Saturday, July11, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Long Branch, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:34AMSunset 8:28PM Saturday July 11, 2020 11:34 PM EDT (03:34 UTC) Moonrise 12:01AMMoonset 11:54AM Illumination 58% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 1002 Pm Edt Sat Jul 11 2020
Overnight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of tstms in the late morning and afternoon. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Mon night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of tstms in the evening.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Tue night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas around 3 ft.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft.
Wed night..S winds around 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Thu..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Thu night..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas around 3 ft in the evening, then 2 ft or less. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 1002 Pm Edt Sat Jul 11 2020
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. A weak cold front will cross our region tonight, then as it remains just offshore a weak area of low pressure will track along it Sunday night and Monday. This will pull the main weak cold front off the coast Monday night. High pressure builds nearby Wednesday and Thursday before moving offshore into Friday, then the next cold front may arrive later Friday into Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Long Branch, NJ
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location: 40.28, -73.85     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 120144 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 944 PM EDT Sat Jul 11 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak cold front will cross our region tonight, then as it remains just offshore a weak area of low pressure will track along it Sunday night and Monday. This will pull the main weak cold front off the coast Monday night. High pressure builds nearby Wednesday and Thursday before moving offshore into Friday, then the next cold front may arrive later Friday into Saturday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/. The weak cold front is nearly off the coast now. As expected, showers and storms have dissipated or moved out of our region in the wake of the front. Thus, updated PoPs to show a dry forecast for the rest of the night. Kept the mention of patchy fog in, primarily for the river valleys in northern NJ and E Central PA. Further south, it appears that dew point depressions will stay up enough we won't get near saturation. Lows tonight are expected to be in the 60s for most locations, but around 70 in Delmarva, the coastal locations, and within Philly.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. On Sunday, the cold front is forecast to stall out as it moves offshore of the east coast, then eventually may push back onshore or redevelop back onshore by the afternoon into Sunday evening as an area of low pressure develops along the boundary to our southwest during the day, then moves across the area overnight. Most of the daytime hours Sunday are expected to be dry as PW values will be an inch or lower through much of the day. However, by the late afternoon hours, a short wave/vorticity impulse will move across eastern Pennsylvania and northern New Jersey, while another approaches from the southwest. This could lead to a few showers or thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Additional showers or thunderstorms are expected to develop overnight Sunday into Monday morning as a couple of more short wave/vorticity impulses are expected to move across the area. PW values increase to 1.50-1.75 inches late Sunday into Sunday night, so some heavy rainfall could occur for some showers or thunderstorms. The highest chances for rain is located across portions of eastern Pennsylvania and northern New Jersey.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Summary . Potentially unsettled at times Monday, otherwise warm to hot. A few breaks should occur from the very humid conditions at times.

Synoptic Overview . An upper-level trough will swing across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions Monday and Tuesday, with a surface cold front being pushed offshore. High pressure builds nearby Wednesday and Thursday before shifting eastward and offshore into Friday. A ridge builds toward our area from the Tennessee Valley region for the end of the week into the weekend, however energy rolling along the northern periphery of the ridge may allow for a cold front to drop into our area later Friday into Saturday.

For Monday and Tuesday . An upper-level trough will swing across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions during this time frame. At the surface, a weak cold front is forecast to be positioned near the coast although it may get pulled inland some as a weak area of low pressure tracks along it Monday. The parent low should become more focused across New England as the main portions of the trough aloft moves across there. While there is forcing for ascent during Monday, this may be weaker with a southern extent given the core of the trough aloft forecast to be farther northward. While at least scattered convection should occur, the overall organization will depend on the forcing as well as the amount of shear. The forecast soundings indicate that drying aloft increases through the day and the stronger low to mid level flow is generally north of our region. Given this, not anticipating severe weather however this will be monitored given potentially steep low-level lapse rates.

The cold front is pushed out to sea Monday night and Tuesday as high pressure to the west builds southeastward. The surface dew points may mix out some during peak heating Tuesday. An upper-level trough sliding across New England Tuesday may toss a weak front into our far northern areas Tuesday night, however as of now not much is anticipated with it.

For Wednesday and Thursday . Any lingering surface boundary across our northern areas should lift north Wednesday as a warm front due to a ridge building in from the west. Surface high pressure may become more elongated along the East Coast, and if it becomes more centered over New England then a more onshore low-level flow will occur. Overall it looks dry on Wednesday, then perhaps some convection may try and arrive later Thursday well ahead of a cold front but with a possible pre-frontal trough. It could turn hotter Thursday depending on the timing and strength of an incoming ridge.

For Friday and Saturday . High pressure more anchored offshore will result in a strengthening southerly flow. This will result in higher dew points being advected northward ahead of an advancing cold front. An upper-level trough sliding across the Great Lakes region and adjacent Canada will move into the Northeast later Friday into Saturday. The surface cold front may slow as it moves into our area due to the upper-level trough potentially reloading to our west. This setup could result in widespread convection, however intensity and coverage at this time frame is much less certain. There is some potential that high temperatures each day could be well into the 90s for many areas, depending on how much ridging occurs and the timing of any convection.

AVIATION /02Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight . Lingering showers and storms should stay mostly north and east of the TAF sites. Mostly VFR conditions are expected for the rest of tonight. Patchy fog is possible to develop for some areas, mainly where rain fell during the day. However, at this point, have low confidence that it will affect any of the TAF sites. Winds will southwest 5-10 knots early, then shift to the west around 5 knots, or become light and variable overnight. Moderate confidence on most aspects of the forecast, but low confidence on the fog potential.

Sunday . Mostly VFR. A chance of showers and thunderstorms beginning in the afternoon and evening, primarily for KRDG and KABE. Winds will shift from west to southwest during the day, withs speeds around 5-10 knots, with occasional gusts around 15 knots. Moderate confidence.

Sunday night . Mostly VFR, although patchy and low clouds may develop late in the night and toward daybreak Monday A chance of showers or thunderstorms starting in the evening and continuing into the overnight. Winds will vary between south to southwest winds 5-10 knots or less. Moderate confidence.

Outlook . Monday . Localized fog early, otherwise mainly VFR ceilings. Some showers and thunderstorms possible which can lead to MVFR/IFR conditions at times. Any showers and thunderstorms should end during the evening. Southwest winds 5-10 knots, becoming west to northwest 5 knots or less at night. Moderate confidence.

Tuesday . Mainly VFR. Northwest winds around 10 knots, becoming light and variable at night. Moderate confidence.

Wednesday and Thursday . Mainly VFR. Some showers and thunderstorms possible Thursday afternoon and evening which would result in local restrictions. Light and variable winds to start Wednesday becoming southerly 5-10 knots, then continued southerly winds Thursday potentially increasing to 10-15 knots. Low confidence with timing and coverage of any showers and thunderstorms.

MARINE. Will let the Small Craft Advisory expire at 8 PM for the central and northern NJ coastal waters. Winds and seas should stay below SCA criteria through Sunday night, although winds could gust around 20 knots at times. There is a chance of showers and thunderstorms late Sunday into Sunday night which could lead to locally higher winds and waves.

Outlook . Monday . The winds are anticipated to be below Small Craft Advisory criteria, however southwesterly winds may boost seas to around 5 feet for a time on the Atlantic coastal waters.

Tuesday and Wednesday . The conditions are anticipated to below Small Craft Advisory criteria, however several wind shifts are forecast.

Thursday . Southerly flow increases, however winds should remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria as well as the seas.

Rip Currents . A moderate risk for the formation of dangerous rip currents is expected to continue through Monday. Although we are expecting mostly off shore flow, wave heights will stay up around 4 to 5 feet.

EQUIPMENT. The NOAA Weather Radio All Hazards broadcast from Hibernia Park, PA (WNG704) remains off the air until further notice due to damage to the antenna during the June 3 derecho.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . None.

Synopsis . Gorse Near Term . Johnson/Robertson Short Term . Robertson Long Term . Gorse Aviation . Gorse/Johnson/Robertson Marine . Gorse/Johnson/Robertson Equipment . WFO PHI


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 10 mi35 min SSW 9.7 G 12 1004.9 hPa (+0.7)
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 15 mi47 min SW 9.9 G 12 77°F 78°F1005.7 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 28 mi47 min WSW 6 G 7 79°F 1005 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 29 mi47 min 78°F 78°F1005.1 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 30 mi47 min 78°F 76°F1005.2 hPa
MHRN6 30 mi47 min SSW 6 G 8
44091 35 mi69 min 72°F4 ft
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 36 mi35 min SSW 16 G 19 1005.2 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 37 mi47 min S 2.9 G 5.1 75°F 1005.5 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 42 mi50 min S 5.8 G 5.8 74°F 74°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 49 mi50 min Calm G 1.9 74°F 1 ft73°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 49 mi53 min WNW 7 G 15 81°F 79°F1006.4 hPa

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ16 mi39 minSW 610.00 miFair77°F77°F100%1006.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBLM

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
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S9S7S5S4S5S4SW7SW7S8S6SE8SE7S7S11
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1 day agoE3E5NE6E5E4E6NE7NE10E14
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2 days agoS3S3CalmCalmCalmSW3CalmSW3S3W4S4CalmE8SE9SE8E10SE10SE8SE7E7SE6E5E5E5

Tide / Current Tables for Long Branch (fishing pier), New Jersey
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Long Branch (fishing pier)
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Sat -- 12:01 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 12:28 AM EDT     4.43 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:30 AM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:54 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 01:07 PM EDT     4.16 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:55 PM EDT     1.18 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.44.43.72.81.810.60.511.82.63.33.94.23.93.22.41.81.31.21.422.73.4

Tide / Current Tables for Long Branch Reach, Shrewsbury River, New Jersey
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.