Sunrise 5:41 AM   Sunset 8:19 PM Moonrise 4:39 PM   Moonset 2:59 AM

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ANZ530 Chesapeake Bay North Of Pooles Island- 636 Am Edt Mon May 20 2024
Today - SE winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft. Tonight - S winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft. Tue - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Areas of fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.Tue night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Wed - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Wed night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Thu - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Fri - NW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers through the night.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.

ANZ500 636 Am Edt Mon May 20 2024
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
high pressure will build over the waters through Tuesday. A strong cold front will approach the waters Wednesday into Thursday. This frontal system will settle south of the area by the end of the work week. Small craft advisories may be needed for portions of the waters Wednesday.

FXUS61 KPHI 200915 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 515 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure continues to build across the Mid Atlantic region today, before shifting slightly to the south tomorrow through Wednesday. A cold front will approach the area Wednesday night, before slowly moving across the area on Thursday, and stalling to our south through the weekend. High pressure builds across the northeast states Friday into Saturday, before a couple of weather disturbances affect the area Sunday into early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
High pressure continues sitting to our northeast, but the axis remains just to the northwest of most of the region. Thus, we continue to have an overall easterly flow, which is providing a fresh push of marine layer clouds into the region. There can be some patchy fog in spots, but not expecting widespread dense and no fog advisories are anticipated. This push is weaker than yesterday as the flow is even lighter while high pressure ridge axis slowly settles to our southeast over time, so think morning clouds should be more efficiently burned off today. The result should be a mostly sunny afternoon overall. A few models are suggesting that the ample May insolation combined with relatively moist atmosphere may spark a few light showers, most likely in the Poconos, so have put a few sprinkles in the forecast up there. Highs should be near to slightly warmer than yesterday, mostly 70s, cooler along the coast.

Tonight, with the high axis pushing further to our southeast, winds should become more southerly. However, they remain light, and some more late night low clouds and fog are possible. Lows mostly in the 50s.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
Overall, little changes were made to the short term period as the mid to upper level ridge essentially lies overhead through Tuesday night before beginning to breakdown and shift offshore on Wednesday. Down at the surface, broad high pressure over New England will expand southwest while becoming elongated into the southern Appalachian region. The high will sink south of the region on Tuesday and eventually settle offshore the Mid- Atlantic coast by Tuesday night into Wednesday. This will yield dry conditions throughout the period.

It is possible a round of fog may develop on Tuesday night, but confidence in this is less than Monday night so have left the mention out of this out of the forecast for now.

In terms of temperatures, it is looking like we will return close to normal with respect to low temps both nights with lows generally in the 50s to around 60 degrees. For high temperatures, it is likely that much of the area will range about 5-10 degrees above normal on Tuesday and as much as 10-15 degrees above normal on Wednesday. Meaning high temps will top out 80s both days as southerly flow ushers warmer air north. The exception will be for our coastal locales where a sea breeze circulation looks to develop each day. Given how cold the water temperatures are, there is potential for the sea breeze to develop early enough in the day, that the sea breeze reaches far enough inland that highs for most, if not all, of the coastal plain could be slightly lower than what is forecast.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Unsettled weather will continue into Thursday as a cold font will move across the Mid Atlantic region and east coast. There will be some instability across the area, so there will be a chance of thunderstorms as well.

The cold front is expected to stall to the south Friday and into the weekend. As it does so, several disturbances are expected to move along the boundary, and may pass close enough to bring showers to the area Friday through the weekend.

AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...

Through today...Variable conditions early this morning with intervals of IFR cigs and vsby, possibly LIFR at times, with cigs possibly down below 500 ft and vsby down below 1/2 mile not out of the question. Best odds of these are the outer terminals, with reduced chances at KPHL. Conditions should improve to VFR across the board by 14UTC. Winds light northeasterly becoming southeasterly. Moderate confidence.

Tonight...VFR to start but IFR cigs/vsby possible late as low clouds/fog may redevelop. Winds light southerly. Low confidence.

Outlook...

Tuesday-Wednesday...Generally VFR except possible lower conditions around daybreak.

Wednesday night-Thursday night...Sub-VFR conditions possible with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Friday...VFR conditions expected.

MARINE
Sub Small Craft Advisory conditions over the waters through tonight. Expect seas generally around 3 to 4 feet with gusts up to 20 kts.

Outlook...

Monday night through Friday...No marine headlines are expected.
Fair weather expected through Wednesday night with a chance for thunderstorms on Thursday into Thursday night. Fair weather is expected to return on Friday.Sub Small Craft Advisory conditions over the waters through tonight. Expect seas generally around 3 to 4 feet with gusts up to 20 kts.

Rip Currents...

A prolonged period of NE to E winds at 10 to 15 mph during the day and 5 to 10 mph at night will continue through today. Along with 3 to 4 ft seas, this will result in a MODERATE risk for the development of dangerous and life threatening rip currents today at New Jersey and Delaware beaches. The rip current risk may be low for most of the day for southern New Jersey beaches.

By Tuesday, the winds will be veering to more of a southerly direction at 10 to 15 mph which will reduce the onshore component at most beaches. However we'll also be heading closer to the Full Moon on the 23rd so for this reason expect that most of our beaches will continue to see a MODERATE risk for the development of dangerous rip currents.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

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Millside
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Mon -- 03:58 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:41 AM EDT     0.65 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:16 AM EDT     5.20 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:37 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:50 PM EDT     0.66 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:36 PM EDT     5.86 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Millside, RR. bridge, Delaware, Tide feet

Edgemoor
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Mon -- 03:58 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:33 AM EDT     0.67 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:00 AM EDT     5.41 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:36 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:42 PM EDT     0.69 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:20 PM EDT     6.11 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Edgemoor, Delaware, Tide feet

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