Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Edgewood, MD
May 9, 2024 6:47 AM EDT (10:47 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:54 AM Sunset 8:08 PM Moonrise 5:40 AM Moonset 9:27 PM |
ANZ530 Chesapeake Bay North Of Pooles Island- 437 Am Edt Thu May 9 2024
Rest of the overnight - N winds 5 kt. Waves flat.
Today - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Tonight - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers likely. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers likely.
Fri night - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers likely.
Sun - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers likely in the morning, then a chance of showers through the night.
Mon - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
ANZ500 437 Am Edt Thu May 9 2024
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
multiple disturbances will pass through the area over the course of the week bringing showers and Thunderstorms. Precipitation chances decrease into the weekend as high pressure nears the region. Small craft advisories may be needed for portions of the waters Wednesday through Friday.
multiple disturbances will pass through the area over the course of the week bringing showers and Thunderstorms. Precipitation chances decrease into the weekend as high pressure nears the region. Small craft advisories may be needed for portions of the waters Wednesday through Friday.
Area Discussion for - Baltimore, MD/Washington
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FXUS61 KLWX 090801 AFDLWX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 401 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024
SYNOPSIS
A stationary boundary will reside across the area today. Troughing will dig across the eastern US this weekend. High pressure will build offshore early next week, with low pressure approaching from the middle of the country during the middle of the week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 330 AM, current radar imagery shows a large complex of thunderstorms tracking to our south across southern VA and the Carolinas, with just a few showers moving into the central Shenandoah Valley and central VA. An additional area of thunderstorms is situated off to our west extending from eastern OH across northern WV. These storms are forming along a stationary boundary which extends eastward into our forecast area. A few additional showers and storms may try to develop eastward along this boundary across far western MD and the WV Panhandle over the coming hours. The light area of showers across the central Shenandoah Valley and central VA may also start to expand in coverage as it spreads northeastward during the pre-dawn hours.
Chances for showers will continue through much of the morning into the early afternoon, although coverage of these showers should be rather low. Thick overcast will persist across the northern half of the area through the day to the north of a stationary boundary that stretch from west to east across the central Shenandoah Valley and central Virginia. Less low cloud cover is expected to the south of the boundary, which will allow temperatures to climb into the upper 70s to near 80. Further north, high temperatures in the 60s are forecast to the north of roughly I-66/US-50.
A surface low will track from the mid-Mississippi Valley this morning toward WV this evening. As this surface low approaches, low-level forcing ascent in the vicinity of the surface boundary will gradually increase, leading to increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms. Model guidance shows that surface based instability should remain confined to near/south of this boundary across the central Shenandoah Valley/central VA.
Further north, no instability is expected through much of the day, with only elevated instability developing after dark as the surface low approaches from the west. As a result, the greatest chance for strong to severe thunderstorms is expected to reside in the vicinity of the boundary across the central Shenandoah Valley and central Virginia. In those locations, model soundings show around 1000 J/kg of MLCAPE and 50 knots of effective bulk shear, with some limited low-level curvature in hodographs. As a result, supercell, and all severe hazards appear possible in that area. However, the tornado threat does appear minimal. In terms of timing, storms may develop as early as mid-afternoon, but the threat may persist through the evening as the surface low and better forcing approaches from the west. Further north, an elevated thunderstorm can't be ruled out during the evening, but the threat for severe thunderstorms appears to be low.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
A potent shortwave trough will track from the Ohio Valley eastward toward the crest of the Appalachians during the day Friday. Large scale ascent downstream of the trough axis will lead to continued chances for showers across much of the forecast area, with the most frequent showers expected to the north of I-66/US-50. Temperatures will remain cool, with highs in the upper 50s and lower 60s for most. Temperatures may be a bit warmer across central Virginia (highs near 70), where they'll receive less in the way of rain.
The aforementioned shortwave trough will pass to our east Friday night, but another shortwave will follow on its heels, tracking into the Ohio Valley late Friday night. While showers may linger through a portion of the night, a brief period of clearing may move in between the two systems. If skies are able to clear out for a time, some patchy fog may be possible in more sheltered valleys. Overnight lows Friday night should be in the 40s for most.
Saturday should start out dry, but chances for showers will increase during the afternoon once again as the next shortwave disturbance approaches from the west. Chances for showers will linger into the overnight as upper troughing builds overhead.
High temperatures on Saturday are generally expected to be in the 60s, with overnight lows Saturday night in the 40s to lower 50s.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Upper trough axis will begin to move further north of the area during the day on Sunday. Some showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible, mainly north of I-66/US-50. This will be where the better forcing is. Severe chances are limited at this time for this particular event. Highs will be in the upper 60s to low 70s for most lower elevations, with 50s across the higher terrain.
Drier air works in for the start of the workweek with high pressure nearby. A mix of sun and clouds is expected with highs climbing back up into the low to mid 70s for most areas. Moisture returns on Tuesday and Wednesday ahead of an approaching low pressure system from the south slowly moving further northeast. Expect on and off periods of rain both days with isolated to scattered chances of thunderstorms in the afternoon and early evening. Cannot rule out an isolated severe thunderstorm with these systems, especially Wednesday as the associated warm front continues to move further north. Highs will continue to be in the low to mid 70s for areas east of the Allegheny Front (60s). Lows will drop down mostly in the 60s during the middle part of the week.
AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Conditions are currently VFR at all terminals, but ceilings should gradually drop throughout the day, becoming MVFR this afternoon, and then IFR tonight. The exception will be CHO, which should stay VFR through the day, before dropping to MVFR and then IFR tonight. Showers will be possible on and off throughout the day, and a thunderstorm may be possible at CHO later this afternoon. VCTS has been introduced there to account for that possibility. A rumble of thunder can't be ruled out elsewhere this evening, but the chance is far too low to mention directly in the TAFs. IFR ceilings and chances for showers will linger through the day tomorrow. Improvement back to VFR conditions is expected on Saturday, but additional chances for showers will move back in late Saturday afternoon into Saturday night.
Winds will be out of the east today, northeast tomorrow, north tomorrow night, and then south on Saturday.
Occasional sub- VFR ceilings will be possible on Sunday, especially for the northernmost terminals. Otherwise, VFR conditions will persist with northwest winds gusting 15 to 20 knots at times during the afternoon. Winds turn more southerly with VFR conditions in place for Monday.
MARINE
Sub-SCA easterly winds are expected during the day today. These easterly winds may near low-end SCA values for a time this evening as low pressure passes to our south. Wind turn northeasterly tomorrow, northerly tomorrow night, and then southerly by Saturday afternoon.
SCAs may be needed Sunday into early Monday as a result of strengthening pressure gradient near the waters. No other marine hazards are expected during the long-term period.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Southerly winds will allow for minor flooding across some sensitive locations this morning. These levels will likely drop later today.
Additional minor flooding will be possible late tonight into Friday morning for the high tide cycle. Levels should drop well off by Sunday when offshore northwest flow kicks in across the area.
LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DC...None.
MD...Coastal Flood Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for MDZ014.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 5 AM EDT early this morning for MDZ017.
VA...None.
WV...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 401 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024
SYNOPSIS
A stationary boundary will reside across the area today. Troughing will dig across the eastern US this weekend. High pressure will build offshore early next week, with low pressure approaching from the middle of the country during the middle of the week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 330 AM, current radar imagery shows a large complex of thunderstorms tracking to our south across southern VA and the Carolinas, with just a few showers moving into the central Shenandoah Valley and central VA. An additional area of thunderstorms is situated off to our west extending from eastern OH across northern WV. These storms are forming along a stationary boundary which extends eastward into our forecast area. A few additional showers and storms may try to develop eastward along this boundary across far western MD and the WV Panhandle over the coming hours. The light area of showers across the central Shenandoah Valley and central VA may also start to expand in coverage as it spreads northeastward during the pre-dawn hours.
Chances for showers will continue through much of the morning into the early afternoon, although coverage of these showers should be rather low. Thick overcast will persist across the northern half of the area through the day to the north of a stationary boundary that stretch from west to east across the central Shenandoah Valley and central Virginia. Less low cloud cover is expected to the south of the boundary, which will allow temperatures to climb into the upper 70s to near 80. Further north, high temperatures in the 60s are forecast to the north of roughly I-66/US-50.
A surface low will track from the mid-Mississippi Valley this morning toward WV this evening. As this surface low approaches, low-level forcing ascent in the vicinity of the surface boundary will gradually increase, leading to increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms. Model guidance shows that surface based instability should remain confined to near/south of this boundary across the central Shenandoah Valley/central VA.
Further north, no instability is expected through much of the day, with only elevated instability developing after dark as the surface low approaches from the west. As a result, the greatest chance for strong to severe thunderstorms is expected to reside in the vicinity of the boundary across the central Shenandoah Valley and central Virginia. In those locations, model soundings show around 1000 J/kg of MLCAPE and 50 knots of effective bulk shear, with some limited low-level curvature in hodographs. As a result, supercell, and all severe hazards appear possible in that area. However, the tornado threat does appear minimal. In terms of timing, storms may develop as early as mid-afternoon, but the threat may persist through the evening as the surface low and better forcing approaches from the west. Further north, an elevated thunderstorm can't be ruled out during the evening, but the threat for severe thunderstorms appears to be low.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
A potent shortwave trough will track from the Ohio Valley eastward toward the crest of the Appalachians during the day Friday. Large scale ascent downstream of the trough axis will lead to continued chances for showers across much of the forecast area, with the most frequent showers expected to the north of I-66/US-50. Temperatures will remain cool, with highs in the upper 50s and lower 60s for most. Temperatures may be a bit warmer across central Virginia (highs near 70), where they'll receive less in the way of rain.
The aforementioned shortwave trough will pass to our east Friday night, but another shortwave will follow on its heels, tracking into the Ohio Valley late Friday night. While showers may linger through a portion of the night, a brief period of clearing may move in between the two systems. If skies are able to clear out for a time, some patchy fog may be possible in more sheltered valleys. Overnight lows Friday night should be in the 40s for most.
Saturday should start out dry, but chances for showers will increase during the afternoon once again as the next shortwave disturbance approaches from the west. Chances for showers will linger into the overnight as upper troughing builds overhead.
High temperatures on Saturday are generally expected to be in the 60s, with overnight lows Saturday night in the 40s to lower 50s.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Upper trough axis will begin to move further north of the area during the day on Sunday. Some showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible, mainly north of I-66/US-50. This will be where the better forcing is. Severe chances are limited at this time for this particular event. Highs will be in the upper 60s to low 70s for most lower elevations, with 50s across the higher terrain.
Drier air works in for the start of the workweek with high pressure nearby. A mix of sun and clouds is expected with highs climbing back up into the low to mid 70s for most areas. Moisture returns on Tuesday and Wednesday ahead of an approaching low pressure system from the south slowly moving further northeast. Expect on and off periods of rain both days with isolated to scattered chances of thunderstorms in the afternoon and early evening. Cannot rule out an isolated severe thunderstorm with these systems, especially Wednesday as the associated warm front continues to move further north. Highs will continue to be in the low to mid 70s for areas east of the Allegheny Front (60s). Lows will drop down mostly in the 60s during the middle part of the week.
AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Conditions are currently VFR at all terminals, but ceilings should gradually drop throughout the day, becoming MVFR this afternoon, and then IFR tonight. The exception will be CHO, which should stay VFR through the day, before dropping to MVFR and then IFR tonight. Showers will be possible on and off throughout the day, and a thunderstorm may be possible at CHO later this afternoon. VCTS has been introduced there to account for that possibility. A rumble of thunder can't be ruled out elsewhere this evening, but the chance is far too low to mention directly in the TAFs. IFR ceilings and chances for showers will linger through the day tomorrow. Improvement back to VFR conditions is expected on Saturday, but additional chances for showers will move back in late Saturday afternoon into Saturday night.
Winds will be out of the east today, northeast tomorrow, north tomorrow night, and then south on Saturday.
Occasional sub- VFR ceilings will be possible on Sunday, especially for the northernmost terminals. Otherwise, VFR conditions will persist with northwest winds gusting 15 to 20 knots at times during the afternoon. Winds turn more southerly with VFR conditions in place for Monday.
MARINE
Sub-SCA easterly winds are expected during the day today. These easterly winds may near low-end SCA values for a time this evening as low pressure passes to our south. Wind turn northeasterly tomorrow, northerly tomorrow night, and then southerly by Saturday afternoon.
SCAs may be needed Sunday into early Monday as a result of strengthening pressure gradient near the waters. No other marine hazards are expected during the long-term period.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Southerly winds will allow for minor flooding across some sensitive locations this morning. These levels will likely drop later today.
Additional minor flooding will be possible late tonight into Friday morning for the high tide cycle. Levels should drop well off by Sunday when offshore northwest flow kicks in across the area.
LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DC...None.
MD...Coastal Flood Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for MDZ014.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 5 AM EDT early this morning for MDZ017.
VA...None.
WV...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| TCBM2 - 8573364 - Tolchester Beach, MD | 12 mi | 65 min | NNE 4.1G | 29.70 | ||||
| 44043 - Patapsco, MD | 18 mi | 29 min | N 5.8G | 66°F | 67°F | 0 ft | ||
| FSKM2 - 8574728 - Francis Scott Key Bridge, MD | 18 mi | 47 min | N 6G | 69°F | ||||
| BLTM2 - 8574680 - Baltimore, MD | 19 mi | 47 min | N 2.9G | 68°F | 70°F | |||
| CBCM2 | 19 mi | 47 min | N 6G | 69°F | 69°F | 29.67 | 58°F | |
| CHCM2 - 8573927 - Chesapeake City, MD | 26 mi | 47 min | 0G | 59°F | 66°F | 29.70 | ||
| CPVM2 | 28 mi | 47 min | 68°F | 61°F | ||||
| APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD | 30 mi | 47 min | NW 4.1G | 66°F | 71°F | 29.68 | ||
| 44063 - Annapolis | 31 mi | 29 min | NW 3.9G | 65°F | 66°F | |||
| TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD | 35 mi | 47 min | NNW 5.1G | 69°F | 29.72 | |||
| DELD1 - 8551762 - Delaware City, DE | 38 mi | 83 min | NW 2.9G | 63°F | 29.69 | |||
| RDYD1 - 8551910 - Reedy Point, DE | 38 mi | 47 min | 62°F | 65°F | 29.69 | |||
| SJSN4 - 8537121 - Ship John Shoal, NJ | 47 mi | 47 min | N 6G | 66°F | 29.71 | |||
| BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD | 48 mi | 77 min | NW 1 | 61°F | 29.68 | 61°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KAPG PHILLIPS AAF,MD | 7 sm | 52 min | calm | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 55°F | 55°F | 100% | 29.70 | |
| KMTN MARTIN STATE,MD | 9 sm | 58 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 61°F | 55°F | 82% | 29.71 |
Tide / Current for Pond Point, Bush River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Pond Point, Bush River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland, Tide feet
Battery Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:33 AM EDT 0.14 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:57 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 06:39 AM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 09:20 AM EDT 2.28 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:53 PM EDT 0.33 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:07 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 09:33 PM EDT 1.18 feet High Tide
Thu -- 10:27 PM EDT Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:33 AM EDT 0.14 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:57 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 06:39 AM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 09:20 AM EDT 2.28 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:53 PM EDT 0.33 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:07 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 09:33 PM EDT 1.18 feet High Tide
Thu -- 10:27 PM EDT Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Battery Point, Gunpowder River, Maryland, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.6 |
| 1 am |
| 0.3 |
| 2 am |
| 0.2 |
| 3 am |
| 0.2 |
| 4 am |
| 0.3 |
| 5 am |
| 0.7 |
| 6 am |
| 1.2 |
| 7 am |
| 1.7 |
| 8 am |
| 2.1 |
| 9 am |
| 2.3 |
| 10 am |
| 2.2 |
| 11 am |
| 2 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 8 pm |
| 1 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 1 |
Dover AFB, DE,
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