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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Butler, MD

November 10, 2024 6:52 AM EST (11:52 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:42 AM   Sunset 4:55 PM
Moonrise 2:04 PM   Moonset 12:12 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
   
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ANZ530 Chesapeake Bay North Of Pooles Island- 633 Am Est Sun Nov 10 2024

.small craft advisory in effect from 10 am est this morning through Monday afternoon - .

Today - S winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt - . Increasing to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt this afternoon. Waves 1 ft. Scattered showers this afternoon.

Tonight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft. Showers. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Mon - W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Mon night - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft.

Tue - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.

Tue night - N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Wed - NE winds 5 to 10 kt - .becoming se. Waves 1 ft.

Thu - S winds 5 to 10 kt - .becoming nw. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
ANZ500 633 Am Est Sun Nov 10 2024

Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
a warm front will lift across the area through tonight as low pressure moves from the upper midwest to the great lakes and southeastern canada. A trailing cold front will cross the region Monday, then a secondary dry cold front will cross the area Tuesday. High pressure will follow for the middle of the week before another frontal system crosses Thursday into Friday. Small craft advisories will likely be needed at times through Wednesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Butler, MD
   
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Tide / Current for Worton Creek entrance, Maryland
  
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Worton Creek entrance
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Sun -- 12:12 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 01:58 AM EST     1.79 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:43 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:14 AM EST     0.37 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:03 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:30 PM EST     1.33 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:53 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 08:46 PM EST     0.34 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
        
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Worton Creek entrance, Maryland, Tide feet
12
am
1.5
1
am
1.7
2
am
1.8
3
am
1.7
4
am
1.5
5
am
1.2
6
am
0.9
7
am
0.7
8
am
0.5
9
am
0.4
10
am
0.4
11
am
0.6
12
pm
0.9
1
pm
1.1
2
pm
1.3
3
pm
1.3
4
pm
1.2
5
pm
1
6
pm
0.7
7
pm
0.5
8
pm
0.4
9
pm
0.3
10
pm
0.4
11
pm
0.7

Tide / Current for Baltimore Harbor Approach, Maryland Current
  
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Baltimore Harbor Approach
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Sun -- 12:14 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 02:32 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:56 AM EST     -0.76 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 06:43 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:18 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 12:23 PM EST     0.65 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 02:04 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:36 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:54 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:30 PM EST     -0.54 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 09:25 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
        
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Baltimore Harbor Approach, Maryland Current, knots
12
am
0.6
1
am
0.5
2
am
0.2
3
am
-0.2
4
am
-0.5
5
am
-0.7
6
am
-0.8
7
am
-0.7
8
am
-0.4
9
am
-0.1
10
am
0.2
11
am
0.5
12
pm
0.6
1
pm
0.6
2
pm
0.5
3
pm
0.2
4
pm
-0.1
5
pm
-0.4
6
pm
-0.5
7
pm
-0.5
8
pm
-0.4
9
pm
-0.1
10
pm
0.2
11
pm
0.4

Area Discussion for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 101126 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 626 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024

SYNOPSIS
A warm front will lift through and north of our region today, ahead of a cold front that crosses through on Monday. A secondary cold front follows for Tuesday before high pressure returns Wednesday. Another pair of a warm front then a weak cold front may move through the region on Thursday. High pressure is expected to build in over the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
High pressure remains centered near the area early this morning but will start to push eastward out to sea as we get into the day Sunday. This will occur as low pressure moves north and eastward through the day Sunday pushing a warm front towards the area.
High cirrus clouds continue to expand over the region. Clouds should gradually lower as we go through the day. Most of the day should remain dry however, until some showers start pushing into our eastern PA zones towards the late afternoon into the early evening. After a chilly start, generally expect highs Sunday ranging from the upper 50s north to the low to mid 60s south.

Rain will quickly overspread the entire area as we go through Sunday evening and the warm front pushes through. This will occur as low pressure continues to advance north and eastward through the northern Great Lakes. This will be our first "wetting rain" since the end of September so it is much needed! The rain may briefly fall moderate at times as we get towards the mid to late evening. The steadier rain should then start to taper off west to east as we go into the overnight period Sunday night and the warm front lifts north and east of the region. We will be in the system's warm sector and the cold front will not arrive until we get towards sunrise Monday morning. So this means there will continue to at least be some scattered showers around overnight until the cold front sweeps through Monday morning. We are generally still expecting a quarter to half inch of rain with the system with even some locally higher amounts up to three quarters of an inch possible. Overnight lows will be quite mild Sunday night...generally in the 50s except some 40s over the southern Poconos and NW NJ.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
The main feature in this period will be the secondary cold front on Tuesday.

On Monday morning, the first, initial cold front will move off shore, and with that any lingering rain should also depart the region. This will leave a tranquil day. Due to the timing of the front, and the relatively weak temperature gradient across this front, high temperatures on Monday will be a 5 to 10 degrees higher than today (highs on Monday should range from the upper 50s to lower 70s). However, it will likely be a case where high temperatures are reached relatively early (mid day or early afternoon) before they start to decrease.

The next mid level shortwave trough will approach and pass north of the region Monday night into Tuesday. At the surface a secondary cold front will sweep through our region; the front should be south and east of our region likely by sunrise Tuesday morning. Although this will be the stronger of the two cold fronts in terms of temperature gradient, there is little opportunity for moisture advection between the two fronts, so no precipitation is expected. High temperatures on Tuesday are expected to be 10 to 15 degrees lower than Monday's highs, ranging from the mid 40s to near 60. In addition to the cooler air, dry air advection is also expected in the wake of the front. Consequently, this could set the stage for another risk of fire spread (see the fire weather section below).

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Mostly tranquil weather is expected through this period. Most of this period will be dominated by surface high pressure over our region - especially for the weekend.

The one exception is that another surface low could get close enough to the region on Thursday for a chance for precipitation, but it is highly uncertain. A fairly strong upper level trough will move towards and across the East Coast with a weakening frontal system at the surface during this period. Some guidance depicts this taking a more northern track (closer to our region), while other models depict this low going well south of our region. If the northern track verifies, then another round of precipitation would be possible on Thursday. However, the southern track would keep our region dry.

While some guidance still depicts coastal low development thereafter for the Thursday night into Friday timeframe, it depicts it too far away from our region to have any impact on rain chances. Rather, dry conditions should return late in the week into next weekend.

AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Overnight...VFR conditions. Increasing high clouds. Winds remaining light and variable. High confidence.

Sunday...VFR conditions continue, although clouds will increase and lower through the afternoon. Winds increase out of the southwest 5- 10 knots after sunrise, then begin to gust 15-20 knots later in the morning into the afternoon. High confidence.

Sunday night...Conditions lower to MVFR through the early to mid evening as rain quickly moves in west to east and likely down to IFR for most sites by the overnight period. Winds increase out of the southwest 10-15 knots, with gusts 15-20 knots. High confidence.

Outlook...

Monday...VFR.

Tuesday...VFR with gusty northwest winds up to 25 kt.

Wednesday...VFR.

Thursday...Sub-VFR possible with a chance of rain showers.

MARINE
Tranquil early this morning but expect S/SW winds to increase as we go through the day Sunday. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for the Atlantic Ocean waters offshore of Delaware and New Jersey starting 1 pm Sunday and continuing through Sunday night. The advisory starts at 6 pm on Delaware Bay. Generally expect southwest winds gusting up to 30 knots with even a few gusts up to 35 knots possible Sunday night.

Outlook...

Monday...Lingering SCA conditions possible through early Monday afternoon with wind gusts up to 25 kt and seas around 5 feet.
Expect a lull in seas and winds starting Monday afternoon.

Tuesday...The lull in winds and seas should continue for most of Monday night, but near sunrise Tuesday, another period of SCA conditions is possible due to NW wind gusts around 25 kt and seas around 5 feet. Given how long the lull in winds and seas is expected to be, this will be treated as a separate SCA event from the Sunday night/Monday event.

Wednesday through Thursday...Winds and seas should stay below SCA criteria.

FIRE WEATHER
Even though portions of northern New Jersey and northeast Pennsylvania may have RH values near 35 percent for few hours around midday Sunday and winds will be gusty around 20 mph, dewpoints will increase through the day and RH values will increase in the afternoon. Therefore, no fire weather related statements are expected for Sunday at this time.

Showers are forecast to result in a wetting rain (0.25-0.50 inches currently forecast) later Sunday, especially at night, into Monday morning.

The relief may be short-lived though as very dry and breezy conditions are expected once again on Tuesday. In the wake of a cold front on Tuesday, minimum RH values could be near 30 percent, and wind gusts of 25 to 35 mph will be possible.

CLIMATE
Record stretch (consecutive days) without measurable precipitation:

CURRENT SITE RECORD RECORD DATES THRU 11/9 AC Airport (ACY) 34 days Aug-Sep 1995 38 days AC Marina (55N) 39 days Aug-Sep 1995 39 days Georgetown (GED) 34 days Oct-Nov 2001 43 days Philadelphia (PHL) 29 days Oct-Nov 1874 42 days Trenton (TTN) 38 days Apr-May 1903 42 days Wilmington (ILG) 34 days Jan-Feb 1909 42 days

These stretches will likely end tonight, but there is uncertainty if these sites will have measurable precipitation before midnight. If they don't, then another day will be added on to the stretch.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM EST Monday for ANZ430-431.
Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to noon EST Monday for ANZ450>455.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
TCBM2 - 8573364 - Tolchester Beach, MD 7 mi52 minSE 5.1G7 46°F
44043 - Patapsco, MD 16 mi40 minS 7.8G9.7 51°F 60°F0 ft
FSKM2 - 8574728 - Francis Scott Key Bridge, MD 20 mi52 minS 2.9G4.1 47°F
BLTM2 - 8574680 - Baltimore, MD 22 mi52 minSSE 1G1.9 47°F 63°F
CPVM2 24 mi52 min 53°F 41°F
CHCM2 - 8573927 - Chesapeake City, MD 25 mi52 minSSW 1G1.9 34°F 60°F
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 27 mi52 minWSW 1G1.9 46°F 64°F
44063 - Annapolis 28 mi40 minSSW 7.8G9.7 49°F 61°F
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 31 mi52 minS 8G8.9 51°F 30.37
DELD1 - 8551762 - Delaware City, DE 36 mi52 min0G1 38°F
RDYD1 - 8551910 - Reedy Point, DE 36 mi52 min 42°F 60°F
DRSD1 - Delaware Reserve, DE 41 mi82 min0 34°F 30.3631°F
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 46 mi82 min0 34°F 30.3634°F


Wind History for Tolchester Beach, MD
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Airport Reports
   
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KMTN MARTIN STATE,MD 13 sm58 mincalm10 smClear37°F32°F81%30.36

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of east us  
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Dover AFB, DE,





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