New Philadelphia, OH Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
L-36.com
Top   Marine   7-Day   NWS   Buoy   Airport   Tide   Map   GEOS   Radar   TAF  

Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for New Philadelphia, OH

June 14, 2024 10:40 AM EDT (14:40 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:53 AM   Sunset 8:59 PM
Moonrise 12:50 PM   Moonset 12:47 AM 
  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall  New
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      HIDE   Help
LEZ146 Expires:202406140815;;975887 Fzus51 Kcle 140201 Nshcle
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 1001 pm edt Thu jun 13 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez145>147-140815- vermilion to avon point oh-avon point to willowick oh- willowick to geneva-on-the lake oh- 1001 pm edt Thu jun 13 2024

Rest of tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. A slight chance of showers with isolated Thunderstorms late this evening, then a slight chance of showers after midnight. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms late. Waves 2 feet or less.

Friday - West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning. Waves 2 feet or less.

Friday night - North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.

Saturday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Sunday through Tuesday.
the water temperature off toledo is 70 degrees, off cleveland 66 degrees, and off erie 65 degrees.

LEZ100
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Philadelphia, OH
   Hourly   EDIT   Help   Map   HIDE
NEW! Add second zone forecast


Area Discussion for - Pittsburgh, PA
      HIDE   Help   
NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KPBZ 141146 AFDPBZ

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 746 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

SYNOPSIS
A cold front will bring scattered thunderstorms on Friday, some could be strong to severe. Dry with seasonable temperatures Saturday ahead of a high confidence, potentially historic, prolonged period of dangerous heat next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
KEY MESSAGES:

- Cold front will bring showers and thunderstorms with a 1/5 risk for severe weather.
- Temperatures right around normal.
-------------------------------------------------------------------

Minor tweaks to sky cover this morning, as well as upping PoPs briefly in the ZZV area for a patch of showers. No other changes at 730 AM.

Previous discussion...

Convection off to our west overnight has thrown convective debris clouds over the area as a few scattered and light showers move through. Most will remain dry through this morning ahead of a cold front and an upper wave that will sag through later today with showers and thunderstorms developing along the boundary. Latest hi res ensemble guidance suggests an initial batch may move across eastern Ohio and western Pennsylvania around noontime with weak convergence ahead of the boundary, but this is lower confidence with overnight RAP/HRRR runs waffling back and forth. Should it materialize, it will exist in an environment that hasn't had much time to destabilize with instability maxing out around 700 J/kg so this shouldn't be too impactful. The front itself will then move through and try to reinvigorate additional development along it, but the wrinkle would be if there is any earlier rain/cloud cover it may limit how much the atmosphere can recover. Most likely ensemble timing of the front to the Pittsburgh metro is in the 3-4pm window when the ensemble probability of >1000 J/kg of CAPE and >30 knots of shear only sits around 30-40%, likely a byproduct of its earlier convection. Without contamination, instability may reach up to around 1000-1500 J/kg.

Primary threats will be damaging wind and hail, and the entire area is outlined in a 1/5 risk for severe. With ensemble mean precipitable water values nearing 1.4-1.5", any thunderstorm could bring a heavy downpour with it as well, so some isolated flooding concerns can't be ruled out.

A push of drier and cooler air will arrive in northwest flow behind the front and drop lows Friday night to a couple ticks below normal.
Could see some areas of river valley fog develop with highest probabilities south of Pittsburgh in the 30-40% range.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
KEY MESSAGES:

- Dry weather Saturday and Sunday.
- Near normal temperatures Saturday with a jump to 5-10 degrees above normal on Sunday.
-------------------------------------------------------------------

Heights rise into Saturday as upper ridging builds and surface high pressure slides in to the north. Temps won't rebound much in northerly flow in the wake of the boundary and dew points will likely mix out some in the afternoon with a dry boundary layer providing a pretty comfortable day.

Upper ridging begins to build stronger making a run at 588-590dm by Sunday to kick off the first day of increasingly hot conditions.
Surface high pressure establishes off to our east and southwest flow on the west side of the 850 mb ridge axis will induce warm advection with ensemble 850 temps up to 15-17C. This will support widespread upper 80s with even a 40-70% chance of 90F+ for Pittsburgh south and west.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
KEY MESSAGES:

- High confidence in a dangerous heat wave setting up early next week with major heat impacts possible.
-------------------------------------------------------------------

Guidance has been consistent that a potentially-historic ridge will continue to strengthen across much of the central and eastern CONUS into the middle of next week. WPC ensemble clusters are highly consistent through Tuesday, indicating high confidence in the temperature forecast. Near-record breaking heat will build in to start off next week.

Significant heat is looking increasingly likely with this anomalously strong ridge from Monday and beyond when major to extreme heat risk is likely. NBM probabilities for high temperatures reaching 95+ degrees continue to go up, and are now widespread 60-90% across the area. These higher probabilities are especially prevalent in lower elevation areas (e.g., river valleys) and urban centers, which tend to be warmer than surrounding areas. In addition, dewpoints are currently forecast to remain in the mid 60s to lower 70s, which would result in high enough humidity levels to support heat indices climbing to, and potentially exceeding, 100 degrees. If dew points do hold toward the lower end of that spectrum, we may be able to make a run at 100 degree air temperatures Monday and beyond (last time at PIT was 7/15/95); NBM probabilities for that threshold are now up to 60% on Tuesday with ~50% chance for the remainder of the week. Only acting to exacerbate the prolonged heat effects will be a 60-80% chance of low temperatures greater than 70 degrees through the end of the week. Heat impacts will need to be closely monitored and headlines may need to be considered.

Three out of four clusters maintain at least a 594dm ridge through June 22nd with the one exception being a lower probability solution than the others. Return intervals of these heights dating back to 1979 are just about out of the climatological range. CPC suggests that excessive heat may last through June 24th, indicating the potential for a long-duration excessive heat threat. The last comparable, long-duration heat event was from July 1994.

Impacts include heightened heat-related illnesses and potential power grid issues with increased demand. It is strongly encouraged to know where cooling shelters are located and stay hydrated. There may be little relief at night. Gather food, water and medication now. Make a list of friends and family to check on and help them prepare. Strongly consider rescheduling outdoor events. Prolonged exposure to excessive heat was the primary cause of weather-related fatalities in 2023.

AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
VFR conditions will prevail through a good part of the TAF period. However, the approach and passage of a cold front today will bring scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms as it crosses. The period of restrictions at any one terminal should be relatively brief, and have used PROB30 groups to illustrate the best timing window at each site. Any thunderstorm could cause a brief drop to MVFR ceilings and IFR visibility. The strongest storms could bring LIFR visibility in downpours and variable wind gusts to 40 knots, but confidence in these impacts at any one TAF site is quite low and thus not mentioned in the TAFs.

In the wake of the front, winds shift to northwesterly and skies begin to clear again as drier air moves into the region.
Patchy valley fog may be a concern late tonight.


Outlook
Largely VFR conditions are then forecast Saturday through Tuesday as a strong ridging pattern develops over the region.

PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
OH...None.
WV...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       HIDE   Help


Wind History for Cleveland, OH
(wind in knots)    EDIT      HIDE   Help
toggle option: (graph/table)



Airport Reports
    EDIT      HIDE   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KPHD HARRY CLEVER FIELD,OH 1 sm47 minW 0410 smPartly Cloudy73°F63°F69%29.93
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KPHD
   
NEW Forecast page for KPHD


Wind History graph: PHD
(wind in knots)
toggle option: (graph/table)


Tide / Current for
   
EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   HIDE   Help

Tide / Current for
   EDIT      HIDE   Help

Weather Map
      HIDE   Help


GEOS Local Image of great lakes   
EDIT   HIDE



Pittsburgh, PA,




NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE