Sunrise 5:59 AM   Sunset 7:47 PM Moonrise 11:02 PM   Moonset 7:11 AM

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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 1006 Am Edt Fri Apr 26 2024
Today - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft this afternoon. Tonight - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Sat - S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon. Sat night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Slight chance of showers in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight. Sun - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of showers in the morning. Sun night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Mon - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Mon night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Tue - SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Tue night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Chance of showers.

ANZ300 1006 Am Edt Fri Apr 26 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - Strong high pressure remains over the region into Saturday, moving off shore as a warm front approaches. The warm front moves through the region late Saturday into early Sunday morning. A weakening cold front passes to the north Sunday as high pressure builds to the south. A cold front approaches Tuesday and moves across the region Tuesday night.

FXUS61 KPHI 261351 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 951 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure moves offshore today. A warm front attached to low pressure over the Great Lakes moves by Saturday. Highs pressure returns for Sunday and into next week. Another low and front arrives for Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
950 AM...Temperatures are warming well above freezing so the frost and freeze headlines have been allowed to expire.
Otherwise, it will be a dry and mostly sunny day as high pressure centered over New England this morning very slowly drifts eastward through the day. The sun should allow rapid warming but the light southeasterly to easterly flow on the south side of the high will limit the climb in temps especially close to the ocean. Overall expect highs in the 60s inland to 50s near the coast.

Tonight should stay mostly clear, but the easterly flow likely moistens up the low levels just enough that, when combined with some approaching high clouds ahead of a warm front and the warmer start plus warm advection aloft, should limit the drop. Might need some frost headlines but think another widespread freeze is off the table... possibly for the rest of the season? We'll see, but either way, milder than tonight. Lows mostly 30s to low 40s.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
A transition to early summer readings Saturday and Sunday. An upper ridge will build across the area thru the period and as this happens, low pressure moves by to the north, bringing a warm front thru on Saturday. There will be plenty of clouds along the frontal boundary, increasing through the day and into the overnight period. The high elevations of the Poconos and NW New Jersey could see an isolated light shower during the day, but the best chance for showers (20-30%) will be along the I-78 corridor and points north.

Mild and dry weather will be around for Sunday. Following the warm front, a deep southerly flow will arrive over the area, so increasing warmth and humidity is expected. Highs Sunday will be in the upper 70s/low 80s in most spots, but cooler near the shore and up across the Poconos. A mild night expected as well with lows only reaching the mid 50s to around 60.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Very warm temperatures for late spring will remain in place as the upper ridge starts out across the eastern US to start off the work week. High temperatures will likely be the warmest thus far this season with much of the region reaching the low to mid 80s! Gradually, this ridge weakens and allows more scattered shortwave energy to arrive across the area. For Tuesday and into Wednesday, a cold front will approach the area and then wash out as it moves through. Some scattered showers and thunderstorms will certainly be possible, mainly Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night, but overall probabilities remain around the 25-45% range.

Another system will approach the region Thursday, though there remains quite a bit of model spread in timing and evolution.
Sticking close to our consensus blend, leaving a 20-30% chance for showers.

Temperatures remain above average in the mid 70s to low 80s through Thursday.

AVIATION /14Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...

Through today...VFR. East to southeast winds increasing to near 5-10 kts. High confidence.

Tonight...VFR. East to southeast winds dropping to 5 kts or less. High confidence.

Outlook...

Saturday through Monday...VFR prevail. A few moments of sub-VFR conditions possible Saturday night as a warm front pushes through with scattered showers. Otherwise, a dry forecast.

Tuesday...VFR to start with sub-VFR conditions potentially arriving in the afternoon and evening with the arrival of a weak cold front.

MARINE
Seas are diminishing and should be in the 2-4 foot range through tonight with an east to southeast wind around 10 kts with gusts up to 15 kts. Fair weather.

Outlook...

Saturday through Tuesday... Winds and seas will remain below SCA criteria through the period. Fair weather expected.

FIRE WEATHER
RH values will be in the 25-30% range today. However, with winds so low, around 10 MPH or less, the threat for the rapid spread of wildfire remains low. The morning shift will take another look and coordinate with partners to see if any statements are needed.

CLIMATE
A record low was tied at Trenton this morning. Elsewhere, temperatures remained above the records as of just before 7AM.

ABE/Allentown 30 in 2001/1967/1934 ACY/Atlantic City Airport 28 in 1967 55N/Atlantic City Marina 34 in 1883 GED/Georgetown 30 in 1964 MPO/Mount Pocono 18 in 1919 PHL/Philadelphia 35 in 1967/1919 RDG/Reading 27 in 1972 TTN/Trenton 33 in 1919 ILG/Wilmington 32 in 1919

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

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Fri -- 12:08 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 03:27 AM EDT     -2.05 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 06:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:10 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:10 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 09:21 AM EDT     1.28 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 12:17 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 03:29 PM EDT     -1.74 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 06:42 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:37 PM EDT     1.80 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 11:03 PM EDT     Moonrise
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