Saturday, August8, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Atlantic Beach, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:57AMSunset 8:03PM Saturday August 8, 2020 1:50 AM EDT (05:50 UTC) Moonrise 10:50PMMoonset 10:40AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ355 Sandy Hook Nj To Fire Island Inlet Ny Out 20 Nm- 1029 Pm Edt Fri Aug 7 2020
Rest of tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Slight chance of showers.
Sat..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat night..S winds around 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sun..W winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft.
Mon night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue night..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
ANZ300 1029 Pm Edt Fri Aug 7 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A stationary front will remains to the south through early Saturday. High pressure will then build in for Sunday and Monday. A cold front will approach on Tuesday, and slowly pass across on Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Atlantic Beach, NY
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location: 40.59, -73.73     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 080544 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 144 AM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

SYNOPSIS. A stationary front will remain south of the area through early Saturday. High pressure will build in for Sunday and Monday, then move out into the western Atlantic late Monday and Tuesday as a cold front approaches. The front will slowly pass across through Thursday, then stall to the south on Friday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. A stationary front will remain to the south, with a few very weak disturbances riding along the boundary. Aloft, a deamplifying trough will move through. Associated showers over NYC and western Long Island are dissipating, and only expect isolated activity overnight.

As far as temperatures, mostly cloudy skies and humid conditions will keep temperatures from dropping too much. Expect lows to range from the mid 60s to around 70.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/. The stationary front will very slowly sink south through the period. With much of the forcing for any showers and thunderstorms to remain south of the area, not much in the way of showers and thunderstorms are expected. With slightly warmer conditions inland, instability will be higher, so slightly higher PoP (chance) is warranted across northeast New Jersey and the Lower Hudson Valley. Otherwise, just a slight chance is expected. Many of the mesoscale models support this thinking.

Temperatures will continue to run at or just below normal on Saturday with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s thanks to continued light northeasterly flow. Lows at night will continue to be warm ranging from the middle 60s to lower 70s.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. Upper ridging will be gradually building into the northeast Sunday as a weak shortwave moves into the ridge during the afternoon, passing mainly to the north. There will be increasing CAPE and instability during the day and isolated convection will be possible along sea breeze boundaries with increased convergence. The GFS and ECMWF do indicate some light precipitation Sunday afternoon. At this time have not included slight chance probabilities, however did increase POPs with sea breeze development.

The building ridge will usher in increasing heat and humidity into mid week. There is increasing consensus and confidence that portions of the region will reach mid 90s heat indices Monday through Wednesday and possibly into Thursday, as temperatures will range 5 to 10 degrees above normal. The ridge will keep another shortwave moving to the north Monday. The only real change in the long term forecast is the slower trend in the longwave closed low moving across southern Canada and into the northern tier of the plains and upper midwest into the midweek period. This will delay the approach of a weak cold front, with Tuesday remaining mostly dry. There may be a few afternoon thunderstorms along the periphery of the ridge, and have slight chances into the Lower Hudson Valley.

As the mid and upper flow becomes more parallel to the cold front, the front will slow its eastward progression, and convection will once again be mainly to the west and north Wednesday. The front is expected to move through Wednesday into Thursday and then stall south of the region Friday.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. A stationary front will remain south of the area today before high pressure builds back into the region tonight.

MVFR ceilings will continue to develop through the overnight hours, with IFR conditions at Long Island terminals. Sub-VFR conditions will linger into mid-morning before conditions improve to VFR at all terminals by afternoon. An isolated afternoon shower or thunderstorm is possible for NYC/NJ and western terminals. MVFR or lower conditions may return overnight.

Light E-NE or light and variable winds will continue through the morning. By afternoon, SE flow develops with winds remaining less than 10 kt. Winds become light and variable at all terminals overnight tonight.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. Saturday Night through Monday. Mainly VFR. Low prob of late night/early morning MVFR conds. Tuesday and Wednesday. Low prob of aft/eve rain showers and isolated thunderstorms.

MARINE. Winds and seas will remain below SCA levels through Wednesday as lack of any pressure gradient keeps winds on the light side.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts are expected through Wednesday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . Goodman/JP/MET NEAR TERM . Goodman/JP/MET SHORT TERM . JP LONG TERM . MET AVIATION . FEB MARINE . Goodman/JP/MET HYDROLOGY . JP/MET


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 15 mi30 min NE 3.9 G 5.8 71°F1019.6 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 15 mi50 min Calm G 1.9 71°F 1021 hPa (+0.7)
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 17 mi50 min 73°F 76°F1020.5 hPa (+1.1)
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 17 mi50 min E 4.1 G 5.1 72°F 77°F1020.9 hPa (+1.0)
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 18 mi50 min ENE 5.1 G 6 74°F 1020.2 hPa (+1.0)
44022 - Execution Rocks 20 mi35 min ENE 3.9 G 5.8 72°F 70°F
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 22 mi50 min 72°F 78°F1020.4 hPa (+0.9)
MHRN6 23 mi50 min WSW 1.9 G 4.1
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 27 mi65 min E 7.8 G 9.7 73°F 66°F
44069 35 mi50 min E 12 G 16 72°F 70°F
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 38 mi30 min ENE 12 G 16 73°F1019.2 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY6 mi59 minENE 310.00 miMostly Cloudy71°F69°F94%1020.1 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY15 mi59 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy74°F68°F82%1020.1 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY18 mi59 minN 05.00 miFog/Mist70°F68°F93%1020.3 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY20 mi57 minE 310.00 miFair72°F66°F82%1019.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KJFK

Wind History from JFK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE5E3NE5NE4NW7N7NE8N8NE8NE8NE10NE75SE9SE9E9SE9E6SE5SE6E6SE4NE5NE3
1 day agoW4N4E3S3NE3NE5NE8NE5N5S4SE3E7SE8S10SW6S11S7SW5SW3CalmCalmCalmE3Calm
2 days agoS6SW4SE4S4S5S5SW7SW6S9S11S12SW13SW11SW14S10S13S12S11S7S4W3CalmW6W7

Tide / Current Tables for East Rockaway Inlet, Long Island, New York
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East Rockaway Inlet
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:29 AM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:40 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 11:57 AM EDT     4.05 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:48 PM EDT     0.82 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:49 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.23.72.71.70.80.30.30.91.82.73.43.94.13.83.12.21.510.81.21.92.73.43.9

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:23 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 03:45 AM EDT     -0.63 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:26 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 09:57 AM EDT     0.88 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 10:40 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 12:27 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:05 PM EDT     -0.64 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 06:43 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:22 PM EDT     0.91 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 10:49 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.1-0.1-0.3-0.6-0.6-0.4-0.10.10.20.60.90.60.1-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.5-0.20.10.20.50.90.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.