Sunday, February23, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
New Brunswick, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:39AMSunset 5:43PM Sunday February 23, 2020 11:27 AM EST (16:27 UTC) Moonrise 8:03AMMoonset 6:45PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 1004 Am Est Sun Feb 23 2020
Today..SW winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming S late. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of light rain after midnight.
Tue..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of light rain in the morning, then light rain likely in the afternoon.
Tue night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of light rain or drizzle.
Wed..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then 2 to 3 ft in the afternoon. Chance of rain in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon.
Wed night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Rain likely in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 3 ft.
ANZ300 1004 Am Est Sun Feb 23 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure remains in control of the weather through Monday. A warm front approaches Monday night through Tuesday and stalls to our south Tuesday night. Low pressure and a cold front then impact the weather Wednesday and Wednesday night, followed by high pressure building in slowly through the end of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Brunswick, NJ
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location: 40.49, -74.44     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 231449 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 949 AM EST Sun Feb 23 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure over the area moves offshore late Sunday and Sunday night. Low pressure develops over the Midwest and lifts to the northeast for the start of the work week. Several waves of low pressure will then impact the area through the end of the week until a strong cold front passes through the region. Arctic high pressure returns next weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/.

Surface high pressure will continue to head east this afternoon with a weak mid-level wave moving overhead. This afternoon 850 mb temperatures stay around 2 degrees C, but increased mixing will likely equate to a couple of degrees warmer than yesterday (or mid 50s for most of the region). Dewpoints will also likely mix out again today, as has been the case for the last several days, thanks to PWATs remaining around a tenth of an inch. A weak sea breeze will then move inland this evening resulting in a slight backing of the winds and increase in moisture. For the 930 AM update, air temperatures and dewpoint temperatures were adjusted slightly to account for current conditions and trends. The rest of the forecast remains on track.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY/. This evening a weak sea breeze will stall around the PA/ NJ state line with mostly clear skies. The back edge of the wave will then approach the area with the GFS, NAM, and RAP indicating a transient mid-level deck moving across the area.

Monday, a closed low will be heading east across the central United States with surface high pressure now offshore. The wave will then open up near Missouri Monday evening. As of current, it appears the near term will remain precipitation free as the dry continental air mass will take time to dislodge. Highs Monday will be in the upper 50s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. Expect an active week with several disturbances across the the Mid Atlantic followed by a final cold front late in the week bringing an arctic airmass to the region.

The high pressure from the weekend will be sliding off shore as a closed low tracks into the Ohio Valley region. This will bring warm air advection and rainfall into to the region in the form of a warm front on Tuesday. Warm air advection continues under modest southerly flow Tuesday night before a second strong low pressure system closes off over the great lakes and tracks through the Saint Lawrence Valley. Trends in the 12z guidance yesterday and the 00z suite this morning were to weaken a northern stream low up near the Hudson Bay which leads me to believe in the surface low that will affect our region to be more of the Saint Lawrence Valley origin rather than a potential coastal low setup. This is pretty much the going consensus now for the GFS/EC/GEM and their ensembles.

Wednesday and Wednesday evening will likely be a washout with widespread rainfall over the region. Anticipate on the order of one half to an inch of rain with could be locally heavy at times. As the low deepens to our north and west an intense dry slot pushes into eastern PA and all of NJ Thursday morning. The soundings are showing a fairly classic drizzle setup so I've changed the precip type forecast for Wednesday to be more drizzle than rain and with no saturation in the icing layer we shouldn't expect any wintry precip.

Behind the low, a cold front pushes through the region Thursday afternoon returning temperatures closer to normal, with highs generally in the 30s in the Poconos, and otherwise in the low to mid 40s, possibly approaching 50 in southern Delmarva.

A stronger cold front then passes through Thursday night into Friday morning bringing an Arctic airmass down into New England and the Mid- Atlantic. While dry, we should see temps falling quite a way below normal heading into and over the weekend.

AVIATION /15Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Today . VFR. Southwest wind 5 to 10 kt. High confidence.

Tonight . VFR. Southwest wind 5 knots or less, becoming south as a weak sea breeze moves inland. A weak wave will also translate east bringing a ~7/8kft deck across the terminals. High confidence.

Monday . VFR with increasing cloud cover through the day. S/SW wind 5 to 10 knots. No significant weather expected.

Outlook .

Monday night . Mainly VFR, with MVFR ceilings late. A chance of rain. South wind 5 to 10 knots. Medium confidence on timing and coverage of any rainfall.

Tuesday . MVFR with periods of IFR possible in rain. Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Medium confidence.

Tuesday night through Wednesday Night . Generally IFR improving to MVFR as rainfall clears the region. Winds light and variable Tuesday night becoming east 5-10 knots Wednesday.

Thursday . Generally MVFR improving to VFR. West winds 15-20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt.

MARINE. Sub- SCA conditions expected with seas generally running 2 to 4 feet. Southwest winds around 10 knots.

Outlook .

Sunday night through Monday . Sub-SCA conditions expected. Wind gusts up to 15 kt. Wave heights up to 3 feet

Monday night and Tuesday night . Wind gusts to 20 kt. Wave heights up to 4 feet. Rain expected Tuesday.

Wednesday and Wednesday night . SCA conditions likely by Wednesday night with wind gust up to 25kts and wave heights increasing to 4 to 7 feet. Rain expected Wednesday night.

Thursday . SCA conditions likely with gales possible late. Wind gusts to 30 kt. Wave heights up to 7 feet.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . None.

Synopsis . Deal Near Term . Haines/Miketta Short Term . Haines Long Term . Deal Aviation . Deal/Haines Marine . Deal/Haines


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MHRN6 18 mi57 min W 7 G 11
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 19 mi57 min 47°F 41°F1023.3 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 23 mi57 min W 8.9 G 12 46°F 1023.1 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 23 mi57 min WNW 8 G 8.9 42°F 39°F1023.9 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 27 mi57 min 45°F 41°F1023.2 hPa
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 29 mi57 min W 5.1 G 7 45°F 38°F1024.4 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 36 mi51 min W 6 G 8 44°F 38°F1023.7 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 40 mi37 min W 5.8 G 5.8 42°F 3 ft1023.7 hPa32°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 42 mi57 min WNW 8 G 8.9 44°F 40°F1023.6 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 46 mi57 min WSW 7.8 G 9.7 47°F 32°F24°F
BDSP1 49 mi57 min 45°F 1024.5 hPa

Wind History for Bergen Point West Reach, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Somerville, Somerset Airport, NJ15 mi34 minVar 510.00 miFair50°F14°F24%1022.8 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ21 mi42 minW 710.00 miClear50°F17°F28%1023 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ21 mi36 minSW 510.00 miA Few Clouds52°F12°F20%1022.9 hPa
Trenton, Mercer County Airport, NJ24 mi34 minVar 510.00 miFair49°F12°F23%1022.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSMQ

Wind History from SMQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr666W7SW7W4SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm5
1 day agoN6N7N3543CalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm364
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2 days ago4------W84N7N3N9N5N7N6N9
G16
N7N4N3N5N5NW6N5N10
G17
N10N11NW9

Tide / Current Tables for New Brunswick, Raritan River, New Jersey
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Bayonne Bridge, Kill van Kull, New York Current
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Bayonne Bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:11 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:34 AM EST     1.69 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 06:40 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:01 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:59 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 10:33 AM EST     New Moon
Sun -- 11:03 AM EST     -1.58 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 02:37 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:58 PM EST     1.78 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 05:40 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:44 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 08:27 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:22 PM EST     -1.44 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.2-0.9-0.20.91.61.71.40.8-0-0.8-1.4-1.6-1.5-1.2-0.60.41.51.81.61.10.4-0.4-1-1.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.