Saturday, April4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Deal, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:32AMSunset 7:25PM Saturday April 4, 2020 11:56 PM EDT (03:56 UTC) Moonrise 3:17PMMoonset 4:49AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 1005 Pm Edt Sat Apr 4 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through late Sunday night...
Overnight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 12 seconds. A slight chance of showers.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late. Seas 4 to 6 ft, subsiding to 3 to 4 ft late. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 12 seconds.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 11 seconds.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 11 seconds.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Tue..S winds around 5 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Tue night..S winds around 5 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of showers after midnight.
Wed..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of showers in the evening.
Thu..SE winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W after midnight. Gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
ANZ400 1005 Pm Edt Sat Apr 4 2020
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. A weak ridge of high pressure will build over the area tonight and remain into Sunday. A weak cold front will cross the area Sunday afternoon and evening. More high pressure returns for Monday. A disturbance will bring unsettled conditions for the middle the upcoming week. Another low and its fronts will arrive for Friday and remain nearby into next weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Deal , NJ
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location: 40.25, -73.92     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 050123 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 923 PM EDT Sat Apr 4 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak ridge of high pressure will build over the area tonight and remain into Sunday. A weak cold front will cross the area Sunday afternoon and evening. More high pressure returns for Monday. A disturbance will bring unsettled conditions for the middle the upcoming week. Another low and its fronts will arrive for Friday and remain nearby into next weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/. Our area is embedded within weak flow in between the departing low pressure over the ocean and a cold front moving through the Great Lakes and Mid-West region. Weak high pressure is likely to develop just to our south, with a weak surface trough to our north. There will remain plenty of low level moisture moving across the area overnight, so there will remain periods of cloudy conditions through the overnight hours. Later in the night, a weak short wave/vorticity impulse will move across the area from the northwest withing the northwest flow aloft, so a few showers may be possible across portions of northern New Jersey and northeast Pennsylvania. Any precipitation will be light.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/. Overall, another fairly quiet day on tap weatherwise. A weak cold front will continue to slowly approach from the north but ahead of it the W/SW flow will result in milder temperatures. There will also continue to be a fair amount of cloud cover but there should be at least a little more sunshine compared to today. Generally expect highs in the mid 60s except upper 50s to low 50s over NE PA into NW NJ. Most of the day should be dry but by late day there could be some isolated showers moving into eastern PA ahead of the aformentioned front.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. Sunday night thru Monday night . A mostly dry period, especially Monday which looks like a nice day with high pressure building overhead. Isolated showers may arrive Monday night as a warm front begins to push towards the area from the Ohio valley. I put just a slight chc for a shower at this point. The milder temperatures that arrive for late this weekend will continue into next week with readings 5 to 10 degrees above normal.

Tue thru Wed . A deepening upper trough across the northern Rockies and Plains states will stir up a sfc cyclone across the Great Lakes region Tue which will head east across New England into Wed. This will bring scattered to occasional showers to the area Tue thru Wed, with the cold front expected to cross the area Wed afternoon, a few tstms are also possible since a mild and humid airmass will be in place. Highs and lows will remain generally 5 to 10 degrees above normal. Highs will be in the upper 60s to low 70s for Delmarva and low to mid 60s

Wed night and beyond . Mostly unsettled with the upper trough deepening across the Great Lakes and then swinging across the Northeast late week. Another low pressure system will spin up across Canada Thu and send a stronger cold front across the Middle Atlantic towards the end of the week. There will be some chc for showers Thu thru Sat with the greatest chc for Thu. Uncertainty builds during the end of the week with some of the models slower with the system. Temperatures will drop back to normal Fri and then remain either normal or below into next weekend. Some higher elevation snow showers are possible next weekend.

AVIATION /01Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight . Mainly VFR with light and variable winds. Rounds of CIGs in the 3500-5000 foot range are likely and more isolated pockets of MVFR are possible, though confidence is very low on coverage/timing. Best timing appears to be around daybreak, with the most likely areas affected generally around/northeast of PHL. For now, think that the potential is too low for mention in the TAF.

Sunday . Mainly VFR with CIGs generally 3500-5000 feet. Cannot rule out a period of MVFR in the morning hours, but confidence is too low for mention in the TAF. Light/variable winds in the morning becoming generally westerly or southwesterly around or below 10 kt during the afternoon.

Outlook .

Sunday night . Mainly VFR conditions. Light southwest to west winds, becoming northwest overnight. MVFR conditions possible as scattered showers move through during the night. Moderate confidence with low confidence on MVFR conditions.

Monday . VFR conditions expected. Northwest to west around 5 to 10 knots. Moderate confidence.

Tuesday . Mainly VFR conditions expected. Light southwest winds less than 10 knots. MVFR or lower conditions possible in rain showers. Moderate confidence.

Wednesday . MVFR or lower conditions possible in showers with isolated thunderstorms. Westerly winds 10 knots or less. Moderate confidence with low confidence on thunderstorms.

Thursday . MVFR or lower conditions possible in showers. Southerly winds around 5 to 10 knots. Low confidence.

MARINE. The SCA remains in effect for all of our ocean zones through the day Sunday. This is mainly for seas as the general trend has been for winds to diminish. Seas should generally be in the 5 to 8 foot range through tonight and in the 4 to 6 foot range for Sunday.

Outlook .

Sunday night . SCA conditions into the evening and early overnight before diminishing. Scattered showers early.

Monday thru Wednesday . Generally sub-SCA. Sct showers Tue night and Wed otherwise, Fair.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. Low pressure centered well off the Middle Atlantic coast this afternoon will continue to move farther out to sea. The onshore wind flow along the coasts of Delaware and New Jersey will cease later this evening.

Minor flooding continues late this evening on upper portions of Barnegat Bay and in coastal sections of Sussex County in Delaware. We expect flooding to continue into the early overnight hours and have issued a coastal flood statement to address this.

Meanwhile, tidal departures have increased rapidly on Chesapeake Bay this evening, with models (as usual) vastly underestimating this, in general. Using NAM-based OFS as a guide and in coordination with WFO AKQ, have increased the forecast tidal levels for the overnight high tide. At Tolchester Beach, minor flooding is forecast (but just under advisory levels). However, this may still be underdone, and an advisory may be required pending obs farther to the south. For Claiborne, have increased the forecast to advisory-level flooding and have issued a coastal flood advisory from 1 to 6 am Sunday for tidal sections of Queen Anne's, Talbot, and Caroline Counties. It is possible a second round of minor flooding may occur Sunday afternoon for the eastern shore of Chesapeake Bay, as well.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . Coastal Flood Advisory from 1 AM to 6 AM EDT Sunday for MDZ015- 019-020. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Monday for ANZ450>455.

Synopsis . O'Hara Near Term . Fitzsimmons Short Term . Fitzsimmons Long Term . O'Hara Aviation . CMS/O'Hara Marine . Fitzsimmons/O'Hara Tides/Coastal Flooding . CMS/Iovino


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 14 mi46 min SSW 9.7 G 12 45°F 1017.9 hPa42°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 16 mi62 min SSW 7 G 8.9 47°F 51°F1017.7 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 29 mi62 min 49°F 49°F1017.1 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 29 mi62 min S 12 G 14 47°F 1016.9 hPa
MHRN6 30 mi62 min S 5.1 G 8
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 32 mi62 min 47°F 47°F1017.4 hPa
44091 34 mi56 min 46°F7 ft
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 40 mi66 min 5.8 G 5.8 44°F 45°F8 ft1017.7 hPa (+0.9)
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 40 mi62 min SW 8 G 9.9 46°F 54°F1017.8 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 45 mi56 min SSW 9.7 G 12 46°F 32°F44°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 45 mi62 min SSE 6 G 8.9 47°F 50°F1017.8 hPa

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ12 mi60 minS 510.00 miOvercast44°F44°F100%1018 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBLM

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
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E5CalmSW3SE7SE6SE6SE5S3S3S5
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Tide / Current Tables for Long Branch (fishing pier), New Jersey
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Long Branch (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:37 AM EDT     4.74 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:49 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:15 AM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:16 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:25 PM EDT     4.53 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:29 PM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.12.23.34.24.74.74.23.32.31.30.500.212.13.244.54.43.72.71.60.70.1

Tide / Current Tables for Belmar, Atlantic Ocean, New Jersey
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Belmar
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:29 AM EDT     4.79 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:49 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:06 AM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:16 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:16 PM EDT     4.58 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:20 PM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.32.43.54.34.74.74.23.22.11.20.400.31.22.33.44.24.64.43.62.61.50.60

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.