Monday, August19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sunbury, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 8:25PM Monday August 19, 2019 4:54 PM EDT (20:54 UTC) Moonrise 9:44PMMoonset 9:27AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh- 354 Am Edt Mon Aug 19 2019
Today..West winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms late. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..Northeast winds less than 10 knots becoming southeast. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday night..East winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Wednesday through Friday. The water temperature off toledo is 76 degrees, off cleveland 76 degrees, and off erie 76 degrees.
LEZ144 Expires:201908191415;;869793 FZUS51 KCLE 190754 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 354 AM EDT Mon Aug 19 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ144>147-191415-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sunbury, OH
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location: 40.3, -82.89     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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Fxus61 kiln 191956
afdiln
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
356 pm edt Mon aug 19 2019

Synopsis
A mid level disturbance will bring another chance of
thunderstorms on Tuesday. A cold front will approach from the
northwest on Wednesday and slowly move through the region
Wednesday night and Thursday. This will bring cooler and less
humid conditions for the end of the week.

Near term until 6 am Tuesday morning
Weak boundary extending across northern counties has provided
enough focus for some thunderstorms to develop. Expect to
continue to see activity near this boundary for the next several
hours and then diminish by early evening. It is not out of the
question that isolated storms could also develop late this
afternoon into northern kentucky counties off of outflow from
storms further south. There are some indications that a few
showers or thunderstorms could develop during the overnight
hours. Confidence in that occurrence is quite low so have not
included pops for that potential, but it is something to
monitor.

Short term 6 am Tuesday morning through Tuesday night
Guidance is in good agreement in developing a convective system
in iowa and moving it southeast through the day. The signal for
what occurs as it approaches the forecast area become more
diffuse than points further west. High resolution ensemble is
suggesting that the system could turn more south into western
parts of kentucky. However, scattered to numerous storms are
still expected to develop across the forecast area during the
afternoon and continue into the evening. These storms will occur
in a very unstable environment and thus have the potential to
produce damaging winds and perhaps some large hail. Highs and
lows are forecast to be near persistence.

Long term Wednesday through Monday
Long-range models continue to show a slightly slower progression of
a cold front through the region midweek than has been shown over the
past several days, courtesy of midlevel energy ejecting east-
southeast from the mid-missouri valley east into the southwestern
ohio valley which will act to slow the southward progression by
Wednesday night into Thursday. With the S W energy interacting with
the quasi-stationary surface front draped e-w across the southern
ohio valley by Thursday, have increased pops and nudged them a bit
further to the north during the afternoon and evening. While there
are subtle differences between the longer-range solutions regarding
the timing of the front finally pushing a bit further south, models
have come into marginally better agreement showing precipitation
lingering mainly near south of the ohio river early Friday before
drier and cooler air settles in area-wide for Friday afternoon
through the end of the long term period. This will also signal an
end to the warm and humid airmass that had remained anchored over
the region for quite some time.

Confidence remains high in an extended dry period evolving for the
upcoming weekend as the mid-upper level troughing digs into the
northeastern u.S. And surface high pressure settles into the great
lakes and interior northeast u.S. Temperatures will be slightly
below normal both Saturday and Sunday, with the best chances for
isolated diurnally-driven shower storm activity pushed well to the
south of the iln fa. In fact, lows will likely drop into the 50s for
many spots on both Saturday and Sunday morning.

Aviation 20z Monday through Saturday
Vfr conditions will continue through the first half of the taf
period. Cumulus at the beginning of the period will decrease by
00z but perhaps not completely diminish. Sufficient low level
moisture with weak flow will result in some visibility
restrictions late tonight. At this point have only taken kluk to
ifr. Visibility will improve after 12z with cumulus increasing
again late in the TAF period.

Outlook... Thunderstorms possible at times from Tuesday through
Thursday.

Iln watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Ky... None.

In... None.

Synopsis...

near term...

short term...

long term... Kc
aviation...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 77 mi70 min N 4.1 78°F 1018 hPa70°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 78 mi55 min NNE 6 G 8 75°F 1017.3 hPa (-0.3)
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 86 mi61 min NNW 2.9 G 5.1 76°F 77°F1017.6 hPa68°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Columbus, Ohio State University Airport, OH17 mi62 minWSW 610.00 miMostly Cloudy87°F66°F51%1016.7 hPa
Knox County Airfield, OH19 mi60 minS 410.00 miFair86°F71°F62%1019.3 hPa
John Glenn Columbus International Airport, OH20 mi64 minVar 310.00 miPartly Cloudy87°F66°F50%1016.5 hPa
Marion, Marion Municipal Airport, OH24 mi62 minN 410.00 miMostly Cloudy83°F68°F61%1017.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOSU

Wind History from OSU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS13SW13
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N8E53CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS5SW5CalmSW6W3CalmW6
1 day agoW4S3SW5S6S3SE4S3S3S4S4S5S6S5W4CalmE4S4S45SW10SW13
G17
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2 days agoS7SW8SW6SW6S3S4S4S6S4S4S4CalmSE3CalmS3S4W4SW7SW11
G14
SW9SW9SW10W14W9

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.