Saturday, January25, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Little Silver, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 5:06PM Saturday January 25, 2020 1:19 PM EST (18:19 UTC) Moonrise 8:53AMMoonset 6:53PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 1214 Pm Est Sat Jan 25 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday afternoon...
Today..E winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt early this afternoon, then becoming se 10 to 15 kt late. Gusts up to 30 kt, decreasing to 20 kt late. Seas 6 to 7 ft, building to 7 to 10 ft late this morning and afternoon. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 7 seconds. A chance of rain early this morning, then rain late this morning and afternoon with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the late evening and overnight. Seas 5 to 8 ft, subsiding to 4 to 6 ft after midnight. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Sun..W winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Sun night..W winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Mon..W winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Mon night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft in the morning, then 2 ft or less.
Tue night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Wed night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
ANZ400 1214 Pm Est Sat Jan 25 2020
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. Low pressure and an associated cold front will cross the middle altantic region today. The low will further deepen as it moves across new england tonight and into Sunday. High pressure will then begin to build across the area early next week. A weak low will pass well south of the area Tuesday. The next storm will affect the area towards the end of the week and into early next weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Little Silver , NJ
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location: 40.33, -74.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 251800 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 100 PM EST Sat Jan 25 2020

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure and an associated cold front will cross the Middle Altantic region today. The low will further deepen as it moves across New England tonight and into Sunday. High pressure will then begin to build across the area early next week. A weak low will pass well south of the area Tuesday. The next storm will affect the area towards the end of the week and into early next weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Weak low pressure was located in southwestern New Jersey around midday. The low will progress to the northeast, across southern New Jersey and off the coast this afternoon.

Meanwhile, a middle level low was drifting across southeastern Michigan. The pattern was drawing a significant amount of moisture northward from the Caribbean and the Atlantic waters off the Southeast Coast. A band of heavy rain extended up into central and northern New Jersey around midday.

The back edge of the rain will continue to lift northeastward this afternoon, and it is expected to be out of New Jersey before sunset.

Temperatures have risen above the freezing mark in the elevated terrain of the Pocono Region and far northern New Jersey. As a result, freezing rain is no longer a concern there.

Temperatures will continue to range from the 30s in our northern counties to the 50s in the south. The wind is expected to settle into the west around 10 mph.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/. Tonight . While a spotty rain or snow shower will be possible across the far north on developing westerly flow, the vast majority of tonight will be dry as today's storm pulls away to the north. Cooler air will start to bleed into the region, but only gradually as lows will only drop into the low 30s for most.

Sunday . Westerly flow continues on Sunday as both surface and upper level areas of low pressure move further north. Should be a mainly dry day but probably plenty of stratocumulus especially to the northwest with steep low level lapse rates. A sprinkle or flurry is possible across the Poconos and northern NJ. Otherwise, Sunday looks like a rather nice day. Despite the westerly flow there is no cold air to the northwest to tap into (a common theme this winter) so highs will end up mostly a few degrees above average: upper 30s and low 40s to the north with mid to upper 40s further south. The pressure gradient behind the departing low is not strong, and wind gusts Sunday should only reach 20-25mph.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. The long term forecast was not edited overnight due to focus on near term concerns. Looks to be a mainly quiet and high pressure dominated week until perhaps the very end of the week or next weekend, but very low confidence on any potential storminess for that period. The previous long term discussion is included below.

Fairly quiet weather expected as low pressure continues to move away over Atlantic Canada while high pressure will gradually build down from the north and west with time. This will keep the region predominately in a dry W/NW flow through most of next week. Most days should feature a good deal of sunshine though some shortwaves riding through the upper level flow will bring some cloudier periods from time to time. Temperatures look to generally be near to a little above late January averages. Early indications are that the next storm system could impact the area next weekend but it's too early to forecast any specifics with this system.

AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

This afternoon . IFR ceilings gradually improving to MVFR or VFR as rain continues to lift to the northeast of our region. The wind should settle into the west around 10 knots. Medium confidence.

Tonight . MVFR improving to VFR this evening. VFR is expected overnight. Winds will remain west to northwest 5 to 10 knots. Medium confidence.

Sunday . VFR ceilings. West wind increasing around 10 knots with gusts near 20 knots. High confidence.

Outlook .

Sunday night-Tuesday . Mainly VFR, though cigs could occasionally be MVFR at times due to stratus. Winds remain mainly west to northwest and may gust 15-20 knots at times through Tuesday. Moderate confidence.

Wednesday . Mainly VFR with NW winds 5-10 knots.

MARINE. A Small Craft Advisory is now in effect on all waters. For the ocean waters, seas will run 6 to 9 ft through tonight. Seas should linger around 5 ft through the day Sunday, so the SCA was extended through Sunday afternoon. East-southeasterly winds could gust to 30 kt today. There is the potential for a couple of isolated gale force gusts, but not expecting them to be widespread or long lasting enough to warrant a Gale Warning. For the Delaware Bay, the SCA will expire at noon today as winds diminish. Sub-SCA conditions should continue through Sunday on the Bay, though westerly winds on Sunday could gust to 20 kt.

Outlook .

Sunday night . Winds and waves are likely to remain above advisory levels into the evening before diminishing overnight.

Monday-Wednesday . Winds and waves should remain mainly below advisory levels through this period though winds could occasionally gust to near or just over 20 knots at times.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. High tide has now passed at all tide gauges, and water levels will continue to subside. Therefore, the coastal flood advisory has been cancelled for the remainder of the area.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Sunday for ANZ450>455.



Synopsis . O'Hara Near Term . Iovino Short Term . O'Brien Long Term . Fitzsimmons/O'Brien Aviation . Iovino/O'Hara Marine . Haines/O'Brien/O'Hara Tides/Coastal Flooding . Haines


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 9 mi50 min E 22 G 32 46°F 42°F1010.2 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 17 mi30 min E 25 G 31 47°F 9 ft1009.8 hPa47°F
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 22 mi50 min 47°F 42°F1010.3 hPa
MHRN6 23 mi50 min E 24 G 36
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 23 mi50 min E 29 G 37 48°F 1009.7 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 26 mi50 min 48°F 42°F1010.2 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 36 mi50 min E 5.1 G 11 43°F 40°F1012 hPa
44091 40 mi20 min 47°F9 ft
44022 - Execution Rocks 41 mi20 min ENE 21 G 27 40°F 32°F40°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 41 mi50 min S 11 G 17 51°F 36°F1009.3 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 46 mi30 min 25 G 31 48°F 45°F9 ft1010.4 hPa (-5.8)
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 48 mi44 min 49°F 34°F1009 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 49 mi35 min E 23 G 35 41°F 5 ft40°F

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ12 mi24 minESE 18 G 282.50 miLight Rain Fog/Mist and Breezy50°F50°F100%1008.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBLM

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE10E10E9E8E7E7E7E7E8E9E10E9E11E12
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1 day agoW3CalmE6SE3CalmCalmS4S5CalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmN3NE4NE4NE6E8E5E8
2 days agoW6W5NW5W3E3E3S5S3CalmCalmSW3W4SW3W3SW4W4CalmCalmCalmW3SW3W4W5Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Gooseneck Point, bridge, New Jersey
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Gooseneck Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:34 AM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:11 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:53 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:19 AM EST     2.90 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:05 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:12 PM EST     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:53 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 10:45 PM EST     2.38 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.81.30.70.3-0.1-0.10.41.11.92.52.92.82.41.81.20.5-0-0.3-0.10.41.21.82.32.4

Tide / Current Tables for The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current (2)
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The Narrows
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:51 AM EST     -1.97 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 04:17 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:01 AM EST     2.05 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 07:12 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:53 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:07 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 01:28 PM EST     -2.22 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 05:04 PM EST     0.01 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:04 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:52 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 07:31 PM EST     1.55 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 10:19 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.8-2-1.7-1.2-0.30.91.821.91.20.1-0.9-1.7-2.2-2.1-1.8-1.2-0.111.51.51.20.3-0.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.