Monday, January20, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Point Pleasant Beach, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 5:01PM Monday January 20, 2020 6:28 AM EST (11:28 UTC) Moonrise 4:21AMMoonset 2:26PM Illumination 23% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 338 Am Est Mon Jan 20 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through this evening...
Today..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the N with a dominant period of 5 seconds.
Tonight..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the N with a dominant period of 6 seconds.
Tue..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt late. Seas around 3 ft early in the morning, then 2 ft or less. SWell mainly from the N with a dominant period of 5 seconds.
Tue night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. SWell mainly from the ne with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Wed night..NW winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Thu..W winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Thu night..NW winds around 5 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Fri..N winds around 5 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Fri night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of rain after midnight.
ANZ400 338 Am Est Mon Jan 20 2020
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. High pressure will build into the region today, cresting over our area Wednesday and Thursday before moving to the east on Friday. A low pressure system will approach from the west for Saturday, exiting the region on Sunday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Point Pleasant Beach , NJ
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location: 40.1, -74.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 200847 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 347 AM EST Mon Jan 20 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build into the region today, cresting over our area Wednesday and Thursday before moving to the east on Friday. A low pressure system will approach from the west for Saturday, exiting the region on Sunday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. A mid level short wave trough was passing over our region early this morning. The feature brought an area of clouds and scattered flurries to southeastern Pennsylvania, northeastern Maryland, Delaware, and central and southern New Jersey. The clouds and any lingering flurries should push to the south of our region around or shortly after daybreak.

Meanwhile, there was a deck of stratocumulus that was trapped under a temperature inversion. The clouds extended southeastward from Lake Ontario to Berks County , the Lehigh Valley and northwestern New Jersey. There were scattered snow flurries and isolated snow showers in those areas. The clouds are expected to erode this morning as cold dry air continues to build into our region.

Surface high pressure that was located in the Dakotas early this morning should work its way slowly down the Missouri River Valley today. The extensive air mass should bring a mainly clear sky to our region after the last of the morning clouds dissipate. The wind is forecast to be from the northwest around 15 mph with gusts near 25 mph. Maximum temperatures in our region should favor the lower 30s along and to the southeast of the Interstate 95 Corridor. Highs are expected to be in the 20s in areas to the northwest.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM TUESDAY/. The center of the surface high is forecast to slide from western Iowa to northeastern Missouri tonight. The air mass will continue to build slowly toward our region. We are anticipating a mainly clear sky with a northwest to north wind 5 to 10 mph.

Low temperatures are expected to be mainly in the teens, with some single digit readings in the elevated terrain of the Poconos and far northern New Jersey.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. The main feature of the extended will be a large area of high pressure that builds into the Mid-Atlantic through the course of the week. The airmass starts off on the cold side and below the climatological normals but will moderate each day and reach near normal through mid-week before continuing to warm to above normal temperatures by the end of the work week.

Highs on Tuesday will be on the cool side as we continue to have northwest flow across the region with the center of the high still to our west. Temperatures will generally be in the 30s across the region with some 20s across the southern Poconos and northwest New Jersey. Tuesday night should feature good radiational cooling as there will be very limited clouds, if any at all, and little to no wind. Temperatures will then bottom out in the mid teens to lower 20s with cooler spots in the Poconos and northwest New Jersey.

For Wednesday, temperatures should be warming with the flow becoming very light across the region with high starting to build overhead. Highs will start to rise into the upper 30s to lower 40s (much closer to the normals for late January) during the daytime before dropping off again at night into the teens to lower 20s, although areas near the coast may remain in the mid to upper 20s overnight.

Clouds will increase starting on Thursday as the high slides overhead and starts to push to the east. Increasing cloudiness will then continue into Friday in advance of next system developing to our west/southwest and its movement towards our area. However, the increased cloudcover will not be enough to stop the air at the surface from warming each day and raising temperatures back above normal for late January. For Thursday temperatures will warm even further and reach well into the 40s across the forecast area. Friday looks to be the warmest day of the week with highs in the upper 40s and potentially reaching into the lower 50s as far north as the I-95 corridor. These highs will be on average around 10 degrees warmer than normal through the forecast area on Friday.

Model guidance continues to show a primary low moving from the plains and into the Ohio Valley with a secondary low developing over the western Gulf of Mexico and tracking along the northern Gulf and then up into the Mid-Atlantic around Saturday. The primary low occludes and weakens as the secondary low starts to deepen and strengthen as it approaches our area. Timing and location of the center of the low are still unsure as it could arrive as early as Saturday morning or later in the day. Timing will be important as temperatures will help to dictate the precipitation type as the storm enters and then moves through the region. One thing that is consistent so far is that it looks like we will have an abundance of warm air across much of the region with pockets of colder air across portions of our northern areas. Thermal profiles indicate that some mixing may occur, especially Saturday morning, before the warm air fully surges northward which could lead to some freezing rain or sleet so this will definitely be something to keep an eye on as the system develops through the week. The system is expected to pull away from our area on Sunday, with an end to the precipitation occuring from west to east, and the potential return of some slightly cooler air.

AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Today . VFR. Decreasing cloud cover this morning, then a mainly clear sky is expected. Northwest wind 12 to 16 knots gusting around 25 knots. High confidence.

Tonight . VFR under a mainly clear sky. Northwest to north wind 5 to 10 knots. High confidence.

Outlook .

Tuesday through Wednesday . VFR conditions expected. Northwest winds around 10 knots on Tuesday, becoming light and variable on Wednesday. High confidence.

Wednesday night and Thursday . VFR conditions expected. Light and variable winds. High confidence.

Friday . VFR conditions expected. Increasing cloudiness with the potential for MVFR/IFR conditions and rain towards Friday night. Light north to northeast winds, becoming east to southeast around 5 knots. Generally high confidence with lower confidence on timing of lower conditions during the evening/night.

MARINE. Northwest wind gusts of 25 to 30 knots are expected into this evening. We have extended the Small Craft Advisory until midnight to allow the gusts a little extra time to subside. The wind gusts should fall to 15 to 20 knots after midnight as the pressure gradient continues to relax slowly.

Outlook .

Tuesday through Thursday . Sub-Small Craft Advisory conditions expected. Seas are expected to be around 1 to 3 feet. Winds will generally be out of the northwest around 10 to 15 knots on Tuesday diminishing to 5 to 10 knots for Wednesday and Thursday.

Friday . Seas will build through the day and may start to approach 5 feet by midday/early afternoon on Friday. A Small Craft Advisory may be needed for seas by Friday afternoon. Winds will generally be light but will increase out of the east/southeast later in the day, remaining well below advisory criteria.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until midnight EST tonight for ANZ430-431- 450>455.

Synopsis . Meola Near Term . Iovino Short Term . Iovino Long Term . Meola Aviation . Iovino/Meola Marine . Iovino/Meola


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 25 mi58 min 23°F 40°F1020.6 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 26 mi38 min NNW 21 G 29 25°F 4 ft1020.2 hPa15°F
44091 26 mi28 min 46°F6 ft
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 38 mi58 min 24°F 41°F1020.6 hPa
MHRN6 38 mi100 min NW 13 G 19
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 38 mi58 min 23°F 37°F1021.6 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 39 mi58 min 22°F 1020.3 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 42 mi58 min 22°F 41°F1020.5 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 44 mi52 min 23°F 37°F1021.4 hPa
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 45 mi58 min NW 6 24°F 1021 hPa11°F
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 48 mi38 min 21 G 27 26°F 45°F5 ft1018.5 hPa (+2.8)

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ7 mi32 minNW 1010.00 miFair22°F10°F60%1021 hPa
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ15 mi88 minNW 510.00 miFair22°F9°F57%1019.7 hPa
Miller Air Park, NJ18 mi32 minNW 8 G 1610.00 miFair22°F10°F63%1021.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBLM

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
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1 day agoNW4N4E3Calm6SW12
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3CalmCalmE7SE3SE8--S6S9
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NW12NW11NW9NW9W8NW4W7W5NW6NW4W5CalmW4W4NW6NW5

Tide / Current Tables for Manasquan Inlet, USCG Station, New Jersey
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Manasquan Inlet
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:21 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:38 AM EST     4.30 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:08 AM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:26 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 04:04 PM EST     3.46 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:00 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 10:14 PM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.72.73.64.24.33.8321.10.3-00.20.91.72.53.23.53.22.61.810.3-0.10.1

Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:14 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 02:58 AM EST     2.63 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 03:20 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:33 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:18 AM EST     -2.84 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 01:16 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 01:27 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 03:36 PM EST     1.94 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 05:01 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:48 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:31 PM EST     -2.43 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.41.12.22.62.31.50.5-0.4-1.3-2.2-2.8-2.6-1.7-0.40.91.81.91.40.7-0.2-0.9-1.7-2.3-2.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.