Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Deal, NJ

December 11, 2023 6:00 PM EST (23:00 UTC)
Sunrise 7:06AM Sunset 4:31PM Moonrise 6:49AM Moonset 4:13PM
ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 402 Pm Est Mon Dec 11 2023
.gale warning in effect until 7 pm est this evening...
Tonight..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft, subsiding to 4 to 6 ft after midnight. SE swell 3 to 5 ft at 8 seconds.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SE swell 2 to 4 ft at 8 seconds.
Tue night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SE swell 2 to 3 ft at 7 seconds.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SE swell 2 to 3 ft at 6 seconds.
Wed night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. N swell 2 to 3 ft at 5 seconds, becoming se around 2 ft at 7 seconds after midnight.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. SE swell around 2 ft at 7 seconds in the morning.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
.gale warning in effect until 7 pm est this evening...
Tonight..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft, subsiding to 4 to 6 ft after midnight. SE swell 3 to 5 ft at 8 seconds.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SE swell 2 to 4 ft at 8 seconds.
Tue night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SE swell 2 to 3 ft at 7 seconds.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SE swell 2 to 3 ft at 6 seconds.
Wed night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. N swell 2 to 3 ft at 5 seconds, becoming se around 2 ft at 7 seconds after midnight.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. SE swell around 2 ft at 7 seconds in the morning.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
ANZ400 402 Pm Est Mon Dec 11 2023
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. Low pressure and a strong cold front will quickly lift out across new england toward the canadian maritime provinces through tonight. High pressure will build across the mid- atlantic through Tuesday. A weak cold front drops though the area early Wednesday. More high pressure returns for the end of the week.
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. Low pressure and a strong cold front will quickly lift out across new england toward the canadian maritime provinces through tonight. High pressure will build across the mid- atlantic through Tuesday. A weak cold front drops though the area early Wednesday. More high pressure returns for the end of the week.

Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 112052 AFDPHI
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 352 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2023
SYNOPSIS
Low pressure and a strong cold front will quickly lift out across New England toward the Canadian Maritime Provinces through tonight. High pressure will build across the Mid- Atlantic through Tuesday. A weak cold front drops though the area early Wednesday. More high pressure returns for the end of the week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
After an active overnight and early morning, low pressure that brought a drenching rain and some wet snow to our region is quickly racing northeastward across the Canadian Maritime Provinces this evening. The associated trailing upper-level trough will also be quickly crossing our region this evening.
Cold, somewhat unstable air aloft along with shallow lingering lower-level moisture is aiding in some stratocumulus covering much of our region, spreading southeastward from the Great Lakes and across the Appalachians. There are even a few flurries this evening across the Poconos, though probably not amounting to much if any 'measurable' snow on the ground. The clouds may linger around the Poconos tonight, but otherwise any flurries and clouds to the southeast of the mountains will quickly clear out this evening in the wake of the upper-trough. Additionally, surface high pressure building in quickly from east to west from the Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic tonight into Tuesday will result in a quickly diminishing pressure gradient, along with more stable conditions. Winds have been gusting 25 to 30 mph at times today from the northwest; these winds will thus quickly ease this evening, even becoming calm overnight into early Tuesday morning in sheltered areas. While drier air continues to filter in, with lowering dewpoints into the 20s, at least some patchy radiation fog will be possible later tonight into Tuesday morning, particularly in the valleys and low-lying areas of southeast PA, river valleys in northern NJ, and the Pine Barrens into the coastal plain of the Delmarva. The good radiational cooling conditions otherwise should result in a cold night, with some upper teens achievable near Mount Pocono with the fresh snowcover, and even some low 20s down into the NJ Pine Barrens.
Tuesday will be a very quiet day, with just a light west- southwesterly breeze in the afternoon. High temperatures will be very similar to Monday, mainly in the 40s, aside from some 30s in the Poconos and the highest elevations of northwest NJ.
High pressure will gradually press southward as a reinforcing dry cold front approaches from the Great Lakes, but aside from few high clouds by the evening, skies will be mostly sunny with a dry and stable atmosphere.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
Strong 1040+ mb surface high pressure will be centered across the spine of the Appalachians Tuesday night maintaining a dry and cool night, though weak warm advection owing to a gradient induced southwesterly breeze overnight will keep lows slightly warmer than Monday night and close to normal in the upper 20s/low 30s.
Still high confidence among the ensemble suites that high pressure remains firmly entrenched just to our southwest for Wednesday. An upper wave associated with a strong closed low well off to our north will push a dry cold front through the area with the only notable impacts being an increase in mid/upper level clouds and a wind shift to northwest. A few lake enhanced showers may try to nose into the Poconos in the northwest flow with an 850 mb thermal trough extending down from New England, though with high pressure in control and lacking moisture, chances are very low (< 10%). Despite the frontal passage, highs will be quite similar to those of Tuesday in the low to mid 40s as the shot of cold air won't arrive until later on Wednesday night. Said shot of cold air will be accompanied by 80-100 dam 12 hour height falls and crashing thickness values supporting lows in the low to mid 20s areawide. Combined with a northwest wind, wind chill values will drop to the teens with single digits across the higher elevations.
The 850 mb ridge builds closer overhead as heights rise through the day on Thursday and temperatures will rebound pretty well from overnight lows with mostly sunny skies. Highs will reach to the low 40s.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
Overall, a quiet start to the long term period. Stronger surface high pressure shifts east from the Midwest across the Mid-Atlantic by Thursday night.
Temperatures rebound to around climo on Friday, with afternoon highs in the upper 40s to around 50 for most.
High pressure will slowly lift out across New England through Saturday with our next system beginning to approach the region late Sunday and Monday. Quite a bit of model spread at this point, so stuck closely with the consensus NBM blend during this time, although PoPs have trended a bit upward from the previous update.
AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.
Tonight...VFR with clearing skies. Some patchy fog may develop late tonight, shallow in nature, mainly away from the I-95 TAF sites. Would not rule it out at MIV, RDG, ABE, TTN in particularly. Gusty winds diminishing quickly early this evening and tending generally westerly around 5-8 kt through the overnight. High confidence, except low confidence in fog formation.
Tuesday...VFR with clear skies after any patchy morning fog.
Any morning fog is not expected to affect PHL. WSW winds 5-10 kt.
Outlook...
Wednesday...VFR. Southwesterly wind 5-10 knots early will shift to northwesterly with a dry cold front passage and increase to 10-15 knots. High confidence.
Thursday...VFR. Northwesterly wind 10-15 knots. High confidence.
Thursday night...VFR expected. SW-W winds around 10 kts. High confidence.
Friday through Friday night...VFR expected. W-NW winds around 10 kts. High confidence.
Saturday...VFR expected. NW-N winds around 5-10 kts. High confidence.
MARINE
For tonight, some gusts to 35 kt at buoy 65 will justify keeping the Gale Warning off the Ocean and Monmouth County coasts until 7 PM. Otherwise, Small Craft Advisory conditions will linger, especially across the Atlantic coastal waters where elevated seas will persist near 5-7 feet while gradually diminishing toward morning. Northwest winds near 15-25 kts early will diminish to near 10-15 kts late. Fair weather.
Tuesday...WSW winds 10-12 kt early will tend to pick up again, especially north of Atlantic City through the afternoon and evening, with some gusts over 20 kt possible at times. Small Craft Advisories will remain in effect through the morning for the southern ocean zones due to seas above 5 ft, and the advisories may remain in effect into the afternoon to the north of the Atlantic County coast.
Outlook...
Wednesday...Small Craft Advisory conditions possible late.
Southwesterly wind 10-15 knots becoming northwesterly behind a dry cold front with gusts increasing to 20-25 knots. Seas 3-4 feet.
Thursday...Lingering Small Craft Advisory conditions possible early.
Northwesterly wind 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots and seas 3-4 feet decreasing to 10-15 knots and seas 2-3 feet by afternoon.
Thursday night...No marine headlines expected. W-NW winds around 10- 15 kt with gusts up to 18-22 kt. Seas of 2-3 feet.
Friday through Friday night...No marine headlines expected. W-NW winds around 15 kts with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas of 2-3 feet.
Saturday...No marine headlines expected. NW-N winds of 10-15 kt.
Seas of 2 feet or less.
HYDROLOGY
A widespread 1.5 to 2 inches of rain has fallen across the area, with a localized stripe of 3 to 4 inches across the coastal plain of NJ. Main stem rivers have begun to respond as well, however widespread river flooding is will not occur, given the antecedent dry conditions. Excessive runoff may continue to result in some localized additional minor flooding of some low- lying areas near some of our area rivers, creeks and streams. As of this evening, just about all of our river forecast points are below flood stage, but we will be keeping an eye on some other locations over the next day or so. Refer to any river flood products that may be issued.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for ANZ430- 431.
Gale Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ450-451.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ452>455.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 352 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2023
SYNOPSIS
Low pressure and a strong cold front will quickly lift out across New England toward the Canadian Maritime Provinces through tonight. High pressure will build across the Mid- Atlantic through Tuesday. A weak cold front drops though the area early Wednesday. More high pressure returns for the end of the week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
After an active overnight and early morning, low pressure that brought a drenching rain and some wet snow to our region is quickly racing northeastward across the Canadian Maritime Provinces this evening. The associated trailing upper-level trough will also be quickly crossing our region this evening.
Cold, somewhat unstable air aloft along with shallow lingering lower-level moisture is aiding in some stratocumulus covering much of our region, spreading southeastward from the Great Lakes and across the Appalachians. There are even a few flurries this evening across the Poconos, though probably not amounting to much if any 'measurable' snow on the ground. The clouds may linger around the Poconos tonight, but otherwise any flurries and clouds to the southeast of the mountains will quickly clear out this evening in the wake of the upper-trough. Additionally, surface high pressure building in quickly from east to west from the Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic tonight into Tuesday will result in a quickly diminishing pressure gradient, along with more stable conditions. Winds have been gusting 25 to 30 mph at times today from the northwest; these winds will thus quickly ease this evening, even becoming calm overnight into early Tuesday morning in sheltered areas. While drier air continues to filter in, with lowering dewpoints into the 20s, at least some patchy radiation fog will be possible later tonight into Tuesday morning, particularly in the valleys and low-lying areas of southeast PA, river valleys in northern NJ, and the Pine Barrens into the coastal plain of the Delmarva. The good radiational cooling conditions otherwise should result in a cold night, with some upper teens achievable near Mount Pocono with the fresh snowcover, and even some low 20s down into the NJ Pine Barrens.
Tuesday will be a very quiet day, with just a light west- southwesterly breeze in the afternoon. High temperatures will be very similar to Monday, mainly in the 40s, aside from some 30s in the Poconos and the highest elevations of northwest NJ.
High pressure will gradually press southward as a reinforcing dry cold front approaches from the Great Lakes, but aside from few high clouds by the evening, skies will be mostly sunny with a dry and stable atmosphere.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
Strong 1040+ mb surface high pressure will be centered across the spine of the Appalachians Tuesday night maintaining a dry and cool night, though weak warm advection owing to a gradient induced southwesterly breeze overnight will keep lows slightly warmer than Monday night and close to normal in the upper 20s/low 30s.
Still high confidence among the ensemble suites that high pressure remains firmly entrenched just to our southwest for Wednesday. An upper wave associated with a strong closed low well off to our north will push a dry cold front through the area with the only notable impacts being an increase in mid/upper level clouds and a wind shift to northwest. A few lake enhanced showers may try to nose into the Poconos in the northwest flow with an 850 mb thermal trough extending down from New England, though with high pressure in control and lacking moisture, chances are very low (< 10%). Despite the frontal passage, highs will be quite similar to those of Tuesday in the low to mid 40s as the shot of cold air won't arrive until later on Wednesday night. Said shot of cold air will be accompanied by 80-100 dam 12 hour height falls and crashing thickness values supporting lows in the low to mid 20s areawide. Combined with a northwest wind, wind chill values will drop to the teens with single digits across the higher elevations.
The 850 mb ridge builds closer overhead as heights rise through the day on Thursday and temperatures will rebound pretty well from overnight lows with mostly sunny skies. Highs will reach to the low 40s.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
Overall, a quiet start to the long term period. Stronger surface high pressure shifts east from the Midwest across the Mid-Atlantic by Thursday night.
Temperatures rebound to around climo on Friday, with afternoon highs in the upper 40s to around 50 for most.
High pressure will slowly lift out across New England through Saturday with our next system beginning to approach the region late Sunday and Monday. Quite a bit of model spread at this point, so stuck closely with the consensus NBM blend during this time, although PoPs have trended a bit upward from the previous update.
AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.
Tonight...VFR with clearing skies. Some patchy fog may develop late tonight, shallow in nature, mainly away from the I-95 TAF sites. Would not rule it out at MIV, RDG, ABE, TTN in particularly. Gusty winds diminishing quickly early this evening and tending generally westerly around 5-8 kt through the overnight. High confidence, except low confidence in fog formation.
Tuesday...VFR with clear skies after any patchy morning fog.
Any morning fog is not expected to affect PHL. WSW winds 5-10 kt.
Outlook...
Wednesday...VFR. Southwesterly wind 5-10 knots early will shift to northwesterly with a dry cold front passage and increase to 10-15 knots. High confidence.
Thursday...VFR. Northwesterly wind 10-15 knots. High confidence.
Thursday night...VFR expected. SW-W winds around 10 kts. High confidence.
Friday through Friday night...VFR expected. W-NW winds around 10 kts. High confidence.
Saturday...VFR expected. NW-N winds around 5-10 kts. High confidence.
MARINE
For tonight, some gusts to 35 kt at buoy 65 will justify keeping the Gale Warning off the Ocean and Monmouth County coasts until 7 PM. Otherwise, Small Craft Advisory conditions will linger, especially across the Atlantic coastal waters where elevated seas will persist near 5-7 feet while gradually diminishing toward morning. Northwest winds near 15-25 kts early will diminish to near 10-15 kts late. Fair weather.
Tuesday...WSW winds 10-12 kt early will tend to pick up again, especially north of Atlantic City through the afternoon and evening, with some gusts over 20 kt possible at times. Small Craft Advisories will remain in effect through the morning for the southern ocean zones due to seas above 5 ft, and the advisories may remain in effect into the afternoon to the north of the Atlantic County coast.
Outlook...
Wednesday...Small Craft Advisory conditions possible late.
Southwesterly wind 10-15 knots becoming northwesterly behind a dry cold front with gusts increasing to 20-25 knots. Seas 3-4 feet.
Thursday...Lingering Small Craft Advisory conditions possible early.
Northwesterly wind 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots and seas 3-4 feet decreasing to 10-15 knots and seas 2-3 feet by afternoon.
Thursday night...No marine headlines expected. W-NW winds around 10- 15 kt with gusts up to 18-22 kt. Seas of 2-3 feet.
Friday through Friday night...No marine headlines expected. W-NW winds around 15 kts with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas of 2-3 feet.
Saturday...No marine headlines expected. NW-N winds of 10-15 kt.
Seas of 2 feet or less.
HYDROLOGY
A widespread 1.5 to 2 inches of rain has fallen across the area, with a localized stripe of 3 to 4 inches across the coastal plain of NJ. Main stem rivers have begun to respond as well, however widespread river flooding is will not occur, given the antecedent dry conditions. Excessive runoff may continue to result in some localized additional minor flooding of some low- lying areas near some of our area rivers, creeks and streams. As of this evening, just about all of our river forecast points are below flood stage, but we will be keeping an eye on some other locations over the next day or so. Refer to any river flood products that may be issued.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for ANZ430- 431.
Gale Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ450-451.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ452>455.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor | 14 mi | 31 min | 27G | 51°F | 29.98 | |||
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ | 16 mi | 43 min | NW 22G | 46°F | 30.04 | |||
BGNN6 | 29 mi | 43 min | 48°F | 30.01 | ||||
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ | 29 mi | 43 min | NW 20G | 30.01 | ||||
MHRN6 | 30 mi | 43 min | WNW 15G | |||||
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY | 32 mi | 43 min | 49°F | 29.96 | ||||
44091 | 34 mi | 35 min | 51°F | 7 ft | ||||
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY | 40 mi | 31 min | 52°F | 29.96 | ||||
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY | 40 mi | 43 min | WNW 18G | 48°F | 30.02 | |||
44022 - Execution Rocks | 45 mi | 31 min | W 19 | 42°F | 29.96 | 28°F | ||
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA | 45 mi | 43 min | WNW 13G | 45°F | 30.06 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KBLM MONMOUTH EXECUTIVE,NJ | 11 sm | 64 min | WNW 13G19 | 10 sm | Overcast | 41°F | 28°F | 61% | 30.02 |
Wind History from BLM
(wind in knots)Tide / Current for Long Branch (fishing pier), New Jersey
EDIT Weekend mode (on/off) (on/off)  Help
Long Branch (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:46 AM EST 4.99 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:49 AM EST Moonrise
Mon -- 07:08 AM EST Sunrise
Mon -- 12:09 PM EST -0.15 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:13 PM EST Moonset
Mon -- 04:29 PM EST Sunset
Mon -- 06:08 PM EST 3.99 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:46 AM EST 4.99 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:49 AM EST Moonrise
Mon -- 07:08 AM EST Sunrise
Mon -- 12:09 PM EST -0.15 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:13 PM EST Moonset
Mon -- 04:29 PM EST Sunset
Mon -- 06:08 PM EST 3.99 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Long Branch (fishing pier), New Jersey, Tide feet
12 am |
0.2 |
1 am |
0.9 |
2 am |
2 |
3 am |
3.2 |
4 am |
4.2 |
5 am |
4.8 |
6 am |
5 |
7 am |
4.5 |
8 am |
3.5 |
9 am |
2.3 |
10 am |
1.1 |
11 am |
0.3 |
12 pm |
-0.1 |
1 pm |
0.1 |
2 pm |
0.9 |
3 pm |
2 |
4 pm |
3 |
5 pm |
3.7 |
6 pm |
4 |
7 pm |
3.8 |
8 pm |
3 |
9 pm |
1.9 |
10 pm |
1 |
11 pm |
0.3 |
Belmar
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:37 AM EST 5.04 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:48 AM EST Moonrise
Mon -- 07:08 AM EST Sunrise
Mon -- 12:00 PM EST -0.15 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:13 PM EST Moonset
Mon -- 04:30 PM EST Sunset
Mon -- 05:59 PM EST 4.03 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:56 PM EST -0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:37 AM EST 5.04 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:48 AM EST Moonrise
Mon -- 07:08 AM EST Sunrise
Mon -- 12:00 PM EST -0.15 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:13 PM EST Moonset
Mon -- 04:30 PM EST Sunset
Mon -- 05:59 PM EST 4.03 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:56 PM EST -0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Belmar, Atlantic Ocean, New Jersey, Tide feet
12 am |
0.3 |
1 am |
1.1 |
2 am |
2.2 |
3 am |
3.4 |
4 am |
4.4 |
5 am |
4.9 |
6 am |
5 |
7 am |
4.4 |
8 am |
3.3 |
9 am |
2.1 |
10 am |
1 |
11 am |
0.2 |
12 pm |
-0.1 |
1 pm |
0.2 |
2 pm |
1.1 |
3 pm |
2.2 |
4 pm |
3.1 |
5 pm |
3.8 |
6 pm |
4 |
7 pm |
3.7 |
8 pm |
2.9 |
9 pm |
1.8 |
10 pm |
0.9 |
11 pm |
0.2 |
Philadelphia, PA,

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