturday, turning to all snow Saturday night with minimum amounts in the valleys. Not anticpating any road issues Saturday as well as road temps stay fairly warm during the day. Next chance is Sunday night through next Monday with best chances in the mtns of Elko and Humboldt County. Either period does not look that impressive for impacts.
Winds: Strong and gusty SW winds look likely Saturday with possible adv level in several locations. Otherwise, breezy SW to W winds are likely next Monday.
Temps: Temperatures climbing above average (50s and 60s) through Saturday before they drop back to average 40s and 50s Sunday through next Monday. Overnight lows in the single digits to 20s Friday, rising to the 20s and 30s for the rest of the mornings.
AVIATION. VFR conditions and light winds will continue through the forecast period at all TAF sites.
NOTE . KELY winds are not reporting into the automated system and dial-in to Ely Airport’s ASOS reports missing wind. Therefore "AMD NOT SKED" was included in Ely’s TAF.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.
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|Eureka Airport ASOS, NV||60 mi||64 min||SSE 14 G 22||mi||51°F||16°F||25%||1020.8 hPa|
Link to 5 minute data for KP68
Wind History from P68 (wind in knots)
|1 day ago||N||N||N||N||SW||S||SE||Calm||W||S||S||S||S||S||S||SW||SE||Calm||E||NE||N|
|2 days ago||N|
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