Tuesday, August4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Wayne Lakes, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:40AMSunset 8:50PM Tuesday August 4, 2020 1:57 AM EDT (05:57 UTC) Moonrise 8:52PMMoonset 6:24AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wayne Lakes, OH
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location: 40.03, -84.67     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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FXUS61 KILN 040528 AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 128 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020

SYNOPSIS. A cold front will cross the region late tonight into Tuesday morning. High pressure will start to build in Tuesday night and then predominate through much of the rest of the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. Widespread showers and thunderstorms from earlier this afternoon have diminished in coverage and intensity this evening. Showers and storms are likely to continue becoming more isolated early overnight as the atmosphere stabilizes. However, high rainfall rates in excess of 1 inch per hour are possible in the strongest storms and a Flash Flood Warning or two may be needed early this evening near the Ohio River.

As precipitation diminishes further later into the evening, winds are expected to become light and variable and skies may partially clear. Given the abundant low-level moisture in place from recent rainfall, widespread fog may start developing after midnight as a cold front slowly approaches from the northwest. However, fog formation may be hampered by three main factors: 1) cloud cover associated with leftover daytime convective debris, 2) increasing low-level clouds associated with the approaching cold front, and 3) developing dry northwesterly flow. The most likely scenario tonight is for widespread fog developing around the I-71 corridor and southeastward where skies are most likely to clear. Low-level clouds associated with the cold front may inhibit clearing northwest of Dayton as radiative processes are disrupted. However, if clouds from the daytime convection never clear, fog may be less of an issue overnight.

Around daybreak, the low-level clouds will be progressing southwestward toward I-71 along with developing northwesterly winds and the cold front. A combination of drier air working in and increasing cloud cover will likely start to erode any fog that has developed in these areas later in the morning before sunrise. Expect lows in the low to middle 60s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/. A cold front will cross the forecast area during the morning. Some showers may occur along and behind the boundary. Better chance will be in eastern counties during the afternoon. Temperatures will still be able to rise into the mid 70s to lower 80s. High pressure will start to build in Tuesday night. Drier and cooler conditions will filter in with lows dropping into the 50s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. Cool and dry conditions will start out the long term on Wednesday with high temperatures in the 70s to around 80 degrees. With CAA expect an extensive cu field to develop across the region during the daytime hours. With drier air moving in expect cu field to dissipate quickly during the evening hours. With mostly clear skies expect temperatures to drop down into the 50s to around 60 degrees Wednesday night.

There will be a gradual warming trend Thursday into the weekend. Dry conditions are expected to be present through Saturday. There starts to be some uncertainly Sunday into Monday on the arrival of the next system to the region. Gradually increase precipitation chances from Sunday into the Monday timeframe. Due to uncertainty with coverage and timing, limited precipitation chances to the chance category for now and went close to the model blend for precipitation chances as well. Temperatures on Monday will potentially be a little cooler than over the weekend with additional cloud cover and precipitation chances across the region.

AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. The SHRA/TSRA has cleared the local area and so too are the clouds, which is setting the stage for widespread BR/FG development through daybreak. Expect that IFR /or lower/ VSBYs will be possible at times through sunrise just about anywhere, but particularly for areas which received appreciable rainfall on Monday. With lingering low level moisture amidst mainly clear skies, could also see some IFR/LIFR CIGs develop at times in the form of a low stratus deck in the several hour period around sunrise. The low CIGs/VSBYs will improve fairly rapidly by/past 13z but will likely see some MVFR CIGs linger through late morning/early afternoon for the local terminals.

Once the morning BR/FG/stratus lifts/scatters, will see MVFR CIGs go VFR by mid-afternoon with the development of isolated SHRA as a front pushes southeast through the region. The activity will be /much/ more isolated in nature than was the case on Monday, so have only maintained a VCSH at the terminals through late afternoon. Will see the best chance for an isolated SHRA shift southeast through late afternoon, leading to drying/clearing conditions by early evening from the NW/W. Skies will slowly clear from the west toward the end of the period.

Light/variable winds early this morning will go more out of the northwest at about 8-10kts this afternoon before subsiding a bit late in the period.

OUTLOOK . No hazardous weather expected.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. KY . None. IN . None.

SYNOPSIS . NEAR TERM . Campbell SHORT TERM . LONG TERM . Novak AVIATION . KC


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Versailles Darke County Airport, OH14 mi87 minW 35.00 miFog/Mist64°F64°F100%1014.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVES

Wind History from VES (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmS3SW4SW3W5SW7W6NW7SW4W4CalmW4CalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoW4W4W4W6W5W8W9W8
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmE3NE4CalmE4E4E4SE4CalmCalmN3NE3N7N5N7N6N5N5CalmN3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.