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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Butler, MD

June 25, 2024 11:33 AM EDT (15:33 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:38 AM   Sunset 8:37 PM
Moonrise 10:45 PM   Moonset 8:18 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ530 Chesapeake Bay North Of Pooles Island- 1034 Am Edt Tue Jun 25 2024

.small craft advisory in effect from 6 pm edt this evening through late tonight - .

Rest of today - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Tonight - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Wed - SW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Vsby 1 nm or less.

Wed night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers with tstms likely.

Thu - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Thu night - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Fri - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Sat - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.

ANZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm 1049 Am Edt Tue Jun 25 2024

Synopsis - Offshore flow begins to develop today, persisting through at least Friday. Flow remains light enough for a sea breeze to develop each afternoon. Deep moisture will remain in place keeping rain and storm chances high.

Gulf stream hazards - None.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday, june 24th.
41 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 32 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Butler, MD
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Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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223 FXUS61 KPHI 251023 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 623 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure south and west of the region early this morning moves eastward and offshore through the day today. A warm front will lift north of the area early on Wednesday before another strong cold front passes by late Wednesday night. High pressure returns for Thursday and continues into early Saturday ahead of another low pressure system that approaches late Saturday into Sunday. High pressure returns by early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
High pressure will shift south of the region Tuesday, but remain in control and bring fair weather through the day. Mostly sunny skies and a more WSW wind will allow for temperatures to warm slightly compared to yesterday with highs expected in the upper 80s to low 90s. Despite the warmer temperatures, dew points will remain comfortably in the 50s, giving us a small taste of that "dry heat" our friends across the western US are used to.

Come late afternoon/early evening, we will see a weak shortwave pass overhead. This could be enough to bring some isolated to scattered light showers across the Poconos, Lehigh Valley, and northern NJ. That said, it is very possible most of these showers won`t make it to the surface given the drier conditions in the low-levels. Otherwise, we can expect a rather uneventful night, though clouds will be increasing ahead of our next system. As a result, low temperatures will be warmer, only cooling off into the low to mid 70s. Dew points will be creeping up overnight as well, reaching back into the 60s by daybreak.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
SW flow increases for Wednesday ahead of an approaching cold front.
This will lead to hot and humid conditions returning as surface dew points rise into the upper 60s to near 70 around the region under continuing mainly sunny skies through the early afternoon. This set up will lead to the mid 90s for highs across most inland locations.
Closer to the coast and up in the Poconos, temps should remain in the 80s. Max heat indicies at this time look to reach around 100 for most areas near and south of the urban corridor (except near the coast) and so Heat Advisories have been issued.

The other big story will be the potential for severe weather Wednesday afternoon and evening. An upper trough will swing through the Great Lakes on Wednesday approaching our area by Wednesday night with an advancing cold front. With the abundance of moist, humid air in place, several indicators are present for thunderstorm development. Forecast soundings show SBCAPE values around 1000-2000 J/kg, bulk shear values around 30 kt, and lapse rates around 7.0- 7.5C/km. Shear values are also a bit modest since forcing will be in somewhat close proximity. As a result, the Storm Prediction Center has now outlined our entire forecast area in a SLIGHT Risk (Level 2/5) for severe weather. The main threat should be damaging wind gusts considering the environment. However given the strong low level directional and speed shear there will also be the potential for one or two tornadoes, especially over northeast PA into NW NJ. In terms of flooding, PWATs will be up around 2 inches, so any storm will be capable of producing heavy rainfall. Storm motion does appear to be relatively-fast, so not expecting any widespread flood impacts at this time. In terms of timing, the latest trends with some of our guidance are suggesting slightly later timing indicating it could be more of an evening event. Chances for scattered storms still look to begin by the afternoon, especially over northern and western areas, but it may not be until the evening timeframe that more widespread convection moves through closer to the front. The cold front will eventually move offshore late Wednesday night into early Thursday.

Some showers may linger near the coast on Thursday morning, but the overall trend will be for decreasing clouds and lowering dew points on Thursday as high pressure starts to build in from the west.
It will feel much more comfortable outside compared to Wednesday with highs returning closer to normal. The high builds in right over the area for Thursday night bringing mainly clear skies with light winds. Expect lows ranging from the mid 50s north to the mid 60s near and south of the urban corridor.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
High pressure will be centered just north of the area early Friday before retreating to the north and east off the coast by later Friday through Saturday as the next system approaches. This will result in sunshine for Friday with seasonable temperatures and low humidity. Generally expect highs in the 80s with dew points in the 50s to low 60s.

As mentioned above, the next system approaches Saturday first pushing a warm front towards the area and then a cold front by Sunday as the low moves by to our north. This will bring increasing chances for showers and storms by Saturday afternoon continuing Saturday night into Sunday. Not expecting a total washout though as most areas, even those that see storms, should be precip free the majority of the time this weekend. The heat and humidity will also return with max heat indicies Saturday generally in the 90s and potentially around or over 100 for Sunday.

Following the passage of the cold front late Sunday, cooler and drier air moves in to start next week.

AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tuesday...VFR. Mostly clear skies. West winds increasing to around 10 knots and shifting to the southwest after 18Z. High confid.

Tuesday night...VFR with increasing clouds. No significant weather expected.

Outlook...

Wednesday through Wednesday night...Primarily VFR. Scattered thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening which may cause sub- VFR conditions. Locally gusty winds near/in any thunderstorm.

Thursday through Saturday...Mainly VFR through the period. Chance of an early Thursday AM shower around ACY and MIV and then chances for scattered showers and storms arriving Saturday PM.

MARINE
Conditions will remain below SCA criteria for the first half of Tuesday before winds begin to ramp up from the SSW tonight, gusting to around 25 kts for all coastal waters. Seas will respond as well, beginning at 2-3 feet in the afternoon and rising to 3-5 feet Tuesday night.

Outlook...

Wednesday through Wednesday night...Small Craft Advisory conditions expected over the ocean zones with south/southwest winds gusting up to 25 knots and seas around 4-5 feet. Also, showers and storms likely over the waters by Wednesday night. Any storms could bring locally strong winds over 35 knots.

Thursday through Saturday...No marine headlines expected.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...Heat Advisory from 9 AM to 9 PM EDT Wednesday for PAZ070-071- 102-104-106.
NJ...Heat Advisory from 9 AM to 9 PM EDT Wednesday for NJZ010-012- 013-015-017>020-027.
DE...Heat Advisory from 9 AM to 9 PM EDT Wednesday for DEZ001.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 6 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ450>453.
Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 11 PM EDT Wednesday for ANZ454-455.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
TCBM2 - 8573364 - Tolchester Beach, MD 7 mi45 minWSW 2.9G5.1 78°F 79°F30.01
CBCM2 20 mi45 minNNW 2.9G4.1 81°F 82°F29.9856°F
FSKM2 - 8574728 - Francis Scott Key Bridge, MD 20 mi45 minNNW 5.1G6 81°F 30.00
HWPM2 20 mi45 minSSW 1G7
BLTM2 - 8574680 - Baltimore, MD 22 mi45 minSSW 4.1G7 84°F 80°F
CPVM2 24 mi45 min 78°F 59°F
CHCM2 - 8573927 - Chesapeake City, MD 25 mi45 minWNW 7G9.9 82°F 83°F29.99
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 27 mi45 minE 5.1G5.1 81°F 83°F29.99
44063 - Annapolis 28 mi27 minSSE 5.8G7.8 78°F 79°F0 ft
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 31 mi33 minSE 5.1G6 77°F 30.03
DELD1 - 8551762 - Delaware City, DE 36 mi45 minWNW 6G8.9 83°F 29.98
RDYD1 - 8551910 - Reedy Point, DE 36 mi45 min 83°F 81°F29.96
DRSD1 - Delaware Reserve, DE 41 mi63 minW 1.9 85°F 29.9856°F
SJSN4 - 8537121 - Ship John Shoal, NJ 42 mi45 minNW 5.1G6 78°F 29.99
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 46 mi63 minSE 2.9 82°F 30.0163°F


Wind History for Tolchester Beach, MD
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Airport Reports
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Wind History graph: APG
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Tide / Current for Worton Creek entrance, Maryland
   
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Worton Creek entrance
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Tue -- 04:29 AM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:18 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:02 AM EDT     2.28 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:24 PM EDT     0.48 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:39 PM EDT     1.57 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:45 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Worton Creek entrance, Maryland, Tide feet
12
am
1.3
1
am
1.1
2
am
0.9
3
am
0.6
4
am
0.5
5
am
0.5
6
am
0.7
7
am
1
8
am
1.4
9
am
1.9
10
am
2.2
11
am
2.3
12
pm
2.2
1
pm
1.9
2
pm
1.6
3
pm
1.2
4
pm
0.9
5
pm
0.6
6
pm
0.5
7
pm
0.5
8
pm
0.7
9
pm
1
10
pm
1.3
11
pm
1.5


Tide / Current for Baltimore Harbor Approach, Maryland Current
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Baltimore Harbor Approach
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Tue -- 01:59 AM EDT     -0.49 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 04:28 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:14 AM EDT     1.02 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 09:20 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:39 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 03:03 PM EDT     -1.02 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:43 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:22 PM EDT     0.57 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 11:45 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Baltimore Harbor Approach, Maryland Current, knots
12
am
-0.2
1
am
-0.4
2
am
-0.5
3
am
-0.4
4
am
-0.2
5
am
0.2
6
am
0.6
7
am
0.9
8
am
1
9
am
1
10
am
0.7
11
am
0.3
12
pm
-0.2
1
pm
-0.6
2
pm
-0.9
3
pm
-1
4
pm
-0.9
5
pm
-0.7
6
pm
-0.3
7
pm
0.1
8
pm
0.4
9
pm
0.6
10
pm
0.5
11
pm
0.4


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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic   
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Dover AFB, DE,




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