Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Surf City, NJ
April 23, 2024 5:31 PM EDT (21:31 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:05 AM Sunset 7:45 PM Moonrise 7:43 PM Moonset 5:49 AM |
ANZ451 Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 402 Pm Edt Tue Apr 23 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through late Wednesday night - .
Tonight - S winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft after midnight. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 4 seconds and se 3 ft at 9 seconds, becoming S 4 ft at 5 seconds and E 4 ft at 10 seconds.
Wed - SW winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 5 seconds and E 4 ft at 11 seconds. A chance of showers in the morning.
Wed night - NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 10 seconds and N 3 ft at 4 seconds.
Thu - NE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: ne 3 ft at 5 seconds and E 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Thu night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: ne 2 ft at 5 seconds and E 2 ft at 8 seconds.
Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 4 seconds and E 2 ft at 8 seconds.
Fri night - SE winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat - SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Sun - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Sun night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
ANZ400 402 Pm Edt Tue Apr 23 2024
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay - High pressure builds in early this morning and lingers through the remainder of the day, before a series of fronts and low pressure systems affect the east coast Wednesday through the end of the week. High pressure looks to return to end the weekend and start the new week.
Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 232031 AFDPHI
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 431 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
SYNOPSIS
The center of high pressure will continue to build to our south as low pressure tracks through Ontario and Quebec. This will drag a cold front will across our region Wednesday. High pressure then arrives from the Great Lakes Thursday before shifting to our northeast and east during Friday. A warm front should lift north of our area late Saturday, then a cold front gradually approaches later Monday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Conditions remain comfortable across the region with temperatures mainly in the upper 60s and mostly clear skies though some cirrus clouds are beginning to move into the region. With only a few high clouds around at sunset, temperatures will fall fairly rapidly into the mid 50s this evening due to both the lack of clouds and dew points in the low to mid 30s. However, with the approach of an upper- level trough, clouds and dew points will both increase through the overnight hours which will slow the rate of cooling. Overnight lows will be in the upper 40s to low 50s. With the approaching trough, some showers may move into the region, particularly during the pre- dawn hours Wednesday morning. However, with the drier air in place, these showers are expected to remain isolated to scattered so PoPs remain around 20-30%.
The upper-level trough is then forecast to swing across our region during the day Wednesday. This will drive a cold front across our area during mainly Wednesday morning, bringing a break to the showers, particularly across the southern half of the area. This system looks to have limited moisture with it, without a tap to Gulf of Mexico moisture, and therefore rainfall amounts are forecast to be very light. While the main cold front shifts offshore by early afternoon, a secondary cold front or trough (dew point front) may arrive by late afternoon. Since the cold front continues to look faster, more drying is forecast to be working into the area through the afternoon. This would tend to decrease the instability, however the model forecast soundings show some weak instability present in the afternoon. The overall forcing though may be on the weaker side, however the model forecast soundings also show lowering freezing levels and steepening low level lapse rates. If a heavy shower or thunderstorm were able to develop in the afternoon ahead of the dew point front, then locally gusty winds and small hail will be possible. Overall though with the extent of the drying forecast from about late morning through the afternoon, the thunder potential looks to be on the low side. PoPs for this period are around 15-25%.
Mild temperatures Wednesday for most of the area with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. However, a strengthening/gusty west to northwest wind will be in place in the afternoon and evening with gusts of 25-30 mph possible. The sky will clear especially later in the day as high pressure begins to build in.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
Colder, drier air moves in Wednesday night due to northerly winds in the wake of the cold front. It looks like the winds may stay up enough to keep frost from being an issue but it does look like portions of NW NJ and the southern Poconos will see lows get down to right around or below freezing so a Freeze Watch has been issued for our NW NJ zones where the growing season has started.
A notably colder and dry air mass will be in place Thursday despite a mainly sunny sky with high temperatures mostly in the 50s. An onshore wind will also keep it even cooler along the coastal areas.
Thursday night may feature more areas of frost with temperatures dropping into the 30s for much of the area and lighter winds compared to Wednesday night. This will be followed by another mainly sunny day for Friday under the continuing influence of high pressure that will be starting to shift offshore. This will help cause winds to shift from ENE early in the day to ESE and then eventually SSE.
High temperatures should be about 5 degrees warmer compared to Thursday with highs mostly in the low to mid 60s except 50s near the coast and over the southern Poconos.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
Surface high pressure will be over the western Atlantic Friday night through Saturday as an upper level ridge starts to build along the east coast. Meanwhile low pressure tracks north and east into the upper Great Lakes helping pushing a warm front through PA and upstate NY. This will bring the area a mainly cloudy day but the chance of showers looks low...only around 15 to 20 percent near the I-95 corridor and 20 to 30 percent over the Lehigh Valley into the southern Poconos. Highs should be mainly in the upper 50s to low 60s.
For Saturday night through Sunday, the initial low tracks by well to to our north over eastern Canada but by later Sunday a new low will be emerging over the central CONUS. This will help keep the upper level ridge in place over the east with a southwest flow at the surface ushering in warmer air. As a result, expect highs shooting into the mid to upper 70s for most under variable cloud cover. Right near the coast and over the Pocono Plateau it will be cooler though with highs mainly in the upper 60s to low 70s.
By early next week, temperatures have the potential to be even warmer than Sunday as they may get into the low to mid 80s. However there will also be an approaching cold front that will bring chances for some showers and storms beginning as early as late Monday with better chances for these by Tuesday afternoon into the early evening.
AVIATION /21Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...
Through today...VFR. Southerly winds around 10 kts. Gusts of 15-20 kts possible this afternoon. High confidence.
Tonight...VFR. A few showers are possible late, but no reductions in cigs or vsby expected before dawn Wednesday. Winds south- southwesterly 5-10 kts. High confidence.
Wednesday...Mainly VFR. A brief period of MVFR conditions possible (15%) with some scattered showers. Winds begin southwesterly around 10 knots and shift to west then northwest through the day. Gusts of 20-25 knots by the afternoon. High confidence on mainly VFR conditions.
Outlook...
Thursday and Friday...VFR.
Saturday and Sunday...VFR overall.
MARINE
Winds are beginning to reach Small Craft Advisory levels on the Delaware Bay, as well as the northern half of the New Jersey coastal waters. Therefore, a Small Craft Advisory remains in place for these areas. Tonight, the gusts on the bay diminish, but on the oceans they should increase, so SCA's expand to all ocean zones after midnight. Seas will also build, reaching low-end criteria by early Wednesday morning. During the day Wednesday, seas continue to build, peaking around 5-7 feet. Gusts will begin to diminish but likely remain elevated around 20 knots.
Outlook...
Wednesday night through Thursday...Small Craft Advisory conditions Wednesday night with these diminishing Thursday morning.
Friday through Sunday...The conditions are anticipated to be below Small Craft Advisory criteria.
FIRE WEATHER
Though there will be some moisture advection with an approaching system, the region will remain fairly dry today. Min RH values across the region will be in the 25-35% range, with southerly wind gusts in 15-25 mph range. As was done for Monday, a Special Weather Statement for increased fire danger has been issued for today.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
A period of southerly flow will occur into Wednesday morning ahead of a cold front. This is forecast to result in surge values rising to 1-2 feet above normal along Delaware Bay, the tidal Delaware River, and Chesapeake Bay. With the full moon occurring today, astronomical tides will be maximized around this time as well. This should result in some areas of minor coastal flooding with the Wednesday morning high tide. As it stands currently (Tuesday afternoon), sites in the Delaware Bay and the Chesapeake will touch minor flooding, but stay below the threshold to issue an Advisory. PETSS guidance remains relatively bullish on Tolchester Beach getting near Moderate, with some guidance suggesting they will not even touch minor at all. If anywhere were to need an advisory, it would be the Maryland Eastern Shore, but the forecast suggests that isn't necessary at the moment.
Coastal flooding is not currently anticipated along the Atlantic coast, except for potentially Barnegat Bay.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...Freeze Watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday morning for NJZ001-007-008.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ430- 431.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ450-451.
Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ452>455.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 431 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
SYNOPSIS
The center of high pressure will continue to build to our south as low pressure tracks through Ontario and Quebec. This will drag a cold front will across our region Wednesday. High pressure then arrives from the Great Lakes Thursday before shifting to our northeast and east during Friday. A warm front should lift north of our area late Saturday, then a cold front gradually approaches later Monday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Conditions remain comfortable across the region with temperatures mainly in the upper 60s and mostly clear skies though some cirrus clouds are beginning to move into the region. With only a few high clouds around at sunset, temperatures will fall fairly rapidly into the mid 50s this evening due to both the lack of clouds and dew points in the low to mid 30s. However, with the approach of an upper- level trough, clouds and dew points will both increase through the overnight hours which will slow the rate of cooling. Overnight lows will be in the upper 40s to low 50s. With the approaching trough, some showers may move into the region, particularly during the pre- dawn hours Wednesday morning. However, with the drier air in place, these showers are expected to remain isolated to scattered so PoPs remain around 20-30%.
The upper-level trough is then forecast to swing across our region during the day Wednesday. This will drive a cold front across our area during mainly Wednesday morning, bringing a break to the showers, particularly across the southern half of the area. This system looks to have limited moisture with it, without a tap to Gulf of Mexico moisture, and therefore rainfall amounts are forecast to be very light. While the main cold front shifts offshore by early afternoon, a secondary cold front or trough (dew point front) may arrive by late afternoon. Since the cold front continues to look faster, more drying is forecast to be working into the area through the afternoon. This would tend to decrease the instability, however the model forecast soundings show some weak instability present in the afternoon. The overall forcing though may be on the weaker side, however the model forecast soundings also show lowering freezing levels and steepening low level lapse rates. If a heavy shower or thunderstorm were able to develop in the afternoon ahead of the dew point front, then locally gusty winds and small hail will be possible. Overall though with the extent of the drying forecast from about late morning through the afternoon, the thunder potential looks to be on the low side. PoPs for this period are around 15-25%.
Mild temperatures Wednesday for most of the area with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. However, a strengthening/gusty west to northwest wind will be in place in the afternoon and evening with gusts of 25-30 mph possible. The sky will clear especially later in the day as high pressure begins to build in.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
Colder, drier air moves in Wednesday night due to northerly winds in the wake of the cold front. It looks like the winds may stay up enough to keep frost from being an issue but it does look like portions of NW NJ and the southern Poconos will see lows get down to right around or below freezing so a Freeze Watch has been issued for our NW NJ zones where the growing season has started.
A notably colder and dry air mass will be in place Thursday despite a mainly sunny sky with high temperatures mostly in the 50s. An onshore wind will also keep it even cooler along the coastal areas.
Thursday night may feature more areas of frost with temperatures dropping into the 30s for much of the area and lighter winds compared to Wednesday night. This will be followed by another mainly sunny day for Friday under the continuing influence of high pressure that will be starting to shift offshore. This will help cause winds to shift from ENE early in the day to ESE and then eventually SSE.
High temperatures should be about 5 degrees warmer compared to Thursday with highs mostly in the low to mid 60s except 50s near the coast and over the southern Poconos.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
Surface high pressure will be over the western Atlantic Friday night through Saturday as an upper level ridge starts to build along the east coast. Meanwhile low pressure tracks north and east into the upper Great Lakes helping pushing a warm front through PA and upstate NY. This will bring the area a mainly cloudy day but the chance of showers looks low...only around 15 to 20 percent near the I-95 corridor and 20 to 30 percent over the Lehigh Valley into the southern Poconos. Highs should be mainly in the upper 50s to low 60s.
For Saturday night through Sunday, the initial low tracks by well to to our north over eastern Canada but by later Sunday a new low will be emerging over the central CONUS. This will help keep the upper level ridge in place over the east with a southwest flow at the surface ushering in warmer air. As a result, expect highs shooting into the mid to upper 70s for most under variable cloud cover. Right near the coast and over the Pocono Plateau it will be cooler though with highs mainly in the upper 60s to low 70s.
By early next week, temperatures have the potential to be even warmer than Sunday as they may get into the low to mid 80s. However there will also be an approaching cold front that will bring chances for some showers and storms beginning as early as late Monday with better chances for these by Tuesday afternoon into the early evening.
AVIATION /21Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...
Through today...VFR. Southerly winds around 10 kts. Gusts of 15-20 kts possible this afternoon. High confidence.
Tonight...VFR. A few showers are possible late, but no reductions in cigs or vsby expected before dawn Wednesday. Winds south- southwesterly 5-10 kts. High confidence.
Wednesday...Mainly VFR. A brief period of MVFR conditions possible (15%) with some scattered showers. Winds begin southwesterly around 10 knots and shift to west then northwest through the day. Gusts of 20-25 knots by the afternoon. High confidence on mainly VFR conditions.
Outlook...
Thursday and Friday...VFR.
Saturday and Sunday...VFR overall.
MARINE
Winds are beginning to reach Small Craft Advisory levels on the Delaware Bay, as well as the northern half of the New Jersey coastal waters. Therefore, a Small Craft Advisory remains in place for these areas. Tonight, the gusts on the bay diminish, but on the oceans they should increase, so SCA's expand to all ocean zones after midnight. Seas will also build, reaching low-end criteria by early Wednesday morning. During the day Wednesday, seas continue to build, peaking around 5-7 feet. Gusts will begin to diminish but likely remain elevated around 20 knots.
Outlook...
Wednesday night through Thursday...Small Craft Advisory conditions Wednesday night with these diminishing Thursday morning.
Friday through Sunday...The conditions are anticipated to be below Small Craft Advisory criteria.
FIRE WEATHER
Though there will be some moisture advection with an approaching system, the region will remain fairly dry today. Min RH values across the region will be in the 25-35% range, with southerly wind gusts in 15-25 mph range. As was done for Monday, a Special Weather Statement for increased fire danger has been issued for today.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
A period of southerly flow will occur into Wednesday morning ahead of a cold front. This is forecast to result in surge values rising to 1-2 feet above normal along Delaware Bay, the tidal Delaware River, and Chesapeake Bay. With the full moon occurring today, astronomical tides will be maximized around this time as well. This should result in some areas of minor coastal flooding with the Wednesday morning high tide. As it stands currently (Tuesday afternoon), sites in the Delaware Bay and the Chesapeake will touch minor flooding, but stay below the threshold to issue an Advisory. PETSS guidance remains relatively bullish on Tolchester Beach getting near Moderate, with some guidance suggesting they will not even touch minor at all. If anywhere were to need an advisory, it would be the Maryland Eastern Shore, but the forecast suggests that isn't necessary at the moment.
Coastal flooding is not currently anticipated along the Atlantic coast, except for potentially Barnegat Bay.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...Freeze Watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday morning for NJZ001-007-008.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ430- 431.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ450-451.
Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ452>455.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ | 19 mi | 61 min | ESE 12 | 60°F | 30.12 | 41°F | ||
| 44091 | 22 mi | 35 min | 49°F | 3 ft | ||||
| ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ | 26 mi | 43 min | 50°F | 53°F | 30.03 | |||
| NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA | 45 mi | 43 min | SSE 11G | 64°F | 55°F | 29.99 | ||
| BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ | 47 mi | 55 min | S 8G | 67°F | 54°F | 29.98 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KMJX OCEAN COUNTY,NJ | 19 sm | 35 min | S 10G21 | 7 sm | Clear | Lt Rain | 57°F | 30°F | 36% | 30.05 |
Tide / Current for North Beach, Manahawkin Bay, New Jersey
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North Beach
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:49 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:07 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 06:32 AM EDT 0.04 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:22 AM EDT 1.03 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:38 PM EDT 0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:42 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:43 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 07:51 PM EDT Full Moon
Tue -- 11:41 PM EDT 1.19 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:49 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:07 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 06:32 AM EDT 0.04 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:22 AM EDT 1.03 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:38 PM EDT 0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:42 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:43 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 07:51 PM EDT Full Moon
Tue -- 11:41 PM EDT 1.19 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
North Beach, Manahawkin Bay, New Jersey, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.1 |
| 1 am |
| 1 |
| 2 am |
| 0.8 |
| 3 am |
| 0.5 |
| 4 am |
| 0.3 |
| 5 am |
| 0.2 |
| 6 am |
| 0.1 |
| 7 am |
| 0.1 |
| 8 am |
| 0.3 |
| 9 am |
| 0.6 |
| 10 am |
| 0.9 |
| 11 am |
| 1 |
| 12 pm |
| 1 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.1 |
Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:17 AM EDT -2.57 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:11 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:48 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:06 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:43 AM EDT 1.95 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 10:55 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 02:32 PM EDT -2.30 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:08 PM EDT 0.01 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:42 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:43 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 07:51 PM EDT Full Moon
Tue -- 07:55 PM EDT 2.35 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 11:11 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:17 AM EDT -2.57 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:11 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:48 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:06 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:43 AM EDT 1.95 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 10:55 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 02:32 PM EDT -2.30 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:08 PM EDT 0.01 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:42 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:43 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 07:51 PM EDT Full Moon
Tue -- 07:55 PM EDT 2.35 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 11:11 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current, knots
| 12 am |
| -1.3 |
| 1 am |
| -2.1 |
| 2 am |
| -2.5 |
| 3 am |
| -2.4 |
| 4 am |
| -1.5 |
| 5 am |
| -0.2 |
| 6 am |
| 1 |
| 7 am |
| 1.8 |
| 8 am |
| 1.9 |
| 9 am |
| 1.5 |
| 10 am |
| 0.8 |
| 11 am |
| -0.1 |
| 12 pm |
| -0.9 |
| 1 pm |
| -1.7 |
| 2 pm |
| -2.2 |
| 3 pm |
| -2.2 |
| 4 pm |
| -1.4 |
| 5 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 2 |
| 8 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 9 pm |
| 2 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.2 |
Philadelphia, PA,
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