Friday, September20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Baltimore, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 7:33PM Friday September 20, 2019 5:31 AM EDT (09:31 UTC) Moonrise 10:21PMMoonset 12:19PM Illumination 63% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Baltimore, OH
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location: 39.88, -82.65     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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Fxus61 kiln 200917
afdiln
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
517 am edt Fri sep 20 2019

Synopsis
A southerly flow will be observed over the ohio valley around
a high pressure system centered over the east coast today.

This will bring an increase in moisture with a few showers and
even a thunderstorm mainly north of i-70 this afternoon.

This high will remain anchored off the east coast this weekend
while a slow-moving cold front approaches the region Sunday
into Sunday night. This front will offer increasing chances
for precipitation late this weekend into early Monday. Temperatures
will remain around 10 degrees above normal this weekend and then
return close to normal early next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Strong mid level ridge ridge centered over the southeast
placing the ohio valley on its northern periphery. In a
moist southerly flow a very weak jet will offer a few showers
over the southeast early. Forcing is very weak but numerical
model solutions showing a consistent signal. Latest regional
radar mosaic starting to show a few showers over the scioto
valley.

The ohio valley will remain in a weak southwest flow through
the day. A relatively dry airmass in place, and instby is
limited and model forecast soundings show an initial cap in
place. These factors are all working against pcpn, so have
limited any mention to a slight chance of a shower or even a
thunderstorm across the far north later this aftn.

Feedback from dry soils has resulted in warm temperatures and
model forecast highs have shown a cool bias. Following this
trend have gone warmer than most data set closer to ece. Expect
warm highs generally in the mid and upper 80s.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Saturday
Mid level ridge axis will continue to be centered over the
southeast conus. With weak forcing and loss of heating any
widely scattered showers or thunderstorms that develop across
the north are expected to dissipate this evening. A southerly
flow will persist in the low level along with some clouds. These
factors will work to keep temperatures mild. Expect tonights lows
to generally range from the lower to the middle 60s.

Mid level ridge builds slightly into the ohio valley Saturday.

As the h8 flow backs across the great lakes low level jet and
favorable instability look to stay to the north during the
daylight hours Saturday. There is some uncertainty due to model
solution spread and can not totally rule out a few showers or a
thunderstorm across the far north-northeast counties Saturday
afternoon but will keep the forecast dry due to lack of
favorable forcing and instby. Again expect temperatures a good
10 degrees above normal with highs Saturday in the mid and upper
80s.

Long term Saturday night through Thursday
Period starts with an upper ridge positioned across the eastern
conus, allowing the persistence of above normal geopotential heights
over the ohio valley. Heights will drop closer to normal later in
the long term following the passage of a rather potent upper trough.

Large surface high pressure located on the eastern flank of the
upper ridge will probably provide dry weather Saturday night through
Sunday morning. A couple showers and thunderstorms may creep into
western counties Sunday afternoon as the upper ridge starts to break
down in advance of the upper trough, while the surface high slides
gradually east. Thunderstorms will become likely Sunday night when
the upper trough is forecast to push a cold front through from west
to east. Lingering showers and thunderstorms for Monday behind the
front will be followed by high pressure and dry air on Tuesday. A
weak disturbance crossing the great lakes may produce a few
thunderstorms on Wednesday, before high pressure and a dry airmass
return Thursday.

Well above normal temperatures should continue to be observed on
Sunday, with highs mainly in the middle 80s. Highs are then forecast
to retreat to the close to normal middle and upper 70s for the rest
of the period under cold advection, cloud cover, and limited
precipitation.

Aviation 08z Friday through Tuesday
Strong mid level ridge ridge centered over the southeast
placing the ohio valley on its northern periphery. In a
moist southerly flow a very weak jet will offer someVFR
clouds and perhaps a few showers over the southeast early.

Forcing is very weak but numerical model solutions showing
a consistent signal. Expect any showers that form to remain
southeast of the TAF sites. Dependent on cloud cover, the
development of fog will be possible at kluk. Have brought
in some clouds and limited vsby restriction to MVFR but if
cloud coverage is less ifr conditions will be possible.

The ohio valley will remain in a weak southwest flow through
the day. A relatively dry airmass in place, and instby is
limited and model soundings show an initial cap in place.

These factors are all working against pcpn, so have limited any
mention to a slight chance across the far north later this aftn.

Coverage and probability are too low to mention in the TAF fcst
at this time.

Have some scattered to perhaps bkn CU with the best coverage
across the northern TAF sites.

Outlook... Thunderstorms possible on Sunday night into Monday.

Iln watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Ky... None.

In... None.

Synopsis... Ar
near term... Ar
short term... Ar
long term... Coniglio campbell
aviation... Ar


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lancaster, Fairfield County Airport, OH9 mi38 minSE 510.00 miA Few Clouds63°F57°F81%1021.2 hPa
Newark, Newark Heath Airport, OH14 mi37 minN 010.00 miFair56°F53°F90%1021.3 hPa
Rickenbacker Air National Guard Base, OH15 mi36 minN 010.00 miFair63°F56°F81%1021.3 hPa
John Glenn Columbus International Airport, OH15 mi40 minESE 410.00 miA Few Clouds66°F55°F68%1020.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLHQ

Wind History from LHQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS4CalmCalmSE5SE11SE11S7SE10SE8SE11
G15
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S8SE6E5E3SE6CalmSW3CalmSE4SE7SE6SE5
1 day agoCalm----------E15
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E10NE9NE9E6NE5NE6E8E7E6CalmCalmE4CalmCalm
2 days agoNW3CalmCalmN4NE10NE9NE7E8NE9E7NE10
G15
----NE6N5N3N4NE6NE6NE6CalmCalmCalmNW3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.