Sunrise 5:45 AM   Sunset 8:03 PM Moonrise 8:17 AM   Moonset 12:00 AM

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ANZ452 Coastal Waters From Little Egg Inlet To Great Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 402 Pm Edt Sat May 11 2024
.small craft advisory in effect until 6 pm edt this evening - .
Tonight - SE winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: se 4 ft at 7 seconds and se 1 foot at 15 seconds. A chance of showers late. Sun - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 8 seconds and S 1 foot at 7 seconds. Showers likely, mainly in the morning. Sun night - E winds 5 to 10 kt, diminishing to around 5 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 8 seconds and se 1 foot at 14 seconds. Mon - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 9 seconds and S 2 ft at 3 seconds. Mon night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 4 seconds and E 3 ft at 9 seconds. Tue - S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 5 seconds and E 2 ft at 8 seconds. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Tue night - S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Showers.Wed - SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Showers, mainly in the morning. Wed night - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers. Thu - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Thu night - NE winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

ANZ400 402 Pm Edt Sat May 11 2024
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay - High pressure lingers through the remainder of the day, before a series of fronts and low pressure systems affect the east coast Wednesday through the end of the week. High pressure looks to return to end the weekend and start the new week.

FXUS61 KPHI 111917 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 317 PM EDT Sat May 11 2024

SYNOPSIS
Weak high pressure over the region will move offshore this evening.
Low pressure centered over Lake Huron early this afternoon will move eastward through this evening into Sunday. High pressure builds south of the Mid-Atlantic region Sunday night into Monday. Another area of low pressure brings more unsettled weather by the middle of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
A sea breeze will keep coastal areas sunny into the late afternoon. Otherwise clouds are increasing west of the sea breeze as the next disturbance approaches the area.

For tonight, some shower activity will begin to work its way into the area after sunset from west to east as surface low moves eastward from the Great Lakes region. The low will be accompanied by a cold front, but the overall strength of the system will be weakening as it nears. Widespread rain showers are anticipated especially north and west of the Delaware Valley where better forcing will be present. Rainfall up to a quarter of an inch is expected. Lows will be in the mid to upper 40s.

H5 trough with associated vorticity advection will be moving over the region on Sunday. With additional lift provided by weak warm air advection, Sunday looks to be a rather wet and cool day. Maximum temperatures are expected in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
Sunday night will feature improving conditions and the surface low continues to move away and the upper trough passes through.
It's possible that skies may become partly cloudy late giving aurora viewing possibilities. One possibility will bring patchy fog to the area if conditions become clear overnight.

Monday/Monday night... High pressure arrives during the day and a partly sunny day is expected. Temperatures will be close to normal for early May with highs in the low/mid 70s and lows (For Tue morning) in the low/mid 50s. Clouds will increase over the area Monday night.

Tuesday... Another slow moving low pressure approaches the region. Increasing clouds thru the morning with rains arriving during the day. Most models seem to agree with the overall scenario and we'll continue with chance pops for the morning then mostly likely pops for the afternoon. It's possible that the furthest east areas may escape rains until late afternoon.
Temperatures will remain seasonable with mostly low 70s for highs and 50s for lows.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/

Rather unsettled much of the long term as low pressure slowly deepens while moving up the Ohio Valley and then ambling across the Middle Atlantic region. Likely/categorical pops beginning Tue night and continuing Wednesday before scaling back Wed night. After a period of lesser pops Thu into Friday morning, more showers/rains overspread the region for next weekend. We'll have chance pops for Fri night and into Sat for now. There enough differences between the operational models to have less confidence with regards to next weekends fcst attm.

Normal high temperatures for our region this time of year are in the low/mid 70s with upper 60s for the southern Poconos. We'll arrive close to these values much of the week with readings perhaps a degree or two below normal Wed and above normal for Thu/Fri. Lows will be in the 50s most days.

AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...

This afternoon...VFR. Winds becoming E-SE 5 to 10 knots.

Tonight...VFR early, then ceilings will be dropping into the 1500 to 3000 ft range as rain showers move into the area after 03Z Lehigh Valley and Poconos, and after 06Z for the remainder of the region. Visibility may drop to 3-5SM in fog late tonight.
Southeast winds 5-10 kt.

Sunday...Ceilings around 1000ft and visibility 3-5SM all locations with periods of light rain. East to southeast winds around 10 knots.

Outlook...

Sunday Night...MVFR/IFR conditions early then conditions improving overnight. Patchy fog possible.

Monday through Tuesday...No significant weather expected.

Tuesday Night through Wednesday night...Sub-VFR conditions expected with occasional showers.

Thursday... VFR probable.

MARINE
A SCA remains in effect for the ocean waters from Manasquan Inlet to Fenwick Island until 6 PM today due to seas remaining above 5 feet.
Elsewhere, seas will remain below SCA criteria. Winds east to southeast 10-15 kt. Southeast winds then continue into tonight around 10-15 kt. Seas are expected to subside to 3-4ft tonight and Sunday.

Outlook...

Sunday night through Monday...No marine headlines expected. Fair.

Tuesday through Wednesday...SCA conditions possible (30-40%) as wind gusts get near 25 kt. Seas will get near 5 feet on Wednesday.
Occasional showers.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Coastal Flood Advisories were issued for tonight's high tide for coastal zones from Ocean County on south and for the lower Delaware Bay in Kent, DE and Cumberland, NJ. Minor tidal flooding is expected with some inundation of roadways possible. Elsewhere, spotty minor flooding is expected within the upper Delaware Bay, tidal Delaware River, tidal Raritan Bay, and along the NJ coast north of Ocean County.

Spotty minor flooding is also expected with tomorrow morning's high tide within the Chesapeake Bay. Some of the guidance suggests an advisory may be needed, but have elected to hold off for now. Stay tuned to the forecast for any further updates.

No further tidal flooding issues are expected beyond tonight/tomorrow morning's high tide.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...Coastal Flood Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 4 AM EDT Sunday for NJZ020>027.
DE...Coastal Flood Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 4 AM EDT Sunday for DEZ002>004.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ451>455.

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Steelmanville
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Sat -- 05:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:30 AM EDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:17 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 12:17 PM EDT     3.73 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:24 PM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Steelmanville, Patcong Ck., 2.5 n.mi. above ent., New Jersey, Tide feet

River Bend Marina
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Sat -- 12:19 AM EDT     4.42 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:05 AM EDT     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:17 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 01:01 PM EDT     3.50 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:59 PM EDT     0.31 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

River Bend Marina, Great Egg Harbor River, New Jersey, Tide feet

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