Thursday, February20, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ware, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:41AMSunset 5:39PM Thursday February 20, 2020 7:50 PM EST (00:50 UTC) Moonrise 6:09AMMoonset 3:47PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ451 Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 613 Pm Est Thu Feb 20 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from midnight est tonight through Friday morning...
Tonight..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt late this evening, then increasing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft or less, then 3 to 5 ft late this evening and overnight. SWell mainly from the ne with a dominant period of 5 seconds. A chance of light freezing spray late.
Fri..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the ne with a dominant period of 6 seconds. A chance of light freezing spray early in the morning.
Fri night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft late. SWell mainly from the ne with a dominant period of 6 seconds.
Sat..W winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft. SWell mainly from the N with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Sat night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas around 3 ft.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of rain.
Tue..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Rain likely.
Tue night..SE winds around 5 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Rain likely, mainly in the evening.
ANZ400 613 Pm Est Thu Feb 20 2020
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. High pressure located over the upper midwest will continue to slowly shift south and east over the next few days, with the center of the high finally passing off the carolina coast on Sunday. Low pressure is expected to progress from the middle mississippi river valley on Monday to the northeastern states on Tuesday. Another area of low pressure may trail behind this low and impact the area towards the middle of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Waretown CDP, NJ
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location: 39.81, -74.19     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 202318 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 618 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure located over the Upper Midwest will continue to slowly shift south and east over the next few days, with the center of the high finally passing off the Carolina coast on Sunday. Low pressure is expected to progress from the middle Mississippi River Valley on Monday to the northeastern states on Tuesday. Another area of low pressure may trail behind this low and impact the area towards the middle of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/. No significant changes with the early evening update. The strong upper level jet is expected to slide to the east northeast, reaching the waters off Nova Scotia late tonight. The high clouds associated with the jet should follow it.

A cold front extended across southern New England, southeastern New York and northern Pennsylvania at mid afternoon. The boundary will sink southward and through the remainder of eastern Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware and northeastern Maryland this evening. The front is expected to be accompanied by some stratocumulus. Also, there could be scattered flurries in the elevated terrain of the Pocono Region and northern New Jersey early this evening.

Low pressure located off the South Carolina coast this afternoon will progress northeastward and farther out to sea. The northern edge of the precipitation shield associated with the low is anticipated to pass very near Sussex County, Delaware. However, any light rain or light snow that falls there should be inconsequential.

Clearing is forecast to begin working its way over our region from the northwest late tonight.

A north wind around 10 mph is expected for tonight. Temperatures should fall into the teens at most locations in our region.

SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/. The axis of a mid level trough approaching from the northwest should pass overhead early on Friday morning. High pressure will continue to build from the middle of the country toward the East Coast.

We are expecting abundant sunshine for Friday along with a north to northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will be cold with afternoon readings mostly in the 30s. The forecast maximum temperatures are about 8 to 10 degrees below normal for February 21.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. Friday night through Sunday . The period begins with expansive high pressure over the central U.S. The high is expected to slowly drift southeast and weaken. At the upper levels, the forecast area will remain displaced from both the southern and northern jet streams which will further support the tranquil weather. Clear skies Friday night will give way to some high clouds across the north on Saturday and Sunday. Friday night should drop into the teens and 20s with the clear skies and light winds. Saturday will warm into the 40s and lower 50s. Saturday night should be 5 to 10 degrees warmer than Friday night. Sunday's highs will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s, which is about 10 degrees above normal.

Monday through Thursday . The high is expected to shift offshore on Monday. As a result, some moisture will return to the region as southerly flow increases. Guidance has slowed a bit with the arrival of the next storm system (with some lingering discrepancies among individual models), delaying it until Monday night or Tuesday. The thermal profiles do not support much chance of significant wintry precipitation with this system, so at the moment, we think this will be primarily a rain event with the most likely time for steady rain being Tuesday. There is the potential for a secondary system Wednesday into Thursday of next week but details are lacking at this time. Temperatures will likely be quite warm on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday with highs generally in the 50s (with some potential for 60s across the Delmarva), before cooling off a bit on Thursday behind the secondary system.

AVIATION /23Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight . VFR ceilings. Decreasing cloud cover late tonight. Northwest wind 5 to 10 knots, becoming north around 10 knots this evening. Gusts of 15 to 20 knots are possible late tonight. High confidence.

Friday . VFR under a mostly clear sky. North to northwest wind 5 to 10 knots. High confidence.

Outlook . Friday night . VFR. Southwest wind 6 knots or less. High confidence.

Saturday . VFR. West wind around 10 knots. High confidence.

Saturday night . VFR. Southwest to west wind 6 knots or less. High confidence.

Sunday . VFR. Southwest wind 5 to 10 knots. High confidence.

Sunday night . VFR. Southwest wind 6 knots or less, becoming south toward morning. High confidence.

Monday . Mainly VFR. A slight chance of rain in the afternoon. South wind 5 to 10 knots. Medium confidence.

Monday night . MVFR likely. A chance of rain. South wind 5 to 10 knots. Medium confidence.

Tuesday . MVFR and IFR likely in rain. Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Medium confidence.

MARINE. A north wind 15 to 20 knots with gusts near 30 knots is expected to develop for late tonight into Friday morning. As a result, the Small Craft Advisory will remain in effect. Wind speeds are forecast to diminish gradually on Friday afternoon.

Due to the gusty winds and water temperatures between 43 and 45 F, there is a chance for light freezing spray overnight.

Outlook . Friday night through Sunday night . Sub-SCA conditions expected through the period with seas generally running 2-3 ft and gusts 20 kts or less.

Monday . Sub-SCA conditions expected with seas generally running 2-3 ft and gusts 10 kts or less.

Monday night and Tuesday . Sub-SCA conditions expected with seas generally running 3-4 ft and gusts 15 kts or less.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 4 PM EST Friday for ANZ452>455. Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to noon EST Friday for ANZ430-431-450-451.

Synopsis . Kruzdlo Near Term . Iovino/Johnson Short Term . Iovino Long Term . Kruzdlo Aviation . Iovino/Kruzdlo Marine . Iovino/Johnson/Kruzdlo


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44091 22 mi20 min 44°F1 ft
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 24 mi80 min WNW 1 34°F 1030 hPa16°F
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 34 mi50 min 36°F 43°F1029.8 hPa (-0.0)
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 37 mi56 min N 5.1 G 7 34°F 40°F1030.6 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 41 mi74 min WNW 1 G 1.9 34°F 40°F1030 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 46 mi30 min WNW 14 G 18 35°F 1029.8 hPa17°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 46 mi50 min NW 15 G 18 34°F 41°F1030.5 hPa (+1.2)
BDSP1 49 mi50 min 34°F 1030.6 hPa (+1.0)

Wind History for Newbold, PA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miller Air Park, NJ10 mi54 minNNW 410.00 miFair31°F15°F52%1030.4 hPa
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ17 mi1.8 hrsN 010.00 miFair33°F10°F38%1029.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMJX

Wind History from MJX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN5CalmCalmCalmCalmN6N9N5NW6NW7W5W8W6NW5W3NW4
1 day agoCalmW3NW4W4Calm--NW5NW5NW9
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE4E4E3E65E4E6E64E6SE11
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Tide / Current Tables for Oyster Creek, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey
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Oyster Creek
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:49 AM EST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:08 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:43 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:58 AM EST     0.29 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:47 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 03:32 PM EST     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:38 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 09:27 PM EST     0.25 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.10000.10.20.20.30.30.30.20.20.100000.10.20.20.20.20.2

Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:44 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:28 AM EST     2.27 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:08 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:43 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:10 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:45 AM EST     -2.67 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 02:46 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 02:54 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:10 PM EST     1.64 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:37 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:27 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:54 PM EST     -2.18 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.8-0.90.31.52.22.21.710.1-0.7-1.6-2.4-2.6-2.1-1.10.11.21.61.510.3-0.4-1.1-1.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.