Sunrise 6:14 AM   Sunset 7:39 PM Moonrise 12:34 PM   Moonset 3:12 AM

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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 1010 Am Edt Tue Apr 16 2024
Today - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft early, then 1 ft or less. Tonight - W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Wed - E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of showers in the afternoon.Wed night - E winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers.Thu - E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Showers.Thu night - E winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Chance of showers in the evening. Fri - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Fri night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Chance of showers. Sat - W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of showers. Sat night - NW winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.

ANZ300 1010 Am Edt Tue Apr 16 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure will build in from the northwest through tonight. A slow moving warm front then approaches from the southwest Wednesday into Thursday. High pressure briefly builds in for Friday. A cold front moves through Saturday into Saturday night. High pressure builds in late Saturday night into Monday.

FXUS61 KOKX 161755 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 155 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will build in from the northwest through tonight. A slow moving warm front then approaches from the southwest Wednesday into Thursday. High pressure briefly builds in for Friday. A cold front moves through Saturday into Saturday night. High pressure builds in late Saturday night into Monday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/
Forecast remains on track with only minor adjustments to account for the latest observations.

A departing upper trough across the Northeast and an upper low lifting across the Central Plains will allow ridging between the two to build into the area through tonight. At the surface, high pressure ridging down across the Great Lakes will work in from the west. Expect another warm, dry day, but about 10 degrees cooler than the day before. Highs are expected to be in the mid and upper 60s to around 70 across the NYC metro. NW winds today may occasionally gusts 15 to 20 mph. Seabreezes should not get too far inland.

For tonight, clear skies and light northerly winds will allow for a cooler night than recent days, but still a few degrees above normal.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/
Weakening low pressure lifts up through the Great Lakes on Wednesday and into south central Canada by Thursday. The associated warm front will approach from the SW during this time with increasing rain chances Wednesday afternoon and night due to deep-layered warm advection. The system is not deeply convective and lift is modest. Rainfall amounts are forecast to between 0.25 to 0.75", with the highest amounts at this time across the NYC/NJ metro and LI. The bulk of the rain looks to fall Wednesday night.

An easterly flow and chances of rain will drop highs on Wednesday about 5 to 10 degrees cooler than Tuesday, and this trend continues into Thursday. East winds ramp up Wednesday night into Thursday as the pressure gradient strengthens between the departing high and the warm front. Gusts potential is 20 to 30 mph, highest along the coast. A frontal wave developing along the warm front pushes off the Mid Atlantic coast on Thursday.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
The warm front weakens Thursday night as it moves into deep layered ridging and a weak low tracks east of the Mid-Atlantic. The low meanders off the mid-Atlantic coast on Friday with an inverted trough extending northward towards us. At the same time, a cold front approaches from the west. Most, if not all of the day will likely be dry, however, cannot rule out an afternoon shower especially north and west of New York City. A chance of showers then follows for the entire forecast area Friday night into Saturday with the cold front passing through.

High pressure then builds in from the west Saturday night through Monday, with dry conditions forecast through the period.

High temperatures through the period are expected to be within a few degrees of normal.

AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
High pressure remains over the terminals through tonight, then weakens Wednesday as a warm front slowly approaches from the southwest.

VFR through the TAF period. There is a low chance of MVFR ceilings at the NYC metro terminals toward 18Z Wednesday, with low confidence, and dependent on the timing of the warm front.

Ending timing of NW gusts may be an hour or so earlier than forecast. A late day S/SW sea breeze is possible at KJFK, with below average confidence. Winds in the NYC metro area will be W to NW less than 10 kt this evening, and may even become light and variable, while the outlying terminals will likely become light and variable this evening. Winds then become NE late tonight into early Wednesday morning, and then E to SE. Timing of the wind changes late tonight into Wednesday morning is uncertain and dependent on weakening high pressure and warm front approach.

...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Gusts have become more frequent, and will likely continue through the afternoon, ending toward 22Z.

The chance for a late day S-SW sea breeze remains possible for KJFK, timing may be off by a couple of hours with confidence in occurrence below average.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

Wed afternoon and Thu: MVFR developing Wednesday afternoon with showers becoming likely. Conditions lower to IFR, and possibly LIFR at time with showers Wednesday night through Thursday.
Showers end with improving conditions Thursday night. Winds Thursday east around 15kt with gusts 20-25kt, highest along the coast.

Fri: VFR early, then MVFR late day and at night with a chance of showers.

Sat: MVFR with showers ending in the morning, becoming VFR.

Sun: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE
Wind and seas are forecast to remain below SCA as high pressure builds in from the NW through tonight. A warm front approaches on Wednesday with a tightening pressure gradient between the front and departing high. There is the potential for SCA conditions in an easterly flow late Wednesday night into Thursday. Gusts of 25 to 30 kt will be possible with seas on the ocean of 4 to 7 ft.

Winds diminish Thursday night into Friday, however a lingering swell with onshore flow may keep ocean seas above 5 ft through at least Friday morning. Sub- advisory conditions on all waters otherwise Friday afternoon through Saturday.

HYDROLOGY
There is the potential for 0.25" to 0.75" of rainfall from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday afternoon. No hydrologic impacts are expected with this event.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.

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Princes Bay
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Tue -- 02:41 AM EDT     4.71 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:12 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:41 AM EDT     0.93 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:26 PM EDT     4.16 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:37 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:42 PM EDT     1.35 feet Low Tide
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Princes Bay, New Jersey, Tide feet

Bayonne Bridge
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Tue -- 02:53 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 03:12 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:25 AM EDT     -1.26 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:51 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 12:23 PM EDT     1.25 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 12:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:51 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:04 PM EDT     -1.07 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 07:37 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:12 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bayonne Bridge, Kill van Kull, New York Current, knots

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