Tuesday, January28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Seaside Park, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:07AMSunset 5:11PM Tuesday January 28, 2020 5:04 AM EST (10:04 UTC) Moonrise 10:26AMMoonset 9:52PM Illumination 12% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ451 Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 343 Am Est Tue Jan 28 2020
Today..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the morning. Seas around 3 ft early in the morning, then 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft early in the afternoon, then 2 ft or less. SWell mainly from the nw with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Wed night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft early in the evening, then 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft after midnight. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft.
Thu night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Fri..NE winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Fri night..E winds around 5 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft or less. A chance of rain.
Sat..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of rain.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of rain.
ANZ400 343 Am Est Tue Jan 28 2020
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. Low pressure well northeast of the area and high pressure across the plains states will continue to influence the weather today and tonight. A weak cold front will cross the area tonight and early Wednesday. Low pressure will move along the east coast early this weekend and move away Sunday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Seaside Park borough, NJ
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location: 39.92, -74.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 280907 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 407 AM EST Tue Jan 28 2020

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure well northeast of the area and high pressure across the Plains states will continue to influence the weather today and tonight. A weak cold front will cross the area tonight and early Wednesday. Low pressure will move along the East Coast early this weekend and move away Sunday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Its a quiet forecast through the rest of tonight and most of Today as persist mid level clouds remain in place. The clouds overnight have kept temps a bit more on the mild side however I'd expect a persistence forecast from yesterday to work out quite well as we'll see some breaks in the ceilings later today. Highs will be near normal in the low to mid 40s. As brief mid level ridging occurs we could see some steeper low level lapse rates and mixing to around 900mb which will cause gusty winds at times this afternoon to about 20 kts.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY/. No significant pattern change is expected for Tuesday night as high pressure continues to slowly bid. The forecast challenge will be whether the clouds develop and keep temps on the mild again tonight. BUFkit soundings show a tad less moisture so I've opted to show temps a bit more on the colder side than what happened this evening (Monday) however that only brings temps down to a degree or two of normal in the mid 20s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Wednesday thru Friday . The high pressure system from the west will move across the Middle Atlantic region and Northeast states. Dry weather is anticipated with temperatures continuing near normal Wed and Fri and perhaps a few degrees below normal on Thu.

Fri night thru Sat night . Plenty of questions remain about the system approaching this weekend. An upper trough deepens across the Ohio Valley and low pressure at the sfc moves into the southern Appalachians. This low will further strengthen and move offshore of NJ/NY Sat night. The strength and track of the low is still quite a bit different amongst the GFS/EC/CMC. The 18Z/27 solution of the GFS showed a deep low moving near the coast. The 00Z GFS still has a deepening low near the coast, but not as intense as the earlier run. The EC/CMC are further away with the track and less consolidated with the low. We have upped the POPS for Sat with our fcst, p-type will be tricky too with the rain/snow line running across the interior of PA/NJ. Some of the GFS solutions have a light accum snow in the Lehigh Valley and NE/PA and nrn NJ. Too early to speculate if this will happen. Something we will continue to watch into the midweek.

Sunday/Monday . More high pressure begins to build over the area, so dry weather by-in-large is expected. No arctic air is expected, so temperatures will be a little above normal Sun and then well above normal next Monday.

AVIATION /09Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tuesday . VFR with an decrease in cloud cover. Cigs will generally be 5-6kft however should become few-sct100 late in the day. Northwest wind 10 to 15 knots gusting near 20 knots. High confidence.

Tuesday Evening . VFR under mostly clear skies with NW winds generally 5-10 knots. High confidence.

Outlook . Wed thru Fri . Mostly VFR. Fri night/Sat . MVFR or IFR with low CIGS and rain/snow.

MARINE. A west to northwest flow will continue over the coastal waters through Tuesday evening. A SCA is in effect for the potential for some brief gusts up to 25 kts however the threat is quite marginal. With Buoy 44066 indicating seas of around 5 feet well offshore its plausible we could see some 5-6 foot waves in the 15-20 nm offshore range but anything closer to shore should be below 5 feet.

By mid afternoon anticipate any threat to small crafts to be over as winds and waves should remain less than SCA criteria.

Outlook . Wed thru Fri . sub-SCA with fair weather. Sat/Sat night . SCA developing with rain and fog possible.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until noon EST today for ANZ431-452>455.

Synopsis . O'Hara Near Term . Deal Short Term . Deal Long Term . O'Hara Aviation . Deal/O'Hara Marine . Deal/O'Hara


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44091 19 mi34 min 46°F4 ft
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 33 mi34 min WNW 4.1 39°F 1010 hPa30°F
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 37 mi24 min NW 21 G 25 40°F 1007.8 hPa28°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 38 mi46 min NW 17 G 23 38°F 41°F1008.4 hPa
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 39 mi52 min NNW 6 G 8 38°F 38°F1009.6 hPa
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 43 mi46 min 40°F 41°F1009.5 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 43 mi88 min 38°F 38°F1008.8 hPa

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miller Air Park, NJ11 mi68 minWNW 710.00 miPartly Cloudy37°F27°F67%1009.1 hPa
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ15 mi64 minWNW 610.00 miFair35°F26°F70%1008.3 hPa
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ18 mi68 minWNW 810.00 miOvercast37°F24°F59%1008.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMJX

Wind History from MJX (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSW4SW4SW5W7W6W11W12
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Tide / Current Tables for Seaside Park, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey
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Seaside Park
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:31 AM EST     0.33 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:58 AM EST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:25 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:43 PM EST     0.38 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:10 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:26 PM EST     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:52 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.30.30.30.20.10.10000.10.20.30.40.40.30.30.20.10-0-00.10.2

Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:11 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 03:54 AM EST     -1.98 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:28 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:17 AM EST     2.25 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 09:25 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:27 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:22 PM EST     -2.38 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:10 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:18 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:52 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 09:46 PM EST     1.78 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.2-0.6-1.3-1.8-2-1.6-0.60.61.62.22.11.30.4-0.5-1.3-1.9-2.3-2.2-1.5-0.30.81.61.81.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.