Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Leisure Village East, NJ
November 29, 2023 10:54 PM EST (03:54 UTC)
Sunrise 6:55AM Sunset 4:33PM Moonrise 7:16PM Moonset 10:28AM
ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 1002 Pm Est Wed Nov 29 2023
Overnight..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. SW swell 2 to 3 ft at 4 seconds.
Thu night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. SW swell 2 to 4 ft at 4 seconds.
Fri..SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. S swell 2 to 3 ft at 4 seconds. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. S swell 2 to 3 ft at 4 seconds. Showers, mainly in the evening.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. S swell 2 to 3 ft at 4 seconds.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. S swell 2 to 3 ft at 4 seconds in the evening. A chance of showers after midnight.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers.
Overnight..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. SW swell 2 to 3 ft at 4 seconds.
Thu night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. SW swell 2 to 4 ft at 4 seconds.
Fri..SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. S swell 2 to 3 ft at 4 seconds. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. S swell 2 to 3 ft at 4 seconds. Showers, mainly in the evening.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. S swell 2 to 3 ft at 4 seconds.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. S swell 2 to 3 ft at 4 seconds in the evening. A chance of showers after midnight.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers.
ANZ400 1002 Pm Est Wed Nov 29 2023
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. The last of the cold weather remains through tonight. High pressure remains in control through Thursday as temps begin to moderate ahead of a low pressure system and cold front that passes through Friday and Friday night. The weekend will start out dry on Saturday but will become increasingly more unsettled for Sunday and into the middle of next week.
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. The last of the cold weather remains through tonight. High pressure remains in control through Thursday as temps begin to moderate ahead of a low pressure system and cold front that passes through Friday and Friday night. The weekend will start out dry on Saturday but will become increasingly more unsettled for Sunday and into the middle of next week.
Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 300258 AFDPHI
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 958 PM EST Wed Nov 29 2023
SYNOPSIS
The last of the cold weather remains through tonight. High pressure remains in control through Thursday as temps begin to moderate ahead of a low pressure system and cold front that passes through Friday and Friday night. The weekend will start out dry on Saturday but will become increasingly more unsettled for Sunday and into the middle of next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/
A swath of mid-level cloud coverage is moving across the area this evening coincident with a passing shortwave and warm advection aloft. Bit of a tricky low temperature forecast tonight as the clouds will initially offset radiational cooling, but skies will clear shortly after midnight and with dew points in the low to mid teens, the floor is pretty low for temps tonight. Complicating factors are a low level jet that will move overhead and a weak gradient wind that may offset otherwise ideal radiational cooling as low as some MOS guidance suggests. Hi res forecast soundings depict a very steep surface inversion overnight tonight, so in the end still thinking we do cool fairly well with lows dropping to the 20s save for the urban areas and coastlines with low 30s.
Surface high pressure centered to our south will hold a dominant influence over the region through the near term. Even with this surface high pressure shifting offshore to our south Thursday, conditions will remain tranquil and quiet through the length of the term.
Some shortwave energy to our west will propagate through the region this evening into tonight, but with high pressure holding influence over the region, the only impact from this should be a brief period of increased cloud cover. Skies will become clear after midnight as most of the shortwave energy moves further eastward.
Warm air advection will continue over the region through the length of the near term; High temperatures Thursday will be much warmer than those seen today. Delmarva and NJ coastal areas could see the low 50s, while the rest of the region (with the exception of Sussex County NJ and the Poconos) sees the mid to upper 40s.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
The forecast for this period remains on track with some rain moving through the region on Friday.
An area of low pressure will develop near OK/TX Thursday night and will move northeast. An expansive cloud shield in association with this system will begin to move in late Thursday night into early Friday. This will result in noticeably warmer temps Thursday night compared to the night prior, with lows generally in the 30s.
Light rain begins to overspread the region on Friday from west to east beginning late in the morning to early afternoon timeframe. Some brief periods of moderate rain are possible Friday afternoon into the evening before the system moves out by early Saturday. Surface through 850mb temps do look to be quite warm, thanks to the warm air advection pattern ahead of the system with the high moving offshore, so we are only expecting rain for this event.
Rain should end by Saturday morning but the next in the series of upper level waves will be quickly on its heels as it moves into the lower Great Lakes Saturday. At the least, this should keep conditions mostly cloudy for Saturday but it still looks at this point like enough deeper moisture will have moved out with the first wave to keep it mainly dry. It will be fairly mild with highs mostly in the 50s, except around 60 over southern DE.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Not much change to the long term forecast, but one thing we have gained confidence in is that the long term will be unsettled. The exact details are increasingly more uncertain as there will be several shortwaves tracking around the base of the longwave trough by the end of the weekend into the middle of next week. This will keep the area under persistent cloud cover with several opportunities for precipitation throughout the period, although any given day does not look to be like a total wash.
The first of the several shortwaves passes by Saturday night, but another shortwave is soon on its heels that passes on Sunday. Most of the area should remain precip free initially Saturday night, but rain showers will overspread the area into Sunday.
The forecast from this point forward then becomes extremely uncertain as the timing and progression of the longwave trough aloft differs variably. Have kept at least a chance (30-50%) of rain showers Sunday-Tuesday due to the abundance of shortwaves tracking across the area through this time. Eventually, a cold front will pass through near the middle of next week where the region will (finally) dry out. Temps through the period will be slightly above normal toward the start of the period, then gradually trend to slightly below normal toward the end of the period. For now, this appears to be mostly rain, with only a slight chance of some snow showers mixing in the higher elevations around mid week.
AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...
Tonight...VFR. SSW/SW winds around 5 kt will veer a bit more SW/WSW after midnight. SCT/BKN mid level clouds move through by 06z giving way to SKC for the second half of the night. High confidence.
Thursday...VFR. WSW/SW winds around 5-10 kts will back a bit out of the S/SSW in the afternoon and evening. Clear skies for the first half of the period, some cloud cover will begin to build in from the southwest in the afternoon. High confidence.
Outlook...
Thursday night...VFR. S-SW winds around 5-10 kt at night. High confidence.
Friday through Friday night...Sub-VFR likely with periods of rain especially during the afternoon and evening. Southerly winds around 10 kt during the day, becoming NW-N winds around 5-10 kt at night. Moderate confidence.
Saturday through Saturday night...Mostly cloudy with potential for sub VFR conditions during the day Saturday due to low stratus with a higher potential for this at night. Winds generally northeast 5 to 10 knots. Low confidence.
Sunday through Sunday night...Sub-VFR probable with rain showers. NE winds around 5-10 kt with gusts up to 15 kt during the day, becoming NW winds around 5-10 kt at night. Low confidence.
Monday...Sub-VFR probable with rain showers. W-NW winds around 10 kt. Low confidence.
MARINE
Tonight...WSW winds 10-20 knots with seas 2-4 feet. As a low level jet moves overhead overnight, there may be a brief period of sporadic gusts in the 20-25 knot range, but conditions should hold below SCA criteria.
Thursday...SW winds in the 10-20 kt range with seas of 2-3 feet.
Outlook...
Thursday night through Friday...Potential for southwest winds gusting up to 25 knots Thursday evening into the overnight.
Winds should then ease somewhat for Friday. Seas of 2-4 feet through this period.
Saturday through Saturday night...No marine headlines expected. N-NE winds around 10-15 kt. Seas of 3-4 feet.
Sunday through Sunday night...No marine headlines expected. NE winds around 10-15 kt during the day, becoming NW winds around 10-15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt possible. Seas of 2-3 feet.
Monday...No marine headlines expected. W-NW winds around 10-15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt possible. Seas of 3-4 feet.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 958 PM EST Wed Nov 29 2023
SYNOPSIS
The last of the cold weather remains through tonight. High pressure remains in control through Thursday as temps begin to moderate ahead of a low pressure system and cold front that passes through Friday and Friday night. The weekend will start out dry on Saturday but will become increasingly more unsettled for Sunday and into the middle of next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/
A swath of mid-level cloud coverage is moving across the area this evening coincident with a passing shortwave and warm advection aloft. Bit of a tricky low temperature forecast tonight as the clouds will initially offset radiational cooling, but skies will clear shortly after midnight and with dew points in the low to mid teens, the floor is pretty low for temps tonight. Complicating factors are a low level jet that will move overhead and a weak gradient wind that may offset otherwise ideal radiational cooling as low as some MOS guidance suggests. Hi res forecast soundings depict a very steep surface inversion overnight tonight, so in the end still thinking we do cool fairly well with lows dropping to the 20s save for the urban areas and coastlines with low 30s.
Surface high pressure centered to our south will hold a dominant influence over the region through the near term. Even with this surface high pressure shifting offshore to our south Thursday, conditions will remain tranquil and quiet through the length of the term.
Some shortwave energy to our west will propagate through the region this evening into tonight, but with high pressure holding influence over the region, the only impact from this should be a brief period of increased cloud cover. Skies will become clear after midnight as most of the shortwave energy moves further eastward.
Warm air advection will continue over the region through the length of the near term; High temperatures Thursday will be much warmer than those seen today. Delmarva and NJ coastal areas could see the low 50s, while the rest of the region (with the exception of Sussex County NJ and the Poconos) sees the mid to upper 40s.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
The forecast for this period remains on track with some rain moving through the region on Friday.
An area of low pressure will develop near OK/TX Thursday night and will move northeast. An expansive cloud shield in association with this system will begin to move in late Thursday night into early Friday. This will result in noticeably warmer temps Thursday night compared to the night prior, with lows generally in the 30s.
Light rain begins to overspread the region on Friday from west to east beginning late in the morning to early afternoon timeframe. Some brief periods of moderate rain are possible Friday afternoon into the evening before the system moves out by early Saturday. Surface through 850mb temps do look to be quite warm, thanks to the warm air advection pattern ahead of the system with the high moving offshore, so we are only expecting rain for this event.
Rain should end by Saturday morning but the next in the series of upper level waves will be quickly on its heels as it moves into the lower Great Lakes Saturday. At the least, this should keep conditions mostly cloudy for Saturday but it still looks at this point like enough deeper moisture will have moved out with the first wave to keep it mainly dry. It will be fairly mild with highs mostly in the 50s, except around 60 over southern DE.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Not much change to the long term forecast, but one thing we have gained confidence in is that the long term will be unsettled. The exact details are increasingly more uncertain as there will be several shortwaves tracking around the base of the longwave trough by the end of the weekend into the middle of next week. This will keep the area under persistent cloud cover with several opportunities for precipitation throughout the period, although any given day does not look to be like a total wash.
The first of the several shortwaves passes by Saturday night, but another shortwave is soon on its heels that passes on Sunday. Most of the area should remain precip free initially Saturday night, but rain showers will overspread the area into Sunday.
The forecast from this point forward then becomes extremely uncertain as the timing and progression of the longwave trough aloft differs variably. Have kept at least a chance (30-50%) of rain showers Sunday-Tuesday due to the abundance of shortwaves tracking across the area through this time. Eventually, a cold front will pass through near the middle of next week where the region will (finally) dry out. Temps through the period will be slightly above normal toward the start of the period, then gradually trend to slightly below normal toward the end of the period. For now, this appears to be mostly rain, with only a slight chance of some snow showers mixing in the higher elevations around mid week.
AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...
Tonight...VFR. SSW/SW winds around 5 kt will veer a bit more SW/WSW after midnight. SCT/BKN mid level clouds move through by 06z giving way to SKC for the second half of the night. High confidence.
Thursday...VFR. WSW/SW winds around 5-10 kts will back a bit out of the S/SSW in the afternoon and evening. Clear skies for the first half of the period, some cloud cover will begin to build in from the southwest in the afternoon. High confidence.
Outlook...
Thursday night...VFR. S-SW winds around 5-10 kt at night. High confidence.
Friday through Friday night...Sub-VFR likely with periods of rain especially during the afternoon and evening. Southerly winds around 10 kt during the day, becoming NW-N winds around 5-10 kt at night. Moderate confidence.
Saturday through Saturday night...Mostly cloudy with potential for sub VFR conditions during the day Saturday due to low stratus with a higher potential for this at night. Winds generally northeast 5 to 10 knots. Low confidence.
Sunday through Sunday night...Sub-VFR probable with rain showers. NE winds around 5-10 kt with gusts up to 15 kt during the day, becoming NW winds around 5-10 kt at night. Low confidence.
Monday...Sub-VFR probable with rain showers. W-NW winds around 10 kt. Low confidence.
MARINE
Tonight...WSW winds 10-20 knots with seas 2-4 feet. As a low level jet moves overhead overnight, there may be a brief period of sporadic gusts in the 20-25 knot range, but conditions should hold below SCA criteria.
Thursday...SW winds in the 10-20 kt range with seas of 2-3 feet.
Outlook...
Thursday night through Friday...Potential for southwest winds gusting up to 25 knots Thursday evening into the overnight.
Winds should then ease somewhat for Friday. Seas of 2-4 feet through this period.
Saturday through Saturday night...No marine headlines expected. N-NE winds around 10-15 kt. Seas of 3-4 feet.
Sunday through Sunday night...No marine headlines expected. NE winds around 10-15 kt during the day, becoming NW winds around 10-15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt possible. Seas of 2-3 feet.
Monday...No marine headlines expected. W-NW winds around 10-15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt possible. Seas of 3-4 feet.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| 44091 | 26 mi | 58 min | 53°F | 3 ft | ||||
| SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ | 31 mi | 54 min | WSW 14G | 35°F | 44°F | 30.12 | ||
| 44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor | 32 mi | 44 min | 18G | 55°F | 30.08 | |||
| NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA | 35 mi | 54 min | SW 8G | 35°F | 41°F | 30.13 | ||
| JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ | 39 mi | 84 min | S 4.1 | 33°F | 30.15 | 17°F | ||
| BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ | 40 mi | 78 min | WSW 7G | 35°F | 41°F | 30.11 | ||
| BGNN6 | 42 mi | 54 min | 34°F | 48°F | 30.09 | |||
| MHRN6 | 42 mi | 54 min | WSW 13G | |||||
| ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ | 43 mi | 54 min | WSW 15G | 35°F | 30.10 | |||
| BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY | 47 mi | 54 min | 35°F | 49°F | 30.05 | |||
| ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ | 49 mi | 54 min | 37°F | 47°F | 30.09 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KBLM MONMOUTH EXECUTIVE,NJ | 11 sm | 58 min | SW 09 | 10 sm | Overcast | 34°F | 12°F | 40% | 30.12 | |
Wind History from BLM
(wind in knots)Tide / Current for Kettle Creek, Green Island, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey
EDIT Weekend mode (on/off) (on/off) Help
Kettle Creek
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:55 AM EST 0.37 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:56 AM EST Sunrise
Wed -- 07:15 AM EST -0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:28 AM EST Moonset
Wed -- 01:07 PM EST 0.44 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:32 PM EST Sunset
Wed -- 06:15 PM EST Moonrise
Wed -- 08:06 PM EST -0.02 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:55 AM EST 0.37 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:56 AM EST Sunrise
Wed -- 07:15 AM EST -0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:28 AM EST Moonset
Wed -- 01:07 PM EST 0.44 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:32 PM EST Sunset
Wed -- 06:15 PM EST Moonrise
Wed -- 08:06 PM EST -0.02 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Kettle Creek, Green Island, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.3 |
| 1 am |
| 0.4 |
| 2 am |
| 0.3 |
| 3 am |
| 0.3 |
| 4 am |
| 0.2 |
| 5 am |
| 0.1 |
| 6 am |
| 0 |
| 7 am |
| -0 |
| 8 am |
| 0 |
| 9 am |
| 0.1 |
| 10 am |
| 0.2 |
| 11 am |
| 0.3 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 0 |
| 8 pm |
| -0 |
| 9 pm |
| 0 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.2 |
Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:36 AM EST -2.25 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 05:09 AM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:56 AM EST Sunrise
Wed -- 08:00 AM EST 2.66 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 09:27 AM EST Moonset
Wed -- 11:19 AM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:17 PM EST -2.84 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 04:32 PM EST Sunset
Wed -- 06:16 PM EST Moonrise
Wed -- 06:22 PM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:43 PM EST 1.93 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 11:43 PM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:36 AM EST -2.25 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 05:09 AM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:56 AM EST Sunrise
Wed -- 08:00 AM EST 2.66 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 09:27 AM EST Moonset
Wed -- 11:19 AM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:17 PM EST -2.84 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 04:32 PM EST Sunset
Wed -- 06:16 PM EST Moonrise
Wed -- 06:22 PM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:43 PM EST 1.93 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 11:43 PM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current, knots
| 12 am |
| -0.9 |
| 1 am |
| -1.6 |
| 2 am |
| -2.1 |
| 3 am |
| -2.2 |
| 4 am |
| -1.5 |
| 5 am |
| -0.2 |
| 6 am |
| 1.1 |
| 7 am |
| 2.2 |
| 8 am |
| 2.7 |
| 9 am |
| 2.3 |
| 10 am |
| 1.4 |
| 11 am |
| 0.3 |
| 12 pm |
| -0.7 |
| 1 pm |
| -1.5 |
| 2 pm |
| -2.3 |
| 3 pm |
| -2.8 |
| 4 pm |
| -2.6 |
| 5 pm |
| -1.7 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.6 |
Philadelphia, PA,
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