Saturday, July11, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Red Bank, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:35AMSunset 8:28PM Saturday July 11, 2020 1:06 AM EDT (05:06 UTC) Moonrise 12:02AMMoonset 11:55AM Illumination 68% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 1137 Pm Edt Fri Jul 10 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 8 am edt Saturday...
Overnight..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft. Showers likely late this evening, then chance of showers late.
Sat..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft. Chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then showers and tstms likely in the afternoon.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Showers and tstms likely early in the evening, then chance of showers and tstms late in the evening.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of tstms early in the evening.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of tstms early in the evening. Chance of showers in the evening. Vsby 1 to 3 nm early in the evening.
Tue..W winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue night..W winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..W winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 1137 Pm Edt Fri Jul 10 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Tropical storm fay will move well north of the region this morning. A series of weak fronts will then cross the area through mid week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Red Bank borough, NJ
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location: 40.35, -74.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 110341 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 1141 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020

SYNOPSIS. Tropical Storm Fay will continue to move northward away from the area tonight into early Saturday. Weak high pressure will be over the area Saturday morning before a cold front crosses the region Saturday night. Another front will cross the area Monday. High pressure will build over the area for the middle of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/.

1130 update: The center of tropical storm Fay is now over far northern NJ, and given that the system is weakening and moving away from our area, we have discontinued all tropical headlines. Winds should gradually decrease through the next several hours as the winds on the southwest quadrant of this storm appear to be much lower as compared to the northern half of the storm. Most of the area has seen rain come to an end outside of the southern Poconos and the Lehigh Valley where showers have stalled likely due to orographic effects. The threat there should diminish once the winds shift to northwesterly.

A decrease in cloud cover is expected as the storm progresses away from our area. However, localized fog is possible. Low temperatures should favor the upper 60s and lower 70s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/. Saturday looks to be a typical summertime day in our region with scattered cumulus and the potential for afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Highs are expected to be mainly in the upper 80s and lower 90s with a southwest wind around 10 MPH. Conditions will remain humid.

A mid level short wave trough is expected to approach from the west on Saturday. Abundant low level moisture will allow mixed layer CAPE values to rise into the 1500 to 2000 J/Kg range in the afternoon. The instability along with the short wave should result in the development of thunderstorms. Much of our region is under a marginal risk for severe weather.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. Tropical storm Fay will have diminished well north of the area by the start of the long term and a following trough with a surface cold front will be crossing the Middle Atlantic region Saturday evening. The scattered showers and tstms will end overnight with perhaps some patchy fog late at night.

Sunday and Sunday night generally look like fair weather across most of the region as weak high pressure builds over the area. Some shortwave energy north of the area may touch off a scattered shower or tstm across the southern Poconos and perhaps as far south as the Lehigh Valley. Confidence in these showers occuring is not great, so we'll just keep slight chc pops in mos areas with some chc pops near the N/W most edges of the CWA. Above normal temps with upper 80s/low 90s most areas. Dew points mostly in the mid 60s, so humid, but not excessively so.

Unsettled summerlike conditions are expected early next week with most days featuring some scattered showers and tstms (mostly) during the afternoon and early evening hours. Both days will have very warm conditions with highs 3 to 5 degrees above normal and humidity values rather humid.

Hot and humid conditions will develop across much of the Middle Atlantic for the middle of next week with an upper high pressure strengthening across the Tenn/Ohio Valley areas. Highs Wed/Thu will be mostly in the low to mid 90s with apparent temps in the mid 90s Wed and in the 100s on Thu. It could end up being the warmest day of the summer (Thu) if the present fcst number hold. Dry conditions are fcst for Wed and this will last into Thu when a few sct tstms may form during the afternoon.

AVIATION /04Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Into this evening . Mainly IFR/MVFR conditions, improving to VFR at times. Showers with isolated thunder. The rain will be moderate to heavy at times from KPHL northward. Northeast to northwest wind 10 to 15 knots with gusts of 20 to 25 knots. Medium confidence on most aspects of the forecast, but low confidence on timing of flight category changes.

Tonight . MVFR/VFR conditions. Rain showers lifting to the north of our region. However, once the rain showers clear, some fog could develop leading to visibility restrictions. Northwest to west wind less than 10 knots. Low confidence especially on fog development.

Saturday . Mainly VFR with a chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Southwest wind around 10 knots with gusts of 15 to 20 knots. Medium to high confidence.

Outlook .

Sat night thru Tue . VFR most of the time with only a few scattered showers and tstms mostly during the afternoon and early evening periods. Lower CIGS/VSBYS with any tstm.

Wed . Mostly VFR.

MARINE. The Tropical Storm Warnings have been cancelled for the waters and replaced with an SCA. SW gusts up to 30 kts will prevail over the waters tonight along with seas running 6-8 ft.

As the tropical storm moves away from our region late tonight and Saturday, conditions will continue to improve. A south to southwest wind around 10 to 15 knots is anticipated for Saturday. Wave heights are expected to subside slowly but they may remain around 5 to 6 feet on our ocean waters for much of the day.

Outlook .

Seas on the ocean will continue to remain choppy Sun thru Tue with swell conditions expected to keep seas near SCA criteria. Winds will overall remain below SCA conditions however. Scattered tstms Sun thru Tue with locally higher winds and seas.

Rip Currents . At least a moderate risk for the formation of dangerous rip currents is expected to continue into Saturday and possibly into Sunday. Although winds will be shifting off shore, wave heights will remain elevated.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As Fay departs the area tonight we can expect that the tidal departures will remain elevated with 'close to minor' tidal flooding possible in a few areas. Right now, it doesn't appear to be widespread or significant enough to consider any flags, but we will continue to monitor overnight.

A southerly flow will develop across the Chesapeake Bay on Saturday as Fay departs and a cold front approaches. This will probably cause water levels to become higher than usual, so we'll monitor this overnight in case any flags or statements become necessary.

EQUIPMENT. The NOAA Weather Radio All Hazards broadcast from Hibernia Park, PA (WNG704) remains off the air until further notice due to damage to the antenna during the June 3 derecho.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Saturday for ANZ450>455.

Synopsis . O'Hara Near Term . Carr/Iovino/Johnson Short Term . Iovino Long Term . O'Hara Aviation . Iovino/Johnson/O'Hara Marine . Carr/Iovino/Johnson/O'Hara Tides/Coastal Flooding . WFO PHI Equipment . WFO PHI


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 9 mi49 min SSW 19 G 23 76°F1005 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 19 mi137 min S 23 G 27 71°F8 ft1003.9 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 20 mi49 min 78°F1003.8 hPa
MHRN6 21 mi49 min S 13 G 18
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 21 mi49 min SSW 17 G 21 1003.5 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 24 mi49 min 75°F1004.3 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 36 mi49 min SW 20 G 24 1004.2 hPa
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 39 mi49 min WSW 8.9 G 13 82°F1006 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 41 mi37 min S 18 G 23 73°F 73°F
44091 43 mi41 min 72°F7 ft
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 46 mi91 min WSW 15 G 22 74°F 82°F1004.7 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 49 mi137 min S 27 G 33 74°F 71°F11 ft1005.8 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 49 mi67 min S 18 G 25 73°F 1 ft72°F

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ12 mi71 minSSW 15 G 2110.00 miOvercast73°F0°F%1005.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBLM

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE6E5E4E6NE7NE10E14
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmSW3S3W4S4CalmE8SE9SE8E10SE10SE8SE7E7SE6E5E5E5E3E5
2 days ago3S3CalmS3S3CalmS75S5S8SE10SE8
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Tide / Current Tables for Red Bank, Navesink River, Shrewsbury River, New Jersey
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current
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The Narrows
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:02 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:51 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:11 AM EDT     -1.83 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 10:03 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 11:54 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 12:28 PM EDT     1.42 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 03:27 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:39 PM EDT     -1.52 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:23 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.30.8-0.1-1-1.6-1.8-1.7-1.3-0.8-0.10.91.41.41.10.4-0.5-1.1-1.4-1.5-1.2-0.8-0.30.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.