Saturday, September21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ocean Acres, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:42AMSunset 6:58PM Saturday September 21, 2019 5:36 PM EDT (21:36 UTC) Moonrise 11:33PMMoonset 1:46PM Illumination 47% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ451 Expires:201909220715;;138833 Fzus51 Kphi 211923 Cwfphi Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Mount Holly Nj 323 Pm Edt Sat Sep 21 2019 Sandy Hook Nj To Fenwick Island De To 20 Nm Offshore And Delaware Bay Anz450-451-220715- Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 323 Pm Edt Sat Sep 21 2019
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft until early morning, then 2 ft or less. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 11 seconds.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft in the afternoon. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Sun night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Mon..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 11 seconds.
Mon night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Tue night..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Thu night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
ANZ400 323 Pm Edt Sat Sep 21 2019
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. High pressure will continue to move slowly off the carolina coast tonight and Sunday. A weak surface low in the midwest on Sunday night will lift northeastward into new england and far southeast canada by Tuesday. An attendant cold front will move through the mid- atlantic region Monday night. High pressure build into the northeast for midweek, with another cold front moving through the area Thursday night. Another broad surface high will follow to close the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ocean Acres, NJ
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location: 39.81, -74.41     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 211931
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
331 pm edt Sat sep 21 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will continue to move slowly off the carolina coast
tonight and Sunday. A weak surface low in the midwest on Sunday
night will lift northeastward into new england and far southeast
canada by Tuesday. An attendant cold front will move through the mid-
atlantic region Monday night. High pressure build into the northeast
for midweek, with another cold front moving through the area Thursday
night. Another broad surface high will follow to close the week.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
Virtually a carbon copy of Friday night's weather for tonight's
weather. High pressure remains to our south offshore of the
carolinas and a weak surface trough remains across the area.

Although some cloud cover may develop overnight, vertical moisture
remains limited, so precipitation is not expected, regardless of any
short wave vorticity impulses. Some patchy fog may also develop
tonight, especially for valleys and lower lying areas.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through 6 pm Sunday
The ridge aloft breaks down on Sunday, while the high remains
offshore of the mid-atlantic coast and the weak surface trough
remains near the area. This will allow for the return flow to
continue through Sunday. Very warm temperatures and increasing
moisture are expected through Sunday. Later Sunday, there is a
chance some showers may develop to our west. They are mostly
expected to stay out of our area and remain near the surface trough
as it drifts westward through the day, there will be a slight chance
across the poconos late in the afternoon.

Long term Sunday night through Saturday
Sunday night through Tuesday...

warmth continues Monday as the upper-level ridge to our southwest
feeds warm return flow into the mid-atlantic and northeast.

Meanwhile to our west, another shortwave trough will make its way
across the great lakes as a surface low and cold front track across
the keystone state. Showers and thunderstorms should hold off for
most of the day as the main low-level convergent forcing remains
along the front. A few showers and storms may begin to move into our
western counties by late morning. However, the best chances should
hold off until late afternoon into the evening. Severe weather is
not expected at this point given the lack of instability, though a
few stronger thunderstorms may still be possible. Highs look to top
in the mid to upper 80s with the axis of warmest temperatures along
the i-95 corridor from new york to dc.

Dry weather returns Tuesday as the front pushes south of the CWA and
winds turn northwesterly. Cooler temperatures will result in
forecast highs about ten degrees cooler in the mid to upper 70s.

Tuesday night through Saturday...

low pressure over northern new england continues to depart Tuesday
night. Meanwhile, surface high pressure builds in from the west with
the center of the high building into west virginia. High pressure
will then dominate much of the midweek period, with the high sliding
off the southeast u.S. Coast during the day Wednesday, and then
moving out to sea Wednesday night.

Low pressure tracking across canada will drag a weak cold front
towards the region Wednesday night, but it will not fully cross
until late Thursday. The bulk of the upper shortwave energy looks to
stay well north of the region, so will only carry slight chance pops
for the southern poconos, lehigh valley, and northern new jersey.

High pressure returns thereafter, building nearly overhead on Friday
before moving offshore on Saturday. Another frontal system may
approach for Saturday night.

Highs during the middle to the end of the week will mostly be a few
degrees above normal, generally topping off in the mid to upper 70s.

The warmest day looks to be Thursday, when the area is in the warm
sector ahead of the approaching cold front, when highs will be in
the low to mid 80s.

Aviation 20z Saturday through Thursday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg, kilg,
kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Tonight... MostlyVFR conditions expected. Patchy fog may develop for
a few locations, mainly rdg, miv, and acy. Southwest winds 5-10
knots or less early this evening, then light and variable overnight.

Sunday...VFR conditions expected. Light and variable winds early,
increasing out of the southwest 5-10 knots during the day, with
gusts 15-20 knots possible.

Outlook...

Sunday night... MainlyVFR expected. Light southwest winds.

Monday and Monday night... MainlyVFR expected. MVFR or lower
possible in scattered afternoon showers. Southwest winds around 5 to
10 knots with some gusts around 15 to 20 knots (more likely closer
to kacy). Winds will turn to the west and then northwest late behind
a cold frontal passage.

Tuesday through Tuesday night... MainlyVFR expected. Northwest winds
around 5 to 10 knots.

Wednesday through Wednesday night... MainlyVFR expected. Northwest
winds around 5 to 10 knots turning southwest late.

Thursday... MainlyVFR expected. Southwest winds around 5 to 10 knots.

Marine
Tonight... Conditions expected to remain below advisory levels
overnight.

Sunday... Conditions expected to remain below advisory levels,
although winds may gust around 20 knots at times in the afternoon.

Outlook...

Sunday night through Monday night... Sustained south to southwest
winds around 15-20 knots will gust up to 25 knots at times,
especially over the ocean waters. Winds will begin to die down late
Monday night. Seas will build to around 5 feet by Monday afternoon
and evening before subsiding slightly overnight.

Tuesday through Thursday... Conditions are expected to remain
below small craft advisory criteria.

Rip currents...

a high risk for the development of dangerous rip currents
continues through today as the long period swells and high seas
continue from hurricane humberto. A rip current statement (under
the coastal hazard message) is carrying the related info.

The risk for Sunday is expected to be at least moderate as seas will
continue to slowly subside into Sunday.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... High rip current risk until 10 pm edt this evening for njz014-
024>026.

De... High rip current risk until 10 pm edt this evening for dez004.

Md... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Cms
near term... Robertson
short term... Robertson
long term... Davis mps
aviation... Robertson meola
marine... Robertson staarmann


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 19 mi66 min SSE 7 63°F 1022 hPa47°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 29 mi54 min SSE 1.9 G 4.1 83°F 73°F1021.9 hPa
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 31 mi48 min 71°F1022.7 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 31 mi60 min W 6 G 7 83°F 73°F1021.1 hPa
44091 34 mi36 min 71°F4 ft
BDSP1 37 mi48 min 75°F1021.5 hPa
PHBP1 - 8545240 - Philadelphia, PA 40 mi54 min 82°F 74°F1020.9 hPa

Wind History for Newbold, PA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miller Air Park, NJ10 mi40 minSE 910.00 miFair81°F62°F53%1021.7 hPa
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ17 mi96 minN 010.00 miFair85°F52°F32%1020.9 hPa
Mcguire Air Force Base, NJ18 mi1.7 hrsW 410.00 miA Few Clouds84°F50°F31%1021.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMJX

Wind History from MJX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW5SW3CalmCalmSW4SW3SW3SW4SW5SW5SW3SW3--CalmSW3W7W6NW5W7NW8W7W8SW4SE9
1 day agoSE5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW7W10W10W7W7W9W8
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2 days agoNE9NE6E4E5NE5NE4CalmCalmN3N33N3CalmN3N5N6NE8N10
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Tide / Current Tables for Marcus Hook, Pennsylvania, Delaware River, Pennsylvania
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Marcus Hook
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Sat -- 01:08 AM EDT     0.64 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:49 AM EDT     4.71 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 01:07 PM EDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:46 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:10 PM EDT     5.51 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:56 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:43 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sat -- 11:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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10.61.12.64.14.64.74.43.72.71.91.20.70.50.82.34.25.25.55.44.83.832.2

Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
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Sat -- 12:36 AM EDT     1.75 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 03:16 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:21 AM EDT     -1.74 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 09:53 AM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Sat -- 12:46 PM EDT     2.35 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 01:44 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:43 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:17 PM EDT     -2.11 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 10:43 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sat -- 11:02 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 11:32 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.71.10.2-0.6-1.2-1.6-1.7-1.7-10.11.32.12.31.80.7-0.3-1-1.6-1.9-2.1-2-1.2-0

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.