Thursday, August13, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Point Pleasant Beach, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:05AMSunset 7:56PM Thursday August 13, 2020 4:10 AM EDT (08:10 UTC) Moonrise 12:42AMMoonset 3:39PM Illumination 31% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 101 Am Edt Thu Aug 13 2020
Rest of tonight..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Patchy fog. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms late. Vsby 1 to 3 nm. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Thu..SE winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Patchy fog early in the morning. A chance of showers early in the morning, then a chance of tstms in the late morning and afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm early in the morning. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Thu night..NE winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. A chance of tstms until early morning, then a chance of showers late. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Fri..E winds around 5 kt, increasing to around 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. A chance of showers early in the morning. A chance of tstms in the afternoon. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Fri night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of tstms in the evening.
Sat..E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Sat night..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
Sun..E winds around 10 kt. Seas around 5 ft. A chance of tstms.
Sun night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. A chance of tstms.
Mon..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of tstms.
Mon night..S winds around 5 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of tstms in the evening. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 101 Am Edt Thu Aug 13 2020
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. A cold front will remain stalled over our area through at least Friday. SEveral areas of low pressure will develop and track along this front through the weekend, while high pressure will build to our north. The boundary may return to our area Sunday into early next week as a low moves through canada while a second low forms along the boundary to our south.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Point Pleasant Beach , NJ
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location: 40.1, -74.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 130748 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 348 AM EDT Thu Aug 13 2020

SYNOPSIS. A frontal boundary will slowly sag southward through Saturday as high pressure builds across eastern Canada. Several waves of low pressure will move along this boundary, keeping unsettled weather across the area. An area of low pressure is forecast to lift northward across the area Sunday into Monday. A cold front may stall to our south and offshore for much of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. A frontal boundary extended along the Interstate 95 Corridor in our region early this morning. The boundary is expected to sink slowly to the south, through northeastern Maryland, northern and central Delaware, and southern New Jersey today.

An impulse in the mid level flow is forecast to approach from the west this morning. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop in the Chesapeake Bay region early this morning before expanding northeastward. Precipitable water values will be in the 2.00 to 2.25 inch range along and to the south of the surface front. The availability of abundant moisture will help to make the showers and thunderstorms into efficient rain producers. With limited flow in the atmosphere over our region, any showers and thunderstorms will be slow moving. As a result, local rainfall amounts as high as 2 to 4 inches are anticipated, similar to those that occurred on Wednesday.

We have issued another Flash Flood Watch for southeastern Pennsylvania, southern New Jersey, Delaware and northeastern Maryland. It is in effect from 8:00 this morning until midnight tonight.

The cloud cover and the precipitation should keep temperatures from getting above the 80 to 85 degree range this afternoon.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY/. The mid level impulse is forecast to pass off the coast this evening and the surface front should continue to drift farther to the south. As a result, we are expecting a decreasing chance of showers and thunderstorms in our region for tonight.

The sky will likely remain mostly cloudy with a light and variable wind. Low temperatures are expected to favor the upper 60s and lower 70s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Periods of unsettled weather are expected to affect portions of the area for much of the long term period with several waves of low pressure moving along a couple of frontal boundaries near the area.

For Friday through Saturday, the frontal boundary will remain stalled to our south, while several waves of low pressure move along this boundary. Although the front and surface low pressure systems are forecast to remain to our south, southwest flow aloft will remain across the Mid-Atlantic region. Multiple short waves/vorticity impulses will move across the area within the southwest flow aloft, and with plenty of moisture across the area, as evident from PW values of 1.5-2.0+ inches, there will remain chances of showers and thunderstorms. The highest chances will be across the southern half of the area.

By Saturday night into Sunday, a stronger wave of low pressure is forecast to move along the stalled front, and pass near the area. There are differences between the guidance in where the low passes, with the GFS right on top of the area and the ECMWF closer to the coast. We will keep a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the forecast because regardless of the track of the low, we can expect precipitation. But a more inland track will bring more widespread rainfall to the area.

Behind the low Sunday night, moisture will likely remain across the area, and areas of fog and drizzle may develop across portions of the area.

The low will track to the northeast and across New England Monday into Monday night, while a cold front approaches the area from the west. Rain chances lower some Monday into Monday night, although they will not disappear completely.

For Tuesday into Wednesday, the front may stall to our south again, with several waves of low pressure moving along the boundary. Several short waves/vorticity impulses will likely move across the area within the southwest flow aloft, leading to a chance of showers and thunderstorms for portions of the area.

AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Today . Local MVFR/IFR conditions due to early morning low clouds and fog. The local MVFR/IFR conditions are expected to continue through the day as showers and thunderstorms develop. Variable wind 4 to 8 knots. Medium to high confidence that showers and thunderstorms will occur, with low confidence on the timing.

Tonight . Local MVFR/IFR conditions in evening showers and thunderstorms, followed by low clouds and fog. Variable wind 4 to 8 knots. Medium confidence.

Outlook .

Friday . Generally VFR conditions expected with a chance of showers and thunderstorms, which may temporarily lead to lower conditions. East winds 5-10 knots.

Friday night . Conditions likely lower to MVFR overnight. East- northeast winds 5-10 knots or less.

Saturday-Sunday . An extended period of MVFR or IFR conditions possible. A chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially Saturday night into Sunday. East-northeast winds 5-10 knots.

Sunday night . MVFR or IFR conditions likely continue with fog and drizzle possible. East-northeast winds 5-10 knots, becoming light overnight.

Monday . MVFR conditions likely early, with possible improvement during the day. Northeast winds early, become southwest during the day 5-10 knots.

MARINE.

The wind is expected to favor the east to south quadrant for today and tonight around 5 to 10 knots. Waves should be around 2 feet on our ocean waters, and less than 2 feet on Delaware Bay. Showers and thunderstorms are anticipated.

OUTLOOK .

Friday-Friday night . Conditions likely remain below advisory levels, although winds could gust around 20 knots.

Saturday-Sunday night . Seas likely build at least 5-6 feet due to increasing easterly flow. Winds could gust 25-30 knots Saturday into Saturday night.

Monday . Conditions likely lower below advisory levels through the day Monday.

Rip currents .

There is a low risk for the development of dangerous rip currents today with a light onshore wind and breaking waves of less than 2 feet. A medium period southeast swell is expected.

The low risk is forecast to continue on Friday. However, the risk could become locally moderate as a northeast wind of 10 to 15 MPH develops. Breaking waves should be around 2 feet with a medium period southeast to south swell.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . Flash Flood Watch from 8 AM EDT this morning through this evening for PAZ070-071-101-102-104-106. NJ . Flash Flood Watch from 8 AM EDT this morning through this evening for NJZ016>027. DE . Flash Flood Watch from 8 AM EDT this morning through this evening for DEZ001>004. MD . Flash Flood Watch from 8 AM EDT this morning through this evening for MDZ008-012-015-019-020. MARINE . None.



Synopsis . Robertson Near Term . Iovino Short Term . Iovino Long Term . Robertson Aviation . Iovino/Robertson Marine . Iovino/Robertson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 25 mi52 min SSW 4.1 G 5.1 77°F 81°F1018.4 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 26 mi30 min S 3.9 G 5.8 74°F1017.2 hPa
44091 26 mi44 min 74°F1 ft
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 38 mi52 min 78°F 79°F1017.7 hPa
MHRN6 38 mi52 min NE 4.1 G 5.1
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 38 mi52 min SW 1 G 1.9
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 39 mi52 min N 1 G 1.9 79°F 1017.6 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 42 mi52 min 79°F 77°F1017.9 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 44 mi94 min S 1 G 1.9 74°F 78°F1017.4 hPa
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 45 mi40 min NNW 1 74°F 1018 hPa73°F
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 48 mi30 min SSW 5.8 G 7.8 76°F1017.5 hPa

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ7 mi74 minN 010.00 miOvercast73°F0°F%1018.3 hPa
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ15 mi70 minno data6.00 miOvercast with Haze0°F0°F%1017.6 hPa
Miller Air Park, NJ18 mi74 minN 00.25 miFog70°F70°F100%1018.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBLM

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW4SW4CalmS4S5S5W43E14CalmS4CalmW4W4W3NE3CalmS3CalmS3S4S3CalmSE3
1 day agoSW3S4S5S5S5S4S6S7SE4S10W8SE4SE6SE7S8S4S3S5S5S6S5S4SW4S4
2 days agoSW4SW5SW5SW5SW7SW3W4S3S6SE6S9S10S7SE9S6S6S6S5S7SW5SW6SW5S5S6

Tide / Current Tables for Manasquan Inlet, USCG Station, New Jersey
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Manasquan Inlet
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:41 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:16 AM EDT     3.31 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:06 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:10 AM EDT     0.87 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:37 PM EDT     4.00 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:22 PM EDT     0.95 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.22.73.13.33.22.72.11.51.10.911.52.33.13.63.943.732.31.71.311

Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:26 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 12:43 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:46 AM EDT     1.23 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:30 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:37 AM EDT     -1.50 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 12:01 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:54 PM EDT     1.91 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 03:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:11 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:34 PM EDT     -1.97 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.40.41.11.20.90.3-0.3-0.8-1.2-1.4-1.5-1-011.71.91.60.90.1-0.5-1.1-1.5-1.9-1.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.