Monday, August10, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Circleville, OH

Version 3.4 		NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
Sunrise 6:37AMSunset 8:34PM Monday August 10, 2020 2:04 PM EDT (18:04 UTC) Moonrise 11:18PMMoonset 12:14PM Illumination 58% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Circleville, OH
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location: 39.64, -82.89     debug

Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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FXUS61 KILN 101758 AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 158 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020

SYNOPSIS. Several weather disturbances will work through the area this week bringing daily thunderstorm chances to the region.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Updated the forecast early this morning to increase PoPs across southeast Indiana into the rest of the Cinci Tri-State. Models drop this convection southeast, lingering it in the tri-sate during the morning into the early afternoon. Didn't adjust highs right now, but will have to check on them to see if the thunderstorms will keep them down.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/. Another disturbance is expected to work into the region this evening into Tuesday morning. Cannot rule an isolated strong to severe storm as this feature moves through. Any lull in the precipitation will be short lived as yet anther disturbance is expected to move through on Tuesday.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. A cold front will push south of the area through Tuesday night and this should lead to a decreasing chance of showers and thunderstorms from north to south through the night. A weak zonal flow pattern will then set up across the region through mid to late week. This will help drag a series of weak mid level short waves east across the Ohio Valley through the end of the work week, before perhaps carving out a bit more of an upper level trough heading into this weekend. As a result, expect occasional chances for showers and thunderstorms through the remainder of the long term period. While there will likely be a diurnal enhancement to the pcpn chances, will at least linger slight chance pops through the non diurnal times too, as this will also be somewhat dependent on the timing of any short waves. Temperatures will be fairly seasonable through the period with afternoon highs generally in the mid to upper 80s.

AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Convection that has been affecting areas around CVG/LUK continues to weaken and move southeast. Those tafs should remain dry for the afternoon. In addition the lingering broken ceilings from the showers should scatter in the next hour or so. Rest of the tafs will be VFR with scattered clouds.

Focus shifts to convective complex that is forecast to push through the region after 00Z. A blend of the HRRR/HIRESWarw and HIRESWnmm appears to handle the situation the best. Right now, expect a convective line to reach DAY around 00-01Z. Movement of the line looks like it will be se to south, so have the thunderstorms affecting CVG/LUK/ILN also. CMH/LCK looks like they might only get brushed with system. Ceilings and visibilities in the thunderstorms could drop to IFR but for now will only forecast them to MVFR. Also, did not forecast a gust this far out.

Storms are expected be south of the tafs by 06Z. Confidence on how much cloud cover there will be post storms is low. Scattered them out for now. Some spots could see some fog also.

For Tuesday, after any fog dissipates, expect diurnal cu to develop 14-15Z and then some scattered shra and tsra for the late morning and afternoon hours.

OUTLOOK . Thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday through Saturday, mainly in the afternoon and evening.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. KY . None. IN . None.

SYNOPSIS . Novak NEAR TERM . Sites SHORT TERM . Novak LONG TERM . JGL AVIATION . Sites

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rickenbacker Air National Guard Base, OH13 mi70 minS 410.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F69°F61%1017.9 hPa
Lancaster, Fairfield County Airport, OH14 mi72 minS 710.00 miFair86°F68°F55%1017.4 hPa
Columbus, Bolton Field Airport, OH22 mi80 minSSW 6 G 1710.00 miMostly Cloudy82°F71°F70%1018.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLCK

Wind History from LCK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW5SW5SW4SW7SW6--W5SE3SE6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmCalmCalmS4S4S3S7S4S8
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1 day agoSW4SW6W5SW4SW3W5W3S3S3S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmS3CalmSW4W5W4SW5
2 days agoE4SW4CalmNW5NW5N4NE4N6--N5N3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmNW5
Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.