Friday, July10, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ocean Gate, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:36AMSunset 8:28PM Friday July 10, 2020 9:48 PM EDT (01:48 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 10:56AM Illumination 69% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ451 Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 853 Pm Edt Fri Jul 10 2020
.tropical storm warning in effect...
Tonight..Tropical storm conditions expected. SW winds 35 to 40 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 9 to 10 ft. Showers likely early this evening, then a chance of showers late this evening and early morning. A slight chance of showers late. Vsby 1 to 3 nm early this evening. Seas 9 to 10 ft dominant period 8 seconds.
Sat..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 5 to 6 ft. A chance of tstms early in the evening, then a chance of showers in the late evening and early morning. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 5 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas around 5 ft.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 5 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 5 ft. A chance of showers in the evening. Light swell in the evening.
Tue..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wed night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas around 3 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 853 Pm Edt Fri Jul 10 2020
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. Tropical storm fay will continue to move northward along the new jersey coast this evening before exiting to the northeast tonight and early Saturday. Weak high pressure will be over the area Saturday morning before a cold front crosses the region Saturday night. Another front will cross the area Monday. High pressure will build over the area for the middle of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ocean Gate borough, NJ
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As of July 8 NOAA did a network migration which caused issues with this section. Sorry for the inconfience.
location: 39.87, -74.16     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 110100 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 900 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020

SYNOPSIS. Tropical Storm Fay will continue to move northward along the New Jersey coast this evening before exiting to the northeast tonight and early Saturday. Weak high pressure will be over the area Saturday morning before a cold front crosses the region Saturday night. Another front will cross the area Monday. High pressure will build over the area for the middle of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/. Cancelled the remainder of the flash flood watch as heavy rain has mostly left our region. The heavy rain threat has come to an end, although some lingering light to moderate rain showers are still possible for the next few hours. However, the center of Fay is rapidly progressing north of our region. Winds should gradually decrease through the next several hours as the winds on the southwest quadrant of this storm appear to be much lower as compared to the northern half of the storm.

A decrease in cloud cover is expected as the storm progresses away from our area. However, localized fog is possible. Low temperatures should favor the upper 60s and lower 70s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/. Saturday looks to be a typical summertime day in our region with scattered cumulus and the potential for afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Highs are expected to be mainly in the upper 80s and lower 90s with a southwest wind around 10 MPH. Conditions will remain humid.

A mid level short wave trough is expected to approach from the west on Saturday. Abundant low level moisture will allow mixed layer CAPE values to rise into the 1500 to 2000 J/Kg range in the afternoon. The instability along with the short wave should result in the development of thunderstorms. Much of our region is under a marginal risk for severe weather.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. Tropical storm Fay will have diminished well north of the area by the start of the long term and a following trough with a surface cold front will be crossing the Middle Atlantic region Saturday evening. The scattered showers and tstms will end overnight with perhaps some patchy fog late at night.

Sunday and Sunday night generally look like fair weather across most of the region as weak high pressure builds over the area. Some shortwave energy north of the area may touch off a scattered shower or tstm across the southern Poconos and perhaps as far south as the Lehigh Valley. Confidence in these showers occuring is not great, so we'll just keep slight chc pops in mos areas with some chc pops near the N/W most edges of the CWA. Above normal temps with upper 80s/low 90s most areas. Dew points mostly in the mid 60s, so humid, but not excessively so.

Unsettled summerlike conditions are expected early next week with most days featuring some scattered showers and tstms (mostly) during the afternoon and early evening hours. Both days will have very warm conditions with highs 3 to 5 degrees above normal and humidity values rather humid.

Hot and humid conditions will develop across much of the Middle Atlantic for the middle of next week with an upper high pressure strengthening across the Tenn/Ohio Valley areas. Highs Wed/Thu will be mostly in the low to mid 90s with apparent temps in the mid 90s Wed and in the 100s on Thu. It could end up being the warmest day of the summer (Thu) if the present fcst number hold. Dry conditions are fcst for Wed and this will last into Thu when a few sct tstms may form during the afternoon.

AVIATION /01Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Into this evening . Mainly IFR/MVFR conditions, improving to VFR at times. Showers with isolated thunder. The rain will be moderate to heavy at times from KPHL northward. Northeast to northwest wind 10 to 15 knots with gusts of 20 to 25 knots. Medium confidence on most aspects of the forecast, but low confidence on timing of flight category changes.

Tonight . MVFR/VFR conditions. Rain showers lifting to the north of our region. However, once the rain showers clear, some fog could develop leading to visibility restrictions. Northwest to west wind less than 10 knots. Low confidence especially on fog development.

Saturday . Mainly VFR with a chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Southwest wind around 10 knots with gusts of 15 to 20 knots. Medium to high confidence.

Outlook .

Sat night thru Tue . VFR most of the time with only a few scattered showers and tstms mostly during the afternoon and early evening periods. Lower CIGS/VSBYS with any tstm.

Wed . Mostly VFR.

MARINE. The Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Great Egg Inlet to Sandy Hook. A Small Craft Advisory is in place for the rest of our marine area.

Tropical Storm Fay will continue to move slowly northward along the northern part of the New Jersey coast into this evening, before lifting into southeastern New York and southwestern New England overnight.

Wave heights on our ocean waters were mainly in the 6 to 10 foot range late this afternoon.

As the tropical storm moves away from our region late tonight and Saturday, conditions will improve. A south to southwest wind around 10 to 15 knots is anticipated for Saturday. Wave heights are expected to subside slowly but they may remain around 5 to 6 feet on our ocean waters for much of the day.

Outlook .

Seas on the ocean will continue to remain choppy Sun thru Tue with swell conditions expected to keep seas near SCA criteria. Winds will overall remain below SCA conditions however. Scattered tstms Sun thru Tue with locally higher winds and seas.

Rip Currents . At least a moderate risk for the formation of dangerous rip currents is expected to continue into Saturday and possibly into Sunday. Although winds will be shifting off shore, wave heights will remain elevated.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As Fay departs the area tonight we can expect that the tidal departures will remain elevated with 'close to minor' tidal flooding possible in a few areas. Right now, it doesn't appear to be widespread or significant enough to consider any flags, but we will continue to monitor overnight.

A southerly flow will develop across the Chesapeake Bay on Saturday as Fay departs and a cold front approaches. This will probably cause water levels to become higher than usual, so we'll monitor this overnight in case any flags or statements become necessary.

EQUIPMENT. The NOAA Weather Radio All Hazards broadcast from Hibernia Park, PA (WNG704) remains off the air until further notice due to damage to the antenna during the June 3 derecho.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . Tropical Storm Warning for NJZ012>014-020-022-025>027. High Rip Current Risk until 10 PM EDT this evening for NJZ014- 024>026. DE . High Rip Current Risk until 10 PM EDT this evening for DEZ004. MD . None. MARINE . Tropical Storm Warning for ANZ450>452. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Saturday for ANZ453>455.

Synopsis . O'Hara Near Term . Iovino/Johnson Short Term . Iovino Long Term . O'Hara Aviation . Iovino/Johnson/O'Hara Marine . Iovino/O'Hara Tides/Coastal Flooding . WFO PHI Equipment . WFO PHI


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44091 22 mi83 min 71°F9 ft
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 28 mi79 min ESE 11 75°F 1004 hPa74°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 36 mi49 min W 8.9 G 11 75°F 82°F1002.7 hPa (+0.8)
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 38 mi49 min 76°F 77°F1005.9 hPa (+3.7)
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 40 mi73 min W 8 G 8.9 75°F 82°F1001.7 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 42 mi109 min SE 25 G 33
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 42 mi49 min SSE 15 G 22 74°F 76°F1002.7 hPa (-1.1)
BDSP1 49 mi49 min 74°F 1003.3 hPa (+1.1)

Wind History for Newbold, PA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miller Air Park, NJ8 mi53 minSSW 127.00 miOvercast74°F73°F97%1003.5 hPa
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ14 mi1.8 hrsno data2.00 miFog/Mist0°F0°F%1001.4 hPa
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ21 mi53 minS 910.00 miOvercast73°F0°F%1002.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMJX

Wind History from MJX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmE3E3E3E4E3E3E4NE6E7NE7NE11
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1 day agoS7CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmCalmS3E35SE7E7SE7SE9SE8SE8SE8SE7CalmE3
2 days agoSE4S4S3S3S3CalmCalmSE4CalmCalmS4S9S8S7SW8S10SE7
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Tide / Current Tables for Cedar Creek, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey
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Cedar Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:31 AM EDT     0.40 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:09 AM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:10 PM EDT     0.36 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:23 PM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.30.40.40.40.40.30.20.10.1000.10.20.30.30.40.30.30.20.20.10.10.1

Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:24 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:26 AM EDT     -2.26 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 09:22 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 10:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 11:47 AM EDT     1.62 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 02:49 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:42 PM EDT     -1.70 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:13 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.91.20.4-0.5-1.3-1.8-2.2-2.1-1.4-0.40.61.41.61.20.6-0.1-0.8-1.2-1.6-1.7-1.2-0.20.81.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.