Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Fairview, NJ
December 7, 2023 2:54 PM EST (19:54 UTC)
Sunrise 7:03AM Sunset 4:31PM Moonrise 2:26AM Moonset 2:25PM
ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 1150 Am Est Thu Dec 7 2023
This afternoon..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Slight chance of snow showers. Slight chance of showers early. Chance of showers late. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft after midnight.
Sat..S winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat night..S winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..S winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun night..SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft. Showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..W winds around 20 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft. Chance of showers.
Mon night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
This afternoon..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Slight chance of snow showers. Slight chance of showers early. Chance of showers late. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft after midnight.
Sat..S winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat night..S winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..S winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun night..SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft. Showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..W winds around 20 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft. Chance of showers.
Mon night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
ANZ300 1150 Am Est Thu Dec 7 2023
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters.. A weakening low pressure area along a front approaches the region today into early this evening. High pressure then moves across the area later tonight and then moves offshore Friday. High pressure will be in control Friday and Saturday. A strong cold front approaches on Sunday and passes through during Sunday night. High pressure then builds in on Monday and remains in control through Monday night.
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters.. A weakening low pressure area along a front approaches the region today into early this evening. High pressure then moves across the area later tonight and then moves offshore Friday. High pressure will be in control Friday and Saturday. A strong cold front approaches on Sunday and passes through during Sunday night. High pressure then builds in on Monday and remains in control through Monday night.
Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 071922 AFDPHI
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 222 PM EST Thu Dec 7 2023
SYNOPSIS
A weak low pressure system and warm front will push across the region today. High pressure will bring milder weather for the start of the weekend. A potent storm system and cold front will sweep through Sunday and Sunday night. Cooler high pressure will return early next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
The first accumulating snow of the season for many has ended and we now transition to more of a quiet period for the next few days before an active end to the weekend. While it will be mainly dry for the rest of today, it should remain mostly cloudy as the shortwave slowly moves out. Perhaps a few flakes may fall in the higher elevations of the Poconos and NW NJ over the next few hours, but not expecting any accumulations.
Skies clear out as the evening goes on as an upper level ridge builds in. Winds will go light and variable, though with some cloud cover for part of the evening, we won't have ideal radiational cooling conditions for the entire night. It will still be chilly though, with temperatures getting down into the low to mid 20s. Some spots, primarily within Delmarva, urban Philadelphia, and the coast, should stay at/above the 30 degree plateau.
For tomorrow, heights continue to rise as the ridge axis approaches the Mid-Atlantic. High pressure to the south will gradually slide offshore, fostering in a light southerly flow. This will result in warming and with large scale subsidence with the approaching ridge, skies will be mostly sunny. Temperatures will be in the upper 40s/low 50s, with some spots in Delmarva getting into the mid 50s.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
High pressure slides off the coast with west to southwest flow developing Friday and Saturday, with heights building through Saturday before they start falling ahead of a very potent trough. Through the short term, this means dry weather except possibly right near the end of Saturday night, when some showers ahead of the next system may start overspreading the region.
More sunshine will be had on Friday with the ridge building in and high pressure still fairly close by, with temperatures jumping about 10 degrees above readings expected today. However, by Saturday, the heights falling and developing onshore flow combined with the existing relatively cool stable air over the land appears to result in a wedge of cooler air, which will send the advecting warm air initially over the top on Saturday. Thus, expect Saturday to have temps not a whole lot higher if not nearly the same as Friday. This warm advection over the cooler surface should help result in a noticeably cloudier day as well, especially when combined with higher clouds advecting in from the west. As this warm front starts to buckle northwards late Saturday night, some showers or drizzle may develop, but otherwise, mostly dry conditions expected. Lows at night will also jump considerably thanks to the increased cloud cover and developing south to southeast flow, with lows Friday night closer to freezing while lows Saturday night closer to 40.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Potent storm system with strong surface cold front and upper level trough and deepening surface low will cross the region Sunday into Monday. Majority of the weather is likely Sunday night, when the low and front most likely crosses the area.
Strong southerly flow ahead of the system with retreating warm front may still bring some showers or drizzle early Sunday, with winds picking up as the front lifts northward. Gusts of 25-35 mph look likely on land with higher over the water. Temps will rise into the low 60s for much of the area. Then the strong front will bring a band of heavier rain and possibly some embedded thunder, perhaps even a line of low-topped squalls, across the region Sunday night. This could result in widespread wind gusts of 40-50 mph, perhaps locally higher, along with isolated issues with flooding. Temps will crash with the cold front as well, dropping fairly quickly into the 40s, with 30s and some mixed rain/snow in the Poconos. Certainly looks like quite a wild ride Sunday night.
Monday, winds will gradually die down as the system pulls further east, though the upper trough may keep some showers (mixed with snow in the Poconos) lingering. High pressure then builds back in for several days of cool but dry weather Tuesday through Thursday next week.
AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...
Rest of Today...VFR with gradually lifting ceilings. Winds out of the west/southwest around 10 kt. High confidence.
Tonight...VFR. Winds light and variable. Moderate confidence.
Friday...VFR. Winds out of the south around 5-10 kt. High confidence.
Outlook...
Saturday...VFR most likely, but will need to watch for potential for low cloud development especially Saturday night. Wind southerly 5-10 kts. Moderate confidence.
Sunday...Sub-VFR periods with intervals of IFR likely as strong cold front crosses the region, most likely Sunday evening. Winds may gust 25-35 kts out of the south during the day then switch westerly at 30-40 kts at night. Line of low-topped convection also possible. Low confidence.
Monday...Conditions gradually improve with VFR most likely by day's end. Winds west to northwest 15-25 kts with gusts to 35 kts. Low confidence.
MARINE
No marine headlines anticipated through tomorrow evening. Winds will be out of the west around 10-20 kt through early Friday morning.
After, expect winds less than 10 kt through Friday evening. Seas will be around 2 to 3 feet.
Outlook...
Friday and Saturday...no marine headlines expected with south to southeast winds 10-15 kts and waves 2-4 ft.
Sunday...Gales likely by afternoon with brief gusts up to storm force not impossible especially after evening cold frontal passage or during potential squalls along the front. Seas building to 5-10 ft by Sunday night.
Monday...Westerly winds likely gradually drop below gales as the day progresses while seas slowly drop as well, but remaining in Small Craft Advisory levels by day's end.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 222 PM EST Thu Dec 7 2023
SYNOPSIS
A weak low pressure system and warm front will push across the region today. High pressure will bring milder weather for the start of the weekend. A potent storm system and cold front will sweep through Sunday and Sunday night. Cooler high pressure will return early next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
The first accumulating snow of the season for many has ended and we now transition to more of a quiet period for the next few days before an active end to the weekend. While it will be mainly dry for the rest of today, it should remain mostly cloudy as the shortwave slowly moves out. Perhaps a few flakes may fall in the higher elevations of the Poconos and NW NJ over the next few hours, but not expecting any accumulations.
Skies clear out as the evening goes on as an upper level ridge builds in. Winds will go light and variable, though with some cloud cover for part of the evening, we won't have ideal radiational cooling conditions for the entire night. It will still be chilly though, with temperatures getting down into the low to mid 20s. Some spots, primarily within Delmarva, urban Philadelphia, and the coast, should stay at/above the 30 degree plateau.
For tomorrow, heights continue to rise as the ridge axis approaches the Mid-Atlantic. High pressure to the south will gradually slide offshore, fostering in a light southerly flow. This will result in warming and with large scale subsidence with the approaching ridge, skies will be mostly sunny. Temperatures will be in the upper 40s/low 50s, with some spots in Delmarva getting into the mid 50s.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
High pressure slides off the coast with west to southwest flow developing Friday and Saturday, with heights building through Saturday before they start falling ahead of a very potent trough. Through the short term, this means dry weather except possibly right near the end of Saturday night, when some showers ahead of the next system may start overspreading the region.
More sunshine will be had on Friday with the ridge building in and high pressure still fairly close by, with temperatures jumping about 10 degrees above readings expected today. However, by Saturday, the heights falling and developing onshore flow combined with the existing relatively cool stable air over the land appears to result in a wedge of cooler air, which will send the advecting warm air initially over the top on Saturday. Thus, expect Saturday to have temps not a whole lot higher if not nearly the same as Friday. This warm advection over the cooler surface should help result in a noticeably cloudier day as well, especially when combined with higher clouds advecting in from the west. As this warm front starts to buckle northwards late Saturday night, some showers or drizzle may develop, but otherwise, mostly dry conditions expected. Lows at night will also jump considerably thanks to the increased cloud cover and developing south to southeast flow, with lows Friday night closer to freezing while lows Saturday night closer to 40.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Potent storm system with strong surface cold front and upper level trough and deepening surface low will cross the region Sunday into Monday. Majority of the weather is likely Sunday night, when the low and front most likely crosses the area.
Strong southerly flow ahead of the system with retreating warm front may still bring some showers or drizzle early Sunday, with winds picking up as the front lifts northward. Gusts of 25-35 mph look likely on land with higher over the water. Temps will rise into the low 60s for much of the area. Then the strong front will bring a band of heavier rain and possibly some embedded thunder, perhaps even a line of low-topped squalls, across the region Sunday night. This could result in widespread wind gusts of 40-50 mph, perhaps locally higher, along with isolated issues with flooding. Temps will crash with the cold front as well, dropping fairly quickly into the 40s, with 30s and some mixed rain/snow in the Poconos. Certainly looks like quite a wild ride Sunday night.
Monday, winds will gradually die down as the system pulls further east, though the upper trough may keep some showers (mixed with snow in the Poconos) lingering. High pressure then builds back in for several days of cool but dry weather Tuesday through Thursday next week.
AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...
Rest of Today...VFR with gradually lifting ceilings. Winds out of the west/southwest around 10 kt. High confidence.
Tonight...VFR. Winds light and variable. Moderate confidence.
Friday...VFR. Winds out of the south around 5-10 kt. High confidence.
Outlook...
Saturday...VFR most likely, but will need to watch for potential for low cloud development especially Saturday night. Wind southerly 5-10 kts. Moderate confidence.
Sunday...Sub-VFR periods with intervals of IFR likely as strong cold front crosses the region, most likely Sunday evening. Winds may gust 25-35 kts out of the south during the day then switch westerly at 30-40 kts at night. Line of low-topped convection also possible. Low confidence.
Monday...Conditions gradually improve with VFR most likely by day's end. Winds west to northwest 15-25 kts with gusts to 35 kts. Low confidence.
MARINE
No marine headlines anticipated through tomorrow evening. Winds will be out of the west around 10-20 kt through early Friday morning.
After, expect winds less than 10 kt through Friday evening. Seas will be around 2 to 3 feet.
Outlook...
Friday and Saturday...no marine headlines expected with south to southeast winds 10-15 kts and waves 2-4 ft.
Sunday...Gales likely by afternoon with brief gusts up to storm force not impossible especially after evening cold frontal passage or during potential squalls along the front. Seas building to 5-10 ft by Sunday night.
Monday...Westerly winds likely gradually drop below gales as the day progresses while seas slowly drop as well, but remaining in Small Craft Advisory levels by day's end.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ | 8 mi | 55 min | WSW 9.9G | 37°F | 29.98 | |||
| 44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor | 19 mi | 45 min | 16G | 52°F | 29.93 | |||
| BGNN6 | 20 mi | 55 min | 37°F | 29.95 | ||||
| MHRN6 | 20 mi | 55 min | SW 11G | |||||
| ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ | 21 mi | 55 min | WSW 11G | 37°F | 29.95 | |||
| BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY | 24 mi | 55 min | 37°F | 29.91 | ||||
| KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY | 35 mi | 55 min | W 9.9G | 37°F | 29.96 | |||
| NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA | 39 mi | 55 min | SSW 6G | 37°F | 29.98 | |||
| 44022 - Execution Rocks | 40 mi | 40 min | WSW 16 | 38°F | 29.94 | 31°F | ||
| 44091 | 44 mi | 59 min | 52°F | 3 ft | ||||
| BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ | 47 mi | 79 min | WSW 6G | 37°F | 42°F | 29.98 | ||
| 44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY | 49 mi | 45 min | 52°F | 29.93 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KBLM MONMOUTH EXECUTIVE,NJ | 12 sm | 58 min | WSW 10G15 | 10 sm | Overcast | 37°F | 30°F | 75% | 29.98 | |
| KLDJ LINDEN,NJ | 20 sm | 19 min | W 08 | 10 sm | Overcast | 37°F | 30°F | 75% | 29.96 | |
| KEWR NEWARK LIBERTY INTL,NJ | 23 sm | 63 min | SW 10 | 10 sm | Overcast | 37°F | 30°F | 75% | 29.95 | |
| KJRB DOWNTOWN MANHATTAN/WALL ST,NY | 24 sm | 58 min | WSW 10 | 10 sm | Overcast | 37°F | 30°F | 75% | 29.97 |
Wind History from BLM
(wind in knots)Tide / Current for Red Bank, Navesink River, Shrewsbury River, New Jersey
EDIT Weekend mode (on/off) (on/off) Help
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Red Bank, Navesink River, Shrewsbury River, New Jersey, Tide feet
The Narrows
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:26 AM EST Moonrise
Thu -- 02:09 AM EST 1.37 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:20 AM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:06 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 08:36 AM EST -1.59 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 12:13 PM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 01:25 PM EST Moonset
Thu -- 02:28 PM EST 1.14 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 04:28 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 05:27 PM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:49 PM EST -1.72 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:26 AM EST Moonrise
Thu -- 02:09 AM EST 1.37 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:20 AM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:06 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 08:36 AM EST -1.59 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 12:13 PM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 01:25 PM EST Moonset
Thu -- 02:28 PM EST 1.14 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 04:28 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 05:27 PM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:49 PM EST -1.72 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current, knots
| 12 am |
| 0.3 |
| 1 am |
| 1.1 |
| 2 am |
| 1.4 |
| 3 am |
| 1.3 |
| 4 am |
| 1 |
| 5 am |
| 0.3 |
| 6 am |
| -0.5 |
| 7 am |
| -1.1 |
| 8 am |
| -1.5 |
| 9 am |
| -1.6 |
| 10 am |
| -1.3 |
| 11 am |
| -0.9 |
| 12 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 7 pm |
| -1.1 |
| 8 pm |
| -1.6 |
| 9 pm |
| -1.7 |
| 10 pm |
| -1.4 |
| 11 pm |
| -1 |
Philadelphia, PA,
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