Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Seaside Park, NJ
November 5, 2024 2:09 PM EST (19:09 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:29 AM Sunset 4:51 PM Moonrise 11:46 AM Moonset 8:26 PM |
ANZ451 Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 102 Pm Est Tue Nov 5 2024
.small craft advisory in effect from 6 pm est this evening through Wednesday afternoon - .
This afternoon - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 6 seconds and se 3 ft at 10 seconds.
Tonight - SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave detail: S 5 ft at 6 seconds and se 2 ft at 10 seconds.
Wed - SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Wave detail: S 5 ft at 6 seconds and se 1 foot at 10 seconds.
Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: S 5 ft at 6 seconds.
Thu - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 7 seconds. A chance of showers in the morning.
Thu night - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: N 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 8 seconds.
Fri - N winds around 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri night - NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat - N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
ANZ400 102 Pm Est Tue Nov 5 2024
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay - High pressure across the western atlantic will dominate our weather into Wednesday with above normal temperatures. A warm front lifts north of our area this morning, then a cold front crosses the region later Wednesday into Thursday. High pressure then returns by the end of the week with cooler temperatures. A storm system may arrive by the end of the weekend into early next week, bringing potential for widespread rainfall.
NEW! Add second zone forecast
Seaside Park Click for Map Tue -- 01:04 AM EST 0.32 feet High Tide Tue -- 06:30 AM EST Sunrise Tue -- 07:35 AM EST 0.05 feet Low Tide Tue -- 10:44 AM EST Moonrise Tue -- 01:15 PM EST 0.40 feet High Tide Tue -- 04:48 PM EST Sunset Tue -- 07:26 PM EST Moonset Tue -- 08:28 PM EST 0.04 feet Low Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Seaside Park, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey, Tide feet
12 am |
0.3 |
1 am |
0.3 |
2 am |
0.3 |
3 am |
0.3 |
4 am |
0.2 |
5 am |
0.1 |
6 am |
0.1 |
7 am |
0.1 |
8 am |
0.1 |
9 am |
0.1 |
10 am |
0.2 |
11 am |
0.3 |
12 pm |
0.4 |
1 pm |
0.4 |
2 pm |
0.4 |
3 pm |
0.4 |
4 pm |
0.3 |
5 pm |
0.2 |
6 pm |
0.1 |
7 pm |
0.1 |
8 pm |
0 |
9 pm |
0 |
10 pm |
0.1 |
11 pm |
0.2 |
Barnegat Inlet Click for Map Tue -- 03:48 AM EST -1.73 knots Max Ebb Tue -- 06:16 AM EST 0.01 knots Slack Tue -- 06:30 AM EST Sunrise Tue -- 09:08 AM EST 2.40 knots Max Flood Tue -- 10:44 AM EST Moonrise Tue -- 12:12 PM EST -0.00 knots Slack Tue -- 04:29 PM EST -2.35 knots Max Ebb Tue -- 04:49 PM EST Sunset Tue -- 07:25 PM EST 0.00 knots Slack Tue -- 07:27 PM EST Moonset Tue -- 09:49 PM EST 1.67 knots Max Flood Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current, knots
12 am |
-0 |
1 am |
-0.7 |
2 am |
-1.3 |
3 am |
-1.6 |
4 am |
-1.7 |
5 am |
-1.3 |
6 am |
-0.3 |
7 am |
0.9 |
8 am |
1.9 |
9 am |
2.4 |
10 am |
2.1 |
11 am |
1.2 |
12 pm |
0.2 |
1 pm |
-0.7 |
2 pm |
-1.5 |
3 pm |
-2 |
4 pm |
-2.3 |
5 pm |
-2.3 |
6 pm |
-1.6 |
7 pm |
-0.5 |
8 pm |
0.6 |
9 pm |
1.4 |
10 pm |
1.7 |
11 pm |
1.2 |
Area Discussion for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 051808 AFDPHI
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 108 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure across the western Atlantic will dominate our weather into Wednesday with above normal temperatures. A cold front crosses the region later Wednesday into Thursday. High pressure returns by the end of the week with cooler temperatures. A storm system may arrive by the end of the weekend into early next week, bringing potential for widespread rainfall.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Warm front has cleared region and warm, humid air mass in in place with a southwesterly wind. Mostly sunny skies will prevail rest of today with highs generally in the 70s.
Tonight, southwesterly flow appears to remain a bit elevated thanks to a tighter pressure gradient, so the fairly decent fog coverage we had this morning looks unlikely. However, low clouds may redevelop. Lows will stay very mild, upper 50s to around 60.
After any low clouds dissipate tomorrow morning, still looking very warm with record highs in the upper 70s to near 80 across the region, cooler at the shore and Poconos. Have included a slight chance of showers across northwestern areas as a cold front approaches, but odds are it will be nothing more than sprinkles if that. Winds will remain elevated with gusts of 20-25 mph in the afternoon.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
Cold front slowly slides south across the region Wednesday night and Thursday. Temps Wednesday night should remain quite mild, as mild or perhaps even a touch milder than tonight, especially from Philly south where the front arrives later.
However, precip chances Wednesday night look bleak. Can't rule out a stray shower or sprinkle though.
By Thursday however, the front may stall near or just south of our Delmarva zones, and this could help spur a few showers to develop. Not enough to make any dent in the drought, but perhaps just enough to end the no-measurable-rain streak for these areas. Mostly cloudy to overcast skies to start will gradually lessen in coverage, especially near and north of the Philly metro, which could end up seeing a good bit of afternoon sun.
Highs will be a bit cooler on Thursday with the front sinking south, but still above normal... upper 60s to low 70s for most.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
Somewhat more seasonable air arrives finally Thursday night as the front presses further south. Some clearing is also likely with lows dropping into the 30s north, 40s central and south.
Cooler but still rather mild with some sunshine Friday. Highs mostly in the 60s. However, a reinforcing cold front then passes and we lose a few more degrees for Friday night and Saturday, while of course, remaining generally dry.
By Saturday night, Sunday, and into early Monday, a stronger system approaches and may finally bring the first widespread rainfall to the region in more than a month. This may be enhanced by some remnant tropical moisture from TC Raphael, which is currently a tropical storm located in the Caribbean, and forecast to move northwest in the Gulf of Mexico later this week as a hurricane. The evolution of this system remains quite unclear at this point, aside from Raphael eventually weakening in the Gulf. The past few runs of guidance has come into a sort of consensus for Raphael's remnants to get ingested into the larger system across the interior South, but if this does not occur, rain chances would end up being much lower in our region.
Based on the trends in guidance, we did increase PoPs to 50-60% for the entire area, but again, a lot of uncertainty remains.
Something to keep a close eye on. Temps will remain a bit on the plus side of normal, with highs generally in the 60s and lows in the 40s to low 50s.
AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...
Rest of Today...VFR all sites. SW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. High confidence.
Tonight...MVFR or IFR CIGs possible due to stratus late tonight. S winds 5 to 10 kt, with up to 40 kts of low level wind shear from the southwest for I-95 sites north and west. Low confidence.
Wednesday...Returning to VFR with low level wind shear giving way to another breezy afternoon with gusts of 20-25 kts out of the southwest. Moderate confidence.
Outlook...
Generally VFR conditions should prevail through Saturday.
Southwest winds during the daytime period on Wednesday gusting up to 20 kts at times.
MARINE
Sub-Small Craft Advisory conditions rest of today. SW winds will increase to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt along with 2 to 4 ft seas. Tonight, a tightening gradient will result in 15 to 20 kt winds with gusts up to 25 kt and 5 ft seas on the NJ ocean waters. SCA starts tonight for those waters. These conditions continue into Wednesday. Further south and west on the Delaware coastal waters and the bay, winds mainly 10-15 kts with gusts to 20 kts and ocean waves up to 4 ft.
Outlook...
Conditions should subside with the frontal passage into Wednesday night with mainly sub- SCA expected Thursday through Saturday.
FIRE WEATHER
While it will remain dry for the rest of today, and southwest winds will increase to 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon, MinRH values this afternoon will be between 55-60% due to dew points in the mid 50s to near 60.
Similar conditions can be expected on Wednesday, though southwest winds will be a bit stronger near 10-15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
Looking farther ahead, the next period of low relative humidity is expected to occur on Friday and Saturday, when daytime minimum values will range from 25-35% in most areas.
Fortunately, winds will remain fairly light during this period, mainly near 5-10 mph.
Continue to follow burn restrictions and check with your state and local fire officials for more information.
CLIMATE
A record stretch (consecutive days) without measurable precipitation is in progress in Philadelphia. Currently at 37 days up to and including November 4. The previous record was 29 days from 1874.
A record stretch without measurable precipitation is in progress in Georgetown, Delaware. Currently at 38 days up to and including November 4. The previous record was 34 days from October and November 2001.
A record stretch without measurable precipitation is in progress in Wilmington, Delaware. Currently at 37 days up to and including November 4. The previous record was 34 days from January and February 1909.
Trenton, New Jersey: Currently at 37 days up to and including November 4. Record is 38 days from April and May 1903. Record will be tied if we midnight Tuesday night. Record will be broken if we reach midnight Wednesday night.
Atlantic City International Airport, New Jersey: Currently at 33 days up to and including November 4. Record is 34 days from August and September 1995. Record will be tied if we midnight Tuesday night. Record will be broken if we reach midnight Wednesday night.
Record-challenging warmth will be returning for Wednesday with high temperatures forecasted to be in the upper 70s to around 80 degrees for many locations.
Record High Temperatures for November 6th:
SITE RECORD / YEAR Allentown (ABE)..........78 / 1948 AC Airport (ACY).........77 / 1961 AC Marina (55N)..........72 / 1999 Georgetown (GED..........82 / 2022 Mount Pocono (MPO).......69 / 1978 Philadelphia (PHL).......79 / 1948 Reading (RDG)............79 / 1975 Trenton (TTN)............77 / 1948 Wilmington (ILG).........79 / 1948
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 PM EST Wednesday for ANZ450>453.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 108 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure across the western Atlantic will dominate our weather into Wednesday with above normal temperatures. A cold front crosses the region later Wednesday into Thursday. High pressure returns by the end of the week with cooler temperatures. A storm system may arrive by the end of the weekend into early next week, bringing potential for widespread rainfall.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Warm front has cleared region and warm, humid air mass in in place with a southwesterly wind. Mostly sunny skies will prevail rest of today with highs generally in the 70s.
Tonight, southwesterly flow appears to remain a bit elevated thanks to a tighter pressure gradient, so the fairly decent fog coverage we had this morning looks unlikely. However, low clouds may redevelop. Lows will stay very mild, upper 50s to around 60.
After any low clouds dissipate tomorrow morning, still looking very warm with record highs in the upper 70s to near 80 across the region, cooler at the shore and Poconos. Have included a slight chance of showers across northwestern areas as a cold front approaches, but odds are it will be nothing more than sprinkles if that. Winds will remain elevated with gusts of 20-25 mph in the afternoon.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
Cold front slowly slides south across the region Wednesday night and Thursday. Temps Wednesday night should remain quite mild, as mild or perhaps even a touch milder than tonight, especially from Philly south where the front arrives later.
However, precip chances Wednesday night look bleak. Can't rule out a stray shower or sprinkle though.
By Thursday however, the front may stall near or just south of our Delmarva zones, and this could help spur a few showers to develop. Not enough to make any dent in the drought, but perhaps just enough to end the no-measurable-rain streak for these areas. Mostly cloudy to overcast skies to start will gradually lessen in coverage, especially near and north of the Philly metro, which could end up seeing a good bit of afternoon sun.
Highs will be a bit cooler on Thursday with the front sinking south, but still above normal... upper 60s to low 70s for most.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
Somewhat more seasonable air arrives finally Thursday night as the front presses further south. Some clearing is also likely with lows dropping into the 30s north, 40s central and south.
Cooler but still rather mild with some sunshine Friday. Highs mostly in the 60s. However, a reinforcing cold front then passes and we lose a few more degrees for Friday night and Saturday, while of course, remaining generally dry.
By Saturday night, Sunday, and into early Monday, a stronger system approaches and may finally bring the first widespread rainfall to the region in more than a month. This may be enhanced by some remnant tropical moisture from TC Raphael, which is currently a tropical storm located in the Caribbean, and forecast to move northwest in the Gulf of Mexico later this week as a hurricane. The evolution of this system remains quite unclear at this point, aside from Raphael eventually weakening in the Gulf. The past few runs of guidance has come into a sort of consensus for Raphael's remnants to get ingested into the larger system across the interior South, but if this does not occur, rain chances would end up being much lower in our region.
Based on the trends in guidance, we did increase PoPs to 50-60% for the entire area, but again, a lot of uncertainty remains.
Something to keep a close eye on. Temps will remain a bit on the plus side of normal, with highs generally in the 60s and lows in the 40s to low 50s.
AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...
Rest of Today...VFR all sites. SW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. High confidence.
Tonight...MVFR or IFR CIGs possible due to stratus late tonight. S winds 5 to 10 kt, with up to 40 kts of low level wind shear from the southwest for I-95 sites north and west. Low confidence.
Wednesday...Returning to VFR with low level wind shear giving way to another breezy afternoon with gusts of 20-25 kts out of the southwest. Moderate confidence.
Outlook...
Generally VFR conditions should prevail through Saturday.
Southwest winds during the daytime period on Wednesday gusting up to 20 kts at times.
MARINE
Sub-Small Craft Advisory conditions rest of today. SW winds will increase to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt along with 2 to 4 ft seas. Tonight, a tightening gradient will result in 15 to 20 kt winds with gusts up to 25 kt and 5 ft seas on the NJ ocean waters. SCA starts tonight for those waters. These conditions continue into Wednesday. Further south and west on the Delaware coastal waters and the bay, winds mainly 10-15 kts with gusts to 20 kts and ocean waves up to 4 ft.
Outlook...
Conditions should subside with the frontal passage into Wednesday night with mainly sub- SCA expected Thursday through Saturday.
FIRE WEATHER
While it will remain dry for the rest of today, and southwest winds will increase to 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon, MinRH values this afternoon will be between 55-60% due to dew points in the mid 50s to near 60.
Similar conditions can be expected on Wednesday, though southwest winds will be a bit stronger near 10-15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
Looking farther ahead, the next period of low relative humidity is expected to occur on Friday and Saturday, when daytime minimum values will range from 25-35% in most areas.
Fortunately, winds will remain fairly light during this period, mainly near 5-10 mph.
Continue to follow burn restrictions and check with your state and local fire officials for more information.
CLIMATE
A record stretch (consecutive days) without measurable precipitation is in progress in Philadelphia. Currently at 37 days up to and including November 4. The previous record was 29 days from 1874.
A record stretch without measurable precipitation is in progress in Georgetown, Delaware. Currently at 38 days up to and including November 4. The previous record was 34 days from October and November 2001.
A record stretch without measurable precipitation is in progress in Wilmington, Delaware. Currently at 37 days up to and including November 4. The previous record was 34 days from January and February 1909.
Trenton, New Jersey: Currently at 37 days up to and including November 4. Record is 38 days from April and May 1903. Record will be tied if we midnight Tuesday night. Record will be broken if we reach midnight Wednesday night.
Atlantic City International Airport, New Jersey: Currently at 33 days up to and including November 4. Record is 34 days from August and September 1995. Record will be tied if we midnight Tuesday night. Record will be broken if we reach midnight Wednesday night.
Record-challenging warmth will be returning for Wednesday with high temperatures forecasted to be in the upper 70s to around 80 degrees for many locations.
Record High Temperatures for November 6th:
SITE RECORD / YEAR Allentown (ABE)..........78 / 1948 AC Airport (ACY).........77 / 1961 AC Marina (55N)..........72 / 1999 Georgetown (GED..........82 / 2022 Mount Pocono (MPO).......69 / 1978 Philadelphia (PHL).......79 / 1948 Reading (RDG)............79 / 1975 Trenton (TTN)............77 / 1948 Wilmington (ILG).........79 / 1948
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 PM EST Wednesday for ANZ450>453.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
44091 | 20 mi | 44 min | 62°F | 4 ft | ||||
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ | 33 mi | 100 min | S 11 | 74°F | 30.27 | 66°F | ||
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor | 37 mi | 40 min | S 16G | 62°F | 61°F | 30.20 | 59°F | |
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ | 38 mi | 52 min | ESE 7G | 30.20 | ||||
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA | 39 mi | 52 min | WSW 8.9G | 30.20 | ||||
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ | 43 mi | 52 min | 30.18 | |||||
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ | 43 mi | 94 min | WSW 15G | 69°F | 57°F | 30.20 |
Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KMJX
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KMJX
Wind History Graph: MJX
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic
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Philadelphia, PA,
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