Saturday, August8, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Incline Village, NV

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:04AMSunset 8:05PM Friday August 7, 2020 10:45 PM PDT (05:45 UTC) Moonrise 10:34PMMoonset 9:55AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Incline Village, NV
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location: 39.25, -119.94     debug


Area Discussion for - Reno, NV
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FXUS65 KREV 080431 AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Reno NV 931 PM PDT Fri Aug 7 2020

UPDATE.

Storms are wrapping up this evening across the Sierra. There were a couple of pretty decent storms, one near the Ebbetts Pass area near Highland Lakes. And there was another couple strong storms that developed around the Calpine/Sierraville and around Lake Davis.

We haven't had any reports of significant hail or flash flooding, but those storms were getting pretty strong, approaching severe. If this is any indication about thunderstorms in the coming days, we could see some more stronger storms around the area and may even need to extend the storm coverage further north into Plumas County. -Hoon

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION. /Issued 213 PM PDT Fri Aug 7 2020/

SYNOPSIS .

Isolated afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected through Sunday, mainly near the Sierra, with storms spreading into western Nevada and northeast California early next week. Drier conditions return mid to late next week. A warming trend is expected this weekend through early next week with some cooling to near average mid to late next week.

SHORT TERM .

Not too much change to the forecast through next week with the main changes to introduce slight chances for thunderstorms to Mono and Mineral counties Wednesday and to nudge up winds for that day.

The focus for isolated afternoon and evening (~2-8 PM) thunderstorms through the weekend still looks to remain between the high Sierra (near crest) and the California-Nevada border to the south of Highway 50. Still, a very isolated late afternoon/early evening shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out between Lake Tahoe and the Sierra Valley (including the Truckee area) as that is a favored terrain focus area for convection when the zephyr is weak . which it is expected to be through the weekend. Thunderstorms through Sunday are likely to be pulse type with short life cycles (up to 30 minutes) and slow storm motions. The main threat looks to be brief heavy rainfall which could impact burn areas or bring rapid temperature drops into the 50s in the Sierra. Of course, lightning is always a threat for lake and other outdoor recreation so give yourself enough time to get off lakes or to a shelter if you notice strongly building clouds. If you wait until a thunderstorm develops, it may be too late!

Temperatures this weekend will rise to just above average with highs in the 90s to around 100 for lower valleys and solid 80s for most Sierra valleys. As far as lows, moisture is expected to remain slightly above average this weekend which will, in addition to warmer days, contribute to keeping morning temperatures elevated over what would occur in a drier airmass. This may mean less indoor relief for those without air conditioning in more urbanized areas. -Snyder

LONG TERM . next week .

Monday and Tuesday, the threat for thunderstorms still looks like it will spread up into northeast CA and into far western NV, and eventually into more of western and west-central NV (Tuesday) as zephyr breezes, and possible focus for thunderstorms, increase in response to tightening thermal gradients between CA-NV. Also, winds aloft will become more southwest to west, especially by Tuesday, which will aid in storms shifting to out into the Basin. Storm strength could increase somewhat given better overall focus for storms. Heavy rain (storms still fairly slow-moving, especially Monday), pea to dime sized hail, and wind gusts over 50 mph are all possible. Also, the fire concern will increase as the coverage of lightning expands over more of the region. See the fire discussion below for more concerning the fire weather issues.

For Wednesday-Friday, a trough moves into the Pacific Northwest. This will bring a bit of cooling; however, just how much will depend on how far south the trough can reach which is in some debate among simulations. A possible range in highs between the upper 80s and lower-middle 90s for lower valleys is on the table by late next week. With some debate on how far south the trough will reach, a few thunderstorms cannot be ruled out through at least Wednesday, most likely east of Hwy 395 and south of Highway 50 across Mono and Mineral counties. With this in mind, have introduced slight chances to those areas Wednesday. -Snyder

AVIATION .

Isolated afternoon t-storms expected over the Sierra between MMH- TVL-TRK each day through Sunday. Mainly near the crest and highest peaks. Strong outflows and MVFR conditions near storms however probabilities for storms are fairly low for any one point - 20% or less.

Otherwise looking quite uneventful weather-wise through the weekend. Below average zephyr westerlies each afternoon (e.g. gusts 15-20 knots) and minimal haze/smoke based on most recent fire status and simulations. Temperatures will get hot again especially Sunday so some thermal bumps and density altitude considerations may occur.

-Chris

FIRE WEATHER .

* Storm coverage has trended down to more isolated today through Sunday and mainly the Sierra high country and crest from Mammoth to Truckee. New fire starts are possible along with strong outflows but coverage appears minimal. Storms are slow moving so rainfall amounts up to 1" are possible under the isolated cores.

* Main concern is Monday-Tuesday where calibrated t-storm guidance is painting more widespread storms affecting the Sierra, NE California, and far W Nevada. Still a ways out but this period could have more of a new fire start and strong outflow impact. Fuels are getting quite dry with recent warm/dry spells so ignition efficiency with any lightning likely to be high.

* There are early indications in ECMWF ensemble guidance that next Wednesday, a much drier airmass will move in along with enhanced westerly breezes. Could be a critical wind/humidity setup especially Sierra Front northward into NW Nevada and NE California. This scenario following a couple t-storm days could be problematic from a lightning holdover fire perspective.

-Chris

REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories. NV . None. CA . None.

For more information from the National Weather Service visit . http://weather.gov/reno


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Truckee-Tahoe, CA12 mi51 minSE 510.00 miFair55°F51°F88%1022.3 hPa
Carson City Airport, NV12 mi51 minSW 310.00 miFair75°F44°F34%1018.6 hPa
Reno, Reno Tahoe International Airport, NV20 mi51 minW 710.00 miA Few Clouds79°F45°F30%1011.7 hPa
South Lake Tahoe, Lake Tahoe Airport, CA24 mi53 minS 310.00 miFair58°F50°F75%1017.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCXP

Wind History from CXP (wind in knots)
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1 day agoCalmSE5E3CalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW434NW64SW8W11
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Tide / Current Tables for Sacramento #4, Sacramento River, California
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Sacramento #4
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Sat -- 06:14 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:35 AM PDT     0.67 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:30 AM PDT     2.49 feet High Tide
Sat -- 10:59 AM PDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:32 PM PDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:08 PM PDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:04 PM PDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:44 PM PDT     2.65 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.62.421.61.20.90.70.71.222.42.52.321.61.10.70.40.20.20.61.42.12.6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of CentralWestCoast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Reno, NV (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Reno, NV
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.